2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Nationals are done for the season.
NL East standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BravesBraves101-61 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
MetsMets101-61 | — | ✓ | — | |||
PhilliesPhillies87-75 | 14.0 | ✓ | — | |||
MarlinsMarlins69-93 | 32.0 | — | — | |||
NationalsNationals55-107 | 46.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1434 | –1 | +0 | =1433 | 34% | 2 |
NYMMets | Williams | 1551 | –28 | +24 | =1547 | 66% | 9 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1436 | +11 | +0 | =1447 | 34% | 0 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1550 | –14 | +24 | =1560 | 66% | 8 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 44:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Abbott | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 34% | 2 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1549 | –20 | +23 | =1552 | 66% | 4 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:35 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1526 | +27 | +0 | =1553 | 64% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1438 | –6 | +24 | =1456 | 36% | 1 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1524 | –19 | +0 | =1505 | 56% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Romero | 1440 | +0 | +24 | =1464 | 44% | 2 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 11:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1528 | –27 | +0 | =1501 | 53% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1437 | +18 | +24 | =1479 | 47% | 13 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 301:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1526 | –23 | –3 | =1500 | 56% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1439 | –7 | +26 | =1458 | 44% | 1 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Odorizzi | 1582 | –29 | +0 | =1553 | 63% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1437 | –3 | +24 | =1458 | 37% | 3 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Muller | 1580 | –35 | +0 | =1545 | 60% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1439 | +9 | +24 | =1472 | 40% | 2 | |
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Elder | 1578 | –20 | –2 | =1556 | 63% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Abbott | 1441 | +2 | +21 | =1464 | 37% | 0 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1439 | +17 | +0 | =1456 | 46% | 6 |
MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1465 | –5 | +24 | =1484 | 54% | 1 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1440 | –3 | +0 | =1437 | 38% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1464 | +33 | +24 | =1521 | 62% | 4 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1441 | –2 | –1 | =1438 | 45% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1463 | –14 | +26 | =1475 | 55% | 5 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 2112:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1440 | +8 | +0 | =1448 | 32% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Elder | 1581 | –26 | +24 | =1579 | 68% | 2 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1440 | –8 | +0 | =1432 | 27% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1581 | +3 | +24 | =1608 | 73% | 3 | |
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Abbott | 1441 | +7 | –3 | =1445 | 30% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Wright | 1580 | –15 | +24 | =1589 | 70% | 5 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1461 | +32 | +0 | =1493 | 52% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1442 | +16 | +24 | =1482 | 48% | 1 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 174:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1462 | –12 | +0 | =1450 | 48% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1441 | –2 | +24 | =1463 | 52% | 5 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1463 | –9 | –3 | =1451 | 48% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1440 | –1 | +26 | =1465 | 52% | 5 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1487 | +9 | +0 | =1496 | 56% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1442 | –13 | +24 | =1453 | 44% | 2 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1486 | +1 | +1 | =1488 | 52% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Abbott | 1443 | +10 | +24 | =1477 | 48% | 3 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1443 | +17 | +0 | =1460 | 33% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1531 | +27 | +24 | =1582 | 67% | 7 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 106:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1444 | +1 | +0 | =1445 | 35% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1530 | –3 | +24 | =1551 | 65% | 8 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1445 | –12 | –3 | =1430 | 35% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1530 | –17 | +24 | =1537 | 65% | 5 | |
9/8Thursday, Sept. 81:15 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1442 | +2 | +0 | =1444 | 31% | 11 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1536 | +20 | +24 | =1580 | 69% | 6 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:45 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Abbott | 1443 | +5 | +0 | =1448 | 32% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1536 | +20 | +24 | =1580 | 68% | 6 | |
