Updated Jun. 21, 2023, at 12:35 AM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Nationals are done for the season.

NL East standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Braves Braves47-26	—	99%	90%
Phillies Phillies38-35	9.0	50%	5%
Marlins Marlins42-32	5.5	48%	4%
Mets Mets33-39	13.5	24%	1%
Nationals Nationals27-44	19.0	<1%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
5/14Sunday, May 144:35 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1525	+32	+0	=1557	63%
5/14Sunday, May 144:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Irvin	1433	–2	+24	=1455	37%
6/21Wednesday, June 214:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1501	+16	+0	=1517	58%
6/21Wednesday, June 214:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1433	+1	+24	=1458	42%
6/23Friday, June 239:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	–2	=1432	32%
6/23Friday, June 239:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	+22	=1562	68%
6/24Saturday, June 248:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	32%
6/24Saturday, June 248:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	+24	=1564	68%
6/25Sunday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	32%
6/25Sunday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	+24	=1564	68%
6/26Monday, June 269:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	–3	=1431	36%
6/26Monday, June 269:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1512	+1	+20	=1533	64%
6/27Tuesday, June 279:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	36%
6/27Tuesday, June 279:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1512	+1	+24	=1537	64%
6/28Wednesday, June 284:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	36%
6/28Wednesday, June 284:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1512	+1	+24	=1537	64%
6/30Friday, June 306:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	–2	=1432	34%
6/30Friday, June 306:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+21	=1546	66%
7/1Saturday, July 14:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	34%
7/1Saturday, July 14:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	66%
7/2Sunday, July 21:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	34%
7/2Sunday, July 21:35 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	66%
7/3Monday, July 36:05 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	–2	=1473	52%
7/3Monday, July 36:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+22	=1456	48%
7/4Tuesday, July 411:05 a.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+0	=1475	52%
7/4Tuesday, July 411:05 a.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	48%
7/5Wednesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+0	=1475	52%
7/5Wednesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	48%
7/6Thursday, July 61:05 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+0	=1475	52%
7/6Thursday, July 61:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	48%
7/7Friday, July 77:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1536	–3	–2	=1531	60%
7/7Friday, July 77:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	40%
7/8Saturday, July 84:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1536	–3	+0	=1533	61%
7/8Saturday, July 84:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	39%
7/9Sunday, July 912:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1536	–3	+0	=1533	61%
7/9Sunday, July 912:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	39%
7/14Friday, July 148:15 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+4	=1438	37%
7/14Friday, July 148:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+29	=1532	63%
7/15Saturday, July 157:15 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	37%
7/15Saturday, July 157:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	63%
7/16Sunday, July 162:15 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	37%
7/16Sunday, July 162:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	63%
7/17Monday, July 178:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	–2	=1432	38%
7/17Monday, July 178:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+24	=1520	62%
7/18Tuesday, July 188:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	38%
7/18Tuesday, July 188:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+24	=1520	62%
7/19Wednesday, July 198:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	38%
7/19Wednesday, July 198:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+24	=1520	62%
7/21Friday, July 217:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1529	+0	–2	=1527	60%
7/21Friday, July 217:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+23	=1457	40%
7/22Saturday, July 227:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1529	+0	+0	=1529	60%
7/22Saturday, July 227:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	40%
7/23Sunday, July 231:35 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1529	+0	+0	=1529	60%
7/23Sunday, July 231:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	40%
7/24Monday, July 247:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1436	+3	–3	=1436	47%
7/24Monday, July 247:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	53%
7/25Tuesday, July 257:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1436	+3	+0	=1439	47%
7/25Tuesday, July 257:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	53%
7/26Wednesday, July 2612:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1436	+3	+0	=1439	47%
7/26Wednesday, July 2612:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	53%
7/27Thursday, July 277:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	–2	=1432	34%
7/27Thursday, July 277:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+23	=1551	66%
7/28Friday, July 287:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	34%
7/28Friday, July 287:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	66%
7/29Saturday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	34%
7/29Saturday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	66%
7/30Sunday, July 301:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	34%
7/30Sunday, July 301:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	66%
7/31Monday, July 317:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	–3	=1509	58%
7/31Monday, July 317:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+22	=1456	42%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	58%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	42%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 21:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	58%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 21:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	42%
8/4Friday, Aug. 46:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	41%
8/4Friday, Aug. 46:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+22	=1497	59%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	41%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+24	=1499	59%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	41%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+24	=1499	59%
8/7Monday, Aug. 76:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	–2	=1432	34%
