2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Nationals have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.
NL East standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | BravesBraves35-24 | — | 95% | 79% | ||
![]() | MetsMets29-30 | 6.0 | 53% | 11% | ||
![]() | PhilliesPhillies28-32 | 7.5 | 36% | 6% | ||
![]() | MarlinsMarlins33-28 | 3.0 | 35% | 4% | ||
![]() | NationalsNationals25-33 | 9.5 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/14Sunday, May 144:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +36 | +0 | =1565 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | –4 | +24 | =1461 | 37% | ||
6/6Tuesday, June 67:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –14 | –2 | =1483 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | –4 | +26 | =1463 | 47% | ||
6/7Wednesday, June 77:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +0 | =1501 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 45% | ||
6/8Thursday, June 81:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +0 | =1501 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 45% | ||
6/9Friday, June 97:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | –3 | =1439 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +24 | =1584 | 70% | ||
6/10Saturday, June 104:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +24 | =1584 | 69% | ||
6/11Sunday, June 111:30 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +24 | =1584 | 69% | ||
6/13Tuesday, June 138:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | –1 | =1441 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | +23 | =1586 | 70% | ||
6/14Wednesday, June 148:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | +24 | =1587 | 70% | ||
6/15Thursday, June 158:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | +24 | =1587 | 70% | ||
6/16Friday, June 167:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | –2 | =1491 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +21 | =1463 | 46% | ||
6/17Saturday, June 174:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +0 | =1493 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 46% | ||
6/18Sunday, June 181:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +0 | =1493 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 46% | ||
6/19Monday, June 194:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | –2 | =1507 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 44% | ||
6/20Tuesday, June 207:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 44% | ||
6/21Wednesday, June 214:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 44% | ||
6/23Friday, June 239:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | –2 | =1440 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | +22 | =1559 | 66% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 248:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | +24 | =1561 | 66% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | +24 | =1561 | 66% | ||
6/26Monday, June 269:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | –3 | =1439 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +1 | +20 | =1531 | 63% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 279:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +1 | +24 | =1535 | 63% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 284:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +1 | +24 | =1535 | 63% | ||
6/30Friday, June 306:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | –2 | =1440 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +21 | =1538 | 64% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 14:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 64% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 21:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 64% | ||
7/3Monday, July 36:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | –2 | =1457 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +22 | =1464 | 51% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 411:05 a.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 51% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 51% | ||
7/6Thursday, July 61:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 51% | ||
7/7Friday, July 77:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | –2 | =1535 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 40% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 84:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | +0 | =1537 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 40% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 912:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | +0 | =1537 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 40% | ||
7/14Friday, July 148:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +4 | =1446 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +29 | =1538 | 63% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 157:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 63% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 162:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 63% | ||
7/17Monday, July 178:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | –2 | =1440 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 60% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 188:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 60% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 198:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 60% | ||
7/21Friday, July 217:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | –2 | =1506 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +23 | =1465 | 44% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 227:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +0 | =1508 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 44% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 231:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +0 | =1508 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 44% | ||
7/24Monday, July 247:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | –3 | =1444 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 53% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 257:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +0 | =1447 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 53% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 2612:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +0 | =1447 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 53% | ||
7/27Thursday, July 277:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | –2 | =1440 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +23 | =1555 | 66% | ||
7/28Friday, July 287:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +24 | =1556 | 66% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +24 | =1556 | 66% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 301:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +24 | =1556 | 66% | ||
7/31Monday, July 317:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | –3 | =1513 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +22 | =1464 | 43% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +0 | =1516 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 43% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 21:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +0 | =1516 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 43% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 46:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +22 | =1481 | 56% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 56% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 56% | ||
8/7Monday, Aug. 76:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | –2 | =1440 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 64% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 86:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 64% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 96:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 64% | ||
8/10Thursday, Aug. 106:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 64% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | –2 | =1396 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +22 | =1464 | 60% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | +0 | =1398 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 60% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | +0 | =1398 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 60% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +26 | =1468 | 43% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 43% | ||
