See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 28, 2020, at 12:29 PM

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Who’s ahead in Illinois?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Ill.
Ill.
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
7,810 LV
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
7,810LVBiden
57%

Biden

57%

Trump

41%
41%
TrumpBiden+16
President: general election Ill.
Ill.
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
7,810 RV
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
7,810RVBiden
58%

Biden

58%

Trump

39%
39%
TrumpBiden+19

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 16, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
IL-17IL-17
Oct 4-6, 2020
400 LV
Oct 4-6, 2020
400LVBustos
48%

Bustos

48%

King

42%
42%
KingBustos+6

Oct. 14, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
IL-17IL-17
Oct 10-12, 2020
418 LV
Oct 10-12, 2020
418LVBustos
49%

Bustos

49%

King

44%
44%
KingBustos+5

Oct. 9, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
IL-13IL-13
Oct 1-6, 2020
400 LV
Oct 1-6, 2020
400LVLondrigan
48%

Londrigan

48%

Davis

43%
43%
DavisLondrigan+5

Oct. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Ill.
Ill.
Aug 1-31, 2020
6,773 RV
Aug 1-31, 2020
6,773RVBiden
60%

Biden

60%

Trump

37%
37%
TrumpBiden+23
President: general election Ill.
Ill.
Aug 1-31, 2020
6,773 LV
Aug 1-31, 2020
6,773LVBiden
60%

Biden

60%

Trump

38%
38%
TrumpBiden+22
President: general election Ill.
Ill.
Jul 1-31, 2020
7,565 RV
Jul 1-31, 2020
7,565RVBiden
60%

Biden

60%

Trump

37%
37%
TrumpBiden+23
President: general election Ill.
Ill.
Jul 1-31, 2020
7,565 LV
Jul 1-31, 2020
7,565LVBiden
59%

Biden

59%

Trump

38%
38%
TrumpBiden+21
President: general election Ill.
Ill.
Jun 8-30, 2020
3,000 RV
Jun 8-30, 2020
3,000RVBiden
61%

Biden

61%

Trump

37%
37%
TrumpBiden+24
President: general election Ill.
Ill.
Jun 8-30, 2020
3,000 LV
Jun 8-30, 2020
3,000LVBiden
59%

Biden

59%

Trump

39%
39%
TrumpBiden+21
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