Updated Jun. 5, 2023, at 11:44 PM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Yankees have a 10% chance of winning the World Series.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
RaysRays43-1996%63%
YankeesYankees36-256.585%25%
Blue JaysBlue Jays33-289.556%7%
OriolesOrioles37-224.542%4%
Red SoxRed Sox30-2911.518%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/6Tuesday, June 67:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1484+11=148439%
NYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
156527+22=156061%
6/7Wednesday, June 77:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+0=148435%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158965%
6/8Thursday, June 87:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+0=148435%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158965%
6/9Friday, June 97:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+22=151439%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158961%
6/10Saturday, June 107:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151640%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158960%
6/11Sunday, June 117 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151640%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158960%
6/13Tuesday, June 137:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+1=156652%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+24=155648%
6/14Wednesday, June 147 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156551%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+24=155649%
6/16Friday, June 167:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156553%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+26=154247%
6/17Saturday, June 177:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156554%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154046%
6/18Sunday, June 187 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156554%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154046%
6/20Tuesday, June 207:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+12=150939%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158961%
6/21Wednesday, June 217:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+0=151139%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158961%
6/22Thursday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+0=151139%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158961%
6/23Friday, June 237:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
153921=153642%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158958%
6/24Saturday, June 244:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+0=153742%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158958%
6/25Sunday, June 251:35 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+0=153742%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158958%
6/27Tuesday, June 279:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+02=156369%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+22=142031%
6/28Wednesday, June 289:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156569%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142231%
6/29Thursday, June 293:37 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156569%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142231%
6/30Friday, June 308:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+04=156154%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+24=153346%
7/1Saturday, July 12:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156555%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+24=153345%
7/2Sunday, July 22:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156555%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+24=153345%
7/3Monday, July 37:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+12=150539%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+21=158661%
7/4Tuesday, July 41:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+0=150738%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158962%
7/5Wednesday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+0=150738%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158962%
7/6Thursday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+0=150738%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158962%
7/7Friday, July 77:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+13=148335%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158965%
7/8Saturday, July 81:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+0=148636%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158964%
7/9Sunday, July 91:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+0=148636%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158964%
7/14Friday, July 148:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+3=156863%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+28=147537%
7/15Saturday, July 158:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156563%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+24=147137%
7/16Sunday, July 163:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156563%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+24=147137%
7/17Monday, July 179:38 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+03=156254%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153746%
7/18Tuesday, July 189:38 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156554%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153746%
7/19Wednesday, July 197:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156554%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153746%
7/21Friday, July 217:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+03=143029%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+22=158771%
7/22Saturday, July 221:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143329%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158971%
7/23Sunday, July 231:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143329%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158971%
7/25Tuesday, July 257:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+3=153542%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+26=159158%
7/26Wednesday, July 267:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+0=153242%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158958%
7/28Friday, July 287:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156555%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+25=153245%
7/29Saturday, July 297:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156555%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153145%
7/30Sunday, July 301:35 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156555%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153145%
7/31Monday, July 317:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
156533=155946%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+22=158754%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+0=156246%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158954%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+0=156246%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158954%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 37:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156413=156046%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158954%
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156346%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158954%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 51:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156346%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158954%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156346%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158954%
8/7Monday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+03=156258%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+22=150642%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156558%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+24=150842%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156558%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+24=150842%
8/11Friday, Aug. 116:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+01=156457%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+23=151643%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156557%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151743%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156557%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151743%
8/14Monday, Aug. 147:20 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+03=156247%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+21=158153%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:20 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156547%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158453%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 167:20 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156547%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158453%
8/18Friday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+22=151439%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+23=158861%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 191:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151640%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158960%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151640%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158960%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144230%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+26=159170%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144230%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158970%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144230%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158970%
8/25Friday, Aug. 256:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+03=156247%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+24=158653%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156547%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+24=158653%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156547%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+24=158653%
8/28Monday, Aug. 286:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+03=156263%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147337%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156563%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147337%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156563%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147337%
8/31Thursday, Aug. 311:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156563%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147337%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+03=156247%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+22=158553%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156547%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158753%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156547%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158753%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+01=144831%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+23=158869%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144931%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158969%
9/7Thursday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144931%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158969%
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+0=151640%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158960%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 92:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+0=151640%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158960%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+0=151640%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158960%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+02=156353%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154047%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156554%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154046%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156554%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154046%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 147:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156554%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154046%
