Updated Sep. 29, 2022, at 4:39 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Reds are done for the season.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CardinalsCardinals90-66
BrewersBrewers83-726.546%
CubsCubs69-8620.5
RedsReds60-9630.0
PiratesPirates59-9731.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/30Friday, Sept. 302:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14574+0=145344%
CHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14733+24=149456%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 12:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1457+23+0=148047%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1473+4+24=150153%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
14577+0=145041%
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1473+20+24=151759%
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Wesneski, Hayden
Wesneski
147322=146947%
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1457+14+22=149353%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Assad, Javier
Assad
147319+0=145448%
CINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
145712+24=146952%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14733+0=147049%
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14574+24=147751%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 2812:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
145812+0=144652%3
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143022+24=143248%4
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1460+12+0=147252%1
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1428+7+24=145948%4
9/26Monday, Sept. 266:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
146282=145249%3
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1426+11+24=146151%8
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1529+16+0=154556%1
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1461+22+24=150744%2
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1527+26+0=155359%10
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1463+0+24=148741%2
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
152611+0=151555%5
CINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
146511+24=147845%3
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1524+262=154857%5
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1466+10+24=150043%1
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Seabold, Connor
Seabold
150939+0=147049%1
CINCINReds
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
146411+24=147751%5
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
1508101=149748%5
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1466+23+24=151352%3
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
146313+0=145033%3
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1532+19+24=157567%0
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1464+7+0=147138%0
STLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15312+24=155362%1
9/17Saturday, Sept. 171:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
146516+0=144937%1
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15309+24=154563%5
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cruz, Fernando
Cruz (open)
1466+0+0=146638%5
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1529+1+24=155462%6
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:45 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1464142=144834%3
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1530+8+24=156266%2
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 1412:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1430+14+0=144440%10
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1468+24+24=151660%4
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Ortiz, Luis
Ortiz
14285+0=142342%1
CINCINReds
Cruz, Fernando
Cruz
146910+24=148358%0
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 1312:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
142616+0=141039%6
CINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
14729+24=148761%1
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1423202=140138%6
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
147411+22=148562%3
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
14759+0=146636%6
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1522+19+24=156564%7
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
147619+0=145741%1
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152025+24=151959%5
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1473+151=148746%8
MILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
152331+24=151654%2
9/8Thursday, Sept. 82:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
147214+0=145847%4
CHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14669+24=148153%3
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
146911+0=145846%7
CHCCHCCubs
Assad, Javier
Assad
14696+24=148754%1
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
14725+0=146747%3
CHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1466+1+24=149153%9
9/4Sunday, Sept. 43:50 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Urena, Jose
Urena
145427+0=142743%0
CINCINReds
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
146919+24=147457%10
9/4Sunday, Sept. 412:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1452+20+2=147446%8
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1471+8+26=150554%4
9/2Friday, Sept. 26:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1453+112=146246%2
CINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa (open)
14706+26=149054%3
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15337+0=152656%5
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
147111+24=148444%3
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15357+0=152856%1
CINCINReds
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
14696+24=148744%5
8/29Monday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1533+92=154059%13
CINCINReds
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
147214+22=148041%4
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1473+6+0=147956%2
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143120+24=143544%3
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
147115+0=145649%6
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1433+7+24=146451%2
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
1469142=145348%7
WSHWSHNationals
Cavalli, Cade
Cavalli
1435+9+22=146652%3
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
14708+0=146233%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1537+22+24=158367%4
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Zeuch, T.J.
Zeuch
147127+0=144439%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Sanchez, Cristopher
Sanchez
153638+24=152261%7
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1472+3+0=147538%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15351+24=155862%7
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
1473152=145638%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
153419+24=153962%4
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
147113+0=145852%9
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
14307+24=144748%5
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
146810+0=145851%10
PITPITPirates
Beede, Tyler
Beede
14333+24=145449%1
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1469+1+0=147054%4
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143116+24=143946%5
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 1712:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15405+0=153557%0
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
14687+24=148543%1
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153815+0=152356%11
CINCINReds
Zeuch, T.J.
Zeuch
147015+24=147944%4
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1537203=151455%4
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
147113+24=148245%3
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14716+0=146547%5
CINCINReds
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
14696+24=148753%8
8/13Saturday, Aug. 136:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14698+2=146345%7
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1472+1+26=149955%2
8/11Thursday, Aug. 117:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
146832=146350%4
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
147373=146350%2
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 101:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Zeuch, T.J.
