UPDATED Sep. 29, 2022, at 1:20 PM

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Recent polling average updates
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Who’s ahead in the Nevada race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

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LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 19, 2022

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Sep.20
500LV
Cortez Masto
43%
Cortez Masto
43%

Cortez Masto

43%

Laxalt

46%
46%
Laxalt  Laxalt+3
1,086LV
Sep.17-20
1,086LV
Cortez Masto
43%
Cortez Masto
43%

Cortez Masto

43%

Laxalt

47%

Scott

2%
47%
LaxaltLaxalt+4

Governor, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,086LV
Sep.17-20
1,086LV
Sisolak
45%
Sisolak
45%

Sisolak

45%

Lombardo

48%

Davis

4%
48%
LombardoLombardo+3

Sept. 18, 2022

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

874LV
Sep.14-19
874LV
Cortez Masto
46%
Cortez Masto
46%

Cortez Masto

46%

Laxalt

47%

Scott

4%
47%
LaxaltLaxalt+1

Governor, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

874LV
Sep.14-19
874LV
Sisolak
45%
Sisolak
45%

Sisolak

45%

Lombardo

45%

Davis

4%

Bridges

3%
45%
LombardoEven

Sept. 9, 2022

President: general election, Nevada, 2024

1,000LV
Sep.8-10
1,000LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump Sr.

43%
43%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+3

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000LV
Sep.8-10
1,000LV
Cortez Masto
41%
Cortez Masto
41%

Cortez Masto

41%

Laxalt

42%
42%
Laxalt  Laxalt+1

Governor, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,000LV
Sep.8-10
1,000LV
Sisolak
40%
Sisolak
40%

Sisolak

40%

Lombardo

40%
40%
Lombardo  Even

Aug. 23, 2022

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Aug.16-24
500LV
Cortez Masto
48%
Cortez Masto
48%

Cortez Masto

48%

Laxalt

47%
47%
Laxalt  Cortez Masto+1
500LV
Aug.16-24
500LV
Cortez Masto
44%
Cortez Masto
44%

Cortez Masto

44%

Laxalt

40%

Rubinson

2%

Scott

1%

Linderman

1%
40%
LaxaltCortez Masto+4

Governor, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Aug.16-24
500LV
Sisolak
46%
Sisolak
46%

Sisolak

46%

Lombardo

48%
48%
Lombardo  Lombardo+2
500LV
Aug.16-24
500LV
Sisolak
41%
Sisolak
41%

Sisolak

41%

Lombardo

38%

Bridges

4%

Davis

3%
38%
LombardoSisolak+3

Aug. 17, 2022

U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,082LV
Aug.15-18
1,082LV
Cortez Masto
44%
Cortez Masto
44%

Cortez Masto

44%

Laxalt

47%

Scott

2%
47%
LaxaltLaxalt+2

Governor, Nevada, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,082LV
Aug.15-18
1,082LV
Sisolak
44%
Sisolak
44%

Sisolak

44%

Lombardo

46%

Davis

4%
46%
LombardoLombardo+3
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