Updated Jun. 5, 2023, at 11:44 PM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The White Sox have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

AL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Twins Twins31-29	—	70%	67%
Guardians Guardians27-32	3.5	28%	24%
White Sox White Sox26-35	5.5	7%	6%
Tigers Tigers26-32	4.0	3%	2%
Royals Royals18-42	13.0	<1%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
6/6Tuesday, June 67:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1484	+1	–1	=1484	39%
6/6Tuesday, June 67:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1565	–27	+22	=1560	61%
6/7Wednesday, June 77:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	35%
6/7Wednesday, June 77:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+24	=1589	65%
6/8Thursday, June 87:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	35%
6/8Thursday, June 87:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+24	=1589	65%
6/9Friday, June 98:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	–1	=1492	48%
6/9Friday, June 98:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+21	=1505	52%
6/10Saturday, June 102:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	+0	=1493	48%
6/10Saturday, June 102:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	52%
6/11Sunday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	+0	=1493	48%
6/11Sunday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	52%
6/13Tuesday, June 1310:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–2	=1482	36%
6/13Tuesday, June 1310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+22	=1583	64%
6/14Wednesday, June 1410 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	36%
6/14Wednesday, June 1410 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	64%
6/15Thursday, June 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	36%
6/15Thursday, June 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	64%
6/16Friday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–3	=1481	42%
6/16Friday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+26	=1537	58%
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	43%
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+24	=1535	57%
6/18Sunday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	43%
6/18Sunday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+24	=1535	57%
6/19Monday, June 198:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–3	=1534	54%
6/19Monday, June 198:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+20	=1504	46%
6/20Tuesday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	54%
6/20Tuesday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	46%
6/21Wednesday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	54%
6/21Wednesday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	46%
6/23Friday, June 238:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	–2	=1514	50%
6/23Friday, June 238:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+26	=1510	50%
6/24Saturday, June 244:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+0	=1516	51%
6/24Saturday, June 244:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	49%
6/25Sunday, June 252:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+0	=1516	51%
6/25Sunday, June 252:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	49%
6/26Monday, June 269:38 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–4	=1480	42%
6/26Monday, June 269:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+21	=1534	58%
6/27Tuesday, June 279:38 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	42%
6/27Tuesday, June 279:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	58%
6/28Wednesday, June 289:38 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	42%
6/28Wednesday, June 289:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	58%
6/29Thursday, June 294:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	42%
6/29Thursday, June 294:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	58%
6/30Friday, June 309:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–2	=1482	59%
6/30Friday, June 309:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	41%
7/1Saturday, July 14:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	59%
7/1Saturday, July 14:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	41%
7/2Sunday, July 24:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	59%
7/2Sunday, July 24:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	41%
7/4Tuesday, July 48:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+0	=1544	55%
7/4Tuesday, July 48:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+22	=1506	45%
7/5Wednesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+0	=1544	55%
7/5Wednesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	45%
7/6Thursday, July 68:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+0	=1544	55%
7/6Thursday, July 68:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	45%
7/7Friday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1506	+3	–3	=1506	49%
7/7Friday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	51%
7/8Saturday, July 82:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1506	+3	+0	=1509	50%
7/8Saturday, July 82:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	50%
7/9Sunday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1506	+3	+0	=1509	50%
7/9Sunday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	50%
7/14Friday, July 147:20 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+4	=1488	36%
7/14Friday, July 147:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+29	=1589	64%
7/15Saturday, July 157:15 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	36%
7/15Saturday, July 157:15 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+24	=1584	64%
7/16Sunday, July 161:30 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	36%
7/16Sunday, July 161:30 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+24	=1584	64%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–1	=1483	40%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+26	=1558	60%
7/19Wednesday, July 197:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	40%
7/19Wednesday, July 197:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+24	=1556	60%
7/20Thursday, July 201:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	40%
7/20Thursday, July 201:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+24	=1556	60%
7/21Friday, July 218:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–3	=1481	40%
7/21Friday, July 218:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+21	=1549	60%
7/22Saturday, July 227:15 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	40%
7/22Saturday, July 227:15 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+24	=1552	60%
7/23Sunday, July 232:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	40%
7/23Sunday, July 232:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+24	=1552	60%
7/25Tuesday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+1	=1487	47%
7/25Tuesday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	53%
7/26Wednesday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+0	=1486	47%
7/26Wednesday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	53%
7/27Thursday, July 271:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	–2	=1514	51%
7/27Thursday, July 271:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	49%
7/28Friday, July 287:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+0	=1516	51%
7/28Friday, July 287:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	49%
7/29Saturday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+0	=1516	51%
7/29Saturday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	49%
7/30Sunday, July 302:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+0	=1516	51%
7/30Sunday, July 302:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	49%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–1	=1483	39%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+23	=1560	61%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	39%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	61%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 32:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	39%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 32:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	61%
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–3	=1481	42%
