2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Reds have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.
NL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | BrewersBrewers22-13 | — | 88% | 75% | ||
![]() | CardinalsCardinals19-15 | 2.5 | 49% | 21% | ||
![]() | CubsCubs13-20 | 8.0 | 9% | 3% | ||
![]() | RedsReds9-26 | 13.0 | 3% | <1% | ||
![]() | PiratesPirates15-19 | 6.5 | 2% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/17Tuesday, May 176:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +6 | +0 | =1483 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –10 | +23 | =1512 | 54% | ||
5/18Wednesday, May 186:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +17 | +0 | =1494 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +5 | +24 | =1528 | 55% | ||
5/20Friday, May 207:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +31 | +0 | =1508 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –21 | +26 | =1549 | 56% | ||
5/21Saturday, May 213:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | –8 | +0 | =1469 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +23 | +24 | =1591 | 67% | ||
5/22Sunday, May 221:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +6 | +0 | =1483 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –24 | +24 | =1544 | 59% | ||
5/23Monday, May 236:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | –4 | –2 | =1472 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +17 | +22 | =1516 | 56% | ||
5/24Tuesday, May 246:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +3 | +0 | =1481 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 53% | ||
5/25Wednesday, May 256:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | –5 | +0 | =1473 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +31 | +24 | =1532 | 58% | ||
5/26Thursday, May 2612:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | –4 | +0 | =1474 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | –8 | +24 | =1493 | 53% | ||
5/27Friday, May 276:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –2 | =1522 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 47% | ||
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 47% | ||
5/29Sunday, May 2911:35 a.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 47% | ||
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –1 | =1477 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +24 | =1545 | 60% | ||
6/1Wednesday, June 17:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +24 | =1545 | 59% | ||
6/2Thursday, June 26:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | –3 | =1459 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +21 | =1499 | 56% | ||
6/3Friday, June 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | +0 | =1462 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 56% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | +0 | =1462 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 56% | ||
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | +0 | =1462 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 56% | ||
6/6Monday, June 66:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | –2 | =1462 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 56% | ||
6/7Tuesday, June 76:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 55% | ||
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 55% | ||
6/9Thursday, June 912:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 55% | ||
6/10Friday, June 108:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –2 | =1476 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +21 | =1530 | 58% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 112:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +24 | =1533 | 58% | ||
6/12Sunday, June 122:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +24 | =1533 | 58% | ||
6/13Monday, June 139:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –3 | =1475 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +20 | =1484 | 51% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 149:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +24 | =1488 | 51% | ||
6/15Wednesday, June 153:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +24 | =1488 | 51% | ||
6/17Friday, June 176:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | –3 | =1542 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +22 | =1500 | 44% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +0 | =1545 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 44% | ||
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +0 | =1545 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 44% | ||
6/21Tuesday, June 216:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | –2 | =1585 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +26 | =1504 | 39% | ||
6/22Wednesday, June 226:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +0 | =1587 | 62% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 38% | ||
6/23Thursday, June 2312:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +0 | =1587 | 62% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 38% | ||
6/24Friday, June 2410:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –4 | =1474 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +20 | =1544 | 60% | ||
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 60% | ||
6/26Sunday, June 264:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 60% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 288:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –2 | =1476 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +24 | =1503 | 54% | ||
6/29Wednesday, June 298:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +24 | =1503 | 54% | ||
6/30Thursday, June 308:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +24 | =1503 | 54% | ||
7/1Friday, July 16:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –1 | –2 | =1536 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +22 | =1500 | 45% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –1 | +0 | =1538 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 45% | ||
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –1 | +0 | =1538 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 45% | ||
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –2 | –3 | =1528 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 46% | ||
7/5Tuesday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –2 | +0 | =1531 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 46% | ||
7/6Wednesday, July 66:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –2 | +0 | =1531 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 46% | ||
7/7Thursday, July 72:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | –2 | =1440 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 59% | ||
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +0 | =1442 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 59% | ||
7/8Friday, July 86:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –1 | =1530 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 46% | ||
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 46% | ||
7/10Sunday, July 101:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 46% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 127:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –1 | =1477 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +1 | +24 | =1598 | 67% | ||
7/13Wednesday, July 137:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +1 | +24 | =1598 | 67% | ||
7/14Thursday, July 147:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +1 | +24 | =1598 | 67% | ||
