Updated Sep. 29, 2022, at 5:18 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Padres have a 1% chance of winning the World Series.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers107-48
PadresPadres86-6921.099%
GiantsGiants77-7830.0<1%
DbacksDiamondbacks72-8435.5
RockiesRockies65-9042.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Graterol, Brusdar
Graterol
161942+0=157757%
SDSDPadres
Wilson, Steven
Wilson
152724+24=152743%
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
1504274=147334%
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1527+34+24=158566%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 18:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1504+37+0=154149%
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
15273+24=154851%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1504+10+0=151442%
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1527+19+24=157058%
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1508+42=151043%
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1527+7+24=155857%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1508+26+0=153446%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1527+13+24=156454%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1508+3+0=151140%
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1527+34+24=158560%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1618+16+0=163461%1
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1528+5+24=155739%0
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1620+0+1=162158%3
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1527+17+23=156742%4
9/25Sunday, Sept. 253:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1524+2+0=152654%13
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1452+18+24=149446%6
9/24Saturday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1523+34+0=155764%9
COLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
145418+24=146036%3
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1524293=149254%3
COLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
145313+24=146446%4
9/22Thursday, Sept. 224:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
15263+0=152346%5
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1525+5+24=155454%4
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1527+5+0=153246%0
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1524+11+24=155954%1
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1529+162=154350%0
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1522+1+24=154750%5
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1520+32+0=155257%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Nelson, Ryne
Nelson
14801+24=150343%1
9/17Saturday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1519+4+0=152346%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1481+47+24=155254%0
9/16Friday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1516+11+0=152757%12
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
148430+24=147843%3
9/15Thursday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1518253=149051%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Jameson, Drey
Jameson
148223+24=148349%4
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 144:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1520+10+0=153043%1
SEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1529+28+24=158157%6
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1518+271=154448%2
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1530+4+26=156052%0
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
162020+0=160057%11
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1521+7+24=155243%2
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1618+18+0=163661%8
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1522+15+24=156139%4
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
161923+1=159755%4
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1521+12+26=155945%5
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
148519+0=146635%3
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1520+30+24=157465%6
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1486+29+0=151544%5
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1519+13+24=155656%6
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Nelson, Ryne
Nelson
1483232=145836%5
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1522+10+23=155564%0
9/4Sunday, Sept. 47 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1524+14+0=153842%4
LADLADDodgers
Ferguson, Caleb
Ferguson
161847+24=159558%9
9/3Saturday, Sept. 39:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
152623+0=150329%1
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1617+16+24=165771%12
9/2Friday, Sept. 210:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1523+22+0=154539%7
LADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
162020+20=162061%1
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 313:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1522+10+0=153254%5
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
149615+24=150546%4
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1520+7+0=152750%4
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1497+7+24=152850%3
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1519+174=153248%6
SFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1498+31+20=154952%5
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
152316+0=150757%7
KCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
145018+24=145643%15
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1522+21+0=154360%4
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14511+24=147440%3
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1520+161=153559%13
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14538+26=147141%5
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 244:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1513+0+0=151343%7
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1523+12+24=155957%0
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
151110+1=150241%3
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1525+13+26=156459%1
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143419+0=141534%1
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
152421+24=152766%2
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1435+12+0=144734%1
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1523+13+24=156066%2
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1432+8+0=144033%6
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1526+15+24=156567%3
8/18Thursday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1430+64=143232%3
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1528+18+20=156668%1
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 174:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1526+19+0=154556%10
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14791+24=150244%3
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
152720+0=150752%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
147811+24=149148%4
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1529+143=154049%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1476+43+24=154351%3
8/14Sunday, Aug. 1412:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1527+10+0=153760%6
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1433+10+24=146740%0
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1528+19+0=154762%3
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1432+8+24=146438%4
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1527+192=154462%10
WSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1433+3+23=145938%5
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 104:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
150815+0=149345%7
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
152418+24=153055%13
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
15098+0=150142%4
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1523+13+24=156058%7
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
1508112=149541%1
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1524+9+23=155659%0
8/7Sunday, Aug. 77 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1526+20+0=154638%0
LADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
16118+24=162762%4
8/6Saturday, Aug. 69:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1528+24+0=155240%3
LADLADDodgers
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
160914+24=161960%8
8/5Friday, Aug. 510:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1529141=151433%1
