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Who’s ahead in North Carolina?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, North Carolina, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-3
799RV
Nov. 1-3
799RV
Patriot Polling
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+2
Nov. 1-2
800LV
Nov. 1-2
800LV
InsiderAdvantage
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+2
Nov. 1-2
1,310LV
Nov. 1-2
1,310LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+3
Nov. 1-2
1,310LV
Nov. 1-2
1,310LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

50%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
50%
 TrumpTrump+4
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
860LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
860LV
Emerson College
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Even
Oct. 28-Nov. 2
1,010LV
Oct. 28-Nov. 2
1,010LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%

Stein

0%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
45%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 28-Nov. 2
1,010LV
Oct. 28-Nov. 2
1,010LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 28-Nov. 2
1,010RV
Oct. 28-Nov. 2
1,010RV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

43%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%

West

0%
43%
 TrumpHarris+4
Oct. 28-Nov. 2
1,010RV
Oct. 28-Nov. 2
1,010RV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 17-Nov. 2
400LV
Oct. 17-Nov. 2
400LV
ActiVote
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 23-Nov. 1
1,056LV
Oct. 23-Nov. 1
1,056LV
Morning Consult
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,987LV
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,987LV
Focaldata
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
48%
 TrumpEven
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,785RV
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,785RV
Focaldata
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

46%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
46%
 TrumpHarris+4
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,987A
Oct. 3-Nov. 1
1,987A
Focaldata
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
46%
 TrumpHarris+2
Oct. 30-31
1,373LV
Oct. 30-31
1,373LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+4
Oct. 30-31
1,373LV
Oct. 30-31
1,373LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

51%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
51%
 TrumpTrump+4
Oct. 28-31
1,123LV
Oct. 28-31
1,123LV
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
48%
 TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 25-31
949LV
Oct. 25-31
949LV
YouGov
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 25-31
987RV
Oct. 25-31
987RV
YouGov
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
Oct. 25-31
949LV
Oct. 25-31
949LV
YouGov
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

Stein

1%

West

0%
49%
 TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 25-31
987RV
Oct. 25-31
987RV
YouGov
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%

Stein

1%

West

0%
48%
 TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 25-29
1,665LV
Oct. 25-29
1,665LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 25-29
1,665LV
Oct. 25-29
1,665LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
48%
 TrumpEven
Oct. 24-29
1,250LV
Oct. 24-29
1,250LV
East Carolina University Center for Survey Research
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%

Oliver

0%

Stein

0%

West

0%
50%
 TrumpTrump+2
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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