UPDATED Mar. 2, 2021, at 10:54 AM

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Who’s ahead in Nevada?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Nov. 2, 2020

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
1,442 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
1,442LVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

44%

Jorgensen

3%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+7
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
2,211 LV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
2,211LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpEven
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
2,211 RV
Oct 20-Nov 1, 2020
2,211RVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

48%
48%
TrumpBiden+2

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 29-31, 2020
720 LV
Oct 29-31, 2020
720LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+2

Oct. 30, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 28-29, 2020
1,024 LV
Oct 28-29, 2020
1,024LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

47%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreBiden+2

Oct. 29, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 27-28, 2020
688 LV
Oct 27-28, 2020
688LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

44%
44%
TrumpBiden+6

Oct. 27, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 23-26, 2020
809 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
809LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

43%

Jorgensen

3%
MoreBiden+6
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 16-23, 2020
802 LV
Oct 16-23, 2020
802LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

41%

Jorgensen

2%

Blankenship

1%
MoreBiden+9
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