Updated Jun. 21, 2023, at 12:35 AM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Yankees have a 7% chance of winning the World Series.

AL East standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Rays Rays51-25	—	98%	75%
Yankees Yankees40-33	9.5	68%	10%
Orioles Orioles45-27	4.0	58%	8%
Blue Jays Blue Jays40-35	10.5	50%	5%
Red Sox Red Sox39-34	10.5	35%	2%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
6/21Wednesday, June 217:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Castillo	1512	+27	+0	=1539	50%
6/21Wednesday, June 217:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Brito	1555	–41	+24	=1538	50%
6/22Thursday, June 227:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1512	+1	+0	=1513	41%
6/22Thursday, June 227:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	59%
6/23Friday, June 237:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1536	–3	–1	=1532	44%
6/23Friday, June 237:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	56%
6/24Saturday, June 244:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1536	–3	+0	=1533	44%
6/24Saturday, June 244:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	56%
6/25Sunday, June 251:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1536	–3	+0	=1533	44%
6/25Sunday, June 251:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	56%
6/27Tuesday, June 279:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	–2	=1551	66%
6/27Tuesday, June 279:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1404	+6	+22	=1432	34%
6/28Wednesday, June 289:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	66%
6/28Wednesday, June 289:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1404	+6	+24	=1434	34%
6/29Thursday, June 293:37 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	66%
6/29Thursday, June 293:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1404	+6	+24	=1434	34%
6/30Friday, June 308:15 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	–4	=1549	53%
6/30Friday, June 308:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	47%
7/1Saturday, July 12:15 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	54%
7/1Saturday, July 12:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	46%
7/2Sunday, July 22:15 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	54%
7/2Sunday, July 22:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	46%
7/3Monday, July 37:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	–2	=1510	41%
7/3Monday, July 37:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+21	=1574	59%
7/4Tuesday, July 41:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	41%
7/4Tuesday, July 41:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	59%
7/5Wednesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	41%
7/5Wednesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	59%
7/6Thursday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	41%
7/6Thursday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	59%
7/7Friday, July 77:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	–3	=1493	38%
7/7Friday, July 77:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	62%
7/8Saturday, July 81:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+0	=1496	39%
7/8Saturday, July 81:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	61%
7/9Sunday, July 91:35 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+0	=1496	39%
7/9Sunday, July 91:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	61%
7/14Friday, July 148:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+3	=1556	63%
7/14Friday, July 148:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1436	+3	+28	=1467	37%
7/15Saturday, July 158:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	63%
7/15Saturday, July 158:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1436	+3	+24	=1463	37%
7/16Sunday, July 163:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	63%
7/16Sunday, July 163:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1436	+3	+24	=1463	37%
7/17Monday, July 179:38 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	–3	=1550	51%
7/17Monday, July 179:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1519	+2	+24	=1545	49%
7/18Tuesday, July 189:38 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	51%
7/18Tuesday, July 189:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1519	+2	+24	=1545	49%
7/19Wednesday, July 197:07 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	51%
7/19Wednesday, July 197:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1519	+2	+24	=1545	49%
7/21Friday, July 217:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1421	–1	–3	=1417	29%
7/21Friday, July 217:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+22	=1575	71%
7/22Saturday, July 221:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1421	–1	+0	=1420	29%
7/22Saturday, July 221:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	71%
7/23Sunday, July 231:35 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1421	–1	+0	=1420	29%
7/23Sunday, July 231:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	71%
7/25Tuesday, July 257:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+3	=1531	43%
7/25Tuesday, July 257:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+26	=1579	57%
7/26Wednesday, July 267:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	43%
7/26Wednesday, July 267:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	57%
7/28Friday, July 287:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	52%
7/28Friday, July 287:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+25	=1537	48%
7/29Saturday, July 297:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	52%
7/29Saturday, July 297:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	48%
7/30Sunday, July 301:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	52%
7/30Sunday, July 301:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	48%