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+23	=1539	58%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	42%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+24	=1540	58%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 612:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	42%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 612:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+24	=1540	58%
8/7Monday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	–3	=1562	58%
8/7Monday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+22	=1506	42%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+0	=1565	58%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	42%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+0	=1565	58%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	42%
8/11Friday, Aug. 118:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	+1	=1517	51%
8/11Friday, Aug. 118:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+26	=1510	49%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	+0	=1516	51%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	49%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 132:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	+0	=1516	51%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 132:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	49%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+1	=1485	47%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+24	=1510	53%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	46%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+24	=1510	54%
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–1	=1483	51%
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+26	=1473	49%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	52%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	48%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 203:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	52%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 203:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	48%
8/21Monday, Aug. 218:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	–3	=1508	50%
8/21Monday, Aug. 218:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+21	=1505	50%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 228:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+0	=1511	50%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 228:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	50%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 232:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+0	=1511	50%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 232:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	50%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–4	=1394	34%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	66%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	35%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	65%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	35%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	65%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 272:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	35%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 272:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	65%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–3	=1481	43%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	+24	=1531	57%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	43%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	+24	=1531	57%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 301:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	43%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 301:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	+24	=1531	57%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	–2	=1447	41%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+23	=1507	59%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+0	=1449	42%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	58%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+0	=1449	42%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	58%
9/4Monday, Sept. 42:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–2	=1482	54%
9/4Monday, Sept. 42:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	46%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	54%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	46%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	54%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	46%
9/8Friday, Sept. 86:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–1	=1483	52%
9/8Friday, Sept. 86:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+22	=1471	48%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 96:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	52%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 96:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+24	=1473	48%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	52%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+24	=1473	48%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1433	+0	–2	=1431	39%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+22	=1506	61%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	39%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	61%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	39%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	61%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	–2	=1526	53%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	47%
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+0	=1528	53%
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	47%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+0	=1528	53%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	47%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+0	=1528	53%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	47%
9/18Monday, Sept. 187:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–3	=1481	53%
9/18Monday, Sept. 187:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+21	=1463	47%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	53%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+24	=1466	47%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 201:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	53%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 201:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+24	=1466	47%
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	42%
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+22	=1538	58%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	42%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+24	=1540	58%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:35 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	42%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+24	=1540	58%
9/25Monday, Sept. 257:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–3	=1498	49%
9/25Monday, Sept. 257:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+21	=1505	51%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	49%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	51%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 272:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	49%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 272:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	51%
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	–2	=1535	53%
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+26	=1510	47%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	54%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	46%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	54%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	46%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
6/4Sunday, June 42:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Boyd	1452	–14	+0	=1438	40%	2
6/4Sunday, June 42:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1483	+3	+24	=1510	60%	6
6/3Saturday, June 32:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Lorenzen	1453	+9	+0	=1462	42%	1
6/3Saturday, June 32:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1482	+13	+24	=1519	58%	2
6/2Friday, June 28:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Olson	1454	–17	+0	=1437	41%	0
6/2Friday, June 28:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Clevinger	1481	–9	+26	=1498	59%	3
