2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Padres have a 5% chance of winning the World Series.
NL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | DodgersDodgers21-12 | — | 97% | 70% | ||
![]() | PadresPadres22-13 | — | 81% | 20% | ||
![]() | GiantsGiants20-14 | 1.5 | 62% | 9% | ||
![]() | DbacksDiamondbacks18-17 | 4.0 | 7% | <1% | ||
![]() | RockiesRockies17-17 | 4.5 | 5% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/17Tuesday, May 176:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +21 | –1 | =1558 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +22 | =1546 | 48% | ||
5/18Wednesday, May 186:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +7 | +0 | =1545 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +24 | +24 | =1572 | 54% | ||
5/19Thursday, May 191:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –4 | +0 | =1534 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –11 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | ||
5/20Friday, May 2010:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –42 | –4 | =1492 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –24 | +23 | =1523 | 55% | ||
5/21Saturday, May 214:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +4 | +0 | =1542 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +19 | +24 | =1567 | 54% | ||
5/22Sunday, May 224:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +12 | +0 | =1550 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –6 | +24 | =1542 | 49% | ||
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –19 | –4 | =1521 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +21 | +22 | =1581 | 58% | ||
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +39 | +0 | =1583 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +7 | +24 | =1569 | 48% | ||
5/25Wednesday, May 254:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –6 | +0 | =1538 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –4 | +24 | =1558 | 53% | ||
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | –2 | =1440 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +26 | =1566 | 67% | ||
5/28Saturday, May 2810:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +0 | =1442 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 67% | ||
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +0 | =1442 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 67% | ||
5/30Monday, May 302:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –4 | =1536 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +24 | =1533 | 50% | ||
5/31Tuesday, May 317:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +24 | =1533 | 49% | ||
6/1Wednesday, June 11:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +24 | =1533 | 49% | ||
6/2Thursday, June 27:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –2 | =1538 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +23 | =1568 | 54% | ||
6/3Friday, June 38:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +24 | =1569 | 54% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +24 | =1569 | 54% | ||
6/5Sunday, June 52:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +24 | =1569 | 54% | ||
6/6Monday, June 69:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –2 | –1 | =1530 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +20 | =1560 | 54% | ||
6/7Tuesday, June 79:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –2 | +0 | =1531 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 55% | ||
6/8Wednesday, June 89:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –2 | +0 | =1531 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 55% | ||
6/10Friday, June 109:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –2 | =1459 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +26 | =1566 | 65% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 64% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 64% | ||
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 64% | ||
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –4 | =1536 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +21 | =1500 | 45% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +24 | =1503 | 45% | ||
6/15Wednesday, June 158:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +24 | =1503 | 45% | ||
6/16Thursday, June 162:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +24 | =1503 | 45% | ||
6/17Friday, June 178:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –3 | =1537 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 43% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 189:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | ||
6/19Sunday, June 193:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | ||
6/20Monday, June 209:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | –2 | =1462 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +21 | =1561 | 64% | ||
6/21Tuesday, June 219:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 64% | ||
6/22Wednesday, June 224:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 64% | ||
6/23Thursday, June 239:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –3 | =1521 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
6/24Friday, June 249:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
6/25Saturday, June 2510:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
6/26Sunday, June 264:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 289:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +26 | =1490 | 43% | ||
6/29Wednesday, June 293:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +24 | =1488 | 43% | ||
6/30Thursday, June 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –2 | =1538 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +21 | =1608 | 60% | ||
7/1Friday, July 110:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +24 | =1611 | 60% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 27:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +24 | =1611 | 60% | ||
7/3Sunday, July 34:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +24 | =1611 | 60% | ||
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | –3 | =1497 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +23 | =1563 | 59% | ||
7/5Tuesday, July 54:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +0 | =1500 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 59% | ||
7/7Thursday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –2 | =1522 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +26 | =1566 | 56% | ||
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
7/9Saturday, July 97:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
7/11Monday, July 118:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –3 | =1537 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +21 | =1482 | 42% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 128:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | ||
7/13Wednesday, July 138:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | ||
