Updated Nov. 5, 2022, at 11:22 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Padres are done for the season.

NL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Dodgers Dodgers111-51	—	✓	✓
Padres Padres89-73	22.0	✓	—
Giants Giants81-81	30.0	—	—
Dbacks Diamondbacks74-88	37.0	—	—
Rockies Rockies68-94	43.0	—	—

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
10/23Sunday, Oct. 232:37 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1534	+28	+0	=1562	42%	3
10/23Sunday, Oct. 232:37 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1545	+36	+24	=1605	58%	4
10/22Saturday, Oct. 227:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1537	–8	+0	=1529	47%	6
10/22Saturday, Oct. 227:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Falter	1543	–21	+24	=1546	53%	10
10/21Friday, Oct. 217:37 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1539	+16	–2	=1553	51%	2
10/21Friday, Oct. 217:37 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1540	–12	+22	=1550	49%	4
10/19Wednesday, Oct. 194:35 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1543	+32	+0	=1575	50%	5
10/19Wednesday, Oct. 194:35 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1537	+16	+24	=1577	50%	8
10/18Tuesday, Oct. 188:03 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1541	+31	+1	=1573	46%	2
10/18Tuesday, Oct. 188:03 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1539	+26	+29	=1594	54%	0
10/15Saturday, Oct. 159:37 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1610	+3	+0	=1613	57%	3
10/15Saturday, Oct. 159:37 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1537	+16	+24	=1577	43%	5
10/14Friday, Oct. 148:37 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1612	+13	+1	=1626	60%	1
10/14Friday, Oct. 148:37 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1534	+16	+25	=1575	40%	2
10/12Wednesday, Oct. 128:37 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1531	+31	+0	=1562	33%	5
10/12Wednesday, Oct. 128:37 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1615	+17	+24	=1656	67%	3
10/11Tuesday, Oct. 119:37 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1532	–4	–2	=1526	26%	3
10/11Tuesday, Oct. 119:37 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1614	+15	+31	=1660	74%	5
10/9Sunday, Oct. 97:07 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1528	+10	+0	=1538	42%	6
10/9Sunday, Oct. 97:07 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Bassitt	1550	+6	+24	=1580	58%	0
10/8Saturday, Oct. 87:37 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1530	+19	+0	=1549	36%	3
10/8Saturday, Oct. 87:37 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	deGrom	1548	+53	+24	=1625	64%	7
10/7Friday, Oct. 78:07 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1525	+30	–2	=1553	37%	7
10/7Friday, Oct. 78:07 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1553	+41	+26	=1620	63%	1
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Brebbia (open)	1506	+14	+0	=1520	48%	8
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Stammen	1527	–31	+24	=1520	52%	1
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1508	+0	+0	=1508	49%	2
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1525	–32	+24	=1517	51%	6
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Brebbia (open)	1509	+3	–2	=1510	44%	4
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1524	+6	+24	=1554	56%	7
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1504	+11	+0	=1515	42%	2
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1525	+19	+24	=1568	58%	1
10/1Saturday, Oct. 18:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1506	+37	+0	=1543	50%	2
10/1Saturday, Oct. 18:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1524	–3	+24	=1545	50%	5
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Martin	1504	–27	–4	=1473	35%	3
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1526	+34	+24	=1584	65%	1
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Graterol	1619	–42	+0	=1577	57%	5
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Wilson	1527	–24	+24	=1527	43%	2
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1618	+16	+0	=1634	61%	1
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1528	+5	+24	=1557	39%	0
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1620	+0	+1	=1621	58%	3
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1527	+17	+23	=1567	42%	4
9/25Sunday, Sept. 253:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1524	+2	+0	=1526	54%	13
9/25Sunday, Sept. 253:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1452	+18	+24	=1494	46%	6
9/24Saturday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1523	+34	+0	=1557	64%	9
9/24Saturday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1454	–18	+24	=1460	36%	3
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1524	–29	–3	=1492	54%	3
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1453	–13	+24	=1464	46%	4
9/22Thursday, Sept. 224:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1526	–3	+0	=1523	46%	5
9/22Thursday, Sept. 224:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1525	+5	+24	=1554	54%	4
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1527	+5	+0	=1532	46%	0
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1524	+11	+24	=1559	54%	1
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1529	+16	–2	=1543	50%	0
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1522	+1	+24	=1547	50%	5
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1520	+32	+0	=1552	57%	6
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1480	–1	+24	=1503	43%	1
