Updated Nov. 5, 2022, at 11:22 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rockies are done for the season.

NL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Dodgers Dodgers111-51	—	✓	✓
Padres Padres89-73	22.0	✓	—
Giants Giants81-81	30.0	—	—
Dbacks Diamondbacks74-88	37.0	—	—
Rockies Rockies68-94	43.0	—	—

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1454	–3	+0	=1451	24%	1
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:20 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1613	+17	+24	=1654	76%	6
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 410:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1451	–11	+0	=1440	22%	5
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1617	+18	+24	=1659	78%	2
10/3Monday, Oct. 310:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1448	–19	+0	=1429	21%	2
10/3Monday, Oct. 310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1619	+15	+24	=1658	79%	1
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1445	+11	+0	=1456	25%	4
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1622	+2	+24	=1648	75%	1
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1446	+15	+0	=1461	30%	4
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Grove	1622	–39	+24	=1607	70%	6
9/30Friday, Sept. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1447	–13	–2	=1432	21%	1
9/30Friday, Sept. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1621	+15	+23	=1659	79%	10
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1448	–9	+0	=1439	34%	4
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Rodon	1508	+26	+24	=1558	66%	6
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1449	–20	+0	=1429	35%	3
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Brebbia (open)	1507	+4	+24	=1535	65%	6
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1450	+11	–1	=1460	38%	2
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1506	+12	+23	=1541	62%	5
9/25Sunday, Sept. 253:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1524	+2	+0	=1526	54%	13
9/25Sunday, Sept. 253:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1452	+18	+24	=1494	46%	6
9/24Saturday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1523	+34	+0	=1557	64%	9
9/24Saturday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1454	–18	+24	=1460	36%	3
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1524	–29	–3	=1492	54%	3
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1453	–13	+24	=1464	46%	4
9/22Thursday, Sept. 223:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Brebbia (open)	1504	+2	+0	=1506	57%	3
9/22Thursday, Sept. 223:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1454	–23	+24	=1455	43%	0
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1502	+7	+0	=1509	53%	6
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1456	+11	+24	=1491	47%	1
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Brebbia (open)	1501	+2	+0	=1503	50%	6
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1457	+18	+24	=1499	50%	3
9/19Monday, Sept. 198:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Junis	1499	–22	–3	=1474	51%	10
9/19Monday, Sept. 198:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1459	–16	+21	=1464	49%	7
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1458	–12	+0	=1446	44%	4
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Assad	1470	–7	+24	=1487	56%	3
9/17Saturday, Sept. 172:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1456	–25	+0	=1431	43%	3
9/17Saturday, Sept. 172:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Wesneski	1472	–17	+24	=1479	57%	1
9/16Friday, Sept. 162:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1457	+12	+1	=1470	45%	1
9/16Friday, Sept. 162:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Stroman	1471	+14	+23	=1508	55%	2
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 142:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1455	+17	+0	=1472	35%	3
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 142:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1517	+38	+24	=1579	65%	0
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1456	–16	–1	=1439	37%	2
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1516	–6	+22	=1532	63%	4
9/11Sunday, Sept. 113:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1481	+47	+0	=1528	58%	12
9/11Sunday, Sept. 113:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1458	–10	+24	=1472	42%	6
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1482	–27	+0	=1455	51%	1
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1456	–29	+24	=1451	49%	4
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1484	–12	–1	=1471	46%	10
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1455	+19	+26	=1500	54%	13
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1523	–4	+0	=1519	55%	4
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1453	+11	+24	=1488	45%	8
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1525	+17	+0	=1542	62%	7
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1451	–15	+24	=1460	38%	10
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Houser	1524	–27	–3	=1494	55%	6
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1452	–13	+21	=1460	45%	4
9/4Sunday, Sept. 43:50 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1454	–27	+0	=1427	43%	0
9/4Sunday, Sept. 43:50 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Anderson	1469	–19	+24	=1474	57%	10
9/4Sunday, Sept. 412:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1452	+20	+2	=1474	46%	8
9/4Sunday, Sept. 412:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Lodolo	1471	+8	+26	=1505	54%	4
9/2Friday, Sept. 26:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1453	+11	–2	=1462	46%	2
9/2Friday, Sept. 26:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Cessa (open)	1470	–6	+26	=1490	54%	3
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1454	–15	+0	=1439	27%	0
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Strider	1574	+13	+24	=1611	73%	3
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1454	–14	+0	=1440	30%	2
