Updated Jun. 5, 2023, at 11:44 PM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Nationals have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BravesBraves35-2495%79%
MetsMets29-306.053%11%
PhilliesPhillies28-327.536%6%
MarlinsMarlins33-283.035%4%
NationalsNationals25-339.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/14Sunday, May 144:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1529+36+0=156563%
WSHWSHNationals
Irvin, Jake
Irvin
14414+24=146137%
6/6Tuesday, June 67:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
1499142=148353%
WSHWSHNationals
Irvin, Jake
Irvin
14414+26=146347%
6/7Wednesday, June 77:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+0=150155%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146645%
6/8Thursday, June 81:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+0=150155%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146645%
6/9Friday, June 97:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+13=143930%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158470%
6/10Saturday, June 104:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144231%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158469%
6/11Sunday, June 111:30 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144231%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158469%
6/13Tuesday, June 138:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+11=144130%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+23=158670%
6/14Wednesday, June 148:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144230%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158770%
6/15Thursday, June 158:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144230%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158770%
6/16Friday, June 167:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+02=149154%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+21=146346%
6/17Saturday, June 174:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149354%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146646%
6/18Sunday, June 181:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149354%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146646%
6/19Monday, June 194:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+32=150756%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146644%
6/20Tuesday, June 207:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+0=150956%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146644%
6/21Wednesday, June 214:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+0=150956%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146644%
6/23Friday, June 239:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+12=144034%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+22=155966%
6/24Saturday, June 248:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144234%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156166%
6/25Sunday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144234%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+24=156166%
6/26Monday, June 269:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+13=143937%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+20=153163%
6/27Tuesday, June 279:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144237%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+24=153563%
6/28Wednesday, June 284:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144237%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+24=153563%
6/30Friday, June 306:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+12=144036%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+21=153864%
7/1Saturday, July 14:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144236%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154164%
7/2Sunday, July 21:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144236%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154164%
7/3Monday, July 36:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+22=145749%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+22=146451%
7/4Tuesday, July 411:05 a.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145949%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146651%
7/5Wednesday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145949%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146651%
7/6Thursday, July 61:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145949%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146651%
7/7Friday, July 77:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
153922=153560%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146640%
7/8Saturday, July 84:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+0=153760%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146640%
7/9Sunday, July 912:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+0=153760%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146640%
7/14Friday, July 148:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+4=144637%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+29=153863%
7/15Saturday, July 157:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144237%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+24=153363%
7/16Sunday, July 162:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144237%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+24=153363%
7/17Monday, July 178:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+12=144040%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+24=151060%
7/18Tuesday, July 188:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144240%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+24=151060%
7/19Wednesday, July 198:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144240%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+24=151060%
7/21Friday, July 217:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+12=150656%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+23=146544%
7/22Saturday, July 227:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+1+0=150856%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146644%
7/23Sunday, July 231:35 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+1+0=150856%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146644%
7/24Monday, July 247:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+13=144447%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146653%
7/25Tuesday, July 257:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+0=144747%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146653%
7/26Wednesday, July 2612:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+0=144747%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146653%
7/27Thursday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+12=144034%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+23=155566%
7/28Friday, July 287:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144234%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+24=155666%
7/29Saturday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144234%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+24=155666%
7/30Sunday, July 301:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144234%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+24=155666%
7/31Monday, July 317:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
152043=151357%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+22=146443%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+0=151657%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146643%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 21:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+0=151657%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146643%
8/4Friday, Aug. 46:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144244%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+22=148156%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 54:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144244%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148356%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144244%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148356%