9/17Saturday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1519	+4	+0	=1523	46%	2
9/17Saturday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1481	+47	+24	=1552	54%	0
9/16Friday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1516	+11	+0	=1527	57%	12
9/16Friday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1484	–30	+24	=1478	43%	3
9/15Thursday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1518	–25	–3	=1490	51%	0
9/15Thursday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Jameson	1482	–23	+24	=1483	49%	4
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 144:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1520	+10	+0	=1530	43%	1
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 144:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Castillo	1529	+28	+24	=1581	57%	6
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1518	+27	–1	=1544	48%	2
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1530	+4	+26	=1560	52%	0
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Heaney	1620	–20	+0	=1600	57%	11
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1521	+7	+24	=1552	43%	2
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1618	+18	+0	=1636	61%	8
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1522	+15	+24	=1561	39%	4
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1619	–23	+1	=1597	55%	4
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1521	+12	+26	=1559	45%	5
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1485	–19	+0	=1466	35%	3
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1520	+30	+24	=1574	65%	6
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1486	+29	+0	=1515	44%	5
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1519	+13	+24	=1556	56%	6
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1483	–23	–2	=1458	36%	5
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1522	+10	+23	=1555	64%	0
9/4Sunday, Sept. 47 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1524	+14	+0	=1538	42%	4
9/4Sunday, Sept. 47 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Ferguson	1618	–47	+24	=1595	58%	9
9/3Saturday, Sept. 39:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1526	–23	+0	=1503	29%	1
9/3Saturday, Sept. 39:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1617	+16	+24	=1657	71%	12
9/2Friday, Sept. 210:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1523	+22	+0	=1545	39%	7
9/2Friday, Sept. 210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1620	–20	+20	=1620	61%	1
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 313:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1522	+10	+0	=1532	54%	5
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 313:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1496	–15	+24	=1505	46%	4
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1520	+7	+0	=1527	50%	4
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1497	+7	+24	=1528	50%	3
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1519	+17	–4	=1532	48%	6
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Rodon	1498	+31	+20	=1549	52%	5
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1523	–16	+0	=1507	57%	7
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Heasley	1450	–18	+24	=1456	43%	15
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1522	+21	+0	=1543	60%	4
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lynch	1451	–1	+24	=1474	40%	3
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1520	+16	–1	=1535	59%	13
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Bubic	1453	–8	+26	=1471	41%	5
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 244:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1513	+0	+0	=1513	43%	7
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 244:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1523	+12	+24	=1559	57%	0
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Civale	1511	–10	+1	=1502	41%	3
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1525	+13	+26	=1564	59%	1
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1434	–19	+0	=1415	34%	1
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1524	–21	+24	=1527	66%	2
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1435	+12	+0	=1447	34%	1
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1523	+13	+24	=1560	66%	2
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Espino	1432	+8	+0	=1440	33%	6
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1526	+15	+24	=1565	67%	3
8/18Thursday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Sanchez	1430	+6	–4	=1432	32%	3
8/18Thursday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1528	+18	+20	=1566	68%	1
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 174:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1526	+19	+0	=1545	56%	10
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 174:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1479	–1	+24	=1502	44%	3
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1527	–20	+0	=1507	52%	3
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Cabrera	1478	–11	+24	=1491	48%	4
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1529	+14	–3	=1540	49%	0
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1476	+43	+24	=1543	51%	3
8/14Sunday, Aug. 1412:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1527	+10	+0	=1537	60%	6
8/14Sunday, Aug. 1412:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Espino	1433	+10	+24	=1467	40%	0
