UPDATED Sep. 29, 2022, at 5:20 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Wisconsin race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 26, 2022

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

574V
Sep.26-27
574V
Barnes
47%
Barnes
47%

Barnes

47%

Johnson

47%
47%
Johnson  Even

Governor, Wisconsin, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

574V
Sep.26-27
574V
Evers
48%
Evers
48%

Evers

48%

Michels

46%
46%
Michels  Evers+2

Sept. 24, 2022

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Sep.18-25
500LV
Barnes
46%
Barnes
46%

Barnes

46%

Johnson

51%
51%
Johnson  Johnson+5

Sept. 18, 2022

Sept. 17, 2022

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024

860LV
Sep.16-18
860LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump Sr.

44%
44%
Trump Sr.  Biden+1

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

860LV
Sep.16-18
860LV
Barnes
44%
Barnes
44%

Barnes

44%

Johnson

48%
48%
Johnson  Johnson+4

Governor, Wisconsin, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

860LV
Sep.16-18
860LV
Evers
45%
Evers
45%

Evers

45%

Michels

43%

Beglinger

4%
43%
MichelsEvers+2

Sept. 14, 2022

U.S. Senate, Wisconsin, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

651LV
Sep.14-15
651LV
Barnes
48%
Barnes
48%

Barnes

48%

Johnson

47%
47%
Johnson  Barnes+1

Governor, Wisconsin, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

651LV
Sep.14-15
651LV
Evers
49%
Evers
49%

Evers

49%

Michels

44%
44%
Michels  Evers+5
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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