Updated Jun. 5, 2023, at 11:44 PM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Giants have a 1% chance of winning the World Series.

NL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Dodgers Dodgers35-25	—	96%	76%
Dbacks Diamondbacks35-25	—	55%	10%
Padres Padres28-32	7.0	53%	9%
Giants Giants29-30	5.5	35%	5%
Rockies Rockies26-35	9.5	<1%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
6/6Tuesday, June 68:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Brebbia (open)	1507	+1	–1	=1507	53%
6/6Tuesday, June 68:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Lamet	1446	+16	+23	=1485	47%
6/7Wednesday, June 78:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	55%
6/7Wednesday, June 78:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	45%
6/8Thursday, June 83:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	55%
6/8Thursday, June 83:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	45%
6/9Friday, June 910:15 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	–2	=1484	44%
6/9Friday, June 910:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+21	=1529	56%
6/10Saturday, June 107:35 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+0	=1486	43%
6/10Saturday, June 107:35 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	57%
6/11Sunday, June 114:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+0	=1486	43%
6/11Sunday, June 114:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	57%
6/12Monday, June 127:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–4	=1504	46%
6/12Monday, June 127:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1506	+3	+24	=1533	54%
6/13Tuesday, June 137:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	46%
6/13Tuesday, June 137:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1506	+3	+24	=1533	54%
6/14Wednesday, June 141:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	46%
6/14Wednesday, June 141:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1506	+3	+24	=1533	54%
6/16Friday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–2	=1506	39%
6/16Friday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	61%
6/17Saturday, June 179:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	39%
6/17Saturday, June 179:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	61%
6/18Sunday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	39%
6/18Sunday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	61%
6/19Monday, June 199:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	–2	=1535	51%
6/19Monday, June 199:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+22	=1530	49%
6/20Tuesday, June 209:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	51%
6/20Tuesday, June 209:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	49%
6/21Wednesday, June 219:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	51%
6/21Wednesday, June 219:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	49%
6/22Thursday, June 223:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	51%
6/22Thursday, June 223:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	49%
6/23Friday, June 2310:15 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–2	=1499	45%
6/23Friday, June 2310:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	55%
6/24Saturday, June 244:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	46%
6/24Saturday, June 244:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	54%
6/25Sunday, June 254:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	46%
6/25Sunday, June 254:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	54%
6/27Tuesday, June 277:07 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–2	=1506	41%
6/27Tuesday, June 277:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+26	=1570	59%
6/28Wednesday, June 287:07 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	41%
6/28Wednesday, June 287:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+24	=1568	59%
6/29Thursday, June 297:07 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	41%
6/29Thursday, June 297:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+24	=1568	59%
6/30Friday, June 307:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–2	=1506	43%
6/30Friday, June 307:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+24	=1556	57%
7/1Saturday, July 14:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	43%
7/1Saturday, July 14:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+24	=1556	57%
7/2Sunday, July 21:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	43%
7/2Sunday, July 21:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+24	=1556	57%
7/3Monday, July 39:45 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	–3	=1508	47%
7/3Monday, July 39:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+20	=1528	53%
7/4Tuesday, July 44:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+0	=1511	47%
7/4Tuesday, July 44:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	53%
7/5Wednesday, July 59:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+0	=1511	47%
7/5Wednesday, July 59:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	53%
7/7Friday, July 710:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–2	=1445	38%
7/7Friday, July 710:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+26	=1534	62%
7/8Saturday, July 84:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	38%
7/8Saturday, July 84:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	62%
7/9Sunday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	38%
7/9Sunday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	62%
7/14Friday, July 147:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+3	=1511	51%
7/14Friday, July 147:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1476	+1	+27	=1504	49%
7/15Saturday, July 157:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	51%
7/15Saturday, July 157:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1476	+1	+24	=1501	49%
7/16Sunday, July 1612:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	51%
7/16Sunday, July 1612:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1476	+1	+24	=1501	49%
7/17Monday, July 177:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–2	=1506	53%
7/17Monday, July 177:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+24	=1483	47%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	54%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+24	=1483	46%
7/19Wednesday, July 197:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	54%
7/19Wednesday, July 197:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+24	=1483	46%
7/20Thursday, July 2012:35 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	54%
7/20Thursday, July 2012:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+24	=1483	46%
7/21Friday, July 217:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–2	=1506	56%
7/21Friday, July 217:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+23	=1465	44%
7/22Saturday, July 227:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	56%
7/22Saturday, July 227:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+24	=1466	44%
7/23Sunday, July 231:35 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	56%
7/23Sunday, July 231:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+24	=1466	44%
7/24Monday, July 241:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–2	=1506	55%
7/24Monday, July 241:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+24	=1473	45%
7/25Tuesday, July 259:45 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+1	=1399	32%
7/25Tuesday, July 259:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+20	=1528	68%
7/26Wednesday, July 269:45 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	32%
7/26Wednesday, July 269:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	68%
