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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

May 3-8
2,867LV
May 3-8
2,867LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

9%

West

1%
41%
TrumpBiden+1
May 3-8
3,229RV
May 3-8
3,229RV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

9%

West

2%
39%
TrumpBiden+1
May 3-8
4,040A
May 3-8
4,040A
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

36%

Kennedy

9%

West

2%
36%
TrumpTrump+2
May 5-7
1,598RV
May 5-7
1,598RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

3%

West

1%

Stein

1%
43%
TrumpEven
May 3-5
9,918RV
May 3-5
9,918RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+1
May 1-3
1,264RV
May 1-3
1,264RV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

38%

Kennedy

12%

West

1%

Stein

1%
38%
TrumpBiden+1
May 1-3
1,264RV
May 1-3
1,264RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Biden+2
April 30-May 3
1,000RV
April 30-May 3
1,000RV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

37%

Kennedy

8%

West

2%

Stein

1%
37%
TrumpEven
May 1-2
1,240LV
May 1-2
1,240LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

12%

West

1%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
41%
TrumpTrump+1
May 1-2
1,240LV
May 1-2
1,240LV
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Biden+1
April 30-May 2
4,000RV
April 30-May 2
4,000RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Trump+1
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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