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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 8, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

Sept. 6-9
801LV
Sept. 6-9
801LV
Casey
44%
Casey
44%

Casey

44%

McCormick

36%

Thomas

1%

Selker

0%

Hazou

0%
36%
McCormickCasey+8

Sept. 7, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

Aug. 30-Sept. 8
1,910LV
Aug. 30-Sept. 8
1,910LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

40%
40%
McCormick  Casey+9

Sept. 5, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

Sept. 4-6
889LV
Sept. 4-6
889LV
Casey
45%
Casey
45%

Casey

45%

McCormick

36%
36%
McCormick  Casey+9
Sept. 3-6
1,078LV
Sept. 3-6
1,078LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

41%
41%
McCormick  Casey+7

Aug. 28, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

Aug. 27-29
1,607LV
Aug. 27-29
1,607LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Casey+2
Aug. 23-29
789LV
Aug. 23-29
789LV
Casey
46%
Casey
46%

Casey

46%

McCormick

46%
46%
McCormick  Even

Aug. 27, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

Aug. 25-28
1,071LV
Aug. 25-28
1,071LV
Casey
44%
Casey
44%

Casey

44%

McCormick

38%

Thomas

1%

Hazou

1%

Selker

0%
38%
McCormickCasey+6
Aug. 25-28
950LV
Aug. 25-28
950LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

44%
44%
McCormick  Casey+4
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