Zeuch
147512+0=146335%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
156118+24=156765%10
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
147614+0=146235%2
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
156015+24=156965%6
8/8Monday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
147773=146733%1
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1559+4+24=158767%5
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14754+0=147133%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1530+40+24=159467%2
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
14746+0=146842%7
MILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153231+24=152558%5
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
1475391=143535%1
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15318+22=154565%5
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 36:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
147615+0=146138%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1481+45+24=155062%3
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 26:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
147513+0=146246%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
148214+24=149254%1
8/1Monday, Aug. 16:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
147353=146547%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
148320+24=148753%1
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14733+0=147048%2
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
147211+24=148552%3
7/30Saturday, July 306:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14756+0=146944%2
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1470+19+24=151356%8
7/29Friday, July 296:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1473272=144444%6
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
147312+24=148556%2
7/28Thursday, July 2812:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
148834+0=145445%7
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
147410+24=148855%6
7/27Wednesday, July 276:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
148916+0=147341%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1473+41+24=153859%5
7/26Tuesday, July 266:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1488+8+0=149650%2
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14744+24=149450%1
7/25Monday, July 256:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1491162=147349%2
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
147116+24=147951%11
7/24Sunday, July 241:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1514+25+0=153954%3
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1469+20+24=151346%6
7/23Saturday, July 236:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15128+0=150452%6
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
14706+24=148848%3
7/22Friday, July 226:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1515+26+5=154658%5
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14688+29=148942%9
7/16Saturday, July 162:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
14709+0=146136%3
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1513+23+24=156064%11
7/15Friday, July 158:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
147153=146342%3
STLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
151117+24=151858%7
7/14Thursday, July 147:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1470+36+0=150635%7
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15882+24=161065%6
7/13Wednesday, July 137:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
14716+0=146529%6
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1587+8+24=161971%7
7/12Tuesday, July 127:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
146981=146028%4
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1589+14+24=162772%3
7/10Sunday, July 101:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Baz, Shane
Baz
15305+0=152556%5
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
14667+24=148344%10
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
15311+0=153057%4
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14659+24=148043%5
7/8Friday, July 86:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1532+361=156757%1
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1464+33+24=152143%2
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143720+0=141743%1
CINCINReds
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
146221+24=146557%5
7/7Thursday, July 72:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
143552=142842%4
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
14645+24=148358%2
7/6Wednesday, July 66:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154216+0=152656%8
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14668+24=148244%3
7/5Tuesday, July 56:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1543+40+0=158365%0
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
146412+24=147635%1
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1542+03=153958%7
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14664+24=148642%4
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1557+6+0=156356%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1464+31+24=151944%4
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
155510+0=154555%4
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1466+22+24=151245%1
7/1Friday, July 16:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1553+302=158164%9
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
14686+22=148436%1
6/30Thursday, June 308:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1471+6+0=147748%7
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1462+1+24=148752%15
6/29Wednesday, June 298:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14736+0=146748%3
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1460+0+24=148452%8
6/28Tuesday, June 288:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1472+282=149852%5
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14615+24=148048%3
6/26Sunday, June 264:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1468+20+0=148843%10
SFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
152511+24=153857%3
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
14701+0=146936%2
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1523+19+24=156664%9
6/24Friday, June 2410:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1468+04=146441%4
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
152517+20=152859%2
6/23Thursday, June 2312:35 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1589+11+0=160064%10
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1470+3+24=149736%5
6/22Wednesday, June 226:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
158711+0=157658%8
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1471+28+24=152342%4
6/21Tuesday, June 216:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1586+102=159460%8
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1473+22+26=152140%2
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153319+0=151452%6
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
1475+0+24=149948%3
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
153128+0=150350%7
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1477+5+24=150650%3
6/17Friday, June 176:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153083=151952%5
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1478+4+22=150448%4
6/15Wednesday, June 153:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1479+26+0=150550%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1463+20+24=150750%7
6/14Tuesday, June 149:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1478+13+0=149152%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146412+24=147648%3
6/13Monday, June 139:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
1477+23=147647%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1465+14+20=149953%4
6/12Sunday, June 122:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1476+13+0=148941%7
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1515+9+24=154859%6
6/11Saturday, June 112:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14761+0=147538%4
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1514+25+24=156362%5
6/10Friday, June 108:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1478+282=150448%0
STLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
151317+21=151752%2
6/9Thursday, June 912:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146117+0=144440%5
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1479+11+24=151460%4
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1458+9+0=146744%7
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
1482+5+24=151156%0
6/7Tuesday, June 76:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
14604+0=145642%8
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1480+7+24=151158%14