7/14Thursday, July 143:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | ||
7/15Friday, July 159:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +21 | =1561 | 64% | ||
7/16Saturday, July 168:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 64% | ||
7/17Sunday, July 174:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 64% | ||
7/22Friday, July 227:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +3 | =1543 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –2 | +28 | =1559 | 52% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –2 | +24 | =1555 | 52% | ||
7/24Sunday, July 241:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –2 | +24 | =1555 | 52% | ||
7/25Monday, July 257:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –2 | =1538 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 42% | ||
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 42% | ||
7/27Wednesday, July 271:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 42% | ||
7/29Friday, July 299:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | –2 | =1517 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +22 | =1562 | 56% | ||
7/30Saturday, July 308:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +0 | =1519 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
7/31Sunday, July 314:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +0 | =1519 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
8/1Monday, Aug. 19:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –3 | =1458 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 65% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 64% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 64% | ||
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 64% | ||
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 64% | ||
8/5Friday, Aug. 510:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –1 | =1539 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +22 | =1609 | 60% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 69:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +24 | =1611 | 60% | ||
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +24 | =1611 | 60% | ||
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –2 | =1522 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +23 | =1563 | 56% | ||
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 104:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –2 | =1538 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | +23 | =1485 | 43% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
8/14Sunday, Aug. 1412:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –3 | =1537 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | +24 | =1515 | 47% | ||
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | +24 | =1515 | 47% | ||
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 174:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | +24 | =1515 | 47% | ||
8/18Thursday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | –4 | =1458 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +20 | =1560 | 64% | ||
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | +0 | =1462 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 64% | ||
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | +0 | =1462 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 64% | ||
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | +0 | =1462 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 64% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –2 | =1497 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +26 | =1566 | 60% | ||
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 244:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 59% | ||
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –1 | =1539 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +26 | =1487 | 43% | ||
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | ||
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | ||
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –4 | =1536 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +20 | =1544 | 51% | ||
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 51% | ||
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 313:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 51% | ||
9/2Friday, Sept. 210:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +20 | =1607 | 59% | ||
9/3Saturday, Sept. 39:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +24 | =1611 | 60% | ||
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +24 | =1611 | 60% | ||
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | –2 | =1462 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +23 | =1563 | 64% | ||
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 64% | ||
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 64% | ||
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +1 | =1588 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +26 | =1566 | 47% | ||
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +0 | =1587 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 47% | ||
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +0 | =1587 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 47% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –1 | =1539 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +26 | =1526 | 48% | ||
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 144:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +24 | =1524 | 48% | ||
9/15Thursday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –3 | =1537 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +24 | =1488 | 43% | ||
9/16Friday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +24 | =1488 | 43% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +24 | =1488 | 43% | ||
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +24 | =1488 | 43% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | –2 | =1507 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 58% | ||
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +0 | =1509 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 58% | ||
9/22Thursday, Sept. 224:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +0 | =1509 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 58% | ||
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –3 | =1537 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 43% | ||
9/24Saturday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | ||
9/25Sunday, Sept. 253:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | ||
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +1 | =1588 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +23 | =1563 | 46% | ||
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +0 | =1587 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 47% | ||
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +0 | =1587 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 47% | ||