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:45 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1444 | +7 | +0 | =1451 | 36% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Quintana | 1534 | –8 | +24 | =1550 | 64% | 4 | |
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:15 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1440 | +12 | –3 | =1449 | 34% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1538 | +3 | +24 | =1565 | 66% | 0 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1436 | –2 | +0 | =1434 | 32% | 7 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1560 | –20 | +24 | =1564 | 68% | 1 | |
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1432 | –16 | +0 | =1416 | 23% | 7 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1565 | +38 | +24 | =1627 | 77% | 1 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1433 | +10 | –2 | =1441 | 32% | 3 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1564 | –16 | +24 | =1572 | 68% | 7 | |
9/1Thursday, Sept. 14:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1439 | –11 | +0 | =1428 | 45% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1432 | +7 | +24 | =1463 | 55% | 7 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1440 | –7 | +0 | =1433 | 45% | 1 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1430 | +11 | +24 | =1465 | 55% | 5 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1438 | +19 | –2 | =1455 | 49% | 10 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1432 | +4 | +26 | =1462 | 51% | 6 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Lodolo | 1473 | +6 | +0 | =1479 | 56% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1431 | –20 | +24 | =1435 | 44% | 3 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Cessa | 1471 | –15 | +0 | =1456 | 49% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1433 | +7 | +24 | =1464 | 51% | 2 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Minor | 1469 | –14 | –2 | =1453 | 48% | 7 |
WSHNationals | Cavalli | 1435 | +9 | +22 | =1466 | 52% | 3 | |
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 244:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1433 | +8 | +0 | =1441 | 35% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1520 | +4 | +24 | =1548 | 65% | 1 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1434 | +3 | –1 | =1436 | 32% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1519 | +21 | +23 | =1563 | 68% | 4 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1434 | –19 | +0 | =1415 | 34% | 1 |
SDPadres | Manaea | 1524 | –21 | +24 | =1527 | 66% | 2 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1435 | +12 | +0 | =1447 | 34% | 1 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1523 | +13 | +24 | =1560 | 66% | 2 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1432 | +8 | +0 | =1440 | 33% | 6 |
SDPadres | Snell | 1526 | +15 | +24 | =1565 | 67% | 3 | |
8/18Thursday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1430 | +6 | –4 | =1432 | 32% | 3 |
SDPadres | Darvish | 1528 | +18 | +20 | =1566 | 68% | 1 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 171:05 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Smyly | 1470 | +1 | +0 | =1471 | 52% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Abbott | 1431 | +4 | +24 | =1459 | 48% | 2 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Steele | 1469 | +7 | +0 | =1476 | 55% | 7 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1432 | –19 | +24 | =1437 | 45% | 5 | |
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Stroman | 1470 | +20 | –2 | =1488 | 53% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1431 | +12 | +24 | =1467 | 47% | 5 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 1412:05 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Snell | 1527 | +10 | +0 | =1537 | 60% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1433 | +10 | +24 | =1467 | 40% | 0 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1528 | +19 | +0 | =1547 | 62% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1432 | +8 | +24 | =1464 | 38% | 4 | |
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Clevinger | 1527 | +19 | –2 | =1544 | 62% | 10 |
WSHNationals | Abbott | 1433 | +3 | +23 | =1459 | 38% | 5 | |
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 102:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1434 | +11 | +0 | =1445 | 43% | 2 |
CHCCubs | Steele | 1466 | +5 | +24 | =1495 | 57% | 4 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1433 | +9 | +0 | =1442 | 40% | 6 |
CHCCubs | Stroman | 1468 | +22 | +24 | =1514 | 60% | 5 | |
8/8Monday, Aug. 88:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1435 | +12 | –3 | =1444 | 45% | 3 |
CHCCubs | Thompson | 1466 | –8 | +24 | =1482 | 55% | 6 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:35 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Abbott | 1437 | +18 | +0 | =1455 | 32% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1537 | +22 | +24 | =1583 | 68% | 13 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1438 | –14 | +0 | =1424 | 32% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1535 | –7 | +24 | =1552 | 68% | 11 | |