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Wright	1573	–10	+24	=1587	70%	3
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1452	–30	–1	=1421	24%	3
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1575	+28	+24	=1627	76%	2
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1451	+15	+0	=1466	29%	1
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1564	+37	+24	=1625	71%	0
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1452	+12	+0	=1464	35%	0
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1563	–17	+24	=1570	65%	3
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1452	–14	+0	=1438	29%	6
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Bassitt	1562	+8	+24	=1594	71%	7
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1453	–11	–4	=1438	23%	1
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	deGrom	1562	+62	+25	=1649	77%	3
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1478	+17	+0	=1495	55%	16
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1456	–22	+24	=1458	45%	4
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1479	+8	–3	=1484	48%	6
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1455	+15	+26	=1496	52%	7
8/21Sunday, Aug. 213:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Junis	1504	–16	+0	=1488	50%	9
8/21Sunday, Aug. 213:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1456	+11	+24	=1491	50%	8
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1505	–7	+0	=1498	56%	3
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1455	–23	+24	=1456	44%	4
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1507	–5	–3	=1499	57%	4
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1453	–26	+21	=1448	43%	7
8/18Thursday, Aug. 181:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1456	+8	+0	=1464	35%	0
8/18Thursday, Aug. 181:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1523	+23	+24	=1570	65%	13
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1457	+17	+0	=1474	38%	1
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1521	+16	+24	=1561	62%	5
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1458	+13	–1	=1470	39%	4
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Quintana	1521	+2	+26	=1549	61%	5
8/14Sunday, Aug. 143:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1472	–14	+0	=1458	49%	7
8/14Sunday, Aug. 143:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1459	–20	+24	=1463	51%	4
8/13Saturday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1470	+27	+0	=1497	56%	6
8/13Saturday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1461	–27	+24	=1458	44%	0
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1471	–15	–3	=1453	45%	3
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1460	+5	+24	=1489	55%	5
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Hudson	1520	–5	+0	=1515	53%	6
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1459	+15	+24	=1498	47%	8
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Quintana	1519	+4	+0	=1523	53%	9
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1461	+16	+24	=1501	47%	5
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1523	+18	–1	=1540	62%	5
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1456	–23	+23	=1456	38%	16
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1457	–26	+0	=1431	44%	4
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1468	–16	+24	=1476	56%	6
8/6Saturday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1456	+5	+0	=1461	41%	3
8/6Saturday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1469	+33	+24	=1526	59%	2
8/5Friday, Aug. 59:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1457	+14	–2	=1469	47%	5
8/5Friday, Aug. 59:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1468	–4	+22	=1486	53%	6
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1454	+17	+0	=1471	36%	7
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1532	+18	+24	=1574	64%	3
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1456	–10	+0	=1446	34%	1
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1530	+3	+24	=1557	66%	9
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1457	–28	+0	=1429	37%	2
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Knehr	1529	–33	+24	=1520	63%	3
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1458	–21	+0	=1437	32%	5
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1528	+20	+24	=1572	68%	13
8/1Monday, Aug. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1459	+3	–3	=1459	34%	1
8/1Monday, Aug. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1527	+20	+24	=1571	66%	4
7/31Sunday, July 313:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1601	+4	+0	=1605	65%	7
7/31Sunday, July 313:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1460	+10	+24	=1494	35%	3
7/30Saturday, July 308:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1602	+10	+0	=1612	67%	3
7/30Saturday, July 308:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1459	+11	+24	=1494	33%	5
7/29Friday, July 298:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1602	+4	+0	=1606	68%	5
7/29Friday, July 298:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1459	–8	+24	=1475	32%	4
7/28Thursday, July 288:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1600	–7	–3	=1590	67%	13
7/28Thursday, July 288:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1461	–25	+24	=1460	33%	0
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1525	–2	+0	=1523	56%	5
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1460	+0	+24	=1484	44%	6
7/26Tuesday, July 268:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1524	+3	–1	=1526	55%	2
7/26Tuesday, July 268:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1461	+7	+21	=1489	45%	1
7/25Monday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1459	+5	+0	=1464	42%	2
7/25Monday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Ashby	1533	–35	+24	=1522	58%	0
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1460	–3	+0	=1457	37%	9
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1532	–7	+24	=1549	63%	10
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1461	–16	+0	=1445	33%	4
