Updated Nov. 5, 2022, at 11:22 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Red Sox are done for the season.

AL East standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Yankees Yankees99-63	—	✓	✓
Blue Jays Blue Jays92-70	7.0	✓	—
Rays Rays86-76	13.0	✓	—
Orioles Orioles83-79	16.0	—	—
Red Sox Red Sox78-84	21.0	—	—

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Fleming	1531	–46	+0	=1485	44%	3
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1504	–2	+24	=1526	56%	6
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Springs	1533	+9	+0	=1542	51%	0
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1501	+13	+24	=1538	49%	6
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Glasnow	1535	+20	–4	=1551	54%	3
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1500	+4	+22	=1526	46%	4
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:37 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1501	+15	+0	=1516	40%	3
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:37 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1548	+17	+24	=1589	60%	6
10/1Saturday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1504	–4	+0	=1500	39%	0
10/1Saturday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Stripling	1546	+8	+24	=1578	61%	10
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1506	+0	–2	=1504	36%	0
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Manoah	1544	+36	+26	=1606	64%	9
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Baumann	1487	–15	+0	=1472	40%	3
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1505	+10	+24	=1539	60%	5
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1488	+5	+0	=1493	45%	1
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1503	–2	+24	=1525	55%	3
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1489	+6	+0	=1495	43%	9
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1502	+22	+24	=1548	57%	13
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Lyles	1487	–6	–2	=1479	48%	14
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Seabold	1504	–37	+22	=1489	52%	8
9/25Sunday, Sept. 257 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1505	–10	+0	=1495	34%	0
9/25Sunday, Sept. 257 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1574	+13	+24	=1611	66%	2
9/24Saturday, Sept. 241:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1506	+1	+0	=1507	39%	5
9/24Saturday, Sept. 241:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1574	–9	+24	=1589	61%	7
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1507	–5	+0	=1502	34%	4
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1573	+17	+24	=1614	66%	5
9/22Thursday, Sept. 227:15 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1508	+22	–3	=1527	41%	4
9/22Thursday, Sept. 227:15 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Taillon	1572	–9	+24	=1587	59%	5
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Seabold	1509	–39	+0	=1470	49%	1
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Anderson	1464	–11	+24	=1477	51%	5
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1508	–10	–1	=1497	48%	5
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Lodolo	1466	+23	+24	=1513	52%	3
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Bubic	1451	–11	+0	=1440	37%	3
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1506	+2	+24	=1532	63%	13
9/17Saturday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1448	+32	+0	=1480	43%	9
9/17Saturday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1509	–4	+24	=1529	57%	0
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Heasley	1448	–19	–3	=1426	32%	1
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1509	+19	+26	=1554	68%	2
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1570	+11	+0	=1581	59%	5
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1510	–13	+24	=1521	41%	3
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1569	+22	+0	=1591	58%	7
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1511	+3	+24	=1538	42%	6
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1510	–7	+0	=1503	50%	1
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1487	–5	+24	=1506	50%	0
9/10Saturday, Sept. 105:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1506	+20	+0	=1526	52%	17
9/10Saturday, Sept. 105:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Lyles	1491	–2	+24	=1513	48%	4
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1507	–15	–1	=1491	46%	2
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Voth	1490	+1	+26	=1517	54%	3
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:40 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1508	+3	+0	=1511	42%	0
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Springs	1541	+1	+24	=1566	58%	1
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1509	–2	+0	=1507	42%	4
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Chargois (open)	1540	+3	+24	=1567	58%	8
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1510	+19	–3	=1526	49%	3
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Patino	1538	–31	+24	=1531	51%	4
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1472	+9	+0	=1481	48%	2