7/15Friday, July 158:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –3 | =1475 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +24 | =1533 | 58% | ||
7/16Saturday, July 162:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +24 | =1533 | 58% | ||
7/17Sunday, July 172:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +24 | =1533 | 58% | ||
7/22Friday, July 226:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +5 | =1514 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +29 | =1507 | 49% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 236:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +0 | =1509 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 49% | ||
7/24Sunday, July 241:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +0 | =1509 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 49% | ||
7/25Monday, July 256:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | –2 | =1489 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 52% | ||
7/26Tuesday, July 266:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | +0 | =1491 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 52% | ||
7/27Wednesday, July 276:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | +0 | =1491 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 52% | ||
7/28Thursday, July 2812:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | +0 | =1491 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 52% | ||
7/29Friday, July 296:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | –2 | =1430 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 60% | ||
7/30Saturday, July 306:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 60% | ||
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 60% | ||
8/1Monday, Aug. 16:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –3 | =1475 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | +24 | =1515 | 56% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 26:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | +24 | =1515 | 55% | ||
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | +24 | =1515 | 55% | ||
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –1 | =1477 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +22 | =1567 | 63% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +24 | =1569 | 63% | ||
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +24 | =1569 | 63% | ||
8/8Monday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –3 | =1475 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –2 | +24 | =1555 | 61% | ||
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –2 | +24 | =1555 | 61% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 101:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –2 | +24 | =1555 | 61% | ||
8/11Thursday, Aug. 117:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | –2 | =1477 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –3 | =1475 | 50% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 136:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +2 | =1481 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +26 | =1504 | 53% | ||
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +0 | =1479 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 53% | ||
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –3 | =1521 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 47% | ||
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 47% | ||
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 1712:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 47% | ||
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +24 | =1466 | 48% | ||
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +24 | =1466 | 48% | ||
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +24 | =1466 | 48% | ||
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –2 | =1476 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 60% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 60% | ||
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 60% | ||
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 60% | ||
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –2 | =1476 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | +22 | =1484 | 51% | ||
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | +24 | =1486 | 51% | ||
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | +24 | =1486 | 51% | ||
8/29Monday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | –2 | =1507 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +22 | =1500 | 49% | ||
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +0 | =1509 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 49% | ||
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +0 | =1509 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 49% | ||
9/2Friday, Sept. 26:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –2 | =1459 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +26 | =1504 | 57% | ||
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 56% | ||
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 56% | ||
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +24 | =1503 | 54% | ||
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +24 | =1503 | 54% | ||
9/8Thursday, Sept. 82:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +24 | =1503 | 54% | ||
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –1 | =1477 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +24 | =1569 | 63% | ||
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +24 | =1569 | 63% | ||
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +24 | =1569 | 63% | ||
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | –2 | =1440 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +22 | =1500 | 59% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 1312:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +0 | =1442 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 59% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +0 | =1442 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 59% | ||
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 1412:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +0 | =1442 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 59% | ||
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –2 | =1476 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +24 | =1533 | 58% | ||
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +24 | =1533 | 58% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +24 | =1533 | 58% | ||
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +1 | +24 | =1533 | 58% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | –1 | =1520 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 47% | ||
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +0 | =1521 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 47% | ||
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | –2 | =1543 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 44% | ||
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +0 | =1545 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 44% | ||
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +0 | =1545 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 44% | ||
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +0 | =1545 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 44% | ||
9/26Monday, Sept. 266:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –2 | =1476 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +24 | =1466 | 49% | ||
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +24 | =1466 | 48% | ||
