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Who’s ahead in the Arizona Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 17, 2024

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 16-18
691LV
Oct. 16-18
691LV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

41%

Quintana

2%
41%
LakeGallego+7

Oct. 16, 2024

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-17
1,440LV
Oct. 12-17
1,440LV
Gallego
50%
Gallego
50%

Gallego

50%

Lake

46%
46%
Lake  Gallego+4

Oct. 15, 2024

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 11-16
1,403LV
Oct. 11-16
1,403LV
Gallego
54%
Gallego
54%

Gallego

54%

Lake

45%
45%
Lake  Gallego+9

Oct. 14, 2024

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-15
653LV
Oct. 6-15
653LV
Gallego
52%
Gallego
52%

Gallego

52%

Lake

40%
40%
Lake  Gallego+12

Oct. 13, 2024

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-14
1,141LV
Oct. 12-14
1,141LV
Gallego
47%
Gallego
47%

Gallego

47%

Lake

42%

Quintana

1%
42%
LakeGallego+5
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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