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Winckowski	1509	–34	+24	=1499	52%	5
9/3Saturday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Santana	1474	–15	+0	=1459	43%	3
9/3Saturday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1508	–24	+24	=1508	57%	5
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Keuchel	1475	–50	+0	=1425	35%	1
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1506	+4	+24	=1534	65%	9
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1476	–6	–4	=1466	41%	8
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1505	+2	+21	=1528	59%	9
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:40 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1504	+17	+0	=1521	46%	6
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ryan	1514	+10	+24	=1548	54%	5
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:40 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Crawford	1506	–19	+0	=1487	44%	5
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Archer	1513	–6	+24	=1531	56%	10
8/29Monday, Aug. 297:40 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1507	–25	–3	=1479	43%	2
8/29Monday, Aug. 297:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Bundy	1511	–5	+24	=1530	57%	4
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Kluber	1530	–6	+0	=1524	47%	12
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1510	+7	+24	=1541	53%	4
8/27Saturday, Aug. 274:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Springs	1532	–1	+0	=1531	51%	1
8/27Saturday, Aug. 274:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1508	–5	+24	=1527	49%	5
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Chargois	1533	–32	–3	=1498	43%	8
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1507	+18	+24	=1549	57%	9
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1547	+19	+0	=1566	57%	6
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Crawford	1508	–17	+24	=1515	43%	5
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Berrios	1546	–10	+0	=1536	55%	3
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1509	–31	+24	=1502	45%	2
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Stripling	1544	+7	+0	=1551	57%	9
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Winckowski	1511	–30	+24	=1505	43%	3
8/21Sunday, Aug. 217 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1512	+6	+0	=1518	56%	3
8/21Sunday, Aug. 217 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1484	–6	+0	=1478	44%	5
8/20Saturday, Aug. 204:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1512	+16	+0	=1528	55%	4
8/20Saturday, Aug. 204:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1485	–17	+24	=1492	45%	3
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Crawford	1514	+0	–2	=1512	51%	10
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Lyles	1482	+0	+24	=1506	49%	15
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Winckowski	1517	–23	+0	=1494	55%	2
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Brubaker	1429	+3	+24	=1456	45%	8
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1515	–9	+0	=1506	57%	8
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Contreras	1430	–1	+24	=1453	43%	3
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1514	+0	+0	=1514	57%	5
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1432	+7	+22	=1461	43%	3
8/14Sunday, Aug. 147 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Taillon	1579	–8	+0	=1571	54%	0
8/14Sunday, Aug. 147 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1512	+7	+24	=1543	46%	3
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Montas	1578	–7	+0	=1571	55%	3
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Crawford	1513	–2	+24	=1535	45%	2
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1579	–19	–2	=1558	52%	2
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1512	+9	+24	=1545	48%	3
8/11Thursday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1481	–10	+0	=1471	44%	3
8/11Thursday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Winckowski	1511	–22	+24	=1513	56%	4
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Wright	1558	–17	+0	=1541	50%	8
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1513	+1	+24	=1538	50%	4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1557	+12	+0	=1569	55%	9
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1514	–4	+23	=1533	45%	7
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Crawford	1517	+2	+0	=1519	57%	5
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Keller	1451	–3	+24	=1472	43%	13
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1519	+10	+0	=1529	58%	4
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lynch	1450	–2	+24	=1472	42%	5
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Winckowski	1517	–25	+0	=1492	52%	7
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1451	+6	+24	=1481	48%	4
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1519	+1	–3	=1517	57%	3
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Bubic	1449	–4	+22	=1467	43%	7
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1521	–2	+0	=1519	42%	1
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1561	–12	+24	=1573	58%	6
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Crawford	1520	–4	+0	=1516	40%	2