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1440 | +12 | +0 | =1452 | 38% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1534 | –20 | +24 | =1538 | 62% | 7 | |
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1440 | +7 | –2 | =1445 | 37% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1533 | –16 | +21 | =1538 | 63% | 5 | |
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 34:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1553 | +2 | +0 | =1555 | 61% | 9 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1442 | +10 | +24 | =1476 | 39% | 5 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | deGrom | 1556 | +60 | +0 | =1616 | 70% | 1 |
WSHNationals | Abbott | 1439 | +8 | +24 | =1471 | 30% | 5 | |
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1555 | +41 | –3 | =1593 | 70% | 7 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1440 | –16 | +24 | =1448 | 30% | 3 | |
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Pallante | 1513 | –19 | +0 | =1494 | 52% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1442 | +12 | +24 | =1478 | 48% | 0 | |
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1514 | –1 | +0 | =1513 | 56% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1441 | +9 | +24 | =1474 | 44% | 7 | |
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1513 | +19 | +0 | =1532 | 58% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1442 | +12 | +22 | =1476 | 42% | 2 | |
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1443 | –11 | +0 | =1432 | 27% | 1 |
LADDodgers | Heaney | 1599 | –15 | +24 | =1608 | 73% | 7 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1440 | +11 | +0 | =1451 | 30% | 8 |
LADDodgers | White | 1602 | –30 | +24 | =1596 | 70% | 3 | |
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1436 | +7 | –2 | =1441 | 24% | 4 |
LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1605 | +8 | +24 | =1637 | 76% | 1 | |
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1435 | +0 | +0 | =1435 | 49% | 4 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Martin | 1466 | –45 | +24 | =1445 | 51% | 3 | |
7/23Saturday, July 238:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1437 | +12 | +0 | =1449 | 45% | 2 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1464 | –5 | +24 | =1483 | 55% | 7 | |
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1440 | –11 | +3 | =1432 | 39% | 1 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1461 | +19 | +29 | =1509 | 61% | 10 | |
7/17Sunday, July 171:35 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Strider | 1562 | +7 | +0 | =1569 | 65% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Ramirez | 1437 | +1 | +24 | =1462 | 35% | 7 | |
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1561 | +27 | +0 | =1588 | 66% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1438 | +7 | +24 | =1469 | 34% | 3 | |
7/15Friday, July 157:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1559 | –18 | +0 | =1541 | 62% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1439 | –8 | +24 | =1455 | 38% | 4 | |
7/14Thursday, July 147:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Wright | 1559 | –16 | –3 | =1540 | 59% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1440 | +13 | +24 | =1477 | 41% | 4 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 136:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Swanson | 1512 | –32 | +0 | =1480 | 52% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1441 | –1 | +24 | =1464 | 48% | 1 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 1312:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1511 | –5 | +1 | =1507 | 54% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1442 | +14 | +26 | =1482 | 46% | 4 | |
7/10Sunday, July 101:35 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1443 | +5 | +0 | =1448 | 34% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1561 | –20 | +24 | =1565 | 66% | 4 | |
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1443 | –8 | +0 | =1435 | 32% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Wright | 1560 | –16 | +24 | =1568 | 68% | 4 | |
7/8Friday, July 87:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1445 | +7 | –3 | =1449 | 31% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1559 | +10 | +24 | =1593 | 69% | 12 | |
7/7Thursday, July 74:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Adon | 1446 | –17 | +0 | =1429 | 38% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Falter | 1534 | –43 | +24 | =1515 | 62% | 5 | |
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1445 | +9 | +0 | =1454 | 32% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1536 | +25 | +24 | =1585 | 68% | 2 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1447 | +6 | –2 | =1451 | 40% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Sanchez | 1533 | –40 | +26 | =1519 | 60% | 11 | |
7/4Monday, July 411:05 a.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1499 | –34 | +0 | =1465 | 51% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1448 | –13 | +24 | =1459 | 49% | 2 | |
7/3Sunday, July 31:35 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1497 | +11 | +0 | =1508 | 54% | 7 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1450 | +6 | +24 | =1480 | 46% | 4 | |
