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Who’s ahead in the Montana House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 15, 2024

U.S. House, MT-1, 2024, General election

Oct. 13-16
400LV
Oct. 13-16
400LV
Tranel
44%
Tranel
44%

Tranel

44%

Zinke

52%
52%
Zinke  Zinke+8

Sept. 13, 2024

U.S. House, MT-1, 2024, General election

Sept. 11-14
432LV
Sept. 11-14
432LV
Tranel
44%
Tranel
44%

Tranel

44%

Zinke

49%
49%
Zinke  Zinke+5
Sept. 11-14
432LV
Sept. 11-14
432LV
Tranel
43%
Tranel
43%

Tranel

43%

Zinke

47%

Hayes

3%
47%
ZinkeZinke+4

Sept. 12, 2024

Aug. 28, 2024

U.S. House, MT-1, 2024, General election

Aug. 26-29
500LV
Aug. 26-29
500LV
Tranel
44%
Tranel
44%

Tranel

44%

Zinke

46%

Hayes

4%
46%
ZinkeZinke+2
Aug. 25-29
310LV
Aug. 25-29
310LV
Tranel
43%
Tranel
43%

Tranel

43%

Zinke

49%
49%
Zinke  Zinke+6

U.S. House, MT-2, 2024, General election

Aug. 25-29
290LV
Aug. 25-29
290LV
Driscoll
31%
Driscoll
31%

Driscoll

31%

Downing

52%
52%
Downing  Downing+21

May 8, 2024

U.S. House, MT-2, 2024, Republican primary

May 8-9
410LV
May 8-9
410LV
Downing
28%
Downing
28%

Downing

28%

Rehberg

12%

Zinn

8%

Arntzen

5%

Bogner

4%

Krautter

2%

Holden

2%

Austin

1%

Walker

0%
12%
RehbergDowning+17
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