UPDATED Nov. 23, 2021, at 9:29 AM

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Who’s ahead in Wisconsin?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Wis.
Wis.
Nov 11-16, 2021
600 LV
Nov 11-16, 2021
600LVBiden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump Sr.

52%
52%
Trump Sr.Trump Sr.+10

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Nov. 2, 2021

President: general election
President: general election Wis.
Wis.
Oct 26-31, 2021
805 RV
Oct 26-31, 2021
805RVBiden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump Sr.

41%
41%
Trump Sr.Biden+4

Sept. 20, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Wis. Wis.
Sep 8-11, 2021
756 LV
Sep 8-11, 2021
756LVBarnes
43%

Barnes

43%

Johnson

43%
43%
JohnsonEven

Sept. 7, 2021

Governor
Governor
Wis. Wis.
Aug 20-24, 2021
730 LV
Aug 20-24, 2021
730LVEvers
41%

Evers

41%

Kleefisch

41%
41%
KleefischEven
Governor
Wis. Wis.
Aug 20-24, 2021
730 LV
Aug 20-24, 2021
730LVEvers
43%

Evers

43%

Wichmann

36%
36%
WichmannEvers+7
Governor
Wis. Wis.
Aug 20-24, 2021
730 RV
Aug 20-24, 2021
730RVEvers
39%

Evers

39%

Kleefisch

38%
38%
KleefischEvers+1
Governor
Wis. Wis.
Aug 20-24, 2021
730 RV
Aug 20-24, 2021
730RVEvers
41%

Evers

41%

Wichmann

34%
34%
WichmannEvers+7

April 2, 2021

Governor
Governor
Wis. Wis.
Mar 25-27, 2021
1,723 LV
Mar 25-27, 2021
1,723LVEvers
48%

Evers

48%

Kleefisch

43%
43%
KleefischEvers+5
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