See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 28, 2020, at 12:45 PM

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Who’s ahead in Nevada?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
3,226 LV
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
3,226LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

49%
49%
TrumpBiden+1
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
3,226 RV
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
3,226RVBiden
51%

Biden

51%

Trump

47%
47%
TrumpBiden+4

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

President: general election
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 23-26, 2020
809 LV
Oct 23-26, 2020
809LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

43%

Jorgensen

3%
MoreBiden+6
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 16-23, 2020
802 LV
Oct 16-23, 2020
802LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

41%

Jorgensen

2%

Blankenship

1%
MoreBiden+9

Oct. 21, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 17-20, 2020
712 LV
Oct 17-20, 2020
712LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

43%
43%
TrumpBiden+9

Oct. 13, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 7-11, 2020
512 LV
Oct 7-11, 2020
512LVBiden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

42%

Jorgensen

3%

Blankenship

1%
MoreBiden+2

Oct. 11, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Nev.
Nev.
Oct 6-9, 2020
1,036 LV
Oct 6-9, 2020
1,036LVBiden
52%

Biden

52%

Trump

46%
46%
TrumpBiden+6
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