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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 14-16
1,228LV
Oct. 14-16
1,228LV
TIPP Insights
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 12-15
1,314LV
Oct. 12-15
1,314LV
YouGov
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

Stein

1%

West

0%
45%
 TrumpHarris+4
Oct. 12-15
1,457RV
Oct. 12-15
1,457RV
YouGov
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%

Stein

1%

West

1%
45%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 11-14
870LV
Oct. 11-14
870LV
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 11-14
1,110RV
Oct. 11-14
1,110RV
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 8-14
806RV
Oct. 8-14
806RV
Fairleigh Dickinson University
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 11-13
1,212LV
Oct. 11-13
1,212LV
TIPP Insights
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 11-13
8,647LV
Oct. 11-13
8,647LV
Morning Consult
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 11-13
938A
Oct. 11-13
938A
Ipsos
 Harris
41%
 Harris
41%

Harris

41%

Trump

37%
37%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 11-13
769LV
Oct. 11-13
769LV
Ipsos
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 11-13
807RV
Oct. 11-13
807RV
Ipsos
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 11-13
3,145RV
Oct. 11-13
3,145RV
HarrisX/Harris Poll
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%

West

2%

Stein

1%
48%
 TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 11-13
3,145RV
Oct. 11-13
3,145RV
HarrisX/Harris Poll
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 11-13
2,596LV
Oct. 11-13
2,596LV
HarrisX/Harris Poll
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 11-13
2,596LV
Oct. 11-13
2,596LV
HarrisX/Harris Poll
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%

West

1%

Stein

1%
48%
 TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 9-11
2,010RV
Oct. 9-11
2,010RV
HarrisX
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 8-11
2,712LV
Oct. 8-11
2,712LV
YouGov
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+3
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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