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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 27-29
1,302LV
Oct. 27-29
1,302LV
TIPP Insights
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 27-29
1,302LV
Oct. 27-29
1,302LV
TIPP Insights
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%

Stein

1%

West

1%
48%
 TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 26-29
1,310LV
Oct. 26-29
1,310LV
YouGov
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%

Stein

1%

West

0%
47%
 TrumpHarris+2
Oct. 26-29
1,446RV
Oct. 26-29
1,446RV
YouGov
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

46%

Stein

1%

West

0%
46%
 TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 25-29
3,032LV
Oct. 25-29
3,032LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 25-29
3,032LV
Oct. 25-29
3,032LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

50%

Stein

1%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
50%
 TrumpTrump+3
Oct. 25-27
8,807LV
Oct. 25-27
8,807LV
Morning Consult
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 25-27
1,150A
Oct. 25-27
1,150A
Ipsos
 Harris
40%
 Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 25-27
LV
Oct. 25-27
LV
Ipsos
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 25-27
975RV
Oct. 25-27
975RV
Ipsos
 Harris
44%
 Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 23-27
707LV
Oct. 23-27
707LV
Noble Predictive Insights
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%
46%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 23-27
1,928RV
Oct. 23-27
1,928RV
Angus Reid Global
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 20-27
911LV
Oct. 20-27
911LV
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 20-27
937RV
Oct. 20-27
937RV
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 24-26
1,292LV
Oct. 24-26
1,292LV
TIPP Insights
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
Oct. 23-25
2,154LV
Oct. 23-25
2,154LV
YouGov
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 1-25
48,732LV
Oct. 1-25
48,732LV
CCES/YouGov
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 1-25
78,247A
Oct. 1-25
78,247A
CCES/YouGov
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+5
Oct. 23-24
1,000LV
Oct. 23-24
1,000LV
Emerson College
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
Oct. 22-24
8,669LV
Oct. 22-24
8,669LV
Morning Consult
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 19-24
1,000LV
Oct. 19-24
1,000LV
ActiVote
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Even
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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