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Who’s ahead in the Wisconsin race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

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VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

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REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 15, 2021

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024

600LV
Nov.11-16
600LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump Sr.

52%
52%
Trump Sr.  Trump Sr.+10

Oct. 30, 2021

Sept. 10, 2021

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2022

756LV
Sep.8-11
756LV
Barnes
43%
Barnes
43%

Barnes

43%

Johnson

43%
43%
Johnson  Even

Aug. 23, 2021

Governor, Wisconsin, 2022

730LV
Aug.20-24
730LV
Evers
41%
Evers
41%

Evers

41%

Kleefisch

41%
41%
Kleefisch  Even
730LV
Aug.20-24
730LV
Evers
43%
Evers
43%

Evers

43%

Wichmann

36%
36%
Wichmann  Evers+7
730RV
Aug.20-24
730RV
Evers
39%
Evers
39%

Evers

39%

Kleefisch

38%
38%
Kleefisch  Evers+1
730RV
Aug.20-24
730RV
Evers
41%
Evers
41%

Evers

41%

Wichmann

34%
34%
Wichmann  Evers+7

March 26, 2021

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2022

1,723LV
Mar.25-27
1,723LV
Nelson
48%
Nelson
48%

Nelson

48%

Johnson

44%
44%
Johnson  Nelson+4

Governor, Wisconsin, 2022

1,723LV
Mar.25-27
1,723LV
Evers
48%
Evers
48%

Evers

48%

Kleefisch

43%
43%
Kleefisch  Evers+5
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