7/28Friday, July 2810:15 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	–2	=1514	47%
7/28Friday, July 2810:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+26	=1534	53%
7/29Saturday, July 297:15 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+0	=1516	48%
7/29Saturday, July 297:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	52%
7/30Sunday, July 304:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+0	=1516	48%
7/30Sunday, July 304:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	52%
7/31Monday, July 319:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–3	=1498	45%
7/31Monday, July 319:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	55%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 19:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	46%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 19:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	54%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 29:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	46%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 29:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	54%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 33:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	46%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 33:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	54%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:07 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+1	=1509	62%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	38%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 64:07 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	62%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 64:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	38%
8/7Monday, Aug. 79:38 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–2	=1506	45%
8/7Monday, Aug. 79:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	55%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:38 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	46%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	54%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 99:38 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	46%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 99:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	54%
8/11Friday, Aug. 1110:15 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+1	=1538	51%
8/11Friday, Aug. 1110:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	49%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 129:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	51%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 129:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	49%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	51%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	49%
8/14Monday, Aug. 149:45 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	–4	=1558	54%
8/14Monday, Aug. 149:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	46%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 159:45 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+0	=1562	54%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 159:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	46%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 163:45 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+0	=1562	54%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 163:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	46%
8/18Friday, Aug. 187:20 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–2	=1506	39%
8/18Friday, Aug. 187:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+26	=1586	61%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:20 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	39%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+24	=1584	61%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:30 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	39%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:30 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+24	=1584	61%
8/21Monday, Aug. 216:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–3	=1505	45%
8/21Monday, Aug. 216:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1516	+1	+22	=1539	55%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 226:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	45%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 226:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1516	+1	+24	=1541	55%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 234:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	45%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 234:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1516	+1	+24	=1541	55%
8/25Friday, Aug. 2510:15 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	–2	=1558	54%
8/25Friday, Aug. 2510:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+22	=1530	46%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+0	=1560	54%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	46%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 274:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+0	=1560	54%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 274:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	46%
8/28Monday, Aug. 289:45 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	–3	=1456	39%
8/28Monday, Aug. 289:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	61%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 299:45 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+0	=1459	40%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 299:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	60%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 303:45 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+0	=1459	40%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 303:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	60%
8/31Thursday, Aug. 319:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–2	=1506	43%
8/31Thursday, Aug. 319:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+20	=1557	57%
9/1Friday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	42%
9/1Friday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+24	=1561	58%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 28:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	42%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 28:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+24	=1561	58%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	42%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+24	=1561	58%
9/4Monday, Sept. 42:20 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–4	=1504	49%
9/4Monday, Sept. 42:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+22	=1508	51%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	50%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+24	=1510	50%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 62:20 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	50%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 62:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+24	=1510	50%
9/8Friday, Sept. 810:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–1	=1446	38%
9/8Friday, Sept. 810:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+22	=1530	62%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 99:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	38%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 99:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	62%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 104:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	38%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 104:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	62%
