Updated Jun. 5, 2023, at 11:44 PM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Angels have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

AL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Astros Astros36-24	3.0	86%	54%
Rangers Rangers38-20	—	78%	40%
Angels Angels31-30	8.5	19%	3%
Mariners Mariners29-30	9.5	13%	2%
Athletics Athletics12-49	27.5	<1%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
6/6Tuesday, June 69:38 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Wesneski	1485	–18	–1	=1466	40%
6/6Tuesday, June 69:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Anderson	1511	–1	+23	=1533	60%
6/7Wednesday, June 79:38 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+0	=1486	43%
6/7Wednesday, June 79:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	57%
6/8Thursday, June 89:38 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+0	=1486	43%
6/8Thursday, June 89:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	57%
6/9Friday, June 99:38 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+1	=1512	46%
6/9Friday, June 99:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	54%
6/10Saturday, June 1010:07 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+0	=1511	46%
6/10Saturday, June 1010:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	54%
6/11Sunday, June 114:07 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+0	=1511	46%
6/11Sunday, June 114:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	54%
6/12Monday, June 128:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–3	=1510	43%
6/12Monday, June 128:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+21	=1558	57%
6/13Tuesday, June 138:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	43%
6/13Tuesday, June 138:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	57%
6/14Wednesday, June 148:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	43%
6/14Wednesday, June 148:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	57%
6/15Thursday, June 158:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	43%
6/15Thursday, June 158:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	57%
6/16Friday, June 168:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–2	=1511	57%
6/16Friday, June 168:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1433	+0	+26	=1459	43%
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	58%
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	42%
6/18Sunday, June 182:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	58%
6/18Sunday, June 182:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	42%
6/20Tuesday, June 2010:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+1	=1562	54%
6/20Tuesday, June 2010:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+23	=1536	46%
6/21Wednesday, June 219:38 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	53%
6/21Wednesday, June 219:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	47%
6/23Friday, June 238:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–1	=1512	56%
6/23Friday, June 238:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+23	=1470	44%
6/24Saturday, June 249:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	56%
6/24Saturday, June 249:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	44%
6/25Sunday, June 253:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	56%
6/25Sunday, June 253:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	44%
6/26Monday, June 269:38 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–4	=1480	42%
6/26Monday, June 269:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+21	=1534	58%
6/27Tuesday, June 279:38 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	42%
6/27Tuesday, June 279:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	58%
6/28Wednesday, June 289:38 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	42%
6/28Wednesday, June 289:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	58%
6/29Thursday, June 294:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	42%
6/29Thursday, June 294:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	58%
6/30Friday, June 309:38 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–2	=1499	44%
6/30Friday, June 309:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	56%
7/1Saturday, July 110:07 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	45%
7/1Saturday, July 110:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	55%
7/2Sunday, July 24:07 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	45%
7/2Sunday, July 24:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	55%
7/3Monday, July 39:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–1	=1512	44%
7/3Monday, July 39:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+20	=1557	56%
7/4Tuesday, July 46:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	43%
7/4Tuesday, July 46:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+24	=1561	57%
7/5Wednesday, July 58:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	43%
7/5Wednesday, July 58:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+24	=1561	57%
7/7Friday, July 710:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+1	=1514	40%
7/7Friday, July 710:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	60%
7/8Saturday, July 89:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	40%
7/8Saturday, July 89:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	60%
7/14Friday, July 149:38 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+4	=1567	53%
7/14Friday, July 149:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+30	=1543	47%
7/15Saturday, July 159:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+0	=1563	54%
7/15Saturday, July 159:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	46%
7/16Sunday, July 164:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+0	=1563	54%
7/16Sunday, July 164:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	46%
7/17Monday, July 179:38 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	–3	=1562	54%
7/17Monday, July 179:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	46%
7/18Tuesday, July 189:38 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+0	=1565	54%
7/18Tuesday, July 189:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	46%
7/19Wednesday, July 197:07 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+0	=1565	54%
7/19Wednesday, July 197:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	46%
7/21Friday, July 219:38 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1476	+1	–2	=1475	41%
7/21Friday, July 219:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+26	=1539	59%
7/22Saturday, July 229:07 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1476	+1	+0	=1477	41%
7/22Saturday, July 229:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	59%
7/23Sunday, July 234:07 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1476	+1	+0	=1477	41%
7/23Sunday, July 234:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	59%
7/25Tuesday, July 256:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–2	=1511	55%
7/25Tuesday, July 256:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+24	=1473	45%
7/26Wednesday, July 266:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	56%
7/26Wednesday, July 266:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+24	=1473	44%
7/27Thursday, July 278:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	56%
7/27Thursday, July 278:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+24	=1473	44%
7/28Friday, July 287:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–2	=1511	42%
7/28Friday, July 287:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+22	=1566	58%
7/29Saturday, July 293:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	42%
7/29Saturday, July 293:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+24	=1568	58%
