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Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 24, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

July 23-25
800RV
July 23-25
800RV
Casey
53%
Casey
53%

Casey

53%

McCormick

42%
42%
McCormick  Casey+11

July 23, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

July 22-24
851LV
July 22-24
851LV
Casey
46%
Casey
46%

Casey

46%

McCormick

39%

Thomas

2%

Hazou

1%

Selker

0%
39%
McCormickCasey+7

July 22, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

July 22-23
850RV
July 22-23
850RV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

44%
44%
McCormick  Casey+4
July 20-23
600LV
July 20-23
600LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

41%
41%
McCormick  Casey+8

July 20, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

July 20-21
500LV
July 20-21
500LV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

40%
40%
McCormick  Casey+10

July 17, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election

July 17-18
624RV
July 17-18
624RV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

39%
39%
McCormick  Casey+11
July 16-18
688LV
July 16-18
688LV
Casey
44%
Casey
44%

Casey

44%

McCormick

37%

Thomas

1%

Selker

1%

Hazou

1%
37%
McCormickCasey+7
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