Who’s ahead in the national Republican primary polls?
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE
Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.