8/7Monday, Aug. 76:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	66%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 86:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	34%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 86:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	66%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 96:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	34%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 96:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	66%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 106:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	34%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 106:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	66%
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1404	+6	–2	=1408	43%
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+22	=1456	57%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1404	+6	+0	=1410	43%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	57%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1404	+6	+0	=1410	43%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	57%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	59%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+26	=1460	41%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	59%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	41%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 174:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	59%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 174:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	41%
8/18Friday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	59%
8/18Friday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	41%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 194:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	59%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 194:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	41%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 207 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	63%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 207 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	37%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	30%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+26	=1579	70%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	31%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	69%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	31%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	69%
8/25Friday, Aug. 256:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	–3	=1431	37%
8/25Friday, Aug. 256:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+22	=1525	63%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	37%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+24	=1527	63%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	37%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+24	=1527	63%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:07 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	–3	=1431	32%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1538	+0	+24	=1562	68%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:07 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	32%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1538	+0	+24	=1562	68%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 303:07 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	32%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 303:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1538	+0	+24	=1562	68%
8/31Thursday, Aug. 317:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	–3	=1500	56%
8/31Thursday, Aug. 317:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+22	=1456	44%
9/1Friday, Sept. 17:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+0	=1503	56%
9/1Friday, Sept. 17:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	44%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 24:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+0	=1503	56%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 24:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	44%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 31:35 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+0	=1503	56%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 31:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	44%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	60%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+26	=1460	40%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	60%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	40%
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1552	+0	–3	=1549	62%
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+26	=1460	38%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 94:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1552	+0	+0	=1552	63%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 94:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	37%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1552	+0	+0	=1552	63%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	37%
9/11Monday, Sept. 116:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	–2	=1432	43%
9/11Monday, Sept. 116:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+22	=1480	57%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 126:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	43%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 126:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	57%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 136:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	43%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 136:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	57%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 1412:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	43%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 1412:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	57%
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	–2	=1432	35%
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	65%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	36%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	64%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	36%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	64%
9/18Monday, Sept. 187:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	–3	=1481	54%
9/18Monday, Sept. 187:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+21	=1455	46%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	+0	=1484	54%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	46%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 201:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	+0	=1484	54%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 201:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	46%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	–3	=1567	65%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	35%
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+0	=1570	66%
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	34%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 231:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+0	=1570	66%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 231:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	34%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:35 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+0	=1570	66%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	34%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 266:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+1	=1435	36%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 266:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	64%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	36%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	64%
