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Who’s ahead in the Wisconsin Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2018, General election

Nov. 1-3
450RV
Nov. 1-3
450RV
Research Co.
 Baldwin
50%
 Baldwin
50%

Baldwin

50%

Vukmir

39%
39%
Vukmir  Baldwin+11
Oct. 29-31
604LV
Oct. 29-31
604LV
Emerson College
 Baldwin
53%
 Baldwin
53%

Baldwin

53%

Vukmir

44%
44%
Vukmir  Baldwin+9
Oct. 24-28
1,400RV
Oct. 24-28
1,400RV
Marquette University Law School
 Baldwin
52%
 Baldwin
52%

Baldwin

52%

Vukmir

42%
42%
Vukmir  Baldwin+10
Oct. 24-28
1,154LV
Oct. 24-28
1,154LV
Marquette University Law School
 Baldwin
54%
 Baldwin
54%

Baldwin

54%

Vukmir

43%
43%
Vukmir  Baldwin+11
Oct. 12-18
2,001A
Oct. 12-18
2,001A
Ipsos
 Baldwin
45%
 Baldwin
45%

Baldwin

45%

Vukmir

31%
31%
Vukmir  Baldwin+14
Oct. 12-18
1,193LV
Oct. 12-18
1,193LV
Ipsos
 Baldwin
54%
 Baldwin
54%

Baldwin

54%

Vukmir

39%
39%
Vukmir  Baldwin+15
Oct. 10-11
816V
Oct. 10-11
816V
Public Policy Polling
 Baldwin
52%
 Baldwin
52%

Baldwin

52%

Vukmir

42%
42%
Vukmir  Baldwin+10
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Campaign poll

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