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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 19, 2024

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 18-20
1,244LV
Oct. 18-20
1,244LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 17-20
840LV
Oct. 17-20
840LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+2

President: general election, Florida, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 7-20
400LV
Oct. 7-20
400LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

55%
55%
Trump  Trump+9

Oct. 18, 2024

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 17-19
1,084LV
Oct. 17-19
1,084LV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+3

President: general election, Colorado, 2024

Sept. 15-Oct. 19
400LV
Sept. 15-Oct. 19
400LV
Harris
59%
Harris
59%

Harris

59%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Harris+17

President: general election, Oklahoma, 2024

Sept. 13-Oct. 19
400LV
Sept. 13-Oct. 19
400LV
Harris
34%
Harris
34%

Harris

34%

Trump

66%
66%
Trump  Trump+32

Oct. 17, 2024

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 16-18
622LV
Oct. 16-18
622LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

46%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
46%
TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 11-18
600LV
Oct. 11-18
600LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 11-18
600LV
Oct. 11-18
600LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+3

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 16-18
1,256LV
Oct. 16-18
1,256LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
48%
TrumpEven

President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 16-18
843LV
Oct. 16-18
843LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

48%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
48%
TrumpTrump+3

President: general election, Nevada, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 16-18
529LV
Oct. 16-18
529LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

47%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
47%
TrumpTrump+1

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 16-18
1,008LV
Oct. 16-18
1,008LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
47%
TrumpEven

President: general election, Georgia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 16-18
1,019LV
Oct. 16-18
1,019LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
48%
TrumpTrump+1

President: general election, Florida, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 16-18
1,275LV
Oct. 16-18
1,275LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

49%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
49%
TrumpTrump+4
Oct. 7-18
977LV
Oct. 7-18
977LV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

53%
53%
Trump  Trump+10

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 16-18
691LV
Oct. 16-18
691LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

49%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
49%
TrumpTrump+3

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 14-18
1,000LV
Oct. 14-18
1,000LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 14-18
1,000LV
Oct. 14-18
1,000LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

44%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
44%
TrumpHarris+1

President: general election, New Mexico, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 10-18
1,024LV
Oct. 10-18
1,024LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

3%
41%
TrumpHarris+9

Oct. 16, 2024

President: general election, Oregon, 2024

Oct. 16-17
716LV
Oct. 16-17
716LV
Harris
53%
Harris
53%

Harris

53%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Harris+12

President: general election, Washington, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 16-17
571LV
Oct. 16-17
571LV
Harris
55%
Harris
55%

Harris

55%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Harris+15

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 15-17
1,257LV
Oct. 15-17
1,257LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 15-17
1,045LV
Oct. 15-17
1,045LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 12-17
4,180LV
Oct. 12-17
4,180LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+3
Oct. 12-17
4,180LV
Oct. 12-17
4,180LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

51%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%

West

0%
51%
TrumpTrump+3
Oct. 9-17
1,000LV
Oct. 9-17
1,000LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+2

President: general election, Florida, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 14-17
788LV
Oct. 14-17
788LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+5

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-17
932LV
Oct. 12-17
932LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 12-17
932LV
Oct. 12-17
932LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%

Oliver

1%

Kennedy

1%

Stein

0%
48%
TrumpHarris+1

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-17
2,048LV
Oct. 12-17
2,048LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+3
Oct. 12-17
2,048LV
Oct. 12-17
2,048LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

50%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%
50%
TrumpTrump+3
Oct. 11-17
600LV
Oct. 11-17
600LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 11-17
600LV
Oct. 11-17
600LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even

President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-17
1,674LV
Oct. 12-17
1,674LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 12-17
1,674LV
Oct. 12-17
1,674LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

49%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%

West

0%
49%
TrumpHarris+1

President: general election, Nevada, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-17
1,171LV
Oct. 12-17
1,171LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
Oct. 12-17
1,171LV
Oct. 12-17
1,171LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%

Stein

2%

Oliver

0%
48%
TrumpEven

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-17
1,529LV
Oct. 12-17
1,529LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+3
Oct. 12-17
1,529LV
Oct. 12-17
1,529LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

50%

Stein

1%

Kennedy

1%

Oliver

0%

West

0%
50%
TrumpTrump+3
Oct. 11-17
600LV
Oct. 11-17
600LV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Harris+8
Oct. 11-17
600LV
Oct. 11-17
600LV
Harris
53%
Harris
53%

Harris

53%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+8

President: general election, Georgia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-17
1,411LV
Oct. 12-17
1,411LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 12-17
1,411LV
Oct. 12-17
1,411LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%

Oliver

1%

West

0%

Stein

0%
50%
TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 1-17
400LV
Oct. 1-17
400LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 12-17
1,440LV
Oct. 12-17
1,440LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
Oct. 12-17
1,440LV
Oct. 12-17
1,440LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
49%
TrumpTrump+1

President: general election, South Carolina, 2024

Sept. 9-Oct. 17
400LV
Sept. 9-Oct. 17
400LV
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

58%
58%
Trump  Trump+17

Oct. 15, 2024

President: general election, Georgia, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 14-16
813LV
Oct. 14-16
813LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%

Stein

1%

West

1%
49%
TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 14-16
1,029RV
Oct. 14-16
1,029RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%

West

1%

Stein

1%
45%
TrumpHarris+4
Oct. 14-16
813LV
Oct. 14-16
813LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
Oct. 14-16
1,029RV
Oct. 14-16
1,029RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+3

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 14-16
2,950LV
Oct. 14-16
2,950LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 14-16
800LV
Oct. 14-16
800LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 14-16
1,000LV
Oct. 14-16
1,000LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
Sept. 27-Oct. 16
2,540RV
Sept. 27-Oct. 16
2,540RV
Harris
53%
Harris
53%

Harris

53%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+6

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 11-16
1,435LV
Oct. 11-16
1,435LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+3

President: general election, Michigan, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 10-16
789LV
Oct. 10-16
789LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even

President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 10-16
787LV
Oct. 10-16
787LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1

President: general election, Texas, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 26-Oct. 16
400LV
Sept. 26-Oct. 16
400LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

56%
56%
Trump  Trump+12

President: general election, Tennessee, 2024

Sept. 24-Oct. 16
400LV
Sept. 24-Oct. 16
400LV
Harris
38%
Harris
38%

Harris

38%

Trump

62%
62%
Trump  Trump+25

President: general election, Massachusetts, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 6-Oct. 16
400LV
Sept. 6-Oct. 16
400LV
Harris
67%
Harris
67%

Harris

67%

Trump

33%
33%
Trump  Harris+33
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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