8/7Monday, Aug. 76:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+12=144036%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154164%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 86:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144236%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154164%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 96:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144236%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154164%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 106:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144236%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154164%
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+52=139640%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+22=146460%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+0=139840%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146660%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:35 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+0=139840%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146660%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151657%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+26=146843%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151657%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146643%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 174:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151657%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146643%
8/18Friday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151757%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146643%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 194:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151757%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146643%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 207 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151761%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144239%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144230%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+26=159170%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144230%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158970%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144230%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158970%
8/25Friday, Aug. 256:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+13=143939%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+22=151561%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144239%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151761%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144239%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151761%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:07 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+13=143932%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156868%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:07 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144233%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156867%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 303:07 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144233%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156867%
8/31Thursday, Aug. 317:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+03=149054%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+22=146446%
9/1Friday, Sept. 17:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149354%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146646%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 24:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149354%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146646%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 31:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149354%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146646%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+0=153259%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+26=146841%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+0=153259%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146641%
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
156323=155863%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+26=146837%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 94:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+0=156163%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146637%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:35 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+0=156163%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146637%
9/11Monday, Sept. 116:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+12=144042%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+22=149958%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 126:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144242%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150158%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 136:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144242%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150158%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 1412:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144242%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150158%
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+12=144036%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+24=154064%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144236%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+24=154064%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144236%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+24=154064%
9/18Monday, Sept. 187:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+03=148153%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+21=146347%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+0=148453%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146647%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 201:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+0=148453%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146647%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+03=155763%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146637%
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+0=156063%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146637%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 231:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+0=156063%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146637%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+0=156063%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146637%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 266:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+1=144338%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153162%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144238%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153162%
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+11=144131%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158469%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144231%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158469%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144231%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158469%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/4Sunday, June 41:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15121+0=151155%11
WSHWSHNationals
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1444+6+24=147445%3
6/3Saturday, June 34:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
151114+0=149752%4
WSHWSHNationals
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
1445+16+24=148548%2
6/2Friday, June 27:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1512+362=154660%7
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1444+10+22=147640%8
5/31Wednesday, May 314:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
144111+0=143030%10
LADLADDodgers
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
156817+24=157570%6
5/30Tuesday, May 3010:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Irvin, Jake
Irvin
14423+0=143927%3
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1567+22+24=161373%9
5/29Monday, May 299:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1443+73=144733%1
LADLADDodgers
Miller, Bobby
Miller
156516+20=156967%6
5/28Sunday, May 282:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
1444+9+0=145351%2
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
143211+24=144549%3
5/27Saturday, May 274:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1443+11+0=145448%4
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1433+7+24=146452%2
