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Who’s ahead in the Texas Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 7, 2024

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election

Aug. 30-Sept. 8
2,940LV
Aug. 30-Sept. 8
2,940LV
Allred
42%
Allred
42%

Allred

42%

Cruz

47%
47%
Cruz  Cruz+5

Sept. 4, 2024

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election

Sept. 3-5
845LV
Sept. 3-5
845LV
Allred
44%
Allred
44%

Allred

44%

Cruz

48%
48%
Cruz  Cruz+4

Aug. 30, 2024

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election

Aug. 23-31
1,200RV
Aug. 23-31
1,200RV
Allred
36%
Allred
36%

Allred

36%

Cruz

44%

Brown

2%
44%
CruzCruz+8

Aug. 29, 2024

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election

Aug. 29-30
1,000RV
Aug. 29-30
1,000RV
Allred
43%
Allred
43%

Allred

43%

Cruz

50%
50%
Cruz  Cruz+7

Aug. 28, 2024

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election

Aug. 13-29
400LV
Aug. 13-29
400LV
Allred
45%
Allred
45%

Allred

45%

Cruz

55%
55%
Cruz  Cruz+10
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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