9/11Monday, Sept. 119:45 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	–2	=1514	47%
9/11Monday, Sept. 119:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	53%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 129:45 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+0	=1516	48%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 129:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	52%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 133:45 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+0	=1516	48%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 133:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	52%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 148:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–3	=1505	55%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 148:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	45%
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	55%
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	45%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	55%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	45%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 173:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	55%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 173:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	45%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–1	=1507	47%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+26	=1527	53%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 203:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	48%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 203:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	52%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–2	=1506	39%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	61%
9/22Friday, Sept. 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	39%
9/22Friday, Sept. 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	61%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 239:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	39%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 239:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	61%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 244:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	39%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 244:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	61%
9/25Monday, Sept. 259:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	–2	=1535	51%
9/25Monday, Sept. 259:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+22	=1530	49%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 269:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	51%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 269:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	49%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 279:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	51%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 279:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	49%
9/29Friday, Sept. 2910:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–3	=1558	53%
9/29Friday, Sept. 2910:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+26	=1534	47%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 309:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	54%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 309:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	46%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	54%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	46%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
6/4Sunday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1503	+18	+0	=1521	49%	8
6/4Sunday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1509	–3	+24	=1530	51%	3
6/3Saturday, June 310:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1505	+10	+0	=1515	47%	0
6/3Saturday, June 310:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1508	+8	+24	=1540	53%	4
6/2Friday, June 210:15 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1504	+6	–2	=1508	42%	3
6/2Friday, June 210:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1509	+31	+26	=1566	58%	2
5/31Wednesday, May 313:45 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1469	+25	+0	=1494	45%	9
5/31Wednesday, May 313:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1512	–7	+24	=1529	55%	4
5/30Tuesday, May 309:45 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Oviedo	1468	–7	+0	=1461	39%	2
5/30Tuesday, May 309:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Brebbia (open)	1513	+2	+24	=1539	61%	1
5/29Monday, May 295:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Hill	1470	+4	–3	=1471	42%	4
5/29Monday, May 295:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1510	–2	+20	=1528	58%	14
5/28Sunday, May 282:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1512	+13	+0	=1525	52%	5
5/28Sunday, May 282:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Rea	1517	–30	+24	=1511	48%	7
5/27Saturday, May 274:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1510	+25	+0	=1535	46%	3
5/27Saturday, May 274:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1518	+18	+24	=1560	54%	1
5/26Friday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1505	–10	+0	=1495	41%	15
5/26Friday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1524	+12	+24	=1560	59%	1
5/25Thursday, May 257:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Alexander	1502	–17	–2	=1483	46%	5
5/25Thursday, May 257:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Teheran	1526	–41	+24	=1509	54%	0
5/24Wednesday, May 241:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1504	+2	+0	=1506	41%	1
5/24Wednesday, May 241:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ryan	1526	+17	+24	=1567	59%	7
5/23Tuesday, May 237:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1503	+13	+0	=1516	43%	4
5/23Tuesday, May 237:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Gray	1527	+15	+24	=1566	57%	3
5/22Monday, May 227:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Brebbia (open)	1501	+2	–4	=1499	42%	4
5/22Monday, May 227:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ober	1529	+6	+20	=1555	58%	1
5/21Sunday, May 214:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Luzardo	1487	+6	+0	=1493	47%	5
5/21Sunday, May 214:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1500	–7	+24	=1517	53%	7
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Garrett	1486	–13	+0	=1473	39%	1
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1501	+23	+24	=1548	61%	0
5/19Friday, May 1910:15 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1487	+30	–4	=1513	48%	3
5/19Friday, May 1910:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1500	+2	+26	=1528	52%	4
5/17Wednesday, May 173:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Walker	1520	–15	+0	=1505	47%	4
5/17Wednesday, May 173:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Stripling	1499	+5	+24	=1528	53%	7
5/16Tuesday, May 169:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1521	+31	+0	=1552	52%	3
5/16Tuesday, May 169:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1498	+16	+24	=1538	48%	4
5/15Monday, May 159:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Brogdon	1523	–32	–3	=1488	47%	3
5/15Monday, May 159:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1496	–8	+21	=1509	53%	6
5/14Sunday, May 144:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1497	+20	+0	=1517	56%	1
5/14Sunday, May 144:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Pfaadt	1493	–39	+24	=1478	44%	2
5/13Saturday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1499	+2	+0	=1501	40%	2
5/13Saturday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1492	+58	+24	=1574	60%	7