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1528	+19	+0	=1547	62%	3
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Sanchez	1432	+8	+24	=1464	38%	4
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1527	+19	–2	=1544	62%	10
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Abbott	1433	+3	+23	=1459	38%	5
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 104:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Junis	1508	–15	+0	=1493	45%	7
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 104:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1524	–18	+24	=1530	55%	13
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1509	–8	+0	=1501	42%	4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1523	+13	+24	=1560	58%	7
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1508	–11	–2	=1495	41%	1
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1524	+9	+23	=1556	59%	0
8/7Sunday, Aug. 77 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1526	+20	+0	=1546	38%	0
8/7Sunday, Aug. 77 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1611	–8	+24	=1627	62%	4
8/6Saturday, Aug. 69:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1528	+24	+0	=1552	40%	3
8/6Saturday, Aug. 69:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Heaney	1609	–14	+24	=1619	60%	8
8/5Friday, Aug. 510:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1529	–14	–1	=1514	33%	1
8/5Friday, Aug. 510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1608	+4	+22	=1634	67%	8
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1454	+17	+0	=1471	36%	7
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1532	+18	+24	=1574	64%	3
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1456	–10	+0	=1446	34%	1
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1530	+3	+24	=1557	66%	9
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1457	–28	+0	=1429	37%	2
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Knehr	1529	–33	+24	=1520	63%	3
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1458	–21	+0	=1437	32%	5
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1528	+20	+24	=1572	68%	13
8/1Monday, Aug. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1459	+3	–3	=1459	34%	1
8/1Monday, Aug. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1527	+20	+24	=1571	66%	4
7/31Sunday, July 314:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Bundy	1515	–7	+0	=1508	46%	2
7/31Sunday, July 314:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1526	–16	+24	=1534	54%	3
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Gray	1513	+22	+0	=1535	45%	7
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1528	+18	+24	=1570	55%	4
7/29Friday, July 299:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ryan	1516	+21	–2	=1535	48%	1
7/29Friday, July 299:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1525	+1	+22	=1548	52%	10
7/27Wednesday, July 271:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1526	+19	+0	=1545	57%	3
7/27Wednesday, July 271:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Skubal	1454	+16	+24	=1494	43%	4
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1525	+22	+0	=1547	62%	6
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Hill	1455	–16	+24	=1463	38%	4
7/25Monday, July 257:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1528	–6	–2	=1520	60%	4
7/25Monday, July 257:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Hutchison	1452	–24	+24	=1452	40%	12
7/24Sunday, July 247 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1530	+19	+0	=1549	50%	5
7/24Sunday, July 247 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1546	–20	+24	=1550	50%	8
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1529	–2	+0	=1527	43%	2
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Bassitt	1547	+3	+24	=1574	57%	1
7/22Friday, July 227:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1527	+14	+3	=1544	39%	4
7/22Friday, July 227:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1549	+41	+28	=1618	61%	1
7/17Sunday, July 174:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1459	+22	+0	=1481	37%	3
7/17Sunday, July 174:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1529	+21	+24	=1574	63%	1
7/16Saturday, July 168:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gilbert	1460	–6	+0	=1454	37%	3
7/16Saturday, July 168:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1528	–3	+24	=1549	63%	4
7/15Friday, July 159:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1461	+0	+0	=1461	36%	3
7/15Friday, July 159:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1527	+15	+21	=1563	64%	5
7/14Thursday, July 143:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1529	+1	+0	=1530	56%	5
7/14Thursday, July 143:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1459	+8	+24	=1491	44%	8
7/13Wednesday, July 138:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1531	+22	+0	=1553	61%	6
7/13Wednesday, July 138:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1456	–1	+24	=1479	39%	10
7/12Tuesday, July 128:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1533	+20	+0	=1553	62%	3
7/12Tuesday, July 128:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1455	–9	+24	=1470	38%	5
7/11Monday, July 118:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1532	–6	–3	=1523	60%	6
7/11Monday, July 118:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1456	–22	+21	=1455	40%	5
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1511	–12	+0	=1499	44%	12
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Gore	1536	–16	+24	=1544	56%	0