7/31Monday, July 317:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	–3	=1563	48%
7/31Monday, July 317:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+22	=1575	52%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	+0	=1566	48%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	52%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	+0	=1566	48%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	52%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 37:15 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1548	+0	–3	=1545	45%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 37:15 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	55%
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1548	+0	+0	=1548	46%
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	54%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 51:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1548	+0	+0	=1548	46%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 51:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	54%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:35 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1548	+0	+0	=1548	46%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	54%
8/7Monday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	–3	=1550	56%
8/7Monday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	+22	=1506	44%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	57%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	+24	=1508	43%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	57%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	+24	=1508	43%
8/11Friday, Aug. 116:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	–1	=1552	54%
8/11Friday, Aug. 116:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+23	=1526	46%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	54%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+24	=1527	46%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	54%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+24	=1527	46%
8/14Monday, Aug. 147:20 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	–3	=1550	44%
8/14Monday, Aug. 147:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+21	=1591	56%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:20 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	44%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+24	=1594	56%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 167:20 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	44%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 167:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+24	=1594	56%
8/18Friday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	–2	=1523	42%
8/18Friday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+23	=1576	58%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 191:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	43%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 191:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	57%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	43%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	57%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	30%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+26	=1579	70%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	31%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	69%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	31%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	69%
8/25Friday, Aug. 256:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	–3	=1550	44%
8/25Friday, Aug. 256:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	+24	=1590	56%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	45%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	+24	=1590	55%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	45%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	+24	=1590	55%
8/28Monday, Aug. 286:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	–3	=1550	61%
8/28Monday, Aug. 286:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1450	–4	+24	=1470	39%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	62%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1450	–4	+24	=1470	38%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	62%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1450	–4	+24	=1470	38%
8/31Thursday, Aug. 311:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	62%
8/31Thursday, Aug. 311:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1450	–4	+24	=1470	38%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	–3	=1550	47%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1548	+0	+22	=1570	53%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	47%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1548	+0	+24	=1572	53%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	47%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1548	+0	+24	=1572	53%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1450	–4	–1	=1445	32%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+23	=1576	68%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1450	–4	+0	=1446	32%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	68%
9/7Thursday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1450	–4	+0	=1446	32%
9/7Thursday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	68%
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	41%
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	59%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 92:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	41%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 92:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	59%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:35 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	41%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	59%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	–2	=1551	50%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	50%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	51%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	49%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	51%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	49%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 147:15 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	51%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 147:15 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	49%
