2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Blue Jays have a 4% chance of winning the World Series.
AL East standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | RaysRays43-19 | — | 96% | 63% | ||
![]() | YankeesYankees36-25 | 6.5 | 85% | 25% | ||
![]() | Blue JaysBlue Jays33-28 | 9.5 | 56% | 7% | ||
![]() | OriolesOrioles37-22 | 4.5 | 42% | 4% | ||
![]() | Red SoxRed Sox30-29 | 11.5 | 18% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/6Tuesday, June 67:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –7 | +0 | =1557 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +29 | +24 | =1597 | 56% | ||
6/7Wednesday, June 77:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | +0 | =1563 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 51% | ||
6/8Thursday, June 87:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | +0 | =1563 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 51% | ||
6/9Friday, June 97:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +1 | –3 | =1525 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 56% | ||
6/10Saturday, June 103:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +1 | +0 | =1528 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 56% | ||
6/11Sunday, June 111:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +1 | +0 | =1528 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 56% | ||
6/13Tuesday, June 137:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +26 | =1533 | 48% | ||
6/14Wednesday, June 147:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +24 | =1531 | 48% | ||
6/15Thursday, June 151:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +24 | =1531 | 48% | ||
6/16Friday, June 168:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | –3 | =1541 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | +24 | =1561 | 53% | ||
6/17Saturday, June 174:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | +24 | =1561 | 52% | ||
6/18Sunday, June 182:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | +24 | =1561 | 52% | ||
6/19Monday, June 196:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | –3 | =1541 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +21 | =1514 | 46% | ||
6/20Tuesday, June 206:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +24 | =1517 | 46% | ||
6/21Wednesday, June 2112:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +24 | =1517 | 46% | ||
6/23Friday, June 237:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | –2 | =1396 | 27% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +23 | =1567 | 73% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 244:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | +0 | =1398 | 27% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 73% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 251:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | +0 | =1398 | 27% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 73% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 277:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | –2 | =1506 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +26 | =1570 | 59% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 287:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +0 | =1508 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 59% | ||
6/29Thursday, June 297:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +0 | =1508 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 59% | ||
6/30Friday, June 307:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | –2 | =1514 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 58% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 13:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 57% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 21:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 57% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 48:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +22 | =1506 | 45% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +24 | =1508 | 45% | ||
7/6Thursday, July 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +24 | =1508 | 45% | ||
7/7Friday, July 76:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | –2 | =1542 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | +0 | +24 | =1473 | 40% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 81:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | +0 | +24 | =1473 | 40% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 91:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | +0 | +24 | =1473 | 40% | ||
7/14Friday, July 147:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +3 | =1504 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +29 | =1573 | 60% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 153:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +0 | =1501 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 60% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 161:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +0 | =1501 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 60% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 187:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | +0 | =1537 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +26 | =1570 | 55% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 197:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | +0 | =1537 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 55% | ||
7/20Thursday, July 201:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | +0 | =1537 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 55% | ||
7/21Friday, July 2110:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | –4 | =1540 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +1 | +24 | =1535 | 49% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 224:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +1 | +24 | =1535 | 49% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 234:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +1 | +24 | =1535 | 49% | ||
7/24Monday, July 2410:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | –3 | =1541 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –2 | +21 | =1582 | 56% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 2510:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –2 | +24 | =1585 | 56% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 264:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –2 | +24 | =1585 | 56% | ||
7/28Friday, July 287:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +2 | –2 | =1511 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +22 | =1566 | 58% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 293:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +2 | +0 | =1513 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 58% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 3012:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +2 | +0 | =1513 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 58% | ||
7/31Monday, July 317:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | –2 | =1505 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 59% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +0 | =1507 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 59% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 27:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +0 | =1507 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 59% | ||
8/3Thursday, Aug. 33:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +0 | =1507 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 59% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | –2 | =1542 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +22 | =1538 | 49% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 49% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 49% | ||
8/7Monday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | –3 | =1541 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +3 | +24 | =1540 | 50% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +3 | +24 | =1540 | 49% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +3 | +24 | =1540 | 49% | ||
