UPDATED Sep. 16, 2021, at 9:55 AM

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Who’s ahead in Wisconsin?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Sept. 7, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Governor
Governor
Wis.Wis.
Aug 20-24, 2021
730 LV
Aug 20-24, 2021
730LVEvers
41%

Evers

41%

Kleefisch

41%
41%
KleefischEven
Governor
Wis.Wis.
Aug 20-24, 2021
730 LV
Aug 20-24, 2021
730LVEvers
43%

Evers

43%

Wichmann

36%
36%
WichmannEvers+7
Governor
Wis.Wis.
Aug 20-24, 2021
730 RV
Aug 20-24, 2021
730RVEvers
39%

Evers

39%

Kleefisch

38%
38%
KleefischEvers+1
Governor
Wis.Wis.
Aug 20-24, 2021
730 RV
Aug 20-24, 2021
730RVEvers
41%

Evers

41%

Wichmann

34%
34%
WichmannEvers+7

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

April 2, 2021

Governor
Governor
Wis.Wis.
Mar 25-27, 2021
1,723 LV
Mar 25-27, 2021
1,723LVEvers
48%

Evers

48%

Kleefisch

43%
43%
KleefischEvers+5

April 1, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Wis.Wis.
Mar 25-27, 2021
1,723 LV
Mar 25-27, 2021
1,723LVNelson
48%

Nelson

48%

Johnson

44%
44%
JohnsonNelson+4

Nov. 3, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Wis.
Wis.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
2,814 LV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
2,814LVBiden
54%

Biden

54%

Trump

44%
44%
TrumpBiden+10
President: general election Wis.
Wis.
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
2,814 RV
Oct 20-Nov 2, 2020
2,814RVBiden
55%

Biden

55%

Trump

43%
43%
TrumpBiden+12

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Wis.
Wis.
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450 LV
Oct 31-Nov 1, 2020
450LVBiden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

42%
42%
TrumpBiden+8
President: general election Wis.
Wis.
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
553 LV
Oct 29-Nov 1, 2020
553LVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+8
President: general election Wis.
Wis.
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
253 LV
Oct 27-Nov 1, 2020
253LVBiden
55%

Biden

55%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

1%
MoreBiden+10
President: general election Wis.
Wis.
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,002 LV
Oct 22-31, 2020
1,002LVBiden
54%

Biden

54%

Trump

41%
41%
TrumpBiden+13
President: general election Wis.
Wis.
Oct 26-29, 2020
800 LV
Oct 26-29, 2020
800LVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

41%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreBiden+12
President: general election Wis.
Wis.
Oct 10-13, 2020
691 LV
Oct 10-13, 2020
691LVBiden
53%

Biden

53%

Trump

40%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

0%
MoreBiden+13
President: general election Wis.
Wis.
Oct 9-10, 2020
613 LV
Oct 9-10, 2020
613LVBiden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

45%

Jorgensen

2%
MoreBiden+4
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