9/15Friday, Sept. 156:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	–2	=1551	60%
9/15Friday, Sept. 156:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	40%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 166:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	60%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 166:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	40%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	60%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	40%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1538	+0	+0	=1538	44%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	56%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1538	+0	+0	=1538	44%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	56%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1538	+0	+0	=1538	44%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	56%
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1505	+2	–2	=1505	40%
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	60%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 231:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1505	+2	+0	=1507	40%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 231:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	60%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:35 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1505	+2	+0	=1507	40%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	60%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:07 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	49%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1538	+0	+23	=1561	51%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:07 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	49%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1538	+0	+24	=1562	51%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	49%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1538	+0	+24	=1562	51%
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	–3	=1550	65%
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1421	–1	+21	=1441	35%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	65%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1421	–1	+24	=1444	35%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	65%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1421	–1	+24	=1444	35%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
6/20Tuesday, June 207:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kirby	1513	+10	–2	=1521	38%	1
6/20Tuesday, June 207:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1554	+25	+24	=1603	62%	3
6/18Sunday, June 187 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Severino	1556	–2	+0	=1554	52%	1
6/18Sunday, June 187 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1517	–2	+24	=1539	48%	4
6/18Sunday, June 181:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1558	–22	+2	=1538	52%	2
6/18Sunday, June 181:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Ort	1515	–20	+26	=1521	48%	6
6/16Friday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1562	+4	+0	=1566	53%	5
6/16Friday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Houck	1511	+11	+26	=1548	47%	15
6/14Wednesday, June 147 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1563	+21	+0	=1584	50%	3
6/14Wednesday, June 147 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Verlander	1522	+37	+24	=1583	50%	4
6/13Tuesday, June 137:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Severino	1562	+1	+1	=1564	47%	7
6/13Tuesday, June 137:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1523	+36	+24	=1583	53%	6
6/11Sunday, June 117 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1512	–4	+0	=1508	43%	3
6/11Sunday, June 117 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1563	–27	+24	=1560	57%	2
6/10Saturday, June 107:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Houck	1513	+11	+0	=1524	41%	1
6/10Saturday, June 107:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1562	+3	+24	=1589	59%	3
6/9Friday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1512	–8	–2	=1502	35%	3
6/9Friday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1563	+21	+24	=1608	65%	2
6/8Thursday, June 87:35 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Clevinger	1487	–8	+0	=1479	39%	0
6/8Thursday, June 87:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Vasquez	1562	–31	+24	=1555	61%	3
6/8Thursday, June 84:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1485	–10	+2	=1477	34%	6
6/8Thursday, June 84:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Severino	1563	+7	+26	=1596	66%	5
6/6Tuesday, June 67:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1484	+1	–1	=1484	39%	3
6/6Tuesday, June 67:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1565	–27	+22	=1560	61%	2
6/4Sunday, June 47 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1563	+0	+0	=1563	48%	4
6/4Sunday, June 47 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Miller	1565	–11	+24	=1578	52%	1
6/3Saturday, June 37:15 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1561	+20	+0	=1581	54%	6
6/3Saturday, June 37:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Grove	1566	–39	+24	=1551	46%	3
6/2Friday, June 210:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Severino	1563	+16	–1	=1578	45%	4
6/2Friday, June 210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1565	+22	+26	=1613	55%	8