7/9Saturday, July 97:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Rodon	1509	+25	+0	=1534	45%	3
7/9Saturday, July 97:15 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1538	+10	+24	=1572	55%	1
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Long	1511	–20	+0	=1491	40%	3
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1537	–2	+24	=1559	60%	6
7/7Thursday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1512	+20	–2	=1530	43%	1
7/7Thursday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1536	+19	+26	=1581	57%	2
7/5Tuesday, July 54:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1502	+13	+0	=1515	40%	6
7/5Tuesday, July 54:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1538	+24	+24	=1586	60%	2
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Flexen	1499	–9	–3	=1487	39%	8
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1542	–1	+23	=1564	61%	2
7/3Sunday, July 34:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Gore	1540	–18	+0	=1522	36%	4
7/3Sunday, July 34:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1593	+4	+24	=1621	64%	2
7/2Saturday, July 27:15 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1542	+12	+0	=1554	43%	2
7/2Saturday, July 27:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1591	–15	+24	=1600	57%	7
7/1Friday, July 110:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1543	–5	+0	=1538	38%	1
7/1Friday, July 110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1590	+12	+24	=1626	62%	5
6/30Thursday, June 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1544	+17	–2	=1559	47%	1
6/30Thursday, June 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	White	1588	–28	+21	=1581	53%	3
6/29Wednesday, June 293:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1543	+19	+0	=1562	61%	4
6/29Wednesday, June 293:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1462	–3	+24	=1483	39%	0
6/28Tuesday, June 289:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1544	–1	+0	=1543	54%	6
6/28Tuesday, June 289:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1461	+26	+26	=1513	46%	7
6/26Sunday, June 264:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Gibson	1529	–11	+0	=1518	41%	8
6/26Sunday, June 264:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1546	+15	+24	=1585	59%	5
6/25Saturday, June 2510:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1527	–19	+0	=1508	41%	4
6/25Saturday, June 2510:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1548	–1	+24	=1571	59%	2
6/24Friday, June 249:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1528	+24	+0	=1552	50%	0
6/24Friday, June 249:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Gore	1547	–20	+24	=1551	50%	1
6/23Thursday, June 239:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1526	–13	–3	=1510	38%	6
6/23Thursday, June 239:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1549	+23	+24	=1596	62%	2
6/22Wednesday, June 224:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1464	–1	+0	=1463	32%	4
6/22Wednesday, June 224:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1548	+21	+24	=1593	68%	10
6/21Tuesday, June 219:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1465	+24	+0	=1489	39%	2
6/21Tuesday, June 219:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1547	–2	+24	=1569	61%	3
6/20Monday, June 209:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1466	–8	–2	=1456	33%	1
6/20Monday, June 209:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1546	+11	+21	=1578	67%	4
6/19Sunday, June 193:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1549	–1	+0	=1548	59%	3
6/19Sunday, June 193:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1455	+5	+24	=1484	41%	8
6/18Saturday, June 189:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Martinez	1550	–42	+0	=1508	54%	4
6/18Saturday, June 189:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1454	+1	+24	=1479	46%	5
6/17Friday, June 178:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Gore	1553	–9	–3	=1541	58%	4
6/17Friday, June 178:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1451	+11	+24	=1486	42%	10
6/16Thursday, June 162:20 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1552	+19	+0	=1571	63%	6
6/16Thursday, June 162:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Swarmer	1462	–11	+24	=1475	37%	4
6/15Wednesday, June 158:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Weathers	1548	–65	+0	=1483	50%	19
6/15Wednesday, June 158:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Kilian	1466	–4	+24	=1486	50%	5
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1546	+0	+0	=1546	58%	12
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1468	–6	+24	=1486	42%	5
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1544	+3	–4	=1543	58%	4
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Steele	1469	–3	+21	=1487	42%	1
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1452	–1	+0	=1451	34%	4
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1546	–4	+24	=1566	66%	2
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1449	+10	+0	=1459	34%	6
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Gore	1549	+3	+24	=1576	66%	2
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1450	–14	+0	=1436	38%	1
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Martinez	1548	–49	+24	=1523	62%	2
6/10Friday, June 109:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1452	+2	–2	=1452	31%	0
6/10Friday, June 109:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1547	+15	+26	=1588	69%	9