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1531	+15	+24	=1570	67%	9
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1462	+2	+4	=1468	31%	5
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1530	+48	+27	=1605	69%	6
7/17Sunday, July 173:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Wilson	1436	–22	+0	=1414	40%	8
7/17Sunday, July 173:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1465	–6	+24	=1483	60%	3
7/16Saturday, July 163:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1437	–2	+0	=1435	46%	0
7/16Saturday, July 163:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1463	–21	+24	=1466	54%	2
7/15Friday, July 158:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Quintana	1440	+10	–4	=1446	44%	2
7/15Friday, July 158:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1460	+4	+24	=1488	56%	13
7/14Thursday, July 143:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1529	+1	+0	=1530	56%	5
7/14Thursday, July 143:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1459	+8	+24	=1491	44%	8
7/13Wednesday, July 138:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1531	+22	+0	=1553	61%	6
7/13Wednesday, July 138:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1456	–1	+24	=1479	39%	10
7/12Tuesday, July 128:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1533	+20	+0	=1553	62%	3
7/12Tuesday, July 128:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1455	–9	+24	=1470	38%	5
7/11Monday, July 118:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1532	–6	–3	=1523	60%	6
7/11Monday, July 118:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1456	–22	+21	=1455	40%	5
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1455	+2	+0	=1457	47%	3
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gilbert	1464	–14	+24	=1474	53%	2
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1457	+12	+0	=1469	48%	2
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1461	–2	+24	=1483	52%	9
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1456	+3	+0	=1459	43%	6
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1463	+20	+24	=1507	57%	5
7/7Thursday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1455	–9	–2	=1444	49%	4
7/7Thursday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Keuchel	1464	–38	+24	=1450	51%	3
7/6Wednesday, July 610:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1455	–26	+0	=1429	29%	1
7/6Wednesday, July 610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	White	1593	–29	+24	=1588	71%	2
7/5Tuesday, July 510:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1456	+2	+0	=1458	33%	2
7/5Tuesday, July 510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Pepiot	1592	–33	+24	=1583	67%	5
7/4Monday, July 49:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1457	+13	–3	=1467	29%	3
7/4Monday, July 49:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1591	+6	+24	=1621	71%	5
7/3Sunday, July 33:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1461	+21	+0	=1482	50%	5
7/3Sunday, July 33:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1456	+5	+24	=1485	50%	6
7/2Saturday, July 29:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Keuchel	1463	–36	+0	=1427	44%	7
7/2Saturday, July 29:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1454	–10	+24	=1468	56%	11
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1460	+15	–1	=1474	48%	9
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1457	+4	+26	=1487	52%	3
6/29Wednesday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1587	+8	+0	=1595	65%	8
6/29Wednesday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1458	+3	+24	=1485	35%	4
6/28Tuesday, June 288:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1589	+11	+0	=1600	65%	4
6/28Tuesday, June 288:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1456	+11	+24	=1491	35%	7
6/27Monday, June 278:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1592	–14	–3	=1575	65%	0
6/27Monday, June 278:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1453	–6	+21	=1468	35%	4
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1454	–17	+0	=1437	33%	3
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ryan	1518	+16	+24	=1558	67%	6
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1456	+7	+0	=1463	40%	0
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Archer	1516	–5	+24	=1535	60%	6
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1455	+1	–4	=1452	39%	1
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Bundy	1517	–13	+24	=1528	61%	0
6/23Thursday, June 2312:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1456	+12	+0	=1468	47%	2
6/23Thursday, June 2312:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Garrett	1497	–34	+24	=1487	53%	3
6/22Wednesday, June 226:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1457	–3	+0	=1454	39%	4
6/22Wednesday, June 226:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1496	+12	+24	=1532	61%	7
6/21Tuesday, June 216:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1458	–9	–2	=1447	44%	8
6/21Tuesday, June 216:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Castano	1495	–25	+21	=1491	56%	9
6/19Sunday, June 193:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1549	–1	+0	=1548	59%	3
6/19Sunday, June 193:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1455	+5	+24	=1484	41%	8
6/18Saturday, June 189:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Martinez	1550	–42	+0	=1508	54%	4
6/18Saturday, June 189:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1454	+1	+24	=1479	46%	5
6/17Friday, June 178:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Gore	1553	–9	–3	=1541	58%	4
6/17Friday, June 178:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1451	+11	+24	=1486	42%	10
6/16Thursday, June 163:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	McKenzie	1506	+8	+0	=1514	56%	4
6/16Thursday, June 163:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1452	–5	+24	=1471	44%	2
6/15Wednesday, June 158:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Pilkington	1505	–26	+0	=1479	51%	7