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1608+4+22=163467%8
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1454+17+0=147136%7
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1532+18+24=157464%3
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
145610+0=144634%1
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1530+3+24=155766%9
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Urena, Jose
Urena
145728+0=142937%2
SDSDPadres
Knehr, Reiss
Knehr
152933+24=152063%3
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
145821+0=143732%5
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1528+20+24=157268%13
8/1Monday, Aug. 19:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1459+33=145934%1
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1527+20+24=157166%4
7/31Sunday, July 314:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15157+0=150846%2
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
152616+24=153454%3
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1513+22+0=153545%7
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1528+18+24=157055%4
7/29Friday, July 299:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1516+212=153548%1
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1525+1+22=154852%10
7/27Wednesday, July 271:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1526+19+0=154557%3
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1454+16+24=149443%4
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1525+22+0=154762%6
DETDETTigers
Hill, Garrett
Hill
145516+24=146338%4
7/25Monday, July 257:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
152862=152060%4
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145224+24=145240%12
7/24Sunday, July 247 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1530+19+0=154950%5
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
154620+24=155050%8
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15292+0=152743%2
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1547+3+24=157457%1
7/22Friday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1527+14+3=154439%4
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1549+41+28=161861%1
7/17Sunday, July 174:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1459+22+0=148137%3
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1529+21+24=157463%1
7/16Saturday, July 168:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
14606+0=145437%3
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
15283+24=154963%4
7/15Friday, July 159:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1461+0+0=146136%3
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1527+15+21=156364%5
7/14Thursday, July 143:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1529+1+0=153056%5
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1459+8+24=149144%8
7/13Wednesday, July 138:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1531+22+0=155361%6
COLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14561+24=147939%10
7/12Tuesday, July 128:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1533+20+0=155362%3
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14559+24=147038%5
7/11Monday, July 118:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
153263=152360%6
COLCOLRockies
Urena, Jose
Urena
145622+21=145540%5
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
151112+0=149944%12
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
153616+24=154456%0
7/9Saturday, July 97:15 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1509+25+0=153445%3
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1538+10+24=157255%1
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Long, Sam
Long
151120+0=149140%3
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15372+24=155960%6
7/7Thursday, July 79:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1512+202=153043%1
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1536+19+26=158157%2
7/5Tuesday, July 54:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1502+13+0=151540%6
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1538+24+24=158660%2
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
149993=148739%8
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
15421+23=156461%2
7/3Sunday, July 34:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
154018+0=152236%4
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1593+4+24=162164%2
7/2Saturday, July 27:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1542+12+0=155443%2
LADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
159115+24=160057%7
7/1Friday, July 110:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15435+0=153838%1
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1590+12+24=162662%5
6/30Thursday, June 3010:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1544+172=155947%1
LADLADDodgers
White, Mitch
White
158828+21=158153%3
6/29Wednesday, June 293:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1543+19+0=156261%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14623+24=148339%0
6/28Tuesday, June 289:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
15441+0=154354%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1461+26+26=151346%7
6/26Sunday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152911+0=151841%8
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1546+15+24=158559%5
6/25Saturday, June 2510:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152719+0=150841%4
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15481+24=157159%2
6/24Friday, June 249:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1528+24+0=155250%0
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
154720+24=155150%1
6/23Thursday, June 239:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1526133=151038%6
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1549+23+24=159662%2
6/22Wednesday, June 224:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14641+0=146332%4
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1548+21+24=159368%10
6/21Tuesday, June 219:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1465+24+0=148939%2
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
15472+24=156961%3
6/20Monday, June 209:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146682=145633%1
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1546+11+21=157867%4
6/19Sunday, June 193:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15491+0=154859%3
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1455+5+24=148441%8
6/18Saturday, June 189:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
155042+0=150854%4
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1454+1+24=147946%5
6/17Friday, June 178:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
155393=154158%4
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1451+11+24=148642%10
6/16Thursday, June 162:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1552+19+0=157163%6
CHCCHCCubs
Swarmer, Matt
Swarmer
146211+24=147537%4
6/15Wednesday, June 158:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
154865+0=148350%19
CHCCHCCubs
Kilian, Caleb
Kilian
14664+24=148650%5
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1546+0+0=154658%12
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14686+24=148642%5
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1544+34=154358%4
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14693+21=148742%1
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
14521+0=145134%4
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15464+24=156666%2
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1449+10+0=145934%6
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
1549+3+24=157666%2
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
145014+0=143638%1
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
154849+24=152362%2
6/10Friday, June 109:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1452+22=145231%0
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1547+15+26=158869%9
6/8Wednesday, June 89:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1548+4+0=155248%2
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
15432+24=156552%13
6/7Tuesday, June 79:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
155017+0=153346%0
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15412+24=156354%7
6/6Monday, June 69:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
154891=153846%11
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1543+0+20=156354%5
