Updated Jun. 5, 2023, at 11:44 PM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Blue Jays have a 4% chance of winning the World Series.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
RaysRays43-1996%63%
YankeesYankees36-256.585%25%
Blue JaysBlue Jays33-289.556%7%
OriolesOrioles37-224.542%4%
Red SoxRed Sox30-2911.518%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/6Tuesday, June 67:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
15647+0=155744%
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1544+29+24=159756%
6/7Wednesday, June 77:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156349%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156851%
6/8Thursday, June 87:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156349%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156851%
6/9Friday, June 97:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+13=152544%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156856%
6/10Saturday, June 103:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152844%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156856%
6/11Sunday, June 111:37 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152844%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156856%
6/13Tuesday, June 137:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154452%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+26=153348%
6/14Wednesday, June 147:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154452%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153148%
6/15Thursday, June 151:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154452%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153148%
6/16Friday, June 168:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+03=154147%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156153%
6/17Saturday, June 174:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154448%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156152%
6/18Sunday, June 182:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154448%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156152%
6/19Monday, June 196:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+03=154154%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+21=151446%
6/20Tuesday, June 206:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154454%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151746%
6/21Wednesday, June 2112:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154454%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151746%
6/23Friday, June 237:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+52=139627%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+23=156773%
6/24Saturday, June 244:07 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+0=139827%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156873%
6/25Sunday, June 251:37 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+0=139827%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156873%
6/27Tuesday, June 277:07 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+12=150641%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+26=157059%
6/28Wednesday, June 287:07 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+1+0=150841%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156859%
6/29Thursday, June 297:07 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+1+0=150841%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156859%
6/30Friday, June 307:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+22=151442%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156858%
7/1Saturday, July 13:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151643%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156857%
7/2Sunday, July 21:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151643%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156857%
7/4Tuesday, July 48:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154455%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+22=150645%
7/5Wednesday, July 58:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154455%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+24=150845%
7/6Thursday, July 68:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154455%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+24=150845%
7/7Friday, July 76:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+02=154260%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147340%
7/8Saturday, July 81:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154460%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147340%
7/9Sunday, July 91:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154460%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147340%
7/14Friday, July 147:07 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+3=150440%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+29=157360%
7/15Saturday, July 153:07 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+0=150140%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156860%
7/16Sunday, July 161:37 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+0=150140%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156860%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:07 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153745%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+26=157055%
7/19Wednesday, July 197:07 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153745%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156855%
7/20Thursday, July 201:07 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153745%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156855%
7/21Friday, July 2110:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+04=154051%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+24=153549%
7/22Saturday, July 224:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154451%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+24=153549%
7/23Sunday, July 234:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154451%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+24=153549%
7/24Monday, July 2410:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+03=154144%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+21=158256%
7/25Tuesday, July 2510:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154444%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+24=158556%
7/26Wednesday, July 264:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154444%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+24=158556%
7/28Friday, July 287:07 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+22=151142%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+22=156658%
7/29Saturday, July 293:07 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+0=151342%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156858%
7/30Sunday, July 3012:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+0=151342%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156858%
7/31Monday, July 317:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+12=150541%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156859%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+0=150741%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156859%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 27:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+0=150741%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156859%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 33:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+0=150741%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156859%
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+02=154251%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+22=153849%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 54:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154451%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154049%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154451%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154049%
8/7Monday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+03=154150%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+24=154050%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154451%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+24=154049%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154451%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+24=154049%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 101:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154451%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+24=154049%
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:07 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+0=148639%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+22=156661%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 123:07 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+0=148638%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156862%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:37 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+0=148638%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156862%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:07 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151742%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+26=157058%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 167:07 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151743%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156857%
8/18Friday, Aug. 186:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154458%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+26=148542%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 196:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154459%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148341%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154459%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148341%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154452%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+22=152948%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154452%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153148%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154452%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153148%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+32=151443%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+22=156657%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 263:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+0=151643%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156857%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:37 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+0=151643%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156857%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:07 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+13=143932%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156868%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:07 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144233%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156867%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 303:07 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144233%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156867%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+01=154360%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+26=147340%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154460%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+24=147140%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 33:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154460%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+24=147140%
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:07 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+03=154166%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142234%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 59:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154467%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142233%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 63:37 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154467%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142233%
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+01=143232%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+22=156668%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 93:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143331%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156869%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:37 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143331%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156869%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
