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Who’s ahead in New Jersey?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, New Jersey, 2024

Sept. 4-Oct. 2
400LV
Sept. 4-Oct. 2
400LV
Harris
56%
Harris
56%

Harris

56%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+12
June 26-27
810LV
June 26-27
810LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

7%
41%
TrumpTrump+1
April 13-21
530LV
April 13-21
530LV
Kennedy
42%
Kennedy
42%

Kennedy

42%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Kennedy+2
April 13-21
530LV
April 13-21
530LV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Kennedy

41%
41%
Kennedy  Biden+7
March 26-29
1,000RV
March 26-29
1,000RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

36%

Kennedy

8%

West

1%

Stein

1%
36%
TrumpBiden+5
March 26-29
1,000RV
March 26-29
1,000RV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Biden+6
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