7/30Sunday, July 3012:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	42%
7/30Sunday, July 3012:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+24	=1568	58%
7/31Monday, July 317:20 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–3	=1510	40%
7/31Monday, July 317:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+24	=1584	60%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:20 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	40%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+24	=1584	60%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 212:20 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	40%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 212:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+24	=1584	60%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 39:38 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	–3	=1508	46%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 39:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+20	=1533	54%
8/4Friday, Aug. 49:38 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+0	=1511	46%
8/4Friday, Aug. 49:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	54%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 59:07 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+0	=1511	46%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 59:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	54%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 64:07 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+0	=1511	46%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 64:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	54%
8/7Monday, Aug. 79:38 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–2	=1506	45%
8/7Monday, Aug. 79:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	55%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:38 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	46%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	54%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 99:38 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	46%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 99:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	54%
8/11Friday, Aug. 118:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–1	=1512	40%
8/11Friday, Aug. 118:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+21	=1584	60%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	40%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+24	=1587	60%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 132:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	40%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 132:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+24	=1587	60%
8/14Monday, Aug. 148:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–2	=1511	44%
8/14Monday, Aug. 148:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+20	=1557	56%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	43%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	57%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	43%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	57%
8/18Friday, Aug. 189:38 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+0	=1562	54%
8/18Friday, Aug. 189:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+23	=1536	46%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 199:07 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+0	=1562	53%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 199:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	47%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 204:07 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+0	=1562	53%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 204:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	47%
8/21Monday, Aug. 219:38 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	–4	=1455	38%
8/21Monday, Aug. 219:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	62%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 229:38 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+0	=1459	39%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 229:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	61%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 234:07 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+0	=1459	39%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 234:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	61%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–2	=1511	44%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+23	=1555	56%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	44%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+24	=1556	56%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 2712:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	44%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 2712:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+24	=1556	56%
8/28Monday, Aug. 286:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–1	=1512	46%
8/28Monday, Aug. 286:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1516	+1	+24	=1541	54%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	46%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1516	+1	+24	=1541	54%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 301:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	46%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 301:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1516	+1	+24	=1541	54%
9/1Friday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–2	=1511	63%
9/1Friday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+23	=1421	37%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 24:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	63%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 24:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	37%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	63%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	37%
9/4Monday, Sept. 49:38 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	–2	=1505	46%
9/4Monday, Sept. 49:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+22	=1535	54%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 59:38 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	+0	=1507	46%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 59:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	54%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 69:38 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	+0	=1507	46%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 69:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	54%
9/7Thursday, Sept. 79:38 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	–4	=1512	46%
9/7Thursday, Sept. 79:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	54%
9/8Friday, Sept. 89:38 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+0	=1516	47%
9/8Friday, Sept. 89:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	53%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 99:07 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+0	=1516	47%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 99:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	53%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 104:07 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+0	=1516	47%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 104:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	53%
9/11Monday, Sept. 119:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–3	=1510	47%
9/11Monday, Sept. 119:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+20	=1531	53%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 129:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	47%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 129:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+24	=1535	53%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 134:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	47%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 134:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+24	=1535	53%