9/15Friday, Sept. 156:35 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+02=156359%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150141%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 166:35 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156559%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150141%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:35 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156559%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150141%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154444%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158956%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154444%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158956%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154444%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158956%
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+22=149937%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158963%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 231:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+0=150137%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158963%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+0=150137%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158963%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156550%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+23=156750%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156550%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156850%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156550%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156850%
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+03=156265%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+21=145435%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156565%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145735%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156565%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145735%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/4Sunday, June 47 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1563+0+0=156348%4
LADLADDodgers
Miller, Bobby
Miller
156511+24=157852%1
6/3Saturday, June 37:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1561+20+0=158154%6
LADLADDodgers
Grove, Michael
Grove
156639+24=155146%3
6/2Friday, June 210:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1563+161=157845%4
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1565+22+26=161355%8
5/31Wednesday, May 319:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
156433+0=153148%0
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1515+6+24=154552%1
5/30Tuesday, May 309:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1561+4+0=156551%10
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1518+14+24=155649%2
5/29Monday, May 299:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1559+24=155751%10
SEASEAMariners
Miller, Bryce
Miller
1520+8+24=155249%4
5/28Sunday, May 281:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1535+23+0=155844%7
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1557+21+24=160256%10
5/27Saturday, May 271:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1535+9+0=154443%2
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1557+14+24=159557%3
5/26Friday, May 267:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1533+42=153548%5
NYYNYYYankees
Vasquez, Randy
Vasquez
155936+24=154752%1
5/25Thursday, May 257:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15093+0=150644%3
NYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
156037+24=154756%1
5/24Wednesday, May 247:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1507+19+0=152641%9
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1562+5+24=159159%6
5/23Tuesday, May 237:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1508+10+0=151837%5
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1562+27+23=161263%6
5/21Sunday, May 2111:35 a.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1560+12+0=157261%4
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1449+21+24=149439%1
5/20Saturday, May 204:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Brito, Jhony
Brito
155941+0=151857%7
CINCINReds
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14505+24=146943%4
5/19Friday, May 196:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
1557422=151357%6
CINCINReds
Lively, Ben
Lively
14529+23=146643%2
5/18Thursday, May 187:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1556+3+0=155950%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154612+24=155850%2
5/17Wednesday, May 177:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1558+26+0=158450%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1544+14+24=158250%3
5/16Tuesday, May 167:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15561+0=155545%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1546+22+24=159255%3
5/15Monday, May 157:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cordero, Jimmy
Cordero
1554362=151640%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1548+11+24=158360%4
5/14Sunday, May 141:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
156112+0=154951%8
NYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
155538+24=154149%7
5/13Saturday, May 131:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1562+15+0=157749%8
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1554+7+24=158551%9
5/12Friday, May 127:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kelley, Trevor
Kelley
156239+0=152339%5
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1553+27+24=160461%6
5/11Thursday, May 117:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1560+72=156549%8
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15554+24=157551%2
5/10Wednesday, May 1012:35 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Muller, Kyle
Muller
14075+0=140232%3
NYYNYYYankees
Brito, Jhony
Brito
155441+24=153768%11
5/9Tuesday, May 97:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Rucinski, Drew
Rucinski
14095+0=140432%5
NYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
155344+24=153368%10
5/8Monday, May 87:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Sears, JP
Sears
1410+133=142028%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1552+8+21=158172%7
5/7Sunday, May 71:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1553+33+0=158651%7
TBTBRays
Guerra, Javy
Guerra (open)
15603+24=158149%8
5/6Saturday, May 64:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15527+0=154544%3
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1561+5+24=159056%2
5/5Friday, May 56:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Brito, Jhony
Brito
1552371=151442%4
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
156011+24=157358%5
5/3Wednesday, May 37:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1520+33+0=155354%3
NYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
155148+24=152746%4
5/2Tuesday, May 27:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bibee, Tanner
Bibee
152122+0=149935%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1551+32+24=160765%4
5/1Monday, May 17:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
151972=151043%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
155214+21=155957%2
4/30Sunday, April 302:35 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1556+13+0=156955%2
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
15112+24=153345%15
4/29Saturday, April 297:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Brito, Jhony
Brito
155742+0=151549%0
TEXTEXRangers
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
15097+24=152651%2
4/28Friday, April 288:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
155946+0=151341%2
TEXTEXRangers
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1508+45+24=157759%5
4/27Thursday, April 278:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1558+313=158660%4
TEXTEXRangers
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
150916+21=151440%2
4/26Wednesday, April 261:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
155513+0=154250%12
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
15275+24=154650%6
4/25Tuesday, April 257:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1557+14+0=157152%2
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1525+10+24=155948%6
4/24Monday, April 247:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Brito, Jhony
Brito
1559413=151543%1
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1523+14+24=156157%6
4/23Sunday, April 231:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1540+15+0=155553%5
NYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
156152+24=153347%1
4/22Saturday, April 221:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1541+20+0=156143%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1560+28+24=161257%3
4/21Friday, April 217:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1538301=150740%6
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156312+24=157560%1
4/20Thursday, April 204:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1517+5+0=152239%3
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1561+13+24=159861%9
4/19Wednesday, April 197:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
151822+0=149644%2
NYYNYYYankees
Brito, Jhony
Brito
156044+24=154056%3
4/18Tuesday, April 187:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
1516242=149043%5
NYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
156252+26=153657%2
4/16Sunday, April 161:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1529+9+0=153840%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1561+22+24=160760%2
4/15Saturday, April 151:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
15314+0=152744%1
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
155916+24=156756%6
4/14Friday, April 147:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
153025+0=150537%4
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1560+15+24=159963%3
4/13Thursday, April 137:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1526+73=153046%11
NYYNYYYankees
Brito, Jhony
Brito
156429+22=155754%2
4/12Wednesday, April 121:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
156350+0=151349%4
CLECLEGuardians
Battenfield, Peyton
Battenfield
153131+24=152451%3
4/11Tuesday, April 116:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1560+20+0=158060%11
CLECLEGuardians
Gaddis, Hunter
Gaddis
153347+24=151040%2
4/10Monday, April 106:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1561162=154343%2
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1532+35+24=159157%3
4/9Sunday, April 91:35 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1560+12+0=157258%5
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1486+9+24=151942%3
4/8Saturday, April 87:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Brito, Jhony
Brito
155933+0=152652%4
BALBALOrioles
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
14873+24=150848%1
4/7Friday, April 73:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
156047+0=151350%6
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1486+4+23=151350%7
4/5Wednesday, April 51:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1525+17+0=154242%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1559+17+24=160058%4
4/4Tuesday, April 47:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
152332+0=149139%4
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156116+24=156961%1
4/3Monday, April 37:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1525123=151038%1
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1559+12+24=159562%8
4/2Sunday, April 21:35 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1506+16+0=152248%0
NYYNYYYankees
Brito, Jhony
Brito
155743+24=153852%6
4/1Saturday, April 14:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1505+8+2=151546%7
NYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
155844+26=154054%5
3/30Thursday, March 301:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1507+204=152340%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1556+14+24=159460%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.