5/31Wednesday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1564	–33	+0	=1531	48%	0
5/31Wednesday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kirby	1515	+6	+24	=1545	52%	1
5/30Tuesday, May 309:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1561	+4	+0	=1565	51%	10
5/30Tuesday, May 309:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1518	+14	+24	=1556	49%	2
5/29Monday, May 299:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1559	+2	–4	=1557	51%	10
5/29Monday, May 299:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Miller	1520	+8	+24	=1552	49%	4
5/28Sunday, May 281:35 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1535	+23	+0	=1558	44%	7
5/28Sunday, May 281:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1557	+21	+24	=1602	56%	10
5/27Saturday, May 271:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Wacha	1535	+9	+0	=1544	43%	2
5/27Saturday, May 271:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Severino	1557	+14	+24	=1595	57%	3
5/26Friday, May 267:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1533	+4	–2	=1535	48%	5
5/26Friday, May 267:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Vasquez	1559	–36	+24	=1547	52%	1
5/25Thursday, May 257:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1509	–3	+0	=1506	44%	3
5/25Thursday, May 257:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1560	–37	+24	=1547	56%	1
5/24Wednesday, May 247:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1507	+19	+0	=1526	41%	9
5/24Wednesday, May 247:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1562	+5	+24	=1591	59%	6
5/23Tuesday, May 237:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1508	+10	+0	=1518	37%	5
5/23Tuesday, May 237:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1562	+27	+23	=1612	63%	6
5/21Sunday, May 2111:35 a.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Severino	1560	+12	+0	=1572	61%	4
5/21Sunday, May 2111:35 a.m. Eastern	CINReds	Greene	1449	+21	+24	=1494	39%	1
5/20Saturday, May 204:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Brito	1559	–41	+0	=1518	57%	7
5/20Saturday, May 204:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Weaver	1450	–5	+24	=1469	43%	4
5/19Friday, May 196:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1557	–42	–2	=1513	57%	6
5/19Friday, May 196:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Lively	1452	–9	+23	=1466	43%	2
5/18Thursday, May 187:07 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1556	+3	+0	=1559	50%	4
5/18Thursday, May 187:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Berrios	1546	–12	+24	=1558	50%	2
5/17Wednesday, May 177:07 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1558	+26	+0	=1584	50%	0
5/17Wednesday, May 177:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Bassitt	1544	+14	+24	=1582	50%	3
5/16Tuesday, May 167:07 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1556	–1	+0	=1555	45%	6
5/16Tuesday, May 167:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1546	+22	+24	=1592	55%	3
5/15Monday, May 157:07 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cordero	1554	–36	–2	=1516	40%	7
5/15Monday, May 157:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Manoah	1548	+11	+24	=1583	60%	4
5/14Sunday, May 141:35 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Eflin	1561	–12	+0	=1549	51%	8
5/14Sunday, May 141:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1555	–38	+24	=1541	49%	7
5/13Saturday, May 131:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McClanahan	1562	+15	+0	=1577	49%	8
5/13Saturday, May 131:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1554	+7	+24	=1585	51%	9
5/12Friday, May 127:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Kelley	1562	–39	+0	=1523	39%	5
5/12Friday, May 127:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1553	+27	+24	=1604	61%	6
5/11Thursday, May 117:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Rasmussen	1560	+7	–2	=1565	49%	8
5/11Thursday, May 117:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1555	–4	+24	=1575	51%	2
5/10Wednesday, May 1012:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Muller	1407	–5	+0	=1402	32%	3
5/10Wednesday, May 1012:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Brito	1554	–41	+24	=1537	68%	11
5/9Tuesday, May 97:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Rucinski	1409	–5	+0	=1404	32%	5
5/9Tuesday, May 97:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1553	–44	+24	=1533	68%	10
5/8Monday, May 87:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1410	+13	–3	=1420	28%	2
5/8Monday, May 87:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1552	+8	+21	=1581	72%	7
5/7Sunday, May 71:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1553	+33	+0	=1586	51%	7
5/7Sunday, May 71:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Guerra (open)	1560	–3	+24	=1581	49%	8
5/6Saturday, May 64:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1552	–7	+0	=1545	44%	3
5/6Saturday, May 64:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Rasmussen	1561	+5	+24	=1590	56%	2
5/5Friday, May 56:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Brito	1552	–37	–1	=1514	42%	4
5/5Friday, May 56:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Chirinos	1560	–11	+24	=1573	58%	5
5/3Wednesday, May 37:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1520	+33	+0	=1553	54%	3
5/3Wednesday, May 37:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1551	–48	+24	=1527	46%	4
5/2Tuesday, May 27:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bibee	1521	–22	+0	=1499	35%	2
5/2Tuesday, May 27:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1551	+32	+24	=1607	65%	4
5/1Monday, May 17:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1519	–7	–2	=1510	43%	3
5/1Monday, May 17:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1552	–14	+21	=1559	57%	2
4/30Sunday, April 302:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1556	+13	+0	=1569	55%	2