9/15Friday, Sept. 159:38 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	–4	=1445	37%
9/15Friday, Sept. 159:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+23	=1536	63%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 169:07 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+0	=1449	38%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 169:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	62%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 174:07 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+0	=1449	38%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 174:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	62%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–2	=1511	40%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+23	=1585	60%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	40%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+24	=1586	60%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 211:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	40%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 211:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+24	=1586	60%
9/22Friday, Sept. 228:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–3	=1510	44%
9/22Friday, Sept. 228:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+23	=1551	56%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 232:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	44%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 232:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+24	=1552	56%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 242:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	44%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 242:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+24	=1552	56%
9/25Monday, Sept. 259:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–3	=1534	50%
9/25Monday, Sept. 259:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+20	=1533	50%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 269:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	50%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 269:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	50%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 279:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	50%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 279:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	50%
9/29Friday, Sept. 299:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–4	=1394	30%
9/29Friday, Sept. 299:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+26	=1539	70%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 309:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	31%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 309:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	69%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	31%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	69%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
6/4Sunday, June 42:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1510	–13	+0	=1497	43%	2
6/4Sunday, June 42:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	France	1562	–36	+24	=1550	57%	1
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1511	+6	+0	=1517	37%	6
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1560	+26	+24	=1610	63%	9
6/2Friday, June 28:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1513	+43	+0	=1556	42%	2
6/2Friday, June 28:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1559	+27	+24	=1610	58%	6
6/1Thursday, June 18:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1514	–6	–3	=1505	44%	2
6/1Thursday, June 18:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Blanco	1557	–32	+24	=1549	56%	5
5/31Wednesday, May 312:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Barria	1511	–11	+0	=1500	49%	12
5/31Wednesday, May 312:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1483	+0	+24	=1507	51%	5
5/30Tuesday, May 308:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Anderson	1513	+1	+0	=1514	51%	3
5/30Tuesday, May 308:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1481	+2	+24	=1507	49%	7
5/29Monday, May 298:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1512	–17	–4	=1491	48%	6
5/29Monday, May 298:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1483	+4	+22	=1509	52%	4
5/28Sunday, May 284:07 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Perez	1490	–21	+0	=1469	39%	2
5/28Sunday, May 284:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1514	+6	+24	=1544	61%	0
5/27Saturday, May 2710:07 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Cabrera	1487	–5	+0	=1482	36%	8
5/27Saturday, May 2710:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1516	+43	+24	=1583	64%	5
5/26Friday, May 269:38 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Luzardo	1485	+2	–3	=1484	42%	6
5/26Friday, May 269:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1518	–4	+26	=1540	58%	2
5/24Wednesday, May 249:38 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Paxton	1518	+15	+0	=1533	49%	3
5/24Wednesday, May 249:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Anderson	1517	–2	+24	=1539	51%	7
5/23Tuesday, May 239:38 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1520	–8	+0	=1512	49%	0
5/23Tuesday, May 239:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1515	–23	+24	=1516	51%	4
5/22Monday, May 229:38 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Houck	1521	+15	–1	=1535	52%	1
5/22Monday, May 229:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Barria	1513	–16	+24	=1521	48%	2
5/21Sunday, May 214:07 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Lopez	1530	–3	+0	=1527	42%	2
5/21Sunday, May 214:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1512	+43	+24	=1579	58%	4
5/20Saturday, May 2010:07 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Varland	1527	–21	+0	=1506	44%	6
5/20Saturday, May 2010:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1515	+11	+24	=1550	56%	2
5/19Friday, May 199:38 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ryan	1529	+17	+1	=1547	52%	4
5/19Friday, May 199:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1514	–3	+20	=1531	48%	5
5/18Thursday, May 1812:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Anderson	1512	+3	+0	=1515	45%	6
5/18Thursday, May 1812:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1503	+21	+24	=1548	55%	5
5/17Wednesday, May 176:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1514	–20	+0	=1494	44%	1
5/17Wednesday, May 176:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1501	+8	+24	=1533	56%	3
5/16Tuesday, May 166:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Silseth	1515	–35	+0	=1480	43%	3
5/16Tuesday, May 166:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1500	+6	+24	=1530	57%	7
5/15Monday, May 156:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1514	+46	–2	=1558	56%	9
5/15Monday, May 156:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Rodriguez	1501	–13	+24	=1512	44%	5
5/14Sunday, May 1411:35 a.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1515	+8	+0	=1523	51%	3
5/14Sunday, May 1411:35 a.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bibee	1516	–26	+24	=1514	49%	4
5/13Saturday, May 136:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1516	–4	+0	=1512	46%	6
5/13Saturday, May 136:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1515	–1	+24	=1538	54%	8
5/12Friday, May 127:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Anderson	1515	+3	–2	=1516	49%	5
