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Who’s ahead in the West Virginia race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Aug. 25, 2022

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2024

762RV
Aug.24-26
762RV
Manchin
32%
Manchin
32%

Manchin

32%

Justice

47%
47%
Justice  Justice+15
762RV
Aug.24-26
762RV
Manchin
38%
Manchin
38%

Manchin

38%

Mooney

45%
45%
Mooney  Mooney+7
762RV
Aug.24-26
762RV
Manchin
36%
Manchin
36%

Manchin

36%

Morrisey

50%
50%
Morrisey  Morrisey+13

Jan. 19, 2022

U.S. Senate, West Virginia, 2024

783LV
Jan.17-20
783LV
Manchin
41%
Manchin
41%

Manchin

41%

Justice

37%
37%
Justice  Manchin+4
783LV
Jan.17-20
783LV
Manchin
50%
Manchin
50%

Manchin

50%

Morrisey

29%
29%
Morrisey  Manchin+21
783LV
Jan.17-20
783LV
Manchin
49%
Manchin
49%

Manchin

49%

Mooney

28%
28%
Mooney  Manchin+21

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election, West Virginia, 2020

816LV
Oct.20-Nov.2
816LV
Biden
32%
Biden
32%

Biden

32%

Trump

67%
67%
Trump  Trump+35
816RV
Oct.20-Nov.2
816RV
Biden
32%
Biden
32%

Biden

32%

Trump

67%
67%
Trump  Trump+35

Oct. 19, 2020

Governor, West Virginia, 2020

544LV
Oct.19-20
544LV
Salango
35%
Salango
35%

Salango

35%

Justice

53%

Kolenich

3%

Lutz

3%
53%
JusticeJustice+18

Oct. 18, 2020

President: general election, West Virginia, 2020

1,075LV
Sep.22-Oct.19
1,075LV
Biden
32%
Biden
32%

Biden

32%

Trump

66%
66%
Trump  Trump+34
1,075RV
Sep.22-Oct.19
1,075RV
Biden
32%
Biden
32%

Biden

32%

Trump

66%
66%
Trump  Trump+34
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Candidate is an incumbent

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