5/26Friday, May 268:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
144193=142946%12
KCKCRoyals
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14356+26=145554%10
5/25Thursday, May 254:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1532+1+0=153360%8
WSHWSHNationals
Irvin, Jake
Irvin
14424+24=146240%6
5/24Wednesday, May 247:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
153444+0=149052%3
WSHWSHNationals
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1441+8+24=147348%5
5/23Tuesday, May 237:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1533+262=155761%7
WSHWSHNationals
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
1442+12+26=148039%4
5/21Sunday, May 211:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
145312+0=144145%4
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1441+10+24=147555%6
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
145527+0=142847%2
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143911+24=145253%5
5/19Friday, May 197:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
145317+0=143645%8
WSHWSHNationals
Irvin, Jake
Irvin
1441+8+21=147055%6
5/18Thursday, May 181:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1442+6+0=144845%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Perez, Eury
Perez
148625+24=148555%5
5/17Wednesday, May 176:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
1443+12+0=145543%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
14856+24=150357%4
5/16Tuesday, May 166:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1444+83=144940%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
1484+6+26=151660%5
5/15Monday, May 154:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153418+0=151659%3
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
144015+24=144941%10
5/13Saturday, May 134:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
15358+0=152758%2
WSHWSHNationals
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1439+5+24=146842%3
5/12Friday, May 127:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
1534142=151856%3
WSHWSHNationals
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
1440+11+22=147344%2
5/10Wednesday, May 103:45 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1437+8+0=144543%11
SFSFGiants
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
150130+24=149557%6
5/9Tuesday, May 99:45 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143814+0=142434%1
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1500+18+24=154266%4
5/8Monday, May 89:45 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Irvin, Jake
Irvin
1436+43=143737%5
SFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1503+3+24=153063%1
5/7Sunday, May 74:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1435+10+0=144542%9
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Nelson, Ryne
Nelson
149618+24=150258%8
5/6Saturday, May 68:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
1435+11+0=144643%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
149526+24=149357%8
5/5Friday, May 59:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1436+94=144137%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1494+20+23=153763%3
5/4Thursday, May 41:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1497+5+0=150259%3
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143519+24=144041%4
5/3Wednesday, May 37:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1498+15+0=151358%1
WSHWSHNationals
Irvin, Jake
Irvin
1434+2+24=146042%2
5/2Tuesday, May 27:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Wesneski, Hayden
Wesneski
150017+0=148353%1
WSHWSHNationals
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1432+9+24=146547%4
5/1Monday, May 17:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1498+43=149954%5
WSHWSHNationals
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
1434+16+24=147446%1
4/30Sunday, April 301:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
14872+0=148553%2
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1431+8+24=146347%7
4/29Saturday, April 296:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
148312+0=147153%16
WSHWSHNationals
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14358+24=145147%1
4/29Saturday, April 291:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Hill, Rich
Hill
1481+2+0=148356%6
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143719+24=144244%3
4/27Thursday, April 277:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1437+11+0=144833%8
NYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
15504+24=157067%9
4/26Wednesday, April 267:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
1435+11+0=144636%4
NYMNYMMets
Senga, Kodai
Senga
155327+24=155064%1
4/25Tuesday, April 257:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1432+21=143334%5
NYMNYMMets
Butto, Jose
Butto
155632+22=154666%0
4/23Sunday, April 232:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143318+0=141532%1
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1522+0+24=154668%3
4/22Saturday, April 222:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14297+0=142231%10
MINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1526+8+24=155869%4
4/21Friday, April 218:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1428+111=143836%3
MINMINTwins
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
15277+21=154164%2
4/19Wednesday, April 197:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1490+12+0=150255%4
WSHWSHNationals
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
1429+12+24=146545%0
4/18Tuesday, April 187:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1489+11=148955%1
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1430+2+26=145845%0
4/16Sunday, April 161:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1532+37+0=156969%6
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
142920+24=143331%7
4/15Saturday, April 154:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153027+0=150358%6
WSHWSHNationals
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14302+24=145242%4
4/14Friday, April 147:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15305+0=152559%4
WSHWSHNationals
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1431+10+22=146341%3
4/12Wednesday, April 124:07 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
1431+13+0=144440%2
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
151726+24=151560%3
4/11Tuesday, April 119:38 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1432+1+0=143330%0
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1517+42+24=158370%2
4/10Monday, April 109:38 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1430193=140834%6
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
151921+24=152266%4
4/9Sunday, April 93:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1431+0+0=143146%6
COLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
14418+24=145754%7
4/8Saturday, April 88:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1430+7+0=143746%7
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1443+0+24=146754%6
4/7Friday, April 78:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
1428+10+0=143849%10
COLCOLRockies
Urena, Jose
Urena
144521+24=144851%5
4/6Thursday, April 64:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
142834=142141%0
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1444+20+23=148759%1
4/5Wednesday, April 51:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1536+13+0=154965%7
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143015+24=143935%2
4/4Tuesday, April 47:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
153455+0=147953%10
WSHWSHNationals
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1432+2+24=145847%6
4/3Monday, April 37:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1533+83=153860%6
WSHWSHNationals
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1433+10+24=146740%2
4/2Sunday, April 21:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Shuster, Jared
Shuster
155834+0=152459%1
WSHWSHNationals
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
1431+5+24=146041%4
4/1Saturday, April 14:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1556+20+2=157867%7
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1432+0+26=145833%1
3/30Thursday, March 301:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1555+213=157368%7
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143413+24=144532%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.