5/12Friday, May 127:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Allen	1516	–19	+26	=1523	51%	4
5/10Wednesday, May 104:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1551	+27	+0	=1578	58%	5
5/10Wednesday, May 104:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1516	–18	+24	=1522	42%	4
5/9Tuesday, May 99:38 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1549	+22	+0	=1571	48%	3
5/9Tuesday, May 99:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1517	+47	+24	=1588	52%	1
5/8Monday, May 89:38 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Brown	1551	–2	–3	=1546	50%	4
5/8Monday, May 89:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1516	+9	+24	=1549	50%	6
5/7Sunday, May 74:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1516	+0	+0	=1516	50%	16
5/7Sunday, May 74:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1519	–25	+24	=1518	50%	8
5/6Saturday, May 69:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Eovaldi	1513	+1	+0	=1514	46%	10
5/6Saturday, May 69:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1522	–6	+24	=1540	54%	1
5/5Friday, May 59:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1514	–19	–1	=1494	43%	4
5/5Friday, May 59:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Anderson	1521	+1	+20	=1542	57%	5
5/4Thursday, May 41:15 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1519	–19	+0	=1500	44%	11
5/4Thursday, May 41:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1506	+10	+24	=1540	56%	7
5/3Wednesday, May 37:45 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1518	+46	+0	=1564	53%	6
5/3Wednesday, May 37:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1508	+9	+24	=1541	47%	4
5/2Tuesday, May 27:45 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1516	+4	+0	=1520	49%	5
5/2Tuesday, May 27:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Matz	1510	–6	+22	=1526	51%	1
4/30Sunday, April 302:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1514	–30	+0	=1484	45%	3
4/30Sunday, April 302:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Rea	1539	–42	+24	=1521	55%	0
4/29Saturday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1515	–4	+0	=1511	40%	5
4/29Saturday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1538	+20	+24	=1582	60%	7
4/28Friday, April 288:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Anderson	1516	–1	–4	=1511	45%	1
4/28Friday, April 288:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Miley	1537	–17	+26	=1546	55%	2
4/27Thursday, April 274:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1413	+12	+0	=1425	28%	7
4/27Thursday, April 274:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1515	+50	+24	=1589	72%	8
4/26Wednesday, April 269:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Medina	1415	+7	+0	=1422	34%	3
4/26Wednesday, April 269:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1514	+4	+24	=1542	66%	11
4/25Tuesday, April 259:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Miller	1416	+10	+0	=1426	37%	3
4/25Tuesday, April 259:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1513	–19	+24	=1518	63%	5
4/24Monday, April 249:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Waldichuk	1415	+2	–3	=1414	36%	11
4/24Monday, April 249:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1514	–24	+24	=1514	64%	10
4/23Sunday, April 234:07 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lyles	1439	+5	+0	=1444	37%	3
4/23Sunday, April 234:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1513	–4	+24	=1533	63%	4
4/22Saturday, April 229:07 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1437	+6	+0	=1443	37%	11
4/22Saturday, April 229:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Anderson	1516	–1	+24	=1539	63%	8
4/21Friday, April 219:38 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Clarke	1437	–22	–1	=1414	28%	0
4/21Friday, April 219:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1515	+44	+20	=1579	72%	2
4/20Thursday, April 204:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1517	+5	+0	=1522	39%	3
4/20Thursday, April 204:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1561	+13	+24	=1598	61%	9
4/19Wednesday, April 197:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1518	–22	+0	=1496	44%	2
4/19Wednesday, April 197:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Brito	1560	–44	+24	=1540	56%	3
4/18Tuesday, April 187:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1516	–24	–2	=1490	43%	5
4/18Tuesday, April 187:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1562	–52	+26	=1536	57%	2
4/17Monday, April 1711:10 a.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1515	+45	+0	=1560	55%	5
4/17Monday, April 1711:10 a.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1508	–8	+24	=1524	45%	4
4/16Sunday, April 161:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1516	–7	+0	=1509	48%	1
4/16Sunday, April 161:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1507	–11	+24	=1520	52%	2
4/15Saturday, April 154:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Anderson	1517	+6	+0	=1523	49%	7
4/15Saturday, April 154:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1506	+2	+24	=1532	51%	9
4/14Friday, April 147:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1518	+3	–2	=1519	46%	3
4/14Friday, April 147:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Houck	1505	+21	+21	=1547	54%	5
4/12Wednesday, April 124:07 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1431	+13	+0	=1444	40%	2
4/12Wednesday, April 124:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1517	–26	+24	=1515	60%	3
4/11Tuesday, April 119:38 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1432	+1	+0	=1433	30%	0
4/11Tuesday, April 119:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1517	+42	+24	=1583	70%	2
4/10Monday, April 109:38 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1430	–19	–3	=1408	34%	6
4/10Monday, April 109:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1519	–21	+24	=1522	66%	4
4/9Sunday, April 94:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Kikuchi	1540	–30	+0	=1510	46%	12
4/9Sunday, April 94:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1520	–7	+24	=1537	54%	11
4/8Saturday, April 89:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Berrios	1542	–17	+0	=1525	46%	5
4/8Saturday, April 89:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Anderson	1518	+11	+24	=1553	54%	9
4/7Friday, April 79:38 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Bassitt	1541	–4	–3	=1534	49%	4
4/7Friday, April 79:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1519	+0	+23	=1542	51%	3
4/5Wednesday, April 54:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1518	+40	+0	=1558	55%	4
4/5Wednesday, April 54:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Flexen	1513	–16	+24	=1521	45%	3
4/4Tuesday, April 49:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1521	–17	+0	=1504	41%	2
4/4Tuesday, April 49:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Castillo	1511	+34	+24	=1569	59%	11
4/3Monday, April 39:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1519	–9	–3	=1507	45%	7
4/3Monday, April 39:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kirby	1513	+3	+24	=1540	55%	3
4/2Sunday, April 24:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Anderson	1517	+9	+0	=1526	58%	6
4/2Sunday, April 24:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Waldichuk	1437	+11	+24	=1472	42%	0
4/1Saturday, April 14:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1513	+0	+2	=1515	58%	13
4/1Saturday, April 14:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fujinami	1440	–3	+26	=1463	42%	1
3/30Thursday, March 3010:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1515	+37	–2	=1550	63%	1
3/30Thursday, March 3010:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Muller	1439	–2	+24	=1461	37%	2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.