6/8Wednesday, June 89:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Bassitt	1548	+4	+0	=1552	48%	2
6/8Wednesday, June 89:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1543	–2	+24	=1565	52%	13
6/7Tuesday, June 79:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Walker	1550	–17	+0	=1533	46%	0
6/7Tuesday, June 79:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1541	–2	+24	=1563	54%	7
6/6Monday, June 69:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1548	–9	–1	=1538	46%	11
6/6Monday, June 69:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1543	+0	+20	=1563	54%	5
6/5Sunday, June 52:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1542	+18	+0	=1560	50%	6
6/5Sunday, June 52:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1541	–5	+24	=1560	50%	4
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Gore	1540	–2	+0	=1538	50%	4
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Ashby	1543	–30	+24	=1537	50%	0
6/3Friday, June 38:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1537	+11	+0	=1548	41%	7
6/3Friday, June 38:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1546	+39	+24	=1609	59%	0
6/2Thursday, June 27:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1538	–2	–2	=1534	48%	4
6/2Thursday, June 27:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Houser	1545	–22	+23	=1546	52%	5
6/1Wednesday, June 11:15 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1539	+0	+0	=1539	50%	2
6/1Wednesday, June 11:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Hudson	1513	+0	+24	=1537	50%	5
5/31Tuesday, May 317:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1540	+1	+0	=1541	48%	2
5/31Tuesday, May 317:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1512	+22	+24	=1558	52%	3
5/30Monday, May 302:15 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Martinez	1542	–45	–4	=1493	49%	3
5/30Monday, May 302:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Naughton	1511	–33	+24	=1502	51%	6
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Contreras	1436	+11	+0	=1447	35%	2
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Gore	1541	–8	+24	=1557	65%	4
5/28Saturday, May 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Brubaker	1434	+5	+0	=1439	31%	4
5/28Saturday, May 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1543	+12	+24	=1579	69%	2
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Quintana	1435	+10	–2	=1443	33%	3
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1543	–1	+26	=1568	67%	4
5/25Wednesday, May 254:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Ashby	1544	–45	+0	=1499	40%	2
5/25Wednesday, May 254:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1544	–1	+24	=1567	60%	1
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1542	+33	+0	=1575	50%	4
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1546	+2	+24	=1572	50%	1
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Houser	1543	–17	–4	=1522	50%	2
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Martinez	1545	–45	+22	=1522	50%	3
5/22Sunday, May 224:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Gore	1541	–13	+0	=1528	48%	10
5/22Sunday, May 224:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1523	–4	+24	=1543	52%	1
5/21Saturday, May 214:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1540	+11	+0	=1551	48%	2
5/21Saturday, May 214:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Rodon	1524	+20	+24	=1568	52%	1
5/20Friday, May 2010:15 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1539	+2	–4	=1537	52%	8
5/20Friday, May 2010:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Junis	1525	–24	+23	=1524	48%	7
5/19Thursday, May 191:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1538	–4	+0	=1534	50%	2
5/19Thursday, May 191:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Gibson	1524	–13	+24	=1535	50%	0
5/18Wednesday, May 186:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1539	+6	+0	=1545	46%	0
5/18Wednesday, May 186:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1523	+24	+24	=1571	54%	3
5/17Tuesday, May 176:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1538	+21	–1	=1558	54%	3
5/17Tuesday, May 176:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1524	–18	+22	=1528	46%	0
5/15Sunday, May 1511:35 a.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1536	+12	+0	=1548	51%	7
5/15Sunday, May 1511:35 a.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Wright	1541	–25	+24	=1540	49%	3
5/14Saturday, May 144:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1537	+2	+0	=1539	45%	5
5/14Saturday, May 144:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1540	+9	+24	=1573	55%	6
5/13Friday, May 137:20 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1534	–1	–2	=1531	40%	11
5/13Friday, May 137:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1543	+30	+26	=1599	60%	6
5/11Wednesday, May 114:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Thompson	1475	–14	+0	=1461	42%	7
5/11Wednesday, May 114:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Martinez	1536	–42	+24	=1518	58%	5
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Miley	1475	+0	+0	=1475	35%	4
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1535	+24	+24	=1583	65%	5
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1472	–6	–4	=1462	38%	6
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Gore	1538	–12	+24	=1550	62%	0
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Rogers	1493	+1	+0	=1494	39%	2
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1538	+10	+24	=1572	61%	3