6/5Sunday, June 52:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1542+18+0=156050%6
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15415+24=156050%4
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
15402+0=153850%4
MILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
154330+24=153750%0
6/3Friday, June 38:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1537+11+0=154841%7
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1546+39+24=160959%0
6/2Thursday, June 27:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
153822=153448%4
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154522+23=154652%5
6/1Wednesday, June 11:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1539+0+0=153950%2
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1513+0+24=153750%5
5/31Tuesday, May 317:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1540+1+0=154148%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1512+22+24=155852%3
5/30Monday, May 302:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
1542454=149349%3
STLSTLCardinals
Naughton, Packy
Naughton
151133+24=150251%6
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1436+11+0=144735%2
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
15418+24=155765%4
5/28Saturday, May 2810:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1434+5+0=143931%4
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1543+12+24=157969%2
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1435+102=144333%3
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
15431+26=156867%4
5/25Wednesday, May 254:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
154445+0=149940%2
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15441+24=156760%1
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1542+33+0=157550%4
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1546+2+24=157250%1
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1543174=152250%2
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
154545+22=152250%3
5/22Sunday, May 224:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
154113+0=152848%10
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15234+24=154352%1
5/21Saturday, May 214:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1540+11+0=155148%2
SFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1524+20+24=156852%1
5/20Friday, May 2010:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1539+24=153752%8
SFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
152524+23=152448%7
5/19Thursday, May 191:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15384+0=153450%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152413+24=153550%0
5/18Wednesday, May 186:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+6+0=154546%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1523+24+24=157154%3
5/17Tuesday, May 176:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1538+211=155854%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152418+22=152846%0
5/15Sunday, May 1511:35 a.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1536+12+0=154851%7
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154125+24=154049%3
5/14Saturday, May 144:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1537+2+0=153945%5
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1540+9+24=157355%6
5/13Friday, May 137:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153412=153140%11
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1543+30+26=159960%6
5/11Wednesday, May 114:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
147514+0=146142%7
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153642+24=151858%5
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1475+0+0=147535%4
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1535+24+24=158365%5
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
147264=146238%6
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
153812+24=155062%0
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1493+1+0=149439%2
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1538+10+24=157261%3
5/7Saturday, May 78:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1489+17+0=150641%8
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1541+1+24=156659%0
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1490+18+0=150842%2
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15403+24=156158%3
5/5Thursday, May 59:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
1491184=146944%1
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153947+20=151256%2
5/4Wednesday, May 45:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
154115+0=152650%5
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1495+4+24=152350%6
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1540+26+3=156958%5
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
14969+25=151242%4
5/1Sunday, May 11:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1539+8+0=154762%5
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14425+24=146138%2
4/30Saturday, April 306:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1540+2+0=154261%6
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1440+3+24=146739%7
4/29Friday, April 296:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153812=153560%7
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1442+0+24=146640%3
4/28Thursday, April 2812:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153749+0=148845%7
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1483+16+24=152355%5
4/27Wednesday, April 276:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
153519+0=151653%8
CINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
148411+24=149747%5
4/26Tuesday, April 266:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1534+102=154256%9
CINCINReds
Sanmartin, Reiver
Sanmartin
148613+26=149944%6
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1589+12+0=160155%10
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1537+8+24=156945%2
4/23Saturday, April 238:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
159027+0=156351%2
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15356+24=155349%3
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1589+4+1=159461%6
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153749+26=151439%1
4/20Wednesday, April 204:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
149011+0=147942%0
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
153525+24=153458%6
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Sanmartin, Reiver
Sanmartin
14918+0=148338%2
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1534+9+24=156762%6
4/18Monday, April 189:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1492171=147437%1
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1532+10+24=156663%4
4/17Sunday, April 177 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
154829+0=151946%1
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15319+24=154654%2
4/16Saturday, April 164:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1546+0+0=154655%5
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153344+24=151345%2
4/15Friday, April 159:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154438+0=150646%5
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
153528+24=153154%2
4/14Thursday, April 148:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1548+224=156651%1
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1531+5+22=155849%12
4/13Wednesday, April 133:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1532+9+0=154147%1
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1520+17+24=156153%2
4/12Tuesday, April 129:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1536+0+0=153651%2
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
151711+24=153049%13
4/11Monday, April 119:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
1534493=148242%4
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15187+24=153558%2
4/10Sunday, April 104:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1533+5+0=153861%10
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
145823+24=145939%5
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1531+2+0=153361%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
145929+24=145439%2
4/8Friday, April 89:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1530+1+0=153155%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1461+11+24=149645%0
4/7Thursday, April 79:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153112=152856%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1459+3+24=148644%4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.