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1563	–3	+24	=1584	60%	1
8/1Monday, Aug. 18 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1518	+7	–4	=1521	42%	3
8/1Monday, Aug. 18 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1564	–10	+24	=1578	58%	2
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Ashby	1538	–32	+0	=1506	49%	2
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Winckowski	1516	–26	+24	=1514	51%	7
7/30Saturday, July 304:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1535	–12	+0	=1523	47%	9
7/30Saturday, July 304:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1519	+4	+24	=1547	53%	4
7/29Friday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1534	+18	–1	=1551	51%	4
7/29Friday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Davis (open)	1520	+0	+24	=1544	49%	1
7/28Thursday, July 287:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	McKenzie	1503	+19	+0	=1522	48%	2
7/28Thursday, July 287:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Crawford	1519	–8	+24	=1535	52%	4
7/27Wednesday, July 277:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1502	–2	+0	=1500	42%	7
7/27Wednesday, July 277:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1520	+9	+24	=1553	58%	6
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Shaw	1499	–25	+0	=1474	42%	8
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Winckowski	1523	–18	+24	=1529	58%	3
7/25Monday, July 257:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Plesac	1500	–7	–3	=1490	42%	1
7/25Monday, July 257:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1522	+3	+24	=1549	58%	3
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Stripling	1547	+1	+0	=1548	54%	8
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1523	–30	+24	=1517	46%	4
7/23Saturday, July 234:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Manoah	1545	+31	+0	=1576	56%	4
7/23Saturday, July 234:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Crawford	1525	–16	+24	=1533	44%	1
7/22Friday, July 227:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1539	+14	+5	=1558	48%	28
7/22Friday, July 227:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1531	+15	+29	=1575	52%	5
7/17Sunday, July 171:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1534	+15	+0	=1549	38%	2
7/17Sunday, July 171:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1589	+19	+24	=1632	62%	13
7/16Saturday, July 167:15 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1537	+6	+0	=1543	42%	1
7/16Saturday, July 167:15 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Taillon	1585	–12	+24	=1597	58%	14
7/15Friday, July 157:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1535	+15	–3	=1547	42%	5
7/15Friday, July 157:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1587	–3	+24	=1608	58%	4
7/14Thursday, July 147:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Crawford	1536	–24	+0	=1512	44%	4
7/14Thursday, July 147:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Rasmussen	1531	+0	+24	=1555	56%	5
7/13Wednesday, July 137:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Winckowski	1538	–24	+0	=1514	39%	1
7/13Wednesday, July 137:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McClanahan	1530	+37	+24	=1591	61%	4
7/12Tuesday, July 127:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1539	+12	+0	=1551	49%	2
7/12Tuesday, July 127:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Kluber	1529	+5	+24	=1558	51%	3
7/11Monday, July 117:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1541	–29	–3	=1509	44%	5
7/11Monday, July 117:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Wisler (open)	1527	+2	+21	=1550	56%	10
7/10Sunday, July 107 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Taillon	1591	–8	+0	=1583	51%	6
7/10Sunday, July 107 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1538	+12	+24	=1574	49%	11
7/9Saturday, July 97:15 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1593	–5	+0	=1588	58%	5
7/9Saturday, July 97:15 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Crawford	1537	–30	+24	=1531	42%	6
7/8Friday, July 87:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1591	+1	+0	=1592	59%	12
7/8Friday, July 87:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Seabold	1539	–36	+24	=1527	41%	5
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1590	+15	–2	=1603	58%	6
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Winckowski	1540	–19	+24	=1545	42%	5
7/6Wednesday, July 67:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Kluber	1530	+0	+0	=1530	49%	7
7/6Wednesday, July 67:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1542	–30	+24	=1536	51%	1
7/5Tuesday, July 57:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Springs	1527	–1	+0	=1526	42%	8
7/5Tuesday, July 57:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1545	+12	+24	=1581	58%	4
7/4Monday, July 41:35 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Beeks (open)	1529	+3	–2	=1530	46%	0
7/4Monday, July 41:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Davis (open)	1543	–6	+21	=1558	54%	4
7/3Sunday, July 32:20 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Seabold	1542	–41	+0	=1501	52%	4
