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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 16-18
2,240LV
July 16-18
2,240LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+3
July 16-18
2,241LV
July 16-18
2,241LV
Biden
47%
Biden
47%

Biden

47%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+5
July 17
800LV
July 17
800LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+8
July 17
800LV
July 17
800LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+6
July 15-17
2,725LV
July 15-17
2,725LV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+5
July 15-17
9,414RV
July 15-17
9,414RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+4
July 15-16
992RV
July 15-16
992RV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Even
July 15-16
1,202A
July 15-16
1,202A
Harris
39%
Harris
39%

Harris

39%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Trump+1
July 15-16
992RV
July 15-16
992RV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

11%
40%
TrumpTrump+1
July 15-16
1,202A
July 15-16
1,202A
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

36%

Kennedy

11%
36%
TrumpTrump+2
July 15-16
1,202A
July 15-16
1,202A
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Trump+3
July 15-16
992RV
July 15-16
992RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Trump+2
July 15-16
2,000RV
July 15-16
2,000RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

7%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
44%
TrumpTrump+6
July 15-16
2,000RV
July 15-16
2,000RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+5
July 13-16
1,404RV
July 13-16
1,404RV
Harris
39%
Harris
39%

Harris

39%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

5%

Stein

2%

West

1%
44%
TrumpTrump+5
July 13-16
1,404RV
July 13-16
1,404RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

4%

West

1%

Stein

1%
43%
TrumpTrump+2
July 15
2,621LV
July 15
2,621LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

6%
43%
TrumpTrump+1
July 15
2,045RV
July 15
2,045RV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+1
July 15
2,045RV
July 15
2,045RV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+1
July 13-15
1,918RV
July 13-15
1,918RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+4
July 13-15
1,918RV
July 13-15
1,918RV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

13%

West

2%

Stein

2%
43%
TrumpTrump+4
July 13-15
1,918RV
July 13-15
1,918RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

16%
44%
TrumpTrump+4
July 13-15
1,918RV
July 13-15
1,918RV
Biden
49%
Biden
49%

Biden

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+2
July 12-15
1,098LV
July 12-15
1,098LV
Newsom
35%
Newsom
35%

Newsom

35%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+11
July 12-15
1,098LV
July 12-15
1,098LV
M. Obama
45%
M. Obama
45%

M. Obama

45%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Even
July 12-15
1,098LV
July 12-15
1,098LV
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Trump+3
July 12-15
1,098LV
July 12-15
1,098LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+1
July 7-15
1,000LV
July 7-15
1,000LV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

15%
43%
TrumpTrump+2
July 7-15
1,000LV
July 7-15
1,000LV
Biden
50%
Biden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+1
July 13-14
2,426LV
July 13-14
2,426LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+4
July 12-14
11,328RV
July 12-14
11,328RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Trump+2
July 12-14
1,499LV
July 12-14
1,499LV
Harris
37%
Harris
37%

Harris

37%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

2%

West

2%
42%
TrumpTrump+4
July 12-14
1,698RV
July 12-14
1,698RV
Harris
34%
Harris
34%

Harris

34%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

10%

Stein

2%

West

2%
39%
TrumpTrump+5
July 12-14
2,019A
July 12-14
2,019A
Harris
30%
Harris
30%

Harris

30%

Trump

37%

Kennedy

10%

West

2%

Stein

2%
37%
TrumpTrump+7
July 12-14
1,499LV
July 12-14
1,499LV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

1%

West

1%
41%
TrumpEven
July 12-14
1,698RV
July 12-14
1,698RV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

9%

West

1%

Stein

1%
39%
TrumpTrump+2
July 12-14
2,019A
July 12-14
2,019A
Biden
33%
Biden
33%

Biden

33%

Trump

36%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

1%

West

1%
36%
TrumpTrump+3
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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