Filter by poll type or state

Who’s ahead in the California Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, California, 2018, General election

Nov. 2-4
1,108LV
Nov. 2-4
1,108LV
Change Research
 Feinstein
42%
 Feinstein
42%

Feinstein

42%

de Leon

32%
32%
de Leon  Feinstein+10
Nov. 1-3
450RV
Nov. 1-3
450RV
Research Co.
 Feinstein
47%
 Feinstein
47%

Feinstein

47%

de Leon

28%
28%
de Leon  Feinstein+19
Nov. 1-2
806LV
Nov. 1-2
806LV
SurveyUSA
 Feinstein
50%
 Feinstein
50%

Feinstein

50%

de Leon

36%
36%
de Leon  Feinstein+14
Oct. 25-30
900LV
Oct. 25-30
900LV
Probolsky Research
 Feinstein
41%
 Feinstein
41%

Feinstein

41%

de Leon

35%
35%
de Leon  Feinstein+6
Oct. 19-25
1,339LV
Oct. 19-25
1,339LV
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies
 Feinstein
45%
 Feinstein
45%

Feinstein

45%

de Leon

36%
36%
de Leon  Feinstein+9
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

No matching polls

More on the polls
Read about how we use polls
Our Polls Policy And FAQs
Download the data
Download