7/3Sunday, July 32:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Thompson	1468	–3	+24	=1489	48%	2
7/2Saturday, July 27:15 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Winckowski	1543	–25	+0	=1518	56%	1
7/2Saturday, July 27:15 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Mills	1466	–12	+24	=1478	44%	3
7/1Friday, July 12:20 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1544	–11	+0	=1533	57%	5
7/1Friday, July 12:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Sampson	1465	–7	+24	=1482	43%	6
6/29Wednesday, June 297:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1543	+12	+0	=1555	43%	6
6/29Wednesday, June 297:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Manoah	1549	+30	+24	=1603	57%	5
6/28Tuesday, June 287:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1544	–3	+0	=1541	46%	5
6/28Tuesday, June 287:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Stripling	1548	–2	+24	=1570	54%	6
6/27Monday, June 277:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Seabold	1546	–35	–2	=1509	40%	2
6/27Monday, June 277:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1547	+11	+22	=1580	60%	7
6/26Sunday, June 261:40 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1544	–14	+0	=1530	52%	8
6/26Sunday, June 261:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Civale	1507	–15	+24	=1516	48%	3
6/25Saturday, June 256:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Winckowski	1542	–30	+0	=1512	43%	4
6/25Saturday, June 256:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1509	+30	+24	=1563	57%	2
6/24Friday, June 247:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1541	+11	–1	=1551	53%	6
6/24Friday, June 247:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1511	+2	+21	=1534	47%	3
6/22Wednesday, June 227:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Skubal	1455	+17	+0	=1472	38%	2
6/22Wednesday, June 227:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1539	–4	+24	=1559	62%	6
6/21Tuesday, June 217:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Brieske	1455	+1	+0	=1456	37%	4
6/21Tuesday, June 217:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1539	–13	+24	=1550	63%	5
6/20Monday, June 207:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Faedo	1456	–12	–3	=1441	38%	2
6/20Monday, June 207:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Winckowski	1538	–33	+24	=1529	62%	5
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Pallante	1518	–12	+0	=1506	41%	4
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1537	+7	+24	=1568	59%	6
6/18Saturday, June 187:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Hudson	1514	+6	+0	=1520	48%	11
6/18Saturday, June 187:15 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Crawford	1540	–33	+24	=1531	52%	2
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1515	+26	–1	=1540	48%	5
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1539	–5	+24	=1558	52%	6
6/16Thursday, June 161:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1434	+7	+0	=1441	35%	4
6/16Thursday, June 161:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1540	–12	+24	=1552	65%	3
6/15Wednesday, June 157:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1436	–7	+0	=1429	37%	1
6/15Wednesday, June 157:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Winckowski	1538	–39	+24	=1523	63%	10
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Koenig	1437	–13	–1	=1423	31%	1
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1537	+4	+22	=1563	69%	6
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Crawford	1535	–39	+0	=1496	44%	2
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Ray	1498	+15	+24	=1537	56%	0
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1537	+0	+0	=1537	52%	6
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kirby	1497	–1	+24	=1520	48%	7
6/10Friday, June 1010:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1536	–11	–3	=1522	50%	4
6/10Friday, June 1010:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1498	+2	+22	=1522	50%	3
6/9Thursday, June 99:38 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1537	+5	+0	=1542	48%	2
6/9Thursday, June 99:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1510	+19	+24	=1553	52%	5
6/8Wednesday, June 89:38 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1536	+7	+0	=1543	52%	1
6/8Wednesday, June 89:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1511	–8	+24	=1527	48%	0
6/7Tuesday, June 79:38 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1535	–19	+0	=1516	51%	6
6/7Tuesday, June 79:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1512	–30	+24	=1506	49%	5
6/6Monday, June 69:38 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1534	–7	–2	=1525	49%	1
6/6Monday, June 69:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1513	+0	+20	=1533	51%	0
6/5Sunday, June 54:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1532	–13	+0	=1519	52%	5
6/5Sunday, June 54:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1442	+40	+24	=1506	48%	2
6/4Saturday, June 44:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1530	+3	+0	=1533	59%	8
