UPDATED Sep. 28, 2022, at 6:32 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania 8th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, PA-8, 2022

400LV
Sep.12-15
400LV
Cartwright
52%
Cartwright
52%

Cartwright

52%

Bognet

44%
44%
Bognet  Cartwright+8
440LV
Sep.6-8
440LV
Cartwright
48%
Cartwright
48%

Cartwright

48%

Bognet

48%
48%
Bognet  Even
500LV
Aug.2-9
500LV
Cartwright
52%
Cartwright
52%

Cartwright

52%

Bognet

46%
46%
Bognet  Cartwright+6
400LV
Jun.23-25
400LV
Cartwright
45%
Cartwright
45%

Cartwright

45%

Bognet

46%
46%
Bognet  Bognet+1
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