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Castano | 1496 | –27 | +0 | =1469 | 49% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Tetreault | 1451 | +3 | +24 | =1478 | 51% | 3 | |
7/1Friday, July 16:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1494 | –14 | –1 | =1479 | 48% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1453 | +12 | +26 | =1491 | 52% | 3 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 291:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1435 | +1 | +0 | =1436 | 43% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1454 | +8 | +24 | =1486 | 57% | 7 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Quintana | 1436 | +7 | +0 | =1443 | 48% | 1 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1453 | –20 | +24 | =1457 | 52% | 3 | |
6/27Monday, June 277:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Yajure | 1437 | –8 | –3 | =1426 | 43% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1452 | +5 | +21 | =1478 | 57% | 3 | |
6/26Sunday, June 262:35 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Tetreault | 1451 | –4 | +0 | =1447 | 43% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1482 | –8 | +24 | =1498 | 57% | 4 | |
6/25Saturday, June 254:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1452 | +10 | +0 | =1462 | 47% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Martin | 1481 | –23 | +24 | =1482 | 53% | 3 | |
6/24Friday, June 248:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1450 | +10 | –1 | =1459 | 42% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1482 | +8 | +26 | =1516 | 58% | 1 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 227:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1452 | –17 | +0 | =1435 | 41% | 0 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1446 | +26 | +24 | =1496 | 59% | 7 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 217:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1451 | +2 | +1 | =1454 | 47% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1448 | +2 | +26 | =1476 | 53% | 0 | |
6/19Sunday, June 1912:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1533 | –16 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Tetreault | 1448 | –6 | +24 | =1466 | 43% | 9 | |
6/18Saturday, June 184:35 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1532 | +18 | +0 | =1550 | 60% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1449 | +7 | +24 | =1480 | 40% | 1 | |
6/17Friday, June 177:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1531 | –46 | +0 | =1485 | 50% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1450 | +13 | +24 | =1487 | 50% | 7 | |
6/17Friday, June 171:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1530 | –13 | +0 | =1517 | 58% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Adon | 1451 | –13 | +24 | =1462 | 42% | 3 | |
6/16Thursday, June 167:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1527 | +30 | –2 | =1555 | 62% | 10 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1453 | –8 | +24 | =1469 | 38% | 1 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 157:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Strider | 1553 | –17 | +0 | =1536 | 58% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1455 | +2 | +24 | =1481 | 42% | 2 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1551 | +28 | +0 | =1579 | 63% | 10 |
WSHNationals | Tetreault | 1457 | +5 | +24 | =1486 | 37% | 4 | |
6/13Monday, June 137:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1550 | –5 | –3 | =1542 | 57% | 9 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1458 | +10 | +24 | =1492 | 43% | 5 | |
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Alexander | 1528 | –30 | +0 | =1498 | 51% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1460 | +8 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | 1 | |
6/11Saturday, June 114:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1529 | –2 | +0 | =1527 | 58% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1458 | –9 | +24 | =1473 | 42% | 8 | |
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1532 | –26 | –3 | =1503 | 54% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1455 | –1 | +21 | =1475 | 46% | 11 | |
6/9Thursday, June 96:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Strasburg | 1457 | +45 | +0 | =1502 | 50% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1492 | –13 | +24 | =1503 | 50% | 7 | |
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1458 | +7 | +0 | =1465 | 38% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1492 | +34 | +24 | =1550 | 62% | 2 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 76:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Adon | 1461 | –6 | –1 | =1454 | 45% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1489 | –25 | +26 | =1490 | 55% | 12 | |
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1459 | –12 | +0 | =1447 | 37% | 5 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1479 | +33 | +24 | =1536 | 63% | 4 | |
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1458 | –2 | +0 | =1456 | 41% | 10 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1481 | +13 | +24 | =1518 | 59% | 8 | |
6/3Friday, June 36:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1456 | +2 | +0 | =1458 | 41% | 8 |
CINReds | Minor | 1483 | +11 | +24 | =1518 | 59% | 5 | |
