UPDATED Aug. 9, 2022, at 3:43 PM

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Who’s ahead in the North Dakota race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election, North Dakota, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

402LV
Oct.20-Nov.2
402LV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

59%
59%
Trump  Trump+20
402RV
Oct.20-Nov.2
402RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

58%
58%
Trump  Trump+18

Oct. 18, 2020

President: general election, North Dakota, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

511LV
Sep.21-Oct.19
511LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

59%
59%
Trump  Trump+19
511RV
Sep.21-Oct.19
511RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

58%
58%
Trump  Trump+18

Sept. 28, 2020

Sept. 15, 2020

President: general election, North Dakota, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

500LV
Sep.12-16
500LV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

56%
56%
Trump  Trump+19

Governor, North Dakota, 2020

500LV
Sep.12-16
500LV
Lenz
24%
Lenz
24%

Lenz

24%

Burgum

56%

Hendrickson

6%
56%
BurgumBurgum+32

Aug. 30, 2020

President: general election, North Dakota, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

269RV
Aug.1-31
269RV
Biden
32%
Biden
32%

Biden

32%

Trump

66%
66%
Trump  Trump+35
269LV
Aug.1-31
269LV
Biden
32%
Biden
32%

Biden

32%

Trump

66%
66%
Trump  Trump+34
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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