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Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending April 27, 2020

President: Democratic primary, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

April 27-28
RV
April 27-28
RV
Biden
54%
Biden
54%

Biden

54%

Sanders

17%
17%
Sanders  Biden+37
April 26-28
479LV
April 26-28
479LV
Biden
68%
Biden
68%

Biden

68%

Sanders

24%
24%
Sanders  Biden+44

April 13, 2020

President: Democratic primary, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

April 12-14
585LV
April 12-14
585LV
Biden
49%
Biden
49%

Biden

49%

Sanders

31%
31%
Sanders  Biden+18

April 6, 2020

President: Democratic primary, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

April 5-7
586LV
April 5-7
586LV
Biden
49%
Biden
49%

Biden

49%

Sanders

28%
28%
Sanders  Biden+21

April 5, 2020

President: Democratic primary, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

April 3-6
462RV
April 3-6
462RV
Biden
65%
Biden
65%

Biden

65%

Sanders

30%
30%
Sanders  Biden+35

April 4, 2020

President: Democratic primary, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

March 30-April 5
13,346LV
March 30-April 5
13,346LV
Biden
61%
Biden
61%

Biden

61%

Sanders

36%
36%
Sanders  Biden+25
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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