6/2Thursday, June 26:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Adon | 1458 | –4 | –3 | =1451 | 43% | 1 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1481 | +1 | +21 | =1503 | 57% | 8 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 11:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Lee | 1459 | +2 | +0 | =1461 | 37% | 0 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1544 | –11 | +24 | =1557 | 63% | 5 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1462 | –7 | +0 | =1455 | 39% | 0 |
NYMMets | Williams | 1542 | –36 | +24 | =1530 | 61% | 10 | |
5/30Monday, May 307:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1464 | +4 | –2 | =1466 | 39% | 5 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1540 | –21 | +24 | =1543 | 61% | 13 | |
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1455 | +8 | +0 | =1463 | 47% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1463 | –2 | +24 | =1485 | 53% | 6 | |
5/28Saturday, May 286:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Kuhl | 1454 | –5 | +0 | =1449 | 46% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Adon | 1464 | –10 | +24 | =1478 | 54% | 2 | |
5/28Saturday, May 2812:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gomber | 1457 | +4 | +2 | =1463 | 48% | 7 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1462 | –11 | +26 | =1477 | 52% | 13 | |
5/26Thursday, May 267:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Marquez | 1458 | +3 | –2 | =1459 | 48% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1460 | –11 | +24 | =1473 | 52% | 7 | |
5/25Wednesday, May 254:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Urias | 1596 | +2 | +0 | =1598 | 66% | 0 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1459 | –1 | +24 | =1482 | 34% | 1 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 247:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Buehler | 1595 | +8 | +0 | =1603 | 66% | 9 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1460 | +4 | +24 | =1488 | 34% | 4 | |
5/23Monday, May 237:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Anderson | 1592 | –28 | –2 | =1562 | 62% | 10 |
WSHNationals | Adon | 1462 | –7 | +21 | =1476 | 38% | 1 | |
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1458 | –11 | +0 | =1447 | 32% | 8 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1547 | +7 | +24 | =1578 | 68% | 2 | |
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1460 | –9 | +0 | =1451 | 34% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1546 | –1 | +24 | =1569 | 66% | 5 | |
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1461 | –6 | –1 | =1454 | 35% | 0 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1544 | –8 | +26 | =1562 | 65% | 7 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 186:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1460 | +2 | +0 | =1462 | 39% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1495 | +22 | +24 | =1541 | 61% | 4 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 176:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Adon | 1462 | –10 | +0 | =1452 | 45% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Poteet | 1494 | –29 | +24 | =1489 | 55% | 5 | |
5/16Monday, May 166:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1463 | –7 | –3 | =1453 | 39% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1492 | +18 | +24 | =1534 | 61% | 8 | |
5/15Sunday, May 151:35 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1553 | +46 | +0 | =1599 | 66% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1465 | –8 | +24 | =1481 | 34% | 0 | |
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1556 | +1 | +0 | =1557 | 61% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1462 | –6 | +24 | =1480 | 39% | 13 | |
5/13Friday, May 137:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1554 | –11 | –3 | =1540 | 57% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1463 | +3 | +24 | =1490 | 43% | 1 | |
5/12Thursday, May 121:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1533 | –32 | +0 | =1501 | 53% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Adon | 1465 | –10 | +24 | =1479 | 47% | 1 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 117:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1536 | –19 | +0 | =1517 | 56% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1462 | –9 | +24 | =1477 | 44% | 8 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 107:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1534 | –18 | +0 | =1516 | 56% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1464 | –12 | +22 | =1474 | 44% | 2 | |
5/8Sunday, May 84:07 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1464 | –9 | +0 | =1455 | 36% | 4 |
LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1527 | +5 | +24 | =1556 | 64% | 5 | |
5/7Saturday, May 79:07 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1462 | +5 | +0 | =1467 | 38% | 7 |
LAAAngels | Lorenzen | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 62% | 3 | |
5/6Friday, May 69:38 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Adon | 1463 | –11 | –3 | =1449 | 39% | 0 |
LAAAngels | Diaz | 1529 | –25 | +20 | =1524 | 61% | 3 | |
5/5Thursday, May 53:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1464 | –6 | +0 | =1458 | 45% | 7 |