5/7Saturday, May 78:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1489	+17	+0	=1506	41%	8
5/7Saturday, May 78:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1541	+1	+24	=1566	59%	0
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1490	+18	+0	=1508	42%	2
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1540	–3	+24	=1561	58%	3
5/5Thursday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Luzardo	1491	–18	–4	=1469	44%	1
5/5Thursday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Martinez	1539	–47	+20	=1512	56%	2
5/4Wednesday, May 45:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Gore	1541	–15	+0	=1526	50%	5
5/4Wednesday, May 45:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1495	+4	+24	=1523	50%	6
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1540	+26	+3	=1569	58%	5
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Plesac	1496	–9	+25	=1512	42%	4
5/1Sunday, May 11:35 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1539	+8	+0	=1547	62%	5
5/1Sunday, May 11:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1442	–5	+24	=1461	38%	2
4/30Saturday, April 306:35 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1540	+2	+0	=1542	61%	6
4/30Saturday, April 306:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Brubaker	1440	+3	+24	=1467	39%	7
4/29Friday, April 296:35 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1538	–1	–2	=1535	60%	7
4/29Friday, April 296:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Thompson	1442	+0	+24	=1466	40%	3
4/28Thursday, April 2812:35 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Martinez	1537	–49	+0	=1488	45%	7
4/28Thursday, April 2812:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Mahle	1483	+16	+24	=1523	55%	5
4/27Wednesday, April 276:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Gore	1535	–19	+0	=1516	53%	8
4/27Wednesday, April 276:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Gutierrez	1484	–11	+24	=1497	47%	5
4/26Tuesday, April 266:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1534	+10	–2	=1542	56%	9
4/26Tuesday, April 266:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Sanmartin	1486	–13	+26	=1499	44%	6
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1589	+12	+0	=1601	55%	10
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1537	+8	+24	=1569	45%	2
4/23Saturday, April 238:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1590	–27	+0	=1563	51%	2
4/23Saturday, April 238:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1535	–6	+24	=1553	49%	3
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1589	+4	+1	=1594	61%	6
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Martinez	1537	–49	+26	=1514	39%	1
4/20Wednesday, April 204:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Gutierrez	1490	–11	+0	=1479	42%	0
4/20Wednesday, April 204:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Gore	1535	–25	+24	=1534	58%	6
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Sanmartin	1491	–8	+0	=1483	38%	2
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1534	+9	+24	=1567	62%	6
4/18Monday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Lodolo	1492	–17	–1	=1474	37%	1
4/18Monday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1532	+10	+24	=1566	63%	4
4/17Sunday, April 177 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Elder	1548	–29	+0	=1519	46%	1
4/17Sunday, April 177 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1531	–9	+24	=1546	54%	2
4/16Saturday, April 164:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1546	+0	+0	=1546	55%	5
4/16Saturday, April 164:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Martinez	1533	–44	+24	=1513	45%	2
4/15Friday, April 159:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Wright	1544	–38	+0	=1506	46%	5
4/15Friday, April 159:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Gore	1535	–28	+24	=1531	54%	2
4/14Thursday, April 148:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1548	+22	–4	=1566	51%	1
4/14Thursday, April 148:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1531	+5	+22	=1558	49%	12
4/13Wednesday, April 133:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1532	+9	+0	=1541	47%	1
4/13Wednesday, April 133:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1520	+17	+24	=1561	53%	2
4/12Tuesday, April 129:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1536	+0	+0	=1536	51%	2
4/12Tuesday, April 129:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1517	–11	+24	=1530	49%	13
4/11Monday, April 119:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Martinez	1534	–49	–3	=1482	42%	4
4/11Monday, April 119:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1518	–7	+24	=1535	58%	2
4/10Sunday, April 104:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1533	+5	+0	=1538	61%	10
4/10Sunday, April 104:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Smith	1458	–23	+24	=1459	39%	5
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1531	+2	+0	=1533	61%	5
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1459	–29	+24	=1454	39%	2
4/8Friday, April 89:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1530	+1	+0	=1531	55%	3
4/8Friday, April 89:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1461	+11	+24	=1496	45%	0
4/7Thursday, April 79:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1531	–1	–2	=1528	56%	2
4/7Thursday, April 79:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1459	+3	+24	=1486	44%	4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.