8/17Thursday, Aug. 174:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 43% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 43% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 194:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 43% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 207 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 39% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +26 | =1591 | 70% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +24 | =1589 | 70% | ||
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +24 | =1589 | 70% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 256:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | –3 | =1439 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +22 | =1515 | 61% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +24 | =1517 | 61% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +24 | =1517 | 61% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | –3 | =1439 | 32% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 68% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 67% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 303:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 67% | ||
8/31Thursday, Aug. 317:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | –3 | =1490 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +22 | =1464 | 46% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 17:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +0 | =1493 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 46% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 24:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +0 | =1493 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 46% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 31:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +0 | =1493 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 46% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +0 | =1532 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +26 | =1468 | 41% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +0 | =1532 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 41% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –2 | –3 | =1558 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +26 | =1468 | 37% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 94:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –2 | +0 | =1561 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 37% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –2 | +0 | =1561 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 37% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 116:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | –2 | =1440 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +22 | =1499 | 58% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 126:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +24 | =1501 | 58% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 136:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +24 | =1501 | 58% | ||
9/14Thursday, Sept. 1412:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +24 | =1501 | 58% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | –2 | =1440 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 64% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 64% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 64% | ||
9/18Monday, Sept. 187:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | –3 | =1481 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +21 | =1463 | 47% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +0 | =1484 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 47% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 201:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +0 | =1484 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 47% | ||
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | –3 | =1557 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 37% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +0 | =1560 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 37% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 231:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +0 | =1560 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 37% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +0 | =1560 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 37% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 266:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +1 | =1443 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +24 | =1531 | 62% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +24 | =1531 | 62% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | –1 | =1441 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +24 | =1584 | 69% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +24 | =1584 | 69% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +24 | =1584 | 69% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/4Sunday, June 41:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1512 | –1 | +0 | =1511 | 55% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1444 | +6 | +24 | =1474 | 45% | 3 | |
6/3Saturday, June 34:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | –14 | +0 | =1497 | 52% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1445 | +16 | +24 | =1485 | 48% | 2 | |
6/2Friday, June 27:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1512 | +36 | –2 | =1546 | 60% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1444 | +10 | +22 | =1476 | 40% | 8 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 314:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | –11 | +0 | =1430 | 30% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1568 | –17 | +24 | =1575 | 70% | 6 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | –3 | +0 | =1439 | 27% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1567 | +22 | +24 | =1613 | 73% | 9 | |
5/29Monday, May 299:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1443 | +7 | –3 | =1447 | 33% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –16 | +20 | =1569 | 67% | 6 | |
5/28Sunday, May 282:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1444 | +9 | +0 | =1453 | 51% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1432 | –11 | +24 | =1445 | 49% | 3 | |
5/27Saturday, May 274:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1443 | +11 | +0 | =1454 | 48% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +7 | +24 | =1464 | 52% | 2 | |
5/26Friday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | –9 | –3 | =1429 | 46% | 12 |
![]() | ![]() | 1435 | –6 | +26 | =1455 | 54% | 10 | |
5/25Thursday, May 254:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +1 | +0 | =1533 | 60% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1442 | –4 | +24 | =1462 | 40% | 6 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 247:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –44 | +0 | =1490 | 52% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +8 | +24 | =1473 | 48% | 5 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 237:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | +26 | –2 | =1557 | 61% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +12 | +26 | =1480 | 39% | 4 | |
5/21Sunday, May 211:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | –12 | +0 | =1441 | 45% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +10 | +24 | =1475 | 55% | 6 | |
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1455 | –27 | +0 | =1428 | 47% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1439 | –11 | +24 | =1452 | 53% | 5 | |
5/19Friday, May 197:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | –17 | +0 | =1436 | 45% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +8 | +21 | =1470 | 55% | 6 | |