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 2812:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +24 | =1466 | 48% | ||
9/30Friday, Sept. 302:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +24 | =1503 | 54% | ||
10/1Saturday, Oct. 12:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +24 | =1503 | 54% | ||
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +24 | =1503 | 54% | ||
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | –2 | =1477 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +22 | =1500 | 53% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +0 | =1479 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 53% | ||
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5 | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +0 | =1479 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 53% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/15Sunday, May 151:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | –19 | +0 | =1459 | 48% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +7 | +24 | =1472 | 52% | 1 | |
5/14Saturday, May 146:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1479 | +34 | +0 | =1513 | 57% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1439 | +2 | +24 | =1465 | 43% | 3 | |
5/13Friday, May 136:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +17 | +0 | =1494 | 55% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | –7 | +24 | =1458 | 45% | 2 | |
5/12Thursday, May 126:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1475 | +4 | –2 | =1477 | 51% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1443 | +3 | +24 | =1470 | 49% | 0 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –15 | +0 | =1531 | 57% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1473 | –17 | +24 | =1480 | 43% | 14 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 106:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –1 | +0 | =1544 | 60% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | –22 | +24 | =1476 | 40% | 4 | |
5/9Monday, May 96:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1548 | +8 | –2 | =1554 | 53% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1472 | +36 | +24 | =1532 | 47% | 10 | |
5/8Sunday, May 81:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | –2 | +0 | =1440 | 40% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1470 | +17 | +24 | =1511 | 60% | 7 | |
5/7Saturday, May 76:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1440 | –2 | +0 | =1438 | 45% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1472 | –23 | +24 | =1473 | 55% | 5 | |
5/7Saturday, May 712:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +1 | +3 | =1446 | 43% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1470 | +1 | +24 | =1495 | 57% | 9 | |
5/5Thursday, May 51:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1472 | –6 | +0 | =1466 | 37% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1548 | –15 | +24 | =1557 | 63% | 10 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 47:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | –13 | +0 | =1461 | 35% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –4 | +24 | =1565 | 65% | 18 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 37:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1475 | +17 | –1 | =1491 | 38% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +6 | +26 | =1576 | 62% | 6 | |
5/1Sunday, May 13:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | –24 | +0 | =1454 | 44% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +2 | +24 | =1492 | 56% | 10 | |
4/30Saturday, April 308:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1479 | –13 | +0 | =1466 | 47% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –3 | +24 | =1486 | 53% | 4 | |
4/29Friday, April 298:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1481 | –6 | –3 | =1472 | 48% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +4 | +20 | =1487 | 52% | 10 | |
4/28Thursday, April 2812:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | –49 | +0 | =1488 | 45% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1483 | +16 | +24 | =1523 | 55% | 5 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 276:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –19 | +0 | =1516 | 53% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | –11 | +24 | =1497 | 47% | 5 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 266:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | +10 | –2 | =1542 | 56% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1486 | –13 | +26 | =1499 | 44% | 6 | |
4/24Sunday, April 241:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +24 | +0 | =1534 | 56% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | –16 | +24 | =1492 | 44% | 4 | |
4/23Saturday, April 234:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | –3 | +0 | =1505 | 47% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1486 | +15 | +24 | =1525 | 53% | 0 | |
4/22Friday, April 226:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | –4 | –3 | =1499 | 49% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1488 | –5 | +22 | =1505 | 51% | 2 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 204:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1490 | –11 | +0 | =1479 | 42% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –25 | +24 | =1534 | 58% | 6 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1491 | –8 | +0 | =1483 | 38% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | +9 | +24 | =1567 | 62% | 6 | |
4/18Monday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –17 | –1 | =1474 | 37% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +10 | +24 | =1566 | 63% | 4 | |
4/17Sunday, April 174:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1494 | +18 | +0 | =1512 | 38% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1585 | –15 | +24 | =1594 | 62% | 9 | |
4/16Saturday, April 1610:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1495 | –10 | +0 | =1485 | 33% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1584 | +2 | +24 | =1610 | 67% | 5 | |
4/15Friday, April 1510:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1496 | –12 | +0 | =1484 | 34% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1584 | –9 | +24 | =1599 | 66% | 3 | |
4/14Thursday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1497 | –15 | –4 | =1478 | 31% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1582 | +13 | +20 | =1615 | 69% | 9 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –7 | +0 | =1492 | 47% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –12 | +24 | =1511 | 53% | 3 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 124:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1496 | +30 | –3 | =1523 | 47% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1502 | +19 | +24 | =1545 | 53% | 5 | |
4/10Sunday, April 101:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1500 | –12 | +0 | =1488 | 37% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +2 | +24 | =1580 | 63% | 3 | |
4/9Saturday, April 97:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | –14 | +0 | =1487 | 44% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –49 | +24 | =1528 | 56% | 2 | |
4/8Friday, April 87:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | –3 | +0 | =1498 | 36% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +20 | +24 | =1597 | 64% | 7 | |
4/7Thursday, April 78 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +16 | –2 | =1513 | 38% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1555 | +19 | +24 | =1598 | 62% | 3 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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