4/30Sunday, April 302:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1511	–2	+24	=1533	45%	15
4/29Saturday, April 297:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Brito	1557	–42	+0	=1515	49%	0
4/29Saturday, April 297:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Eovaldi	1509	–7	+24	=1526	51%	2
4/28Friday, April 288:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1559	–46	+0	=1513	41%	2
4/28Friday, April 288:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	deGrom	1508	+45	+24	=1577	59%	5
4/27Thursday, April 278:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1558	+31	–3	=1586	60%	4
4/27Thursday, April 278:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1509	–16	+21	=1514	40%	2
4/26Wednesday, April 261:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1555	–13	+0	=1542	50%	12
4/26Wednesday, April 261:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Maeda	1527	–5	+24	=1546	50%	6
4/25Tuesday, April 257:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1557	+14	+0	=1571	52%	2
4/25Tuesday, April 257:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ryan	1525	+10	+24	=1559	48%	6
4/24Monday, April 247:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Brito	1559	–41	–3	=1515	43%	1
4/24Monday, April 247:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Gray	1523	+14	+24	=1561	57%	6
4/23Sunday, April 231:35 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1540	+15	+0	=1555	53%	5
4/23Sunday, April 231:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1561	–52	+24	=1533	47%	1
4/22Saturday, April 221:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Manoah	1541	+20	+0	=1561	43%	2
4/22Saturday, April 221:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1560	+28	+24	=1612	57%	3
4/21Friday, April 217:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Kikuchi	1538	–30	–1	=1507	40%	6
4/21Friday, April 217:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1563	–12	+24	=1575	60%	1
4/20Thursday, April 204:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1517	+5	+0	=1522	39%	3
4/20Thursday, April 204:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1561	+13	+24	=1598	61%	9
4/19Wednesday, April 197:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1518	–22	+0	=1496	44%	2
4/19Wednesday, April 197:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Brito	1560	–44	+24	=1540	56%	3
4/18Tuesday, April 187:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1516	–24	–2	=1490	43%	5
4/18Tuesday, April 187:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1562	–52	+26	=1536	57%	2
4/16Sunday, April 161:35 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Lopez	1529	+9	+0	=1538	40%	0
4/16Sunday, April 161:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1561	+22	+24	=1607	60%	2
4/15Saturday, April 151:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Mahle	1531	–4	+0	=1527	44%	1
4/15Saturday, April 151:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1559	–16	+24	=1567	56%	6
4/14Friday, April 147:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Varland	1530	–25	+0	=1505	37%	4
4/14Friday, April 147:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1560	+15	+24	=1599	63%	3
4/13Thursday, April 137:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ryan	1526	+7	–3	=1530	46%	11
4/13Thursday, April 137:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Brito	1564	–29	+22	=1557	54%	2
4/12Wednesday, April 121:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1563	–50	+0	=1513	49%	4
4/12Wednesday, April 121:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Battenfield	1531	–31	+24	=1524	51%	3
4/11Tuesday, April 116:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1560	+20	+0	=1580	60%	11
4/11Tuesday, April 116:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Gaddis	1533	–47	+24	=1510	40%	2
4/10Monday, April 106:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1561	–16	–2	=1543	43%	2
4/10Monday, April 106:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1532	+35	+24	=1591	57%	3
4/9Sunday, April 91:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1560	+12	+0	=1572	58%	5
4/9Sunday, April 91:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1486	+9	+24	=1519	42%	3
4/8Saturday, April 87:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Brito	1559	–33	+0	=1526	52%	4
4/8Saturday, April 87:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Irvin	1487	–3	+24	=1508	48%	1
4/7Friday, April 73:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1560	–47	+0	=1513	50%	6
4/7Friday, April 73:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1486	+4	+23	=1513	50%	7
4/5Wednesday, April 51:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1525	+17	+0	=1542	42%	2
4/5Wednesday, April 51:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1559	+17	+24	=1600	58%	4
4/4Tuesday, April 47:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Strahm	1523	–32	+0	=1491	39%	4
4/4Tuesday, April 47:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1561	–16	+24	=1569	61%	1
4/3Monday, April 37:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Walker	1525	–12	–3	=1510	38%	1
4/3Monday, April 37:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1559	+12	+24	=1595	62%	8
4/2Sunday, April 21:35 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Stripling	1506	+16	+0	=1522	48%	0
4/2Sunday, April 21:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Brito	1557	–43	+24	=1538	52%	6
4/1Saturday, April 14:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1505	+8	+2	=1515	46%	7
4/1Saturday, April 14:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1558	–44	+26	=1540	54%	5
3/30Thursday, March 301:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1507	+20	–4	=1523	40%	0
3/30Thursday, March 301:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1556	+14	+24	=1594	60%	5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.