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Who’s ahead in the California presidential Democratic primary?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: Democratic primary, California, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

March 1-2
2,586LV
March 1-2
2,586LV
Swayable
 Sanders
29%
 Sanders
29%

Sanders

29%

Biden

21%

Bloomberg

19%

Warren

10%

Buttigieg

8%

Steyer

4%

Klobuchar

3%

Gabbard

0%
21%
 BidenSanders+8
Feb. 28-March 2
516LV
Feb. 28-March 2
516LV
Data for Progress
 Sanders
32%
 Sanders
32%

Sanders

32%

Biden

25%

Bloomberg

17%

Warren

16%

Buttigieg

5%

Klobuchar

3%

Gabbard

2%

Steyer

0%
25%
 BidenSanders+7
Feb. 24-March 2
727LV
Feb. 24-March 2
727LV
AtlasIntel
 Sanders
34%
 Sanders
34%

Sanders

34%

Biden

26%

Warren

15%

Bloomberg

15%

Buttigieg

3%

Klobuchar

1%

Gabbard

1%
26%
 BidenSanders+8
Feb. 29-March 1
1,220LV
Feb. 29-March 1
1,220LV
Point Blank Political
 Sanders
43%
 Sanders
43%

Sanders

43%

Warren

40%
40%
Warren  Sanders+3
Feb. 29-March 1
1,220LV
Feb. 29-March 1
1,220LV
Point Blank Political
 Sanders
56%
 Sanders
56%

Sanders

56%

Bloomberg

30%
30%
Bloomberg  Sanders+26
Feb. 29-March 1
1,220LV
Feb. 29-March 1
1,220LV
Point Blank Political
 Sanders
48%
 Sanders
48%

Sanders

48%

Biden

41%
41%
Biden  Sanders+8
Feb. 29-March 1
1,220LV
Feb. 29-March 1
1,220LV
Point Blank Political
 Sanders
34%
 Sanders
34%

Sanders

34%

Biden

22%

Warren

14%

Bloomberg

10%

Buttigieg

6%

Klobuchar

3%

Steyer

1%

Gabbard

1%
22%
 BidenSanders+12
Feb. 29-March 1
545LV
Feb. 29-March 1
545LV
Emerson College
 Sanders
38%
 Sanders
38%

Sanders

38%

Biden

21%

Warren

16%

Bloomberg

11%

Buttigieg

7%

Klobuchar

5%

Steyer

2%

Gabbard

1%
21%
 BidenSanders+17
Feb. 27-29
1,411LV
Feb. 27-29
1,411LV
YouGov
 Sanders
31%
 Sanders
31%

Sanders

31%

Biden

19%

Warren

18%

Bloomberg

12%

Buttigieg

9%

Klobuchar

4%

Steyer

3%

Gabbard

1%
19%
 BidenSanders+12
Feb. 26-29
500LV
Feb. 26-29
500LV
Suffolk University
 Sanders
35%
 Sanders
35%

Sanders

35%

Bloomberg

16%

Biden

14%

Warren

12%

Buttigieg

7%

Klobuchar

5%

Steyer

3%

Gabbard

3%
16%
 BloombergSanders+19
Feb. 26-28
1,020LV
Feb. 26-28
1,020LV
YouGov
 Sanders
28%
 Sanders
28%

Sanders

28%

Biden

19%

Warren

18%

Bloomberg

13%

Buttigieg

9%

Klobuchar

6%

Steyer

4%

Gabbard

3%
19%
 BidenSanders+9
Feb. 26-28
2,276LV
Feb. 26-28
2,276LV
Point Blank Political
 Sanders
46%
 Sanders
46%

Sanders

46%

Warren

36%
36%
Warren  Sanders+10
Feb. 26-28
2,276LV
Feb. 26-28
2,276LV
Point Blank Political
 Sanders
57%
 Sanders
57%

Sanders

57%

Bloomberg

32%
32%
Bloomberg  Sanders+25
Feb. 26-28
2,276LV
Feb. 26-28
2,276LV
Point Blank Political
 Sanders
50%
 Sanders
50%

Sanders

50%

Biden

40%
40%
Biden  Sanders+10
Feb. 26-28
2,276LV
Feb. 26-28
2,276LV
Point Blank Political
 Sanders
34%
 Sanders
34%

Sanders

34%

Warren

14%

Biden

14%

Bloomberg

12%

Buttigieg

9%

Klobuchar

3%

Steyer

3%

Gabbard

1%
14%
 WarrenSanders+20
Feb. 22-26
488LV
Feb. 22-26
488LV
CNN/SSRS
 Sanders
35%
 Sanders
35%

Sanders

35%

Warren

14%

Biden

13%

Bloomberg

12%

Buttigieg

7%

Klobuchar

6%

Steyer

3%

Gabbard

1%
14%
 WarrenSanders+21
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