8/10Thursday, Aug. 101:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +3 | +24 | =1540 | 49% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +22 | =1566 | 61% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 123:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 62% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 62% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +26 | =1570 | 58% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 167:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 57% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 186:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +26 | =1485 | 42% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 196:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 41% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 41% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +22 | =1529 | 48% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +24 | =1531 | 48% | ||
8/24Thursday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +24 | =1531 | 48% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +3 | –2 | =1514 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +22 | =1566 | 57% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 263:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +3 | +0 | =1516 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 57% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +3 | +0 | =1516 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 57% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | –3 | =1439 | 32% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 68% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 67% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 303:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 67% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | –1 | =1543 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +26 | =1473 | 40% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +24 | =1471 | 40% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 33:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +24 | =1471 | 40% | ||
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | –3 | =1541 | 66% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | +24 | =1422 | 34% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 59:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 67% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | +24 | =1422 | 33% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 63:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 67% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | +24 | =1422 | 33% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | –1 | =1432 | 32% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +22 | =1566 | 68% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 93:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | +0 | =1433 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 69% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | +0 | =1433 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 69% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | –3 | =1534 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 55% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | +0 | =1537 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 55% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | +0 | =1537 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 55% | ||
9/14Thursday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | +0 | =1537 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 55% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | –2 | =1514 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 58% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 163:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 57% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 57% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +24 | =1589 | 56% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +24 | =1589 | 56% | ||
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +24 | =1589 | 56% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | –3 | =1541 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –3 | +24 | =1586 | 56% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –3 | +24 | =1586 | 56% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –3 | +24 | =1586 | 56% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +0 | =1565 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +23 | =1567 | 50% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +0 | =1565 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 50% | ||
9/28Thursday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +0 | =1565 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 50% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –3 | +0 | =1562 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 51% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 303:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –3 | +0 | =1562 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 51% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –3 | +0 | =1562 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 51% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/5Monday, June 57:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1560 | –41 | –3 | =1516 | 43% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –3 | +22 | =1566 | 57% | 4 | |
6/4Sunday, June 41:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –33 | +0 | =1513 | 44% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +2 | +24 | =1556 | 56% | 4 | |
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –4 | +0 | =1541 | 51% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | –22 | +24 | =1533 | 49% | 1 | |
6/2Friday, June 27:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +6 | –2 | =1547 | 43% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | +40 | +24 | =1597 | 57% | 0 | |
6/1Thursday, June 11:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +3 | +0 | =1521 | 40% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +26 | +24 | =1592 | 60% | 3 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 317:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | –34 | +0 | =1482 | 38% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +2 | +24 | =1570 | 62% | 2 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 307:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | –15 | +0 | =1503 | 46% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –31 | +23 | =1534 | 54% | 7 | |
5/28Sunday, May 282:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | –4 | +0 | =1536 | 47% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | +5 | +24 | =1557 | 53% | 0 | |
5/27Saturday, May 272:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +14 | +0 | =1555 | 51% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –1 | +24 | =1549 | 49% | 9 | |
5/26Friday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +25 | –3 | =1562 | 54% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | –21 | +26 | =1532 | 46% | 1 | |
5/25Thursday, May 251:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +4 | +0 | =1546 | 46% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1559 | –12 | +24 | =1571 | 54% | 6 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 246:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1543 | –30 | +0 | =1513 | 38% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1558 | +13 | +24 | =1595 | 62% | 7 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 236:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | –10 | +0 | =1527 | 45% | 20 |
![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –24 | +24 | =1564 | 55% | 1 | |
5/22Monday, May 226:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +17 | –3 | =1552 | 46% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –3 | +24 | =1584 | 54% | 6 | |
5/21Sunday, May 211:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1505 | +5 | +0 | =1510 | 39% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +21 | +24 | =1586 | 61% | 3 | |
5/20Saturday, May 203:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1504 | –27 | +0 | =1477 | 37% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +3 | +24 | =1570 | 63% | 5 | |
5/19Friday, May 197:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | –7 | –2 | =1492 | 43% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –30 | +24 | =1539 | 57% | 2 | |