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:20 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	–1	=1433	28%
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+24	=1594	72%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	29%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+24	=1594	71%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	29%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+24	=1594	71%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
6/20Tuesday, June 207:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1499	+17	+0	=1516	56%	9
6/20Tuesday, June 207:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1436	+18	+24	=1478	44%	3
6/19Monday, June 194:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1498	+9	–2	=1505	55%	8
6/19Monday, June 194:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1437	+12	+24	=1473	45%	6
6/18Sunday, June 181:35 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Luzardo	1498	+0	+0	=1498	57%	4
6/18Sunday, June 181:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1438	–13	+24	=1449	43%	2
6/17Saturday, June 174:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Garrett	1496	–3	+0	=1493	55%	5
6/17Saturday, June 174:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Irvin	1439	–7	+24	=1456	45%	2
6/16Friday, June 167:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1496	+22	–2	=1516	57%	6
6/16Friday, June 167:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1440	+4	+21	=1465	43%	5
6/15Thursday, June 158:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1438	+14	+0	=1452	29%	4
6/15Thursday, June 158:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1560	+23	+24	=1607	71%	1
6/14Wednesday, June 148:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1438	+12	+0	=1450	28%	4
6/14Wednesday, June 148:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1559	+29	+24	=1612	72%	5
6/13Tuesday, June 138:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1439	–13	–1	=1425	30%	1
6/13Tuesday, June 138:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Brown	1558	–5	+23	=1576	70%	6
6/11Sunday, June 111:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1436	+4	+0	=1440	29%	6
6/11Sunday, June 111:35 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Elder	1565	+8	+24	=1597	71%	2
6/10Saturday, June 104:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1437	+16	+0	=1453	34%	4
6/10Saturday, June 104:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Shuster	1564	–23	+24	=1565	66%	6
6/9Friday, June 97:20 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1437	+9	–1	=1445	34%	2
6/9Friday, June 97:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Smith-Shawver	1563	–29	+24	=1558	66%	3
6/7Wednesday, June 77:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1501	–15	+0	=1486	55%	6
6/7Wednesday, June 77:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1439	–12	+24	=1451	45%	2
6/6Tuesday, June 67:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1499	–14	–2	=1483	53%	10
6/6Tuesday, June 67:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Irvin	1441	–4	+26	=1463	47%	5
6/4Sunday, June 41:35 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1512	–1	+0	=1511	55%	11
6/4Sunday, June 41:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1444	+6	+24	=1474	45%	3
6/3Saturday, June 34:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Strahm	1511	–14	+0	=1497	52%	4
6/3Saturday, June 34:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1445	+16	+24	=1485	48%	2
6/2Friday, June 27:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1512	+36	–2	=1546	60%	7
6/2Friday, June 27:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1444	+10	+22	=1476	40%	8
5/31Wednesday, May 314:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1441	–11	+0	=1430	30%	10
5/31Wednesday, May 314:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1568	–17	+24	=1575	70%	6
5/30Tuesday, May 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Irvin	1442	–3	+0	=1439	27%	3
5/30Tuesday, May 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1567	+22	+24	=1613	73%	9
5/29Monday, May 299:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1443	+7	–3	=1447	33%	1
5/29Monday, May 299:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Miller	1565	–16	+20	=1569	67%	6
5/28Sunday, May 282:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1444	+9	+0	=1453	51%	2
5/28Sunday, May 282:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lynch	1432	–11	+24	=1445	49%	3
5/27Saturday, May 274:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1443	+11	+0	=1454	48%	4
5/27Saturday, May 274:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1433	+7	+24	=1464	52%	2
5/26Friday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1441	–9	–3	=1429	46%	12
5/26Friday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lyles	1435	–6	+26	=1455	54%	10
5/25Thursday, May 254:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1532	+1	+0	=1533	60%	8
5/25Thursday, May 254:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Irvin	1442	–4	+24	=1462	40%	6
5/24Wednesday, May 247:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Weathers	1534	–44	+0	=1490	52%	3
5/24Wednesday, May 247:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1441	+8	+24	=1473	48%	5
5/23Tuesday, May 237:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1533	+26	–2	=1557	61%	7
5/23Tuesday, May 237:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1442	+12	+26	=1480	39%	4
5/21Sunday, May 211:35 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Wentz	1453	–12	+0	=1441	45%	4
5/21Sunday, May 211:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1441	+10	+24	=1475	55%	6
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Faedo	1455	–27	+0	=1428	47%	2
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1439	–11	+24	=1452	53%	5
5/19Friday, May 197:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Boyd	1453	–17	+0	=1436	45%	8
5/19Friday, May 197:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Irvin	1441	+8	+21	=1470	55%	6
5/18Thursday, May 181:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1442	+6	+0	=1448	45%	3
5/18Thursday, May 181:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Perez	1486	–25	+24	=1485	55%	5
5/17Wednesday, May 176:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1443	+12	+0	=1455	43%	3
5/17Wednesday, May 176:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Cabrera	1485	–6	+24	=1503	57%	4
5/16Tuesday, May 166:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1444	+8	–3	=1449	40%	4
5/16Tuesday, May 166:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Luzardo	1484	+6	+26	=1516	60%	5
5/15Monday, May 154:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1534	–18	+0	=1516	59%	3
5/15Monday, May 154:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1440	–15	+24	=1449	41%	10
5/13Saturday, May 134:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Lucchesi	1535	–8	+0	=1527	58%	2
5/13Saturday, May 134:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1439	+5	+24	=1468	42%	3
5/12Friday, May 127:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1534	–14	–2	=1518	56%	3
5/12Friday, May 127:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1440	+11	+22	=1473	44%	2
