Filter by poll type or state

Who’s ahead in the Pennsylvania Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 18, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 17-19
1,084LV
Oct. 17-19
1,084LV
Casey
47%
Casey
47%

Casey

47%

McCormick

47%
47%
McCormick  Even

Oct. 16, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-17
2,048LV
Oct. 12-17
2,048LV
Casey
47%
Casey
47%

Casey

47%

McCormick

48%
48%
McCormick  McCormick+1
Oct. 11-17
600LV
Oct. 11-17
600LV
Casey
50%
Casey
50%

Casey

50%

McCormick

43%
43%
McCormick  Casey+7

Oct. 14, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-15
1,395LV
Oct. 6-15
1,395LV
Casey
49%
Casey
49%

Casey

49%

McCormick

41%
41%
McCormick  Casey+8

Oct. 9, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 7-10
857LV
Oct. 7-10
857LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

44%
44%
McCormick  Casey+4
Oct. 7-10
857RV
Oct. 7-10
857RV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

43%
43%
McCormick  Casey+5
Oct. 2-10
1,193LV
Oct. 2-10
1,193LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

45%
45%
McCormick  Casey+3

Oct. 8, 2024

U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 7-9
803LV
Oct. 7-9
803LV
Casey
47%
Casey
47%

Casey

47%

McCormick

43%
43%
McCormick  Casey+4
Oct. 7-9
1,079RV
Oct. 7-9
1,079RV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

40%
40%
McCormick  Casey+8
Oct. 2-9
800LV
Oct. 2-9
800LV
Casey
48%
Casey
48%

Casey

48%

McCormick

39%

Thomas

1%

Hazou

1%

Selker

0%
39%
McCormickCasey+9
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

No matching polls

More on the polls
Read about how we use polls
Our Polls Policy And FAQs
Download the data
Download