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | –4 | =1523 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
10/1Saturday, Oct. 18:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 55% | ||
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 55% | ||
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –2 | =1522 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5 | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/15Sunday, May 1511:35 a.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +12 | +0 | =1548 | 51% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | –25 | +24 | =1540 | 49% | 3 | |
5/14Saturday, May 144:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +2 | +0 | =1539 | 45% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +9 | +24 | =1573 | 55% | 6 | |
5/13Friday, May 137:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –1 | –2 | =1531 | 40% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +30 | +26 | =1599 | 60% | 6 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 114:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1475 | –14 | +0 | =1461 | 42% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | –42 | +24 | =1518 | 58% | 5 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1475 | +0 | +0 | =1475 | 35% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | +24 | +24 | =1583 | 65% | 5 | |
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1472 | –6 | –4 | =1462 | 38% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –12 | +24 | =1550 | 62% | 0 | |
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +1 | +0 | =1494 | 39% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +10 | +24 | =1572 | 61% | 3 | |
5/7Saturday, May 78:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1489 | +17 | +0 | =1506 | 41% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +1 | +24 | =1566 | 59% | 0 | |
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1490 | +18 | +0 | =1508 | 42% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1540 | –3 | +24 | =1561 | 58% | 3 | |
5/5Thursday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1491 | –18 | –4 | =1469 | 44% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –47 | +20 | =1512 | 56% | 2 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 45:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | –15 | +0 | =1526 | 50% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1495 | +4 | +24 | =1523 | 50% | 6 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +26 | +3 | =1569 | 58% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1496 | –9 | +25 | =1512 | 42% | 4 | |
5/1Sunday, May 11:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | +8 | +0 | =1547 | 62% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1442 | –5 | +24 | =1461 | 38% | 2 | |
4/30Saturday, April 306:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +2 | +0 | =1542 | 61% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1440 | +3 | +24 | =1467 | 39% | 7 | |
4/29Friday, April 296:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –1 | –2 | =1535 | 60% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +24 | =1466 | 40% | 3 | |
4/28Thursday, April 2812:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | –49 | +0 | =1488 | 45% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1483 | +16 | +24 | =1523 | 55% | 5 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 276:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –19 | +0 | =1516 | 53% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | –11 | +24 | =1497 | 47% | 5 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 266:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | +10 | –2 | =1542 | 56% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1486 | –13 | +26 | =1499 | 44% | 6 | |
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1589 | +12 | +0 | =1601 | 55% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +8 | +24 | =1569 | 45% | 2 | |
4/23Saturday, April 238:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1590 | –27 | +0 | =1563 | 51% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –6 | +24 | =1553 | 49% | 3 | |
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1589 | +4 | +1 | =1594 | 61% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | –49 | +26 | =1514 | 39% | 1 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 204:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1490 | –11 | +0 | =1479 | 42% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –25 | +24 | =1534 | 58% | 6 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1491 | –8 | +0 | =1483 | 38% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | +9 | +24 | =1567 | 62% | 6 | |
4/18Monday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –17 | –1 | =1474 | 37% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +10 | +24 | =1566 | 63% | 4 | |
4/17Sunday, April 177 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1548 | –29 | +0 | =1519 | 46% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | –9 | +24 | =1546 | 54% | 2 | |
4/16Saturday, April 164:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +0 | =1546 | 55% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –44 | +24 | =1513 | 45% | 2 | |
4/15Friday, April 159:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –38 | +0 | =1506 | 46% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –28 | +24 | =1531 | 54% | 2 | |
4/14Thursday, April 148:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1548 | +22 | –4 | =1566 | 51% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +5 | +22 | =1558 | 49% | 12 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 133:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +9 | +0 | =1541 | 47% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +17 | +24 | =1561 | 53% | 2 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 129:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +0 | +0 | =1536 | 51% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –11 | +24 | =1530 | 49% | 13 | |
4/11Monday, April 119:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –49 | –3 | =1482 | 42% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | –7 | +24 | =1535 | 58% | 2 | |
4/10Sunday, April 104:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | +5 | +0 | =1538 | 61% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –23 | +24 | =1459 | 39% | 5 | |
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +2 | +0 | =1533 | 61% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1459 | –29 | +24 | =1454 | 39% | 2 | |
4/8Friday, April 89:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 55% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +11 | +24 | =1496 | 45% | 0 | |
4/7Thursday, April 79:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | –1 | –2 | =1528 | 56% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1459 | +3 | +24 | =1486 | 44% | 4 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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