5/10Wednesday, May 103:45 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1437	+8	+0	=1445	43%	11
5/10Wednesday, May 103:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Manaea	1501	–30	+24	=1495	57%	6
5/9Tuesday, May 99:45 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1438	–14	+0	=1424	34%	1
5/9Tuesday, May 99:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1500	+18	+24	=1542	66%	4
5/8Monday, May 89:45 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Irvin	1436	+4	–3	=1437	37%	5
5/8Monday, May 89:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1503	+3	+24	=1530	63%	1
5/7Sunday, May 74:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1435	+10	+0	=1445	42%	9
5/7Sunday, May 74:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1496	–18	+24	=1502	58%	8
5/6Saturday, May 68:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1435	+11	+0	=1446	43%	7
5/6Saturday, May 68:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1495	–26	+24	=1493	57%	8
5/5Friday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1436	+9	–4	=1441	37%	1
5/5Friday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1494	+20	+23	=1537	63%	3
5/4Thursday, May 41:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Taillon	1497	+5	+0	=1502	59%	3
5/4Thursday, May 41:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1435	–19	+24	=1440	41%	4
5/3Wednesday, May 37:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Stroman	1498	+15	+0	=1513	58%	1
5/3Wednesday, May 37:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Irvin	1434	+2	+24	=1460	42%	2
5/2Tuesday, May 27:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Wesneski	1500	–17	+0	=1483	53%	1
5/2Tuesday, May 27:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1432	+9	+24	=1465	47%	4
5/1Monday, May 17:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Smyly	1498	+4	–3	=1499	54%	5
5/1Monday, May 17:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1434	+16	+24	=1474	46%	1
4/30Sunday, April 301:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Oviedo	1487	–2	+0	=1485	53%	2
4/30Sunday, April 301:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1431	+8	+24	=1463	47%	7
4/29Saturday, April 296:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Velasquez	1483	–12	+0	=1471	53%	16
4/29Saturday, April 296:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Kuhl	1435	–8	+24	=1451	47%	1
4/29Saturday, April 291:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Hill	1481	+2	+0	=1483	56%	6
4/29Saturday, April 291:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1437	–19	+24	=1442	44%	3
4/27Thursday, April 277:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1437	+11	+0	=1448	33%	8
4/27Thursday, April 277:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Lucchesi	1550	–4	+24	=1570	67%	9
4/26Wednesday, April 267:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1435	+11	+0	=1446	36%	4
4/26Wednesday, April 267:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1553	–27	+24	=1550	64%	1
4/25Tuesday, April 257:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1432	+2	–1	=1433	34%	5
4/25Tuesday, April 257:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Butto	1556	–32	+22	=1546	66%	0
4/23Sunday, April 232:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1433	–18	+0	=1415	32%	1
4/23Sunday, April 232:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ober	1522	+0	+24	=1546	68%	3
4/22Saturday, April 222:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Kuhl	1429	–7	+0	=1422	31%	10
4/22Saturday, April 222:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Lopez	1526	+8	+24	=1558	69%	4
4/21Friday, April 218:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1428	+11	–1	=1438	36%	3
4/21Friday, April 218:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Mahle	1527	–7	+21	=1541	64%	2
4/19Wednesday, April 197:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1490	+12	+0	=1502	55%	4
4/19Wednesday, April 197:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1429	+12	+24	=1465	45%	0
4/18Tuesday, April 187:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1489	+1	–1	=1489	55%	1
4/18Tuesday, April 187:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1430	+2	+26	=1458	45%	0
4/16Sunday, April 161:35 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1532	+37	+0	=1569	69%	6
4/16Sunday, April 161:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1429	–20	+24	=1433	31%	7
4/15Saturday, April 154:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Plesac	1530	–27	+0	=1503	58%	6
4/15Saturday, April 154:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Kuhl	1430	–2	+24	=1452	42%	4
4/14Friday, April 147:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1530	–5	+0	=1525	59%	4
4/14Friday, April 147:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1431	+10	+22	=1463	41%	3
4/12Wednesday, April 124:07 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1431	+13	+0	=1444	40%	2
4/12Wednesday, April 124:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1517	–26	+24	=1515	60%	3
4/11Tuesday, April 119:38 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1432	+1	+0	=1433	30%	0
4/11Tuesday, April 119:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1517	+42	+24	=1583	70%	2
4/10Monday, April 109:38 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1430	–19	–3	=1408	34%	6
4/10Monday, April 109:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1519	–21	+24	=1522	66%	4
4/9Sunday, April 93:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Kuhl	1431	+0	+0	=1431	46%	6
4/9Sunday, April 93:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1441	–8	+24	=1457	54%	7
4/8Saturday, April 88:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1430	+7	+0	=1437	46%	7
4/8Saturday, April 88:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1443	+0	+24	=1467	54%	6
4/7Friday, April 78:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1428	+10	+0	=1438	49%	10
4/7Friday, April 78:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1445	–21	+24	=1448	51%	5
4/6Thursday, April 64:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1428	–3	–4	=1421	41%	0
4/6Thursday, April 64:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1444	+20	+23	=1487	59%	1
4/5Wednesday, April 51:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McClanahan	1536	+13	+0	=1549	65%	7
4/5Wednesday, April 51:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1430	–15	+24	=1439	35%	2
4/4Tuesday, April 47:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Fleming	1534	–55	+0	=1479	53%	10
4/4Tuesday, April 47:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Kuhl	1432	+2	+24	=1458	47%	6
4/3Monday, April 37:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Rasmussen	1533	+8	–3	=1538	60%	6
4/3Monday, April 37:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1433	+10	+24	=1467	40%	2
4/2Sunday, April 21:35 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Shuster	1558	–34	+0	=1524	59%	1
4/2Sunday, April 21:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1431	+5	+24	=1460	41%	4
4/1Saturday, April 14:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Strider	1556	+20	+2	=1578	67%	7
4/1Saturday, April 14:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1432	+0	+26	=1458	33%	1
3/30Thursday, March 301:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1555	+21	–3	=1573	68%	7
3/30Thursday, March 301:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1434	–13	+24	=1445	32%	2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.