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Who’s ahead in the Montana 2nd District House ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Aug. 28, 2024

U.S. House, MT-2, 2024, General election

Aug. 25-29
290LV
Aug. 25-29
290LV
Driscoll
31%
Driscoll
31%

Driscoll

31%

Downing

52%
52%
Downing  Downing+21

May 8, 2024

U.S. House, MT-2, 2024, Republican primary

May 8-9
410LV
May 8-9
410LV
Downing
28%
Downing
28%

Downing

28%

Rehberg

12%

Zinn

8%

Arntzen

5%

Bogner

4%

Krautter

2%

Holden

2%

Austin

1%

Walker

0%
12%
RehbergDowning+17

April 16, 2024

U.S. House, MT-2, 2024, Republican primary

April 14-17
400LV
April 14-17
400LV
Downing
38%
Downing
38%

Downing

38%

Rehberg

26%

Arntzen

10%
26%
RehbergDowning+12

April 15, 2024

U.S. House, MT-2, 2024, Republican primary

April 15-16
415LV
April 15-16
415LV
Downing
21%
Downing
21%

Downing

21%

Rehberg

11%

Arntzen

7%

Bogner

4%

Zinn

3%

Krautter

2%

Holden

1%

Austin

1%

Walker

0%
11%
RehbergDowning+10

Jan. 31, 2024

U.S. House, MT-2, 2024, Republican primary

Feb. 1
500LV
Feb. 1
500LV
Rehberg
26%
Rehberg
26%

Rehberg

26%

Downing

16%

Arntzen

5%

Bogner

3%

Zinn

2%

Holden

2%

Walker

1%

Krautter

1%
16%
DowningRehberg+10
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