Updated May 15, 2022, at 10:19 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Padres have a 5% chance of winning the World Series.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers21-1297%70%
PadresPadres22-1381%20%
GiantsGiants20-141.562%9%
DbacksDiamondbacks18-174.07%<1%
RockiesRockies17-174.55%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/17Tuesday, May 176:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1538+211=155852%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+22=154648%
5/18Wednesday, May 186:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1538+7+0=154546%
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1524+24+24=157254%
5/19Thursday, May 191:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15384+0=153450%
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152411+24=153750%
5/20Friday, May 2010:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
1538424=149245%
SFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
152424+23=152355%
5/21Saturday, May 214:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1538+4+0=154246%
SFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1524+19+24=156754%
5/22Sunday, May 224:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1538+12+0=155051%
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15246+24=154249%
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1544194=152142%
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1538+21+22=158158%
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1544+39+0=158352%
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1538+7+24=156948%
5/25Wednesday, May 254:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15446+0=153847%
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15384+24=155853%
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+02=144033%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+26=156667%
5/28Saturday, May 2810:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144233%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156467%
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144233%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156467%
5/30Monday, May 302:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+24=153650%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153350%
5/31Tuesday, May 317:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154051%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153349%
6/1Wednesday, June 11:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154051%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153349%
6/2Thursday, June 27:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+22=153846%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+23=156854%
6/3Friday, June 38:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154046%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156954%
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154046%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156954%
6/5Sunday, June 52:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154046%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156954%
6/6Monday, June 69:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153321=153046%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+20=156054%
6/7Tuesday, June 79:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153145%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156455%
6/8Wednesday, June 89:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153145%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156455%
6/10Friday, June 109:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+02=145935%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+26=156665%
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146136%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146136%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146136%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+24=153655%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+21=150045%
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154055%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150345%
6/15Wednesday, June 158:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154055%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150345%
6/16Thursday, June 162:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154055%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150345%
6/17Friday, June 178:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+23=153757%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148543%
6/18Saturday, June 189:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148542%
6/19Sunday, June 193:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148542%
6/20Monday, June 209:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+02=146236%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+21=156164%
6/21Tuesday, June 219:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146436%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
6/22Wednesday, June 224:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146436%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
6/23Thursday, June 239:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+03=152144%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
6/24Friday, June 249:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
6/25Saturday, June 2510:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
6/26Sunday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
6/28Tuesday, June 289:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154057%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+26=149043%
6/29Wednesday, June 293:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154057%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148843%
6/30Thursday, June 3010:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+22=153840%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+21=160860%
7/1Friday, July 110:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154040%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161160%
7/2Saturday, July 27:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154040%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161160%
7/3Sunday, July 34:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154040%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161160%
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+23=149741%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+23=156359%
7/5Tuesday, July 54:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150041%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156459%
7/7Thursday, July 79:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+02=152244%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+26=156656%
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
7/9Saturday, July 97:15 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
7/11Monday, July 118:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+23=153758%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+21=148242%
7/12Tuesday, July 128:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148542%
7/13Wednesday, July 138:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148542%
7/14Thursday, July 143:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148542%
7/15Friday, July 159:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146436%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+21=156164%
7/16Saturday, July 168:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146436%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
7/17Sunday, July 174:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146436%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
7/22Friday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+3=154348%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+28=155952%
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154048%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155552%
7/24Sunday, July 241:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154048%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155552%
7/25Monday, July 257:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+22=153858%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148442%
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148442%
7/27Wednesday, July 271:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148442%
7/29Friday, July 299:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+12=151744%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+22=156256%
7/30Saturday, July 308:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151944%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
7/31Sunday, July 314:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151944%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
8/1Monday, Aug. 19:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+03=145835%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156465%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146136%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146136%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146136%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146136%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
8/5Friday, Aug. 510:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+21=153940%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+22=160960%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 69:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154040%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161160%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154040%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161160%
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+02=152244%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+23=156356%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 104:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+22=153857%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+23=148543%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148642%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 1412:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148642%
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+23=153753%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151547%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154053%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151547%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 174:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154053%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151547%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146314=145836%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+20=156064%