6/15Wednesday, June 158:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1454	–7	+24	=1471	49%	5
6/14Tuesday, June 148:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1504	+31	–1	=1534	58%	4
6/14Tuesday, June 148:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1454	+3	+23	=1480	42%	3
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1452	–1	+0	=1451	34%	4
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1546	–4	+24	=1566	66%	2
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1449	+10	+0	=1459	34%	6
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Gore	1549	+3	+24	=1576	66%	2
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1450	–14	+0	=1436	38%	1
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Martinez	1548	–49	+24	=1523	62%	2
6/10Friday, June 109:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1452	+2	–2	=1452	31%	0
6/10Friday, June 109:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1547	+15	+26	=1588	69%	9
6/9Thursday, June 93:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1450	–9	+0	=1441	33%	4
6/9Thursday, June 93:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1521	+16	+24	=1561	67%	2
6/8Wednesday, June 89:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1451	+1	+0	=1452	38%	1
6/8Wednesday, June 89:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1520	–8	+24	=1536	62%	2
6/7Tuesday, June 79:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1449	–1	–1	=1447	35%	5
6/7Tuesday, June 79:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Rodon	1522	+15	+22	=1559	65%	3
6/5Sunday, June 53:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1543	+3	+0	=1546	61%	8
6/5Sunday, June 53:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1449	–9	+24	=1464	39%	7
6/4Saturday, June 49:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Strider	1541	–28	+0	=1513	55%	6
6/4Saturday, June 49:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1451	+6	+24	=1481	45%	2
6/3Friday, June 38:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1540	+25	+0	=1565	63%	3
6/3Friday, June 38:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1452	+0	+24	=1476	37%	1
6/2Thursday, June 28:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1538	–1	–3	=1534	59%	13
6/2Thursday, June 28:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1454	–3	+24	=1475	41%	6
6/1Wednesday, June 16:55 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Rogers	1492	–6	+0	=1486	51%	12
6/1Wednesday, June 16:55 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1453	+4	+24	=1481	49%	13
6/1Wednesday, June 13:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Cabrera	1488	–37	+2	=1453	45%	14
6/1Wednesday, June 13:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1457	+4	+26	=1487	55%	1
5/30Monday, May 304:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1491	+17	–3	=1505	57%	1
5/30Monday, May 304:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1454	–20	+20	=1454	43%	7
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1455	+8	+0	=1463	47%	5
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1463	–2	+24	=1485	53%	6
5/28Saturday, May 286:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1454	–5	+0	=1449	46%	3
5/28Saturday, May 286:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Adon	1464	–10	+24	=1478	54%	2
5/28Saturday, May 2812:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1457	+4	+2	=1463	48%	7
5/28Saturday, May 2812:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Sanchez	1462	–11	+26	=1477	52%	13
5/26Thursday, May 267:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1458	+3	–2	=1459	48%	3
5/26Thursday, May 267:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1460	–11	+24	=1473	52%	7
5/25Wednesday, May 2512:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1460	–27	+0	=1433	45%	5
5/25Wednesday, May 2512:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Thompson	1433	+8	+24	=1465	55%	10
5/24Tuesday, May 246:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1459	+5	+0	=1464	50%	2
5/24Tuesday, May 246:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Contreras	1434	+6	+24	=1464	50%	1
5/23Monday, May 236:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1460	–5	–3	=1452	49%	1
5/23Monday, May 236:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Brubaker	1433	+3	+24	=1460	51%	2
5/22Sunday, May 223:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Walker	1534	–27	+0	=1507	53%	2
5/22Sunday, May 223:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1462	+1	+24	=1487	47%	0
5/21Saturday, May 218:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Williams	1537	–41	+0	=1496	59%	3
5/21Saturday, May 218:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Blach	1458	–47	+24	=1435	41%	11
5/21Saturday, May 213:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1536	–17	–2	=1517	53%	5
5/21Saturday, May 213:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1460	+6	+29	=1495	47%	1
5/18Wednesday, May 183:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1527	+15	+0	=1542	58%	3
5/18Wednesday, May 183:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1458	+3	+24	=1485	42%	5
5/17Tuesday, May 178:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1525	–11	+0	=1514	54%	10
5/17Tuesday, May 178:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1460	+0	+24	=1484	46%	7
5/16Monday, May 168:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1524	–6	–3	=1515	54%	7
5/16Monday, May 168:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1461	+0	+24	=1485	46%	6
5/15Sunday, May 153:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lynch	1460	–2	+0	=1458	46%	8
5/15Sunday, May 153:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1462	+1	+24	=1487	54%	7
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Hernandez	1462	–5	+0	=1457	46%	4
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1460	+4	+24	=1488	54%	10
5/13Friday, May 138:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1460	+15	–3	=1472	47%	14
5/13Friday, May 138:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1462	+10	+23	=1495	53%	10