5/12Friday, May 129:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Brebbia (open)	1500	+0	+0	=1500	51%	5
5/12Friday, May 129:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1490	–18	+24	=1496	49%	7
5/11Thursday, May 119:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1498	+15	–3	=1510	52%	6
5/11Thursday, May 119:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1492	–22	+24	=1494	48%	2
5/10Wednesday, May 103:45 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1437	+8	+0	=1445	43%	11
5/10Wednesday, May 103:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Manaea	1501	–30	+24	=1495	57%	6
5/9Tuesday, May 99:45 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1438	–14	+0	=1424	34%	1
5/9Tuesday, May 99:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1500	+18	+24	=1542	66%	4
5/8Monday, May 89:45 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Irvin	1436	+4	–3	=1437	37%	5
5/8Monday, May 89:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1503	+3	+24	=1530	63%	1
5/7Sunday, May 74:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Houser	1528	–28	+0	=1500	45%	7
5/7Sunday, May 74:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Stripling	1505	+8	+24	=1537	55%	3
5/6Saturday, May 67:15 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Rea	1529	–39	+0	=1490	43%	1
5/6Saturday, May 67:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1503	+9	+24	=1536	57%	4
5/5Friday, May 510:15 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1531	+21	–3	=1549	58%	4
5/5Friday, May 510:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Manaea	1502	–31	+22	=1493	42%	6
5/3Wednesday, May 32:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1500	+16	+0	=1516	38%	4
5/3Wednesday, May 32:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1554	+21	+24	=1599	62%	2
5/2Tuesday, May 28:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1498	–2	+0	=1496	38%	2
5/2Tuesday, May 28:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Brown	1556	+0	+24	=1580	62%	0
5/1Monday, May 18:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Stripling	1500	+9	–3	=1506	40%	3
5/1Monday, May 18:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1554	+1	+24	=1579	60%	7
4/30Sunday, April 304:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1501	+13	+0	=1514	42%	4
4/30Sunday, April 304:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1539	+33	+0	=1572	58%	6
4/29Saturday, April 296:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Manaea	1502	–24	+0	=1478	40%	11
4/29Saturday, April 296:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1538	+15	–2	=1551	60%	16
4/27Thursday, April 273:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1511	+6	+0	=1517	46%	6
4/27Thursday, April 273:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1505	+15	+24	=1544	54%	0
4/26Wednesday, April 269:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Matz	1513	–3	+0	=1510	48%	3
4/26Wednesday, April 269:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1503	–3	+24	=1524	52%	7
4/25Tuesday, April 259:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Woodford	1514	–13	+0	=1501	46%	4
4/25Tuesday, April 259:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Brebbia (open)	1502	+1	+24	=1527	54%	5
4/24Monday, April 249:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1516	+20	–3	=1533	50%	0
4/24Monday, April 249:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1500	+7	+24	=1531	50%	4
4/23Sunday, April 237 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1557	–18	+0	=1539	51%	4
4/23Sunday, April 237 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Stripling	1499	+12	+24	=1535	49%	5
4/22Saturday, April 224:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1559	–20	+0	=1539	50%	4
4/22Saturday, April 224:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1497	+14	+24	=1535	50%	7
4/21Friday, April 2110:15 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Lucchesi	1556	–12	+0	=1544	53%	7
4/21Friday, April 2110:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1500	+0	+24	=1524	47%	0
4/20Thursday, April 209:45 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1554	–24	–2	=1528	54%	9
4/20Thursday, April 209:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Manaea	1502	–20	+20	=1502	46%	4
4/19Wednesday, April 191:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1500	+5	+0	=1505	51%	5
4/19Wednesday, April 191:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Rogers	1490	–15	+24	=1499	49%	2
4/18Tuesday, April 186:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1502	–9	+0	=1493	48%	2
4/18Tuesday, April 186:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Cabrera	1489	–6	+24	=1507	52%	4
4/17Monday, April 176:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1503	+14	–1	=1516	49%	3
4/17Monday, April 176:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Luzardo	1488	+9	+24	=1521	51%	4
4/15Saturday, April 151:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1504	–2	+0	=1502	54%	6
4/15Saturday, April 151:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Lorenzen	1446	+4	+24	=1474	46%	7
4/14Friday, April 146:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Manaea	1505	–20	–2	=1483	53%	5
4/14Friday, April 146:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Wentz	1444	–5	+22	=1461	47%	7
4/12Wednesday, April 129:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1559	+18	+0	=1577	56%	10
4/12Wednesday, April 129:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1507	+7	+24	=1538	44%	5
4/11Tuesday, April 119:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1562	–9	+0	=1553	55%	0
4/11Tuesday, April 119:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1505	–13	+24	=1516	45%	5
4/10Monday, April 109:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1559	+23	–3	=1579	55%	9
4/10Monday, April 109:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1507	+16	+24	=1547	45%	1
4/9Sunday, April 94:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Bubic	1448	–16	+0	=1432	37%	1
4/9Sunday, April 94:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1506	–6	+24	=1524	63%	3
4/8Saturday, April 84:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1447	+27	+0	=1474	45%	6
4/8Saturday, April 84:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Manaea	1508	–22	+24	=1510	55%	5
4/7Friday, April 74:35 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Keller	1445	–17	–4	=1424	34%	3
4/7Friday, April 74:35 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1510	+8	+20	=1538	66%	1
4/6Thursday, April 62:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1506	–10	+0	=1496	44%	16
4/6Thursday, April 62:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1501	+10	+24	=1535	56%	6
4/5Wednesday, April 52:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1507	+19	+2	=1528	46%	3
4/5Wednesday, April 52:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1499	+34	+26	=1559	54%	7
4/3Monday, April 33:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1504	–10	–3	=1491	46%	12
4/3Monday, April 33:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1503	–8	+21	=1516	54%	3
4/2Sunday, April 21:35 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Stripling	1506	+16	+0	=1522	48%	0
4/2Sunday, April 21:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Brito	1557	–43	+24	=1538	52%	6
4/1Saturday, April 14:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1505	+8	+2	=1515	46%	7
4/1Saturday, April 14:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1558	–44	+26	=1540	54%	5
3/30Thursday, March 301:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1507	+20	–4	=1523	40%	0
3/30Thursday, March 301:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1556	+14	+24	=1594	60%	5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.