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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending May 9, 2022

Generic ballot, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,361RV
May 8-10
1,361RV
Democrat
51%
Democrat
51%

Democrat

51%

Republican

49%
49%
Republican  Democrat+2
790RV
May 5-10
790RV
Democrat
46%
Democrat
46%

Democrat

46%

Republican

46%
46%
Republican  Even

May 8, 2022

President: Democratic primary, 2024

460A
May 5-9
460A
Biden
33%
Biden
33%

Biden

33%

Sanders

17%

Harris

12%

Warren

9%

Buttigieg

8%

Ocasio-Cortez

6%

H. Clinton

6%
17%
SandersBiden+16

President: Republican primary, 2024

319A
May 5-9
319A
Trump Sr.
55%
Trump Sr.
55%

Trump Sr.

55%

DeSantis

26%

Pence

7%

Haley

3%

Cruz

3%

Pompeo

1%

T. Scott

0%
26%
DeSantisTrump Sr.+29

Generic ballot, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

2,005RV
May 6-9
2,005RV
Democrat
44%
Democrat
44%

Democrat

44%

Republican

42%
42%
Republican  Democrat+2
1,000A
May 5-9
1,000A
Democrat
44%
Democrat
44%

Democrat

44%

Republican

38%
38%
Republican  Democrat+6
751RV
May 5-9
751RV
Democrat
43%
Democrat
43%

Democrat

43%

Republican

50%
50%
Republican  Republican+7
807A
May 5-9
807A
Democrat
44%
Democrat
44%

Democrat

44%

Republican

48%
48%
Republican  Republican+4

May 5, 2022

Generic ballot, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,043RV
May 4-6
1,043RV
Democrat
42%
Democrat
42%

Democrat

42%

Republican

43%
43%
Republican  Republican+1
800LV
May 4-6
800LV
Democrat
44%
Democrat
44%

Democrat

44%

Republican

45%
45%
Republican  Republican+1
833RV
May 4-6
833RV
Democrat
45%
Democrat
45%

Democrat

45%

Republican

42%
42%
Republican  Democrat+3
1,008A
May 4-6
1,008A
Democrat
39%
Democrat
39%

Democrat

39%

Republican

37%
37%
Republican  Democrat+2
1,577A
May 3-6
1,577A
Democrat
37%
Democrat
37%

Democrat

37%

Republican

33%
33%
Republican  Democrat+4
1,215RV
May 3-6
1,215RV
Democrat
44%
Democrat
44%

Democrat

44%

Republican

39%
39%
Republican  Democrat+5

May 4, 2022

Generic ballot, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

645RV
May 3-5
645RV
Democrat
42%
Democrat
42%

Democrat

42%

Republican

49%
49%
Republican  Republican+7

May 2, 2022

Generic ballot, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,955RV
May 3
1,955RV
Democrat
43%
Democrat
43%

Democrat

43%

Republican

43%
43%
Republican  Even
1,303RV
Apr.30-May 3
1,303RV
Democrat
53%
Democrat
53%

Democrat

53%

Republican

47%
47%
Republican  Democrat+6
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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