5/18Thursday, May 181:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +6 | +0 | =1448 | 45% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1486 | –25 | +24 | =1485 | 55% | 5 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 176:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1443 | +12 | +0 | =1455 | 43% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | –6 | +24 | =1503 | 57% | 4 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 166:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1444 | +8 | –3 | =1449 | 40% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +6 | +26 | =1516 | 60% | 5 | |
5/15Monday, May 154:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –18 | +0 | =1516 | 59% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1440 | –15 | +24 | =1449 | 41% | 10 | |
5/13Saturday, May 134:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –8 | +0 | =1527 | 58% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1439 | +5 | +24 | =1468 | 42% | 3 | |
5/12Friday, May 127:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –14 | –2 | =1518 | 56% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1440 | +11 | +22 | =1473 | 44% | 2 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 103:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1437 | +8 | +0 | =1445 | 43% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1501 | –30 | +24 | =1495 | 57% | 6 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 99:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1438 | –14 | +0 | =1424 | 34% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1500 | +18 | +24 | =1542 | 66% | 4 | |
5/8Monday, May 89:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1436 | +4 | –3 | =1437 | 37% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1503 | +3 | +24 | =1530 | 63% | 1 | |
5/7Sunday, May 74:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1435 | +10 | +0 | =1445 | 42% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1496 | –18 | +24 | =1502 | 58% | 8 | |
5/6Saturday, May 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1435 | +11 | +0 | =1446 | 43% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1495 | –26 | +24 | =1493 | 57% | 8 | |
5/5Friday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1436 | +9 | –4 | =1441 | 37% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1494 | +20 | +23 | =1537 | 63% | 3 | |
5/4Thursday, May 41:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1497 | +5 | +0 | =1502 | 59% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1435 | –19 | +24 | =1440 | 41% | 4 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 37:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +15 | +0 | =1513 | 58% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1434 | +2 | +24 | =1460 | 42% | 2 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 27:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1500 | –17 | +0 | =1483 | 53% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +9 | +24 | =1465 | 47% | 4 | |
5/1Monday, May 17:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +4 | –3 | =1499 | 54% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1434 | +16 | +24 | =1474 | 46% | 1 | |
4/30Sunday, April 301:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1487 | –2 | +0 | =1485 | 53% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1431 | +8 | +24 | =1463 | 47% | 7 | |
4/29Saturday, April 296:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1483 | –12 | +0 | =1471 | 53% | 16 |
![]() | ![]() | 1435 | –8 | +24 | =1451 | 47% | 1 | |
4/29Saturday, April 291:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1481 | +2 | +0 | =1483 | 56% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1437 | –19 | +24 | =1442 | 44% | 3 | |
4/27Thursday, April 277:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1437 | +11 | +0 | =1448 | 33% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1550 | –4 | +24 | =1570 | 67% | 9 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 267:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1435 | +11 | +0 | =1446 | 36% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –27 | +24 | =1550 | 64% | 1 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 257:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +2 | –1 | =1433 | 34% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1556 | –32 | +22 | =1546 | 66% | 0 | |
4/23Sunday, April 232:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –18 | +0 | =1415 | 32% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 68% | 3 | |
4/22Saturday, April 222:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1429 | –7 | +0 | =1422 | 31% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | +8 | +24 | =1558 | 69% | 4 | |
4/21Friday, April 218:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1428 | +11 | –1 | =1438 | 36% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | –7 | +21 | =1541 | 64% | 2 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 197:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1490 | +12 | +0 | =1502 | 55% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1429 | +12 | +24 | =1465 | 45% | 0 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 187:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1489 | +1 | –1 | =1489 | 55% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1430 | +2 | +26 | =1458 | 45% | 0 | |
4/16Sunday, April 161:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +37 | +0 | =1569 | 69% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1429 | –20 | +24 | =1433 | 31% | 7 | |
4/15Saturday, April 154:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | –27 | +0 | =1503 | 58% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1430 | –2 | +24 | =1452 | 42% | 4 | |
4/14Friday, April 147:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | –5 | +0 | =1525 | 59% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1431 | +10 | +22 | =1463 | 41% | 3 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 124:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1431 | +13 | +0 | =1444 | 40% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –26 | +24 | =1515 | 60% | 3 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 119:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +1 | +0 | =1433 | 30% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +42 | +24 | =1583 | 70% | 2 | |
4/10Monday, April 109:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1430 | –19 | –3 | =1408 | 34% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | –21 | +24 | =1522 | 66% | 4 | |
4/9Sunday, April 93:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1431 | +0 | +0 | =1431 | 46% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | –8 | +24 | =1457 | 54% | 7 | |
4/8Saturday, April 88:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1430 | +7 | +0 | =1437 | 46% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1443 | +0 | +24 | =1467 | 54% | 6 | |
4/7Friday, April 78:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1428 | +10 | +0 | =1438 | 49% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1445 | –21 | +24 | =1448 | 51% | 5 | |
4/6Thursday, April 64:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1428 | –3 | –4 | =1421 | 41% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1444 | +20 | +23 | =1487 | 59% | 1 | |
4/5Wednesday, April 51:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +13 | +0 | =1549 | 65% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1430 | –15 | +24 | =1439 | 35% | 2 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 47:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –55 | +0 | =1479 | 53% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +2 | +24 | =1458 | 47% | 6 | |
4/3Monday, April 37:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | +8 | –3 | =1538 | 60% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +10 | +24 | =1467 | 40% | 2 | |
4/2Sunday, April 21:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1558 | –34 | +0 | =1524 | 59% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1431 | +5 | +24 | =1460 | 41% | 4 | |
4/1Saturday, April 14:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1556 | +20 | +2 | =1578 | 67% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +0 | +26 | =1458 | 33% | 1 | |
3/30Thursday, March 301:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1555 | +21 | –3 | =1573 | 68% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1434 | –13 | +24 | =1445 | 32% | 2 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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