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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania 8th District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. House, PA-8, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 19-20
415LV
Oct. 19-20
415LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Cartwright
50%
 Cartwright
50%

Cartwright

50%

Bognet

44%
44%
Bognet  Cartwright+6
Oct. 7-9
289RV
Oct. 7-9
289RV
Patriot Polling
 Cartwright
40%
 Cartwright
40%

Cartwright

40%

Bognet

43%
43%
Bognet  Bognet+3
Sept. 12-15
400LV
Sept. 12-15
400LV
GQR
 Cartwright
52%
 Cartwright
52%

Cartwright

52%

Bognet

44%
44%
Bognet  Cartwright+8
Sept. 6-8
440LV
Sept. 6-8
440LV
Cygnal
 Cartwright
48%
 Cartwright
48%

Cartwright

48%

Bognet

48%
48%
Bognet  Even
Aug. 2-9
500LV
Aug. 2-9
500LV
GQR
 Cartwright
52%
 Cartwright
52%

Cartwright

52%

Bognet

46%
46%
Bognet  Cartwright+6
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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