6/4Saturday, June 44:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1444	+1	+24	=1469	41%	0
6/3Friday, June 39:40 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1528	+7	–2	=1533	60%	7
6/3Friday, June 39:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1446	–7	+26	=1465	40%	2
6/1Wednesday, June 17:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Greene	1482	–14	+0	=1468	41%	1
6/1Wednesday, June 17:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1527	–20	+24	=1531	59%	7
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Castillo	1481	+29	–1	=1509	45%	2
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1528	–8	+24	=1544	55%	1
5/30Monday, May 307:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1437	+13	+0	=1450	36%	10
5/30Monday, May 307:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1532	–5	+24	=1551	64%	0
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Zimmermann	1439	+1	+0	=1440	34%	2
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1530	+3	+24	=1557	66%	12
5/28Saturday, May 286:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Reyes	1437	–4	+0	=1433	37%	4
5/28Saturday, May 286:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Winckowski	1532	–30	+24	=1526	63%	2
5/28Saturday, May 2812:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Lyles	1438	+8	+0	=1446	34%	3
5/28Saturday, May 2812:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1531	+4	+24	=1559	66%	5
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1435	–5	+0	=1430	36%	12
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1534	–24	+21	=1531	64%	8
5/26Thursday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1531	–6	+0	=1525	52%	16
5/26Thursday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1528	–42	+24	=1510	48%	7
5/25Wednesday, May 258:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1532	–6	+0	=1526	43%	1
5/25Wednesday, May 258:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1527	+22	+24	=1573	57%	3
5/24Tuesday, May 248:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1527	+1	–1	=1527	44%	16
5/24Tuesday, May 248:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1532	+16	+23	=1571	56%	3
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1493	+17	+0	=1510	44%	4
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1526	+0	+24	=1550	56%	8
5/21Saturday, May 214:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Flexen	1494	–1	+0	=1493	44%	5
5/21Saturday, May 214:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1525	–17	+24	=1532	56%	6
5/20Friday, May 207:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Ray	1496	+28	+0	=1524	48%	3
5/20Friday, May 207:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1523	–6	+24	=1541	52%	7
5/19Thursday, May 197:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kirby	1498	–4	–2	=1492	43%	6
5/19Thursday, May 197:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1521	–2	+24	=1543	57%	12
5/18Wednesday, May 186:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1556	+0	+0	=1556	53%	1
5/18Wednesday, May 186:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1519	–7	+24	=1536	47%	5
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1553	–9	+0	=1544	48%	13
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1522	+11	+24	=1557	52%	4
5/16Monday, May 167:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Odorizzi	1554	–15	–2	=1537	53%	3
5/16Monday, May 167:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1521	–22	+20	=1519	47%	6
5/15Sunday, May 152:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Davis	1523	–33	+0	=1490	49%	1
5/15Sunday, May 152:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1465	+5	+24	=1494	51%	7
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1521	–4	+0	=1517	55%	11
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1468	–7	+24	=1485	45%	3
5/13Friday, May 138:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1518	–14	–1	=1503	49%	7
5/13Friday, May 138:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1470	+16	+24	=1510	51%	1
5/11Wednesday, May 117:20 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1519	+12	+0	=1531	45%	3
5/11Wednesday, May 117:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1542	+2	+24	=1568	55%	5
5/10Tuesday, May 107:20 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1517	–17	–1	=1499	43%	9
5/10Tuesday, May 107:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Wright	1544	–21	+26	=1549	57%	4
5/8Sunday, May 811:35 a.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1533	–44	+0	=1489	41%	3
5/8Sunday, May 811:35 a.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Houck	1518	+7	+24	=1549	59%	2
5/7Saturday, May 74:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1532	+20	+0	=1552	54%	3
5/7Saturday, May 74:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1519	–20	+24	=1523	46%	1
5/6Friday, May 67:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1530	–30	–1	=1499	41%	4
5/6Friday, May 67:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1521	+15	+24	=1560	59%	2
5/5Thursday, May 51:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1526	+23	+0	=1549	51%	8
5/5Thursday, May 51:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1523	–8	+24	=1539	49%	0
