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Who’s ahead in the Texas Senate ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 15, 2024

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 1-16
400LV
Oct. 1-16
400LV
Allred
47%
Allred
47%

Allred

47%

Cruz

53%
53%
Cruz  Cruz+6

Oct. 14, 2024

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-15
2,048LV
Oct. 6-15
2,048LV
Allred
45%
Allred
45%

Allred

45%

Cruz

46%
46%
Cruz  Cruz+1

Oct. 9, 2024

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 2-10
1,091LV
Oct. 2-10
1,091LV
Allred
44%
Allred
44%

Allred

44%

Cruz

51%

Brown

4%
51%
CruzCruz+7
Sept. 26-Oct. 10
1,329LV
Sept. 26-Oct. 10
1,329LV
Allred
46%
Allred
46%

Allred

46%

Cruz

50%

Brown

1%
50%
CruzCruz+4

Oct. 6, 2024

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 3-7
1,186LV
Oct. 3-7
1,186LV
Allred
46%
Allred
46%

Allred

46%

Cruz

51%
51%
Cruz  Cruz+5
Oct. 3-7
1,365RV
Oct. 3-7
1,365RV
Allred
47%
Allred
47%

Allred

47%

Cruz

50%
50%
Cruz  Cruz+3

Oct. 5, 2024

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 2-6
775LV
Oct. 2-6
775LV
Allred
44%
Allred
44%

Allred

44%

Cruz

47%
47%
Cruz  Cruz+3
Oct. 2-6
811RV
Oct. 2-6
811RV
Allred
43%
Allred
43%

Allred

43%

Cruz

46%
46%
Cruz  Cruz+3
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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