UPDATED Sep. 16, 2021, at 9:55 AM

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Who’s ahead in Nevada?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Aug. 24, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Nev.Nev.
Aug 9-14, 2021
567 RV
Aug 9-14, 2021
567RVCortez Masto
32%

Cortez Masto

32%

Laxalt

42%
42%
LaxaltLaxalt+10

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 31-Nov 2, 2020
1,024 LV
Oct 31-Nov 2, 2020
1,024LVBiden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

49%

Jorgensen

1%
MoreTrump+1
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
2,366 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
2,366LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpEven
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
2,366 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
2,366RVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+2

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
1,442 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
1,442LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

3%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+7

Oct. 31, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 29-31, 2020
720 LV
Oct 29-31, 2020
720LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+2

Oct. 29, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 28-29, 2020
1,024 LV
Oct 28-29, 2020
1,024LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

47%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreBiden+2
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