5/4Wednesday, May 47:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1524	–19	+0	=1505	47%	10
5/4Wednesday, May 47:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1526	–22	+24	=1528	53%	5
5/3Tuesday, May 37:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1525	+10	–3	=1532	49%	0
5/3Tuesday, May 37:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1524	–9	+24	=1539	51%	4
5/1Sunday, May 11:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1526	–18	+0	=1508	58%	5
5/1Sunday, May 11:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Lyles	1429	–2	+24	=1451	42%	9
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1528	+12	+0	=1540	66%	1
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Watkins	1427	–23	+24	=1428	34%	2
4/29Friday, April 297:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1527	–8	–2	=1517	60%	3
4/29Friday, April 297:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1428	–4	+22	=1446	40%	1
4/28Thursday, April 283:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1527	–20	+0	=1507	37%	0
4/28Thursday, April 283:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Manoah	1554	+19	+24	=1597	63%	1
4/27Wednesday, April 277:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1525	–11	+0	=1514	43%	7
4/27Wednesday, April 277:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Stripling	1557	–16	+24	=1565	57%	1
4/26Tuesday, April 267:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1525	–18	+0	=1507	37%	5
4/26Tuesday, April 267:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1556	+16	+24	=1596	63%	6
4/25Monday, April 257:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1527	+13	–3	=1537	43%	2
4/25Monday, April 257:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Berrios	1554	+13	+21	=1588	57%	6
4/24Sunday, April 241:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1528	–7	+0	=1521	43%	2
4/24Sunday, April 241:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McClanahan	1528	+19	+24	=1571	57%	5
4/23Saturday, April 236:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1529	–27	+0	=1502	43%	2
4/23Saturday, April 236:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Feyereisen (open)	1527	+0	+24	=1551	57%	3
4/22Friday, April 227:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1528	–9	–3	=1516	43%	4
4/22Friday, April 227:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Kluber	1529	+13	+23	=1565	57%	3
4/21Thursday, April 211:35 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1552	+12	+0	=1564	50%	3
4/21Thursday, April 211:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Houck	1529	+11	+24	=1564	50%	2
4/20Wednesday, April 207:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Berrios	1550	+12	+0	=1562	53%	6
4/20Wednesday, April 207:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1531	–13	+24	=1542	47%	1
4/19Tuesday, April 197:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Kikuchi	1551	–25	+0	=1526	44%	1
4/19Tuesday, April 197:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1530	+13	+24	=1567	56%	2
4/18Monday, April 1811:10 a.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Bundy	1509	–3	+0	=1506	43%	8
4/18Monday, April 1811:10 a.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1533	–4	+24	=1553	57%	3
4/17Sunday, April 171:35 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ober	1512	+9	+0	=1521	47%	1
4/17Sunday, April 171:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1530	–14	+24	=1540	53%	8
4/16Saturday, April 164:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Gray	1513	+19	+0	=1532	46%	0
4/16Saturday, April 164:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Houck	1528	+7	+24	=1559	54%	4
4/15Friday, April 152:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ryan	1511	+3	–1	=1513	45%	8
4/15Friday, April 152:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1530	–8	+23	=1545	55%	4
4/13Wednesday, April 131:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1529	+14	+0	=1543	56%	9
4/13Wednesday, April 131:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Rodriguez	1468	+12	+24	=1504	44%	7
4/12Tuesday, April 121:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1528	–3	+0	=1525	55%	5
4/12Tuesday, April 121:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Alexander	1469	–4	+24	=1489	45%	3
4/11Monday, April 115:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1530	–16	–2	=1512	56%	1
4/11Monday, April 115:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Manning	1468	–20	+24	=1472	44%	3
4/10Sunday, April 107 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Houck	1529	+9	+0	=1538	45%	4
4/10Sunday, April 107 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1556	–5	+24	=1575	55%	3
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1530	–8	+0	=1522	41%	2
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Severino	1555	+8	+24	=1587	59%	4
4/8Friday, April 81:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1530	+14	–2	=1542	42%	5
4/8Friday, April 81:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1554	+21	+24	=1599	58%	6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.