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146236%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146236%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146236%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+02=149740%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+26=156660%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 244:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149941%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156459%
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+21=153957%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+26=148743%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148542%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148542%
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+24=153649%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+20=154451%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154049%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154851%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 313:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154049%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154851%
9/2Friday, Sept. 210:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154041%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+20=160759%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 39:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154040%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161160%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154040%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161160%
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+02=146236%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+23=156364%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146436%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146436%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+1=158853%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+26=156647%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+0=158753%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156447%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+0=158753%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156447%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+21=153952%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+26=152648%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 144:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154052%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152448%
9/15Thursday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+23=153757%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148843%
9/16Friday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154057%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148843%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154057%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148843%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154057%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148843%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+12=150742%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156458%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150942%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156458%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 224:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150942%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156458%
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+23=153757%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148543%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148542%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 253:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148542%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+1=158854%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+23=156346%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+0=158753%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156447%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+0=158753%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156447%
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
152814=152344%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 18:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152745%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156455%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152745%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156455%
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+02=152244%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/15Sunday, May 1511:35 a.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1536+12+0=154851%7
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154125+24=154049%3
5/14Saturday, May 144:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1537+2+0=153945%5
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1540+9+24=157355%6
5/13Friday, May 137:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153412=153140%11
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1543+30+26=159960%6
5/11Wednesday, May 114:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
147514+0=146142%7
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153642+24=151858%5
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1475+0+0=147535%4
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1535+24+24=158365%5
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
147264=146238%6
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
153812+24=155062%0
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1493+1+0=149439%2
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1538+10+24=157261%3
5/7Saturday, May 78:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1489+17+0=150641%8
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1541+1+24=156659%0
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1490+18+0=150842%2
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15403+24=156158%3
5/5Thursday, May 59:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
1491184=146944%1
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153947+20=151256%2
5/4Wednesday, May 45:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
154115+0=152650%5
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1495+4+24=152350%6
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1540+26+3=156958%5
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
14969+25=151242%4
5/1Sunday, May 11:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1539+8+0=154762%5
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14425+24=146138%2
4/30Saturday, April 306:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1540+2+0=154261%6
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1440+3+24=146739%7
4/29Friday, April 296:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153812=153560%7
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1442+0+24=146640%3
4/28Thursday, April 2812:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153749+0=148845%7
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1483+16+24=152355%5
4/27Wednesday, April 276:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
153519+0=151653%8
CINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
148411+24=149747%5
4/26Tuesday, April 266:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1534+102=154256%9
CINCINReds
Sanmartin, Reiver
Sanmartin
148613+26=149944%6
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1589+12+0=160155%10
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1537+8+24=156945%2
4/23Saturday, April 238:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
159027+0=156351%2
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15356+24=155349%3
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1589+4+1=159461%6
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153749+26=151439%1
4/20Wednesday, April 204:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
149011+0=147942%0
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
153525+24=153458%6
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Sanmartin, Reiver
Sanmartin
14918+0=148338%2
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1534+9+24=156762%6
4/18Monday, April 189:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1492171=147437%1
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1532+10+24=156663%4
4/17Sunday, April 177 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
154829+0=151946%1
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15319+24=154654%2
4/16Saturday, April 164:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1546+0+0=154655%5
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153344+24=151345%2
4/15Friday, April 159:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154438+0=150646%5
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
153528+24=153154%2
4/14Thursday, April 148:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1548+224=156651%1
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1531+5+22=155849%12
4/13Wednesday, April 133:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1532+9+0=154147%1
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1520+17+24=156153%2
4/12Tuesday, April 129:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1536+0+0=153651%2
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
151711+24=153049%13
4/11Monday, April 119:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
1534493=148242%4
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15187+24=153558%2
4/10Sunday, April 104:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1533+5+0=153861%10
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
145823+24=145939%5
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1531+2+0=153361%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
145929+24=145439%2
4/8Friday, April 89:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1530+1+0=153155%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1461+11+24=149645%0
4/7Thursday, April 79:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153112=152856%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1459+3+24=148644%4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.