COLRockies | Senzatela | 1467 | +4 | +24 | =1495 | 55% | 9 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 48:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1465 | –15 | +0 | =1450 | 45% | 2 |
COLRockies | Gomber | 1466 | –2 | +24 | =1488 | 55% | 5 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 38:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1462 | –14 | –1 | =1447 | 42% | 10 |
COLRockies | Marquez | 1469 | +7 | +26 | =1502 | 58% | 2 | |
5/1Sunday, May 14:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1459 | +2 | +0 | =1461 | 38% | 11 |
SFGiants | Cobb | 1529 | –10 | +24 | =1543 | 62% | 5 | |
4/30Saturday, April 304:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Adon | 1460 | –9 | +0 | =1451 | 34% | 3 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1528 | +16 | +24 | =1568 | 66% | 9 | |
4/29Friday, April 2910:15 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1455 | –4 | –4 | =1447 | 35% | 14 |
SFGiants | Wood | 1533 | –5 | +26 | =1554 | 65% | 4 | |
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1493 | +1 | +0 | =1494 | 54% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1456 | –16 | +24 | =1464 | 46% | 2 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 277:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1492 | +16 | +0 | =1508 | 56% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1457 | –14 | +24 | =1467 | 44% | 1 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 267:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1491 | +21 | –1 | =1511 | 53% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1459 | +4 | +26 | =1489 | 47% | 2 | |
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1528 | +16 | +0 | =1544 | 59% | 12 |
WSHNationals | Adon | 1461 | –5 | +24 | =1480 | 41% | 3 | |
4/23Saturday, April 231:05 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Wood | 1527 | –6 | +0 | =1521 | 55% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1463 | –3 | +24 | =1484 | 45% | 2 | |
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Long | 1524 | –29 | –2 | =1493 | 52% | 7 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1465 | –11 | +24 | =1478 | 48% | 1 | |
4/21Thursday, April 214:05 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Davies | 1455 | –34 | +0 | =1421 | 41% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Rogers | 1466 | –5 | +24 | =1485 | 59% | 3 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 207:05 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1452 | +14 | +0 | =1466 | 48% | 11 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1470 | –12 | +24 | =1482 | 52% | 2 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 197:05 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Gilbert | 1453 | +1 | +0 | =1454 | 47% | 0 |
WSHNationals | Adon | 1469 | –17 | +24 | =1476 | 53% | 1 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 191:05 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1455 | +3 | +0 | =1458 | 46% | 1 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1467 | –3 | +24 | =1488 | 54% | 6 | |
4/17Sunday, April 171:35 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1468 | –14 | +0 | =1454 | 48% | 3 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1448 | –2 | +24 | =1470 | 52% | 5 | |
4/16Saturday, April 166:35 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Rogers | 1469 | –2 | +0 | =1467 | 50% | 4 |
PITPirates | Wilson | 1446 | +0 | +24 | =1470 | 50% | 6 | |
4/15Friday, April 156:35 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1467 | –13 | +0 | =1454 | 48% | 7 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1449 | –6 | +24 | =1467 | 52% | 2 | |
4/14Thursday, April 146:35 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Adon | 1469 | –8 | –2 | =1459 | 48% | 4 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1447 | +0 | +24 | =1471 | 52% | 9 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1467 | –10 | +0 | =1457 | 32% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1550 | +17 | +24 | =1591 | 68% | 1 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 127:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1470 | –10 | +0 | =1460 | 39% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Elder | 1547 | –30 | +24 | =1541 | 61% | 16 | |
4/11Monday, April 117:20 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Rogers | 1465 | –10 | –3 | =1452 | 35% | 11 |
ATLBraves | Ynoa | 1552 | –14 | +24 | =1562 | 65% | 2 | |
4/10Sunday, April 101:35 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1526 | –26 | +0 | =1500 | 54% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1464 | –15 | +24 | =1473 | 46% | 4 | |
4/9Saturday, April 97:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1524 | +7 | +0 | =1531 | 56% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Adon | 1466 | –4 | +24 | =1486 | 44% | 0 | |
4/8Friday, April 87:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1522 | +30 | +0 | =1552 | 60% | 7 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1467 | –7 | +24 | =1484 | 40% | 3 | |
4/7Thursday, April 77:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1520 | –33 | –2 | =1485 | 50% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1469 | –11 | +24 | =1482 | 50% | 1 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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