6/6Monday, June 66:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1462+22=146246%0
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
147812+24=149054%7
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
145912+0=144737%5
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1479+33+24=153663%4
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14582+0=145641%10
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1481+13+24=151859%8
6/3Friday, June 36:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1456+2+0=145841%8
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
1483+11+24=151859%5
6/2Thursday, June 26:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
145843=145143%1
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1481+1+21=150357%8
6/1Wednesday, June 17:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
148214+0=146841%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152720+24=153159%7
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1481+291=150945%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15288+24=154455%1
5/29Sunday, May 2911:35 a.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
151615+0=150148%6
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1483+10+24=151752%4
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15178+0=150954%2
CINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
148222+24=148446%3
5/27Friday, May 276:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1519+202=153755%1
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14793+24=150045%5
5/26Thursday, May 2612:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1481+0+0=148148%5
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14754+24=149552%20
5/25Wednesday, May 256:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14827+0=147542%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1474+31+24=152958%4
5/24Tuesday, May 246:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1479+17+0=149647%11
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1477+18+24=151953%4
5/23Monday, May 236:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
147772=146849%7
CINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
147923+22=147851%4
5/22Sunday, May 221:37 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14787+0=147139%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154621+24=154961%2
5/21Saturday, May 213:07 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
147911+0=146833%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1545+22+24=159167%3
5/20Friday, May 207:07 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1479+292=150644%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
154522+26=154956%2
5/19Thursday, May 191:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1478+16+2=149645%4
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1497+5+26=152855%2
5/17Tuesday, May 176:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Overton, Connor
Overton
1477+6+0=148346%5
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
149910+23=151254%4
5/15Sunday, May 151:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
147819+0=145948%0
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1441+7+24=147252%1
5/14Saturday, May 146:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1479+34+0=151357%1
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1439+2+24=146543%3
5/13Friday, May 136:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1477+17+0=149455%8
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14417+24=145845%2
5/12Thursday, May 126:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Overton, Connor
Overton
1475+42=147751%4
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1443+3+24=147049%0
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154615+0=153157%11
CINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
147317+24=148043%14
5/10Tuesday, May 106:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15451+0=154460%5
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
147422+24=147640%4
5/9Monday, May 96:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1548+82=155453%5
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1472+36+24=153247%10
5/8Sunday, May 81:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
14422+0=144040%3
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1470+17+24=151160%7
5/7Saturday, May 76:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14402+0=143845%8
CINCINReds
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
147223+24=147355%5
5/7Saturday, May 712:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1442+1+3=144643%2
CINCINReds
Overton, Connor
Overton
1470+1+24=149557%9
5/5Thursday, May 51:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14726+0=146637%5
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154815+24=155763%10
5/4Wednesday, May 47:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
147413+0=146135%4
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15454+24=156565%18
5/3Tuesday, May 37:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1475+171=149138%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1544+6+26=157662%6
5/1Sunday, May 13:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Sanmartin, Reiver
Sanmartin
147824+0=145444%1
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1466+2+24=149256%10
4/30Saturday, April 308:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Overton, Connor
Overton
147913+0=146647%3
COLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14653+24=148653%4
4/29Friday, April 298:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
148163=147248%4
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1463+4+20=148752%10
4/28Thursday, April 2812:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153749+0=148845%7
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1483+16+24=152355%5
4/27Wednesday, April 276:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
153519+0=151653%8
CINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
148411+24=149747%5
4/26Tuesday, April 266:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1534+102=154256%9
CINCINReds
Sanmartin, Reiver
Sanmartin
148613+26=149944%6
4/24Sunday, April 241:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1510+24+0=153456%1
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
148416+24=149244%4
4/23Saturday, April 234:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15083+0=150547%5
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1486+15+24=152553%0
4/22Friday, April 226:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
150643=149949%4
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14885+22=150551%2
4/20Wednesday, April 204:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
149011+0=147942%0
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
153525+24=153458%6
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Sanmartin, Reiver
Sanmartin
14918+0=148338%2
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1534+9+24=156762%6
4/18Monday, April 189:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1492171=147437%1
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1532+10+24=156663%4
4/17Sunday, April 174:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1494+18+0=151238%1
LADLADDodgers
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
158515+24=159462%9
4/16Saturday, April 1610:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
149510+0=148533%2
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1584+2+24=161067%5
4/15Friday, April 1510:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
149612+0=148434%1
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
15849+24=159966%3
4/14Thursday, April 1410:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
1497154=147831%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1582+13+20=161569%9
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14997+0=149247%7
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
149912+24=151153%3
4/12Tuesday, April 124:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1496+303=152347%10
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1502+19+24=154553%5
4/10Sunday, April 101:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
150012+0=148837%6
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1554+2+24=158063%3
4/9Saturday, April 97:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gutierrez, Vladimir
Gutierrez
150114+0=148744%1
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
155349+24=152856%2
4/8Friday, April 87:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Sanmartin, Reiver
Sanmartin
15013+0=149836%6
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1553+20+24=159764%7
4/7Thursday, April 78 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1499+162=151338%6
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1555+19+24=159862%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.