5/11Wednesday, May 113:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1463	+2	+0	=1465	40%	1
5/11Wednesday, May 113:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1525	–14	+24	=1535	60%	7
5/10Tuesday, May 109:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1465	+2	+0	=1467	40%	2
5/10Tuesday, May 109:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1523	–7	+24	=1540	60%	9
5/9Monday, May 99:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1467	+0	–3	=1464	35%	5
5/9Monday, May 99:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Rodon	1522	+28	+24	=1574	65%	8
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1468	+1	+0	=1469	44%	0
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1464	+22	+24	=1510	56%	4
5/7Saturday, May 78:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1467	+6	+0	=1473	52%	4
5/7Saturday, May 78:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1466	–32	+24	=1458	48%	1
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1468	–1	–3	=1464	44%	1
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1464	+17	+22	=1503	56%	4
5/5Thursday, May 53:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Sanchez	1464	–6	+0	=1458	45%	7
5/5Thursday, May 53:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1467	+4	+24	=1495	55%	9
5/4Wednesday, May 48:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1465	–15	+0	=1450	45%	2
5/4Wednesday, May 48:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1466	–2	+24	=1488	55%	5
5/3Tuesday, May 38:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Fedde	1462	–14	–1	=1447	42%	10
5/3Tuesday, May 38:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1469	+7	+26	=1502	58%	2
5/1Sunday, May 13:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Sanmartin	1478	–24	+0	=1454	44%	1
5/1Sunday, May 13:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1466	+2	+24	=1492	56%	10
4/30Saturday, April 308:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Overton	1479	–13	+0	=1466	47%	3
4/30Saturday, April 308:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1465	–3	+24	=1486	53%	4
4/29Friday, April 298:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Greene	1481	–6	–3	=1472	48%	4
4/29Friday, April 298:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1463	+4	+20	=1487	52%	10
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1465	–3	+0	=1462	36%	1
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1519	+19	+24	=1562	64%	7
4/27Wednesday, April 276:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1466	–20	+0	=1446	37%	3
4/27Wednesday, April 276:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1517	–1	+24	=1540	63%	7
4/26Tuesday, April 266:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1468	+14	+0	=1482	44%	3
4/26Tuesday, April 266:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1515	–17	+24	=1522	56%	10
4/25Monday, April 256:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1470	+4	–2	=1472	41%	2
4/25Monday, April 256:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Gibson	1513	–6	+24	=1531	59%	8
4/24Sunday, April 241:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1468	–7	+0	=1461	46%	6
4/24Sunday, April 241:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Alexander	1471	–5	+24	=1490	54%	2
4/23Saturday, April 236:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1467	–9	+0	=1458	47%	3
4/23Saturday, April 236:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Brieske	1472	–20	+24	=1476	53%	2
4/23Saturday, April 231:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1471	+8	+2	=1481	48%	0
4/23Saturday, April 231:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Skubal	1468	–4	+26	=1490	52%	13
4/20Wednesday, April 203:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1513	–17	+0	=1496	47%	9
4/20Wednesday, April 203:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1473	+17	+24	=1514	53%	6
4/19Tuesday, April 198:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Gibson	1514	–6	+0	=1508	51%	5
4/19Tuesday, April 198:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1472	+2	+24	=1498	49%	6
4/18Monday, April 188:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1516	+1	–4	=1513	55%	1
4/18Monday, April 188:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1470	–12	+24	=1482	45%	4
4/17Sunday, April 173:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Smyly	1482	–4	+0	=1478	48%	6
4/17Sunday, April 173:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1471	–5	+24	=1490	52%	4
4/16Saturday, April 168:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Leiter Jr.	1483	–22	+0	=1461	44%	6
4/16Saturday, April 168:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1470	+6	+24	=1500	56%	9
4/15Friday, April 158:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Stroman	1484	+19	+0	=1503	49%	5
4/15Friday, April 158:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1469	+21	+24	=1514	51%	6
4/14Thursday, April 148:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Steele	1482	–5	–3	=1474	46%	5
4/14Thursday, April 148:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1470	+6	+23	=1499	54%	2
4/12Tuesday, April 128:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1469	–16	+0	=1453	46%	4
4/12Tuesday, April 128:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1468	–8	+24	=1484	54%	1
4/11Monday, April 114:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1467	–6	–3	=1458	46%	6
4/11Monday, April 114:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1469	–5	+21	=1485	54%	4
4/10Sunday, April 103:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1581	+10	+0	=1591	63%	4
4/10Sunday, April 103:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1465	+8	+24	=1497	37%	9
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1582	–9	+0	=1573	60%	2
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1463	+15	+24	=1502	40%	3
4/8Friday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1581	+13	–3	=1591	63%	5
4/8Friday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1464	+7	+24	=1495	37%	3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.