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Who’s ahead in the Arizona Senate race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024

Oct. 25-31
1,010RV
Oct. 25-31
1,010RV
Gallego
36%
Gallego
36%

Gallego

36%

Lamb

32%

Sinema

32%
32%
LambGallego+4
Oct. 25-31
1,010RV
Oct. 25-31
1,010RV
Gallego
39%
Gallego
39%

Gallego

39%

Lake

33%

Sinema

29%
33%
LakeGallego+6
Oct. 24-25
600LV
Oct. 24-25
600LV
Gallego
46%
Gallego
46%

Gallego

46%

Lake

43%
43%
Lake  Gallego+3
Oct. 24-25
600LV
Oct. 24-25
600LV
Gallego
36%
Gallego
36%

Gallego

36%

Lake

37%

Sinema

15%
37%
LakeLake+1
Oct. 24
Oct. 24
Gallego
49%
Gallego
49%

Gallego

49%

Lake

44%
44%
Lake  Gallego+5
Oct. 24
Oct. 24
Gallego
41%
Gallego
41%

Gallego

41%

Lake

37%

Sinema

17%
37%
LakeGallego+4
Oct. 7-9
400LV
Oct. 7-9
400LV
Gallego
44%
Gallego
44%

Gallego

44%

Lake

44%
44%
Lake  Even
Oct. 7-9
400LV
Oct. 7-9
400LV
Gallego
33%
Gallego
33%

Gallego

33%

Lake

37%

Sinema

19%
37%
LakeLake+4
Oct. 6-7
522LV
Oct. 6-7
522LV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

43%
43%
Lake  Gallego+5
Oct. 6-7
522LV
Oct. 6-7
522LV
Gallego
41%
Gallego
41%

Gallego

41%

Masters

31%

Sinema

17%
31%
MastersGallego+10
Oct. 6-7
522LV
Oct. 6-7
522LV
Gallego
40%
Gallego
40%

Gallego

40%

Lamb

31%

Sinema

16%
31%
LambGallego+9
Oct. 6-7
522LV
Oct. 6-7
522LV
Gallego
41%
Gallego
41%

Gallego

41%

Lake

36%

Sinema

15%
36%
LakeGallego+5
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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