5/18Thursday, May 187:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1556 | +3 | +0 | =1559 | 50% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –12 | +24 | =1558 | 50% | 2 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 177:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1558 | +26 | +0 | =1584 | 50% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +14 | +24 | =1582 | 50% | 3 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 167:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1556 | –1 | +0 | =1555 | 45% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +22 | +24 | =1592 | 55% | 3 | |
5/15Monday, May 157:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | –36 | –2 | =1516 | 40% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1548 | +11 | +24 | =1583 | 60% | 4 | |
5/14Sunday, May 141:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –9 | +0 | =1555 | 51% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –27 | +24 | =1544 | 49% | 6 | |
5/13Saturday, May 133:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1566 | +1 | +0 | =1567 | 51% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –13 | +24 | =1557 | 49% | 5 | |
5/12Friday, May 127:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1568 | +30 | –1 | =1597 | 53% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +4 | +24 | =1572 | 47% | 3 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 104:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | +17 | +0 | =1562 | 48% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +29 | +24 | =1575 | 52% | 2 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 96:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +16 | +0 | =1563 | 50% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +17 | +26 | =1563 | 50% | 8 | |
5/7Sunday, May 71:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –28 | +0 | =1516 | 51% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +8 | +24 | =1509 | 49% | 1 | |
5/6Saturday, May 66:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –12 | +0 | =1530 | 55% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1479 | –7 | +24 | =1496 | 45% | 2 | |
5/5Friday, May 56:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +4 | –2 | =1542 | 55% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1481 | +4 | +21 | =1506 | 45% | 0 | |
5/4Thursday, May 46:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +25 | +0 | =1568 | 56% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –12 | +24 | =1529 | 44% | 11 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 37:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | +19 | +0 | =1564 | 54% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | –2 | +24 | =1536 | 46% | 8 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 27:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –26 | +0 | =1520 | 45% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +19 | +24 | =1556 | 55% | 7 | |
5/1Monday, May 17:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –10 | –2 | =1535 | 50% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1512 | –1 | +24 | =1535 | 50% | 6 | |
4/30Sunday, April 301:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1510 | –19 | +0 | =1491 | 39% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1549 | +0 | +24 | =1573 | 61% | 8 | |
4/29Saturday, April 293:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1510 | –26 | +0 | =1484 | 35% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1548 | +18 | +24 | =1590 | 65% | 1 | |
4/28Friday, April 287:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +35 | –2 | =1544 | 43% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +20 | +26 | =1593 | 57% | 3 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 261:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | –12 | +0 | =1473 | 41% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –31 | +24 | =1538 | 59% | 8 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 257:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1487 | –10 | +0 | =1477 | 39% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | –14 | +24 | =1553 | 61% | 7 | |
4/24Monday, April 247:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1488 | +2 | –3 | =1487 | 39% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +1 | +22 | =1565 | 61% | 5 | |
4/23Sunday, April 231:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +15 | +0 | =1555 | 53% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1561 | –52 | +24 | =1533 | 47% | 1 | |
4/22Saturday, April 221:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +20 | +0 | =1561 | 43% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +28 | +24 | =1612 | 57% | 3 | |
4/21Friday, April 217:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –30 | –1 | =1507 | 40% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –12 | +24 | =1575 | 60% | 1 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 198:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | –14 | +0 | =1526 | 45% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1549 | –9 | +24 | =1564 | 55% | 8 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 188:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | +1 | +0 | =1540 | 46% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1551 | –3 | +24 | =1572 | 54% | 2 | |
4/17Monday, April 178:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +25 | –3 | =1563 | 45% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1548 | +28 | +24 | =1600 | 55% | 9 | |
4/16Sunday, April 161:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | +13 | +0 | =1558 | 45% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +27 | +24 | =1595 | 55% | 1 | |
4/15Saturday, April 153:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –38 | +0 | =1508 | 47% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | –35 | +24 | =1532 | 53% | 5 | |
4/14Friday, April 147:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1548 | +17 | –3 | =1562 | 52% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | –18 | +24 | =1547 | 48% | 6 | |
4/13Thursday, April 137:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +7 | +0 | =1449 | 34% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | –1 | +24 | =1566 | 66% | 1 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 127:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1443 | +4 | +0 | =1447 | 30% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +24 | +24 | =1590 | 70% | 4 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 117:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1444 | –4 | +0 | =1440 | 29% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +34 | +22 | =1597 | 71% | 9 | |
4/9Sunday, April 94:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | –30 | +0 | =1510 | 46% | 12 |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –7 | +24 | =1537 | 54% | 11 | |
4/8Saturday, April 89:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –17 | +0 | =1525 | 46% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +11 | +24 | =1553 | 54% | 9 | |
4/7Friday, April 79:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | –4 | –3 | =1534 | 49% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +0 | +23 | =1542 | 51% | 3 | |
4/6Thursday, April 62:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +19 | +0 | =1559 | 62% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +4 | +24 | =1474 | 38% | 3 | |
4/5Wednesday, April 57:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | +30 | +0 | =1569 | 63% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1447 | +4 | +24 | =1475 | 37% | 0 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 47:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | –32 | +0 | =1505 | 57% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | –18 | +24 | =1455 | 43% | 1 | |
4/3Monday, April 37:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –12 | –2 | =1525 | 54% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +27 | +24 | =1497 | 46% | 9 | |
4/2Sunday, April 22:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +8 | +0 | =1549 | 47% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +19 | +24 | =1567 | 53% | 9 | |
4/1Saturday, April 12:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +17 | +2 | =1562 | 51% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +8 | +26 | =1556 | 49% | 4 | |
3/30Thursday, March 304:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +35 | –3 | =1574 | 51% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +18 | +24 | =1565 | 49% | 9 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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