153923=153445%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156855%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+0=153745%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156855%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+0=153745%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156855%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+0=153745%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156855%
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+22=151442%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156858%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 163:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151643%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156857%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151643%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156857%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154444%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158956%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154444%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158956%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154444%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158956%
9/22Friday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+03=154144%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+24=158656%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154444%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+24=158656%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154444%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+24=158656%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156550%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+23=156750%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156550%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156850%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156550%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156850%
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+0=156249%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156851%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 303:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+0=156249%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156851%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+0=156249%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156851%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/5Monday, June 57:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Bielak, Brandon
Bielak
1560413=151643%11
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
15473+22=156657%4
6/4Sunday, June 41:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154633+0=151344%6
NYMNYMMets
Senga, Kodai
Senga
1530+2+24=155656%4
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15454+0=154151%2
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153122+24=153349%1
6/2Friday, June 27:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1543+62=154743%3
NYMNYMMets
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1533+40+24=159757%0
6/1Thursday, June 11:07 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1518+3+0=152140%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1542+26+24=159260%3
5/31Wednesday, May 317:07 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
151634+0=148238%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1544+2+24=157062%2
5/30Tuesday, May 307:07 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151815+0=150346%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154231+23=153454%7
5/28Sunday, May 282:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15404+0=153647%3
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1528+5+24=155753%0
5/27Saturday, May 272:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1541+14+0=155551%7
MINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
15261+24=154949%9
5/26Friday, May 268:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1540+253=156254%3
MINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
152721+26=153246%1
5/25Thursday, May 251:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1542+4+0=154646%3
TBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
155912+24=157154%6
5/24Wednesday, May 246:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154330+0=151338%3
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1558+13+24=159562%7
5/23Tuesday, May 236:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
153710+0=152745%20
TBTBRays
Bradley, Taj
Bradley
156424+24=156455%1
5/22Monday, May 226:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1538+173=155246%4
TBTBRays
Kelley, Trevor
Kelley (open)
15633+24=158454%6
5/21Sunday, May 211:37 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1505+5+0=151039%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1541+21+24=158661%3
5/20Saturday, May 203:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Rodriguez, Grayson
Rodriguez
150427+0=147737%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1543+3+24=157063%5
5/19Friday, May 197:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
150172=149243%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154530+24=153957%2
5/18Thursday, May 187:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1556+3+0=155950%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154612+24=155850%2
5/17Wednesday, May 177:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1558+26+0=158450%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1544+14+24=158250%3
5/16Tuesday, May 167:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15561+0=155545%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1546+22+24=159255%3
5/15Monday, May 157:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cordero, Jimmy
Cordero
1554362=151640%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1548+11+24=158360%4
5/14Sunday, May 141:37 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
15649+0=155551%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154727+24=154449%6
5/13Saturday, May 133:07 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
1566+1+0=156751%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154613+24=155749%5
5/12Friday, May 127:07 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1568+301=159753%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1544+4+24=157247%3
5/10Wednesday, May 104:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1545+17+0=156248%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1522+29+24=157552%2
5/9Tuesday, May 96:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1547+16+0=156350%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1520+17+26=156350%8
5/7Sunday, May 71:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154428+0=151651%10
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1477+8+24=150949%1
5/6Saturday, May 66:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154212+0=153055%8
PITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
14797+24=149645%2
5/5Friday, May 56:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1540+42=154255%4
PITPITPirates
Hill, Rich
Hill
1481+4+21=150645%0
5/4Thursday, May 46:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1543+25+0=156856%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
151712+24=152944%11
5/3Wednesday, May 37:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1545+19+0=156454%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15142+24=153646%8
5/2Tuesday, May 27:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154626+0=152045%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1513+19+24=155655%7
5/1Monday, May 17:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1547102=153550%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15121+24=153550%6
4/30Sunday, April 301:37 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151019+0=149139%10
TORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1549+0+24=157361%8
4/29Saturday, April 293:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
McGee, Easton
McGee
151026+0=148435%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1548+18+24=159065%1
4/28Friday, April 287:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1511+352=154443%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1547+20+26=159357%3
4/26Wednesday, April 261:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
148512+0=147341%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154531+24=153859%8
4/25Tuesday, April 257:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
148710+0=147739%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154314+24=155361%7
4/24Monday, April 247:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1488+23=148739%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1542+1+22=156561%5
4/23Sunday, April 231:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1540+15+0=155553%5
NYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
156152+24=153347%1
4/22Saturday, April 221:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1541+20+0=156143%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1560+28+24=161257%3
4/21Friday, April 217:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1538301=150740%6
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156312+24=157560%1
4/19Wednesday, April 198:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154014+0=152645%1
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15499+24=156455%8
4/18Tuesday, April 188:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1539+1+0=154046%4
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15513+24=157254%2
4/17Monday, April 178:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1541+253=156345%2
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1548+28+24=160055%9
4/16Sunday, April 161:37 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1545+13+0=155845%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1544+27+24=159555%1
4/15Saturday, April 153:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Faucher, Calvin
Faucher
154638+0=150847%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154335+24=153253%5
4/14Friday, April 147:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1548+173=156252%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154118+24=154748%6
4/13Thursday, April 137:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1442+7+0=144934%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
15431+24=156666%1
4/12Wednesday, April 127:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1443+4+0=144730%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1542+24+24=159070%4
4/11Tuesday, April 117:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14444+0=144029%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1541+34+22=159771%9
4/9Sunday, April 94:07 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154030+0=151046%12
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
15207+24=153754%11
4/8Saturday, April 89:07 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154217+0=152546%5
LAALAAAngels
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1518+11+24=155354%9
4/7Friday, April 79:38 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
154143=153449%4
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1519+0+23=154251%3
4/6Thursday, April 62:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1540+19+0=155962%6
KCKCRoyals
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1446+4+24=147438%3
4/5Wednesday, April 57:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1539+30+0=156963%3
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1447+4+24=147537%0
4/4Tuesday, April 47:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
153732+0=150557%4
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
144918+24=145543%1
4/3Monday, April 37:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1539122=152554%5
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1446+27+24=149746%9
4/2Sunday, April 22:15 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1541+8+0=154947%4
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1524+19+24=156753%9
4/1Saturday, April 12:15 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1543+17+2=156251%1
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1522+8+26=155649%4
3/30Thursday, March 304:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1542+353=157451%10
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1523+18+24=156549%9

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.