5/31Wednesday, May 312:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Barria	1511	–11	+0	=1500	49%	12
5/31Wednesday, May 312:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1483	+0	+24	=1507	51%	5
5/30Tuesday, May 308:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Anderson	1513	+1	+0	=1514	51%	3
5/30Tuesday, May 308:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1481	+2	+24	=1507	49%	7
5/29Monday, May 298:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1512	–17	–4	=1491	48%	6
5/29Monday, May 298:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1483	+4	+22	=1509	52%	4
5/28Sunday, May 281:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1484	+15	+0	=1499	49%	5
5/28Sunday, May 281:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Rodriguez	1455	+25	+24	=1504	51%	6
5/27Saturday, May 271:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Scholtens	1486	–23	+0	=1463	47%	3
5/27Saturday, May 271:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Lorenzen	1453	+6	+24	=1483	53%	7
5/26Friday, May 266:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1483	–1	+0	=1482	53%	12
5/26Friday, May 266:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Wentz	1456	–21	+24	=1459	47%	3
5/25Thursday, May 256:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1485	+7	–1	=1491	56%	2
5/25Thursday, May 256:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Faedo	1453	–23	+21	=1451	44%	7
5/24Wednesday, May 241:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1482	–4	+0	=1478	42%	6
5/24Wednesday, May 241:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1511	–2	+24	=1533	58%	0
5/23Tuesday, May 236:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1481	+15	+0	=1496	46%	4
5/23Tuesday, May 236:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Allen	1513	–16	+24	=1521	54%	2
5/22Monday, May 226:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lambert	1482	–21	–2	=1459	47%	0
5/22Monday, May 226:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Gaddis	1511	–53	+22	=1480	53%	3
5/21Sunday, May 212:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Hernandez (open)	1437	+1	+0	=1438	41%	2
5/21Sunday, May 212:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1481	–2	+24	=1503	59%	5
5/20Saturday, May 202:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lyles	1439	–6	+0	=1433	39%	1
5/20Saturday, May 202:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1480	+8	+24	=1512	61%	5
5/19Friday, May 198:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1440	+8	–2	=1446	44%	0
5/19Friday, May 198:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1479	–11	+24	=1492	56%	2
5/18Thursday, May 182:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Allen	1512	–19	+0	=1493	46%	3
5/18Thursday, May 182:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1480	+19	+24	=1523	54%	1
5/17Wednesday, May 178:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Battenfield	1514	–18	+0	=1496	51%	2
5/17Wednesday, May 178:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Clevinger	1478	–10	+24	=1492	49%	7
5/16Tuesday, May 168:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1517	+32	+0	=1549	57%	3
5/16Tuesday, May 168:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1475	–2	+26	=1499	43%	8
5/14Sunday, May 142:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Brown	1552	–11	+0	=1541	54%	4
5/14Sunday, May 142:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1476	+11	+24	=1511	46%	3
5/13Saturday, May 137:15 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Bielak	1553	–55	+0	=1498	48%	1
5/13Saturday, May 137:15 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1475	+17	+24	=1516	52%	3
5/12Friday, May 128:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	France	1552	–33	–2	=1517	54%	5
5/12Friday, May 128:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1477	–11	+22	=1488	46%	1
5/11Thursday, May 112:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Clevinger	1478	–10	+0	=1468	49%	3
5/11Thursday, May 112:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1439	+10	+24	=1473	51%	4
5/10Wednesday, May 107:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1481	+4	+0	=1485	56%	1
5/10Wednesday, May 107:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Keller	1436	–14	+24	=1446	44%	9
5/9Tuesday, May 97:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1480	+10	+0	=1490	54%	4
5/9Tuesday, May 97:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lyles	1437	–3	+24	=1458	46%	2
5/8Monday, May 87:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1483	+21	–3	=1501	55%	5
5/8Monday, May 87:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1434	+7	+24	=1465	45%	12
5/7Sunday, May 74:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1479	–9	+0	=1470	48%	17
5/7Sunday, May 74:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Ashcraft	1453	+8	+24	=1485	52%	4
5/6Saturday, May 66:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Clevinger	1480	–13	+0	=1467	47%	3
5/6Saturday, May 66:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Lodolo	1452	+15	+24	=1491	53%	5
5/5Friday, May 56:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1479	+3	–2	=1480	47%	5
5/5Friday, May 56:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Greene	1453	+27	+22	=1502	53%	4
5/4Thursday, May 42:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Lopez	1524	+0	+0	=1524	52%	7
5/4Thursday, May 42:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1480	+5	+24	=1509	48%	3
5/3Wednesday, May 37:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Varland	1525	–25	+0	=1500	46%	4
5/3Wednesday, May 37:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1479	+24	+24	=1527	54%	6
5/2Tuesday, May 27:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ryan	1526	+13	+0	=1539	57%	2
5/2Tuesday, May 27:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1478	–12	+26	=1492	43%	3
4/30Sunday, April 302:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Rasmussen	1558	+9	+0	=1567	61%	9
4/30Sunday, April 302:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Clevinger	1476	–13	+24	=1487	39%	12
4/29Saturday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Faucher	1555	–37	+0	=1518	52%	12
4/29Saturday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1479	+2	+24	=1505	48%	3
4/28Friday, April 287:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Eflin	1555	–15	+0	=1540	55%	3
4/28Friday, April 287:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1480	+3	+24	=1507	45%	2
4/27Thursday, April 277:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McClanahan	1552	+16	–3	=1565	54%	14
4/27Thursday, April 277:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1483	+32	+22	=1537	46%	5
4/26Wednesday, April 261:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1485	–12	+0	=1473	41%	0
4/26Wednesday, April 261:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Kikuchi	1545	–31	+24	=1538	59%	8
4/25Tuesday, April 257:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Clevinger	1487	–10	+0	=1477	39%	0
4/25Tuesday, April 257:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Berrios	1543	–14	+24	=1553	61%	7
4/24Monday, April 247:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1488	+2	–3	=1487	39%	2
4/24Monday, April 247:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Bassitt	1542	+1	+22	=1565	61%	5
4/23Sunday, April 231:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1489	+1	+0	=1490	41%	1
4/23Sunday, April 231:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Eflin	1552	–20	+24	=1556	59%	4
4/22Saturday, April 224:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1490	+34	+0	=1524	41%	3
4/22Saturday, April 224:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McClanahan	1551	+15	+24	=1590	59%	4
4/21Friday, April 216:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1491	–12	–1	=1478	42%	7
4/21Friday, April 216:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Faucher	1550	–36	+23	=1537	58%	8
4/19Wednesday, April 192:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Walker	1522	–10	+0	=1512	50%	5
4/19Wednesday, April 192:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Clevinger	1493	–8	+24	=1509	50%	2
4/18Tuesday, April 187:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Falter	1524	–22	+0	=1502	49%	0
4/18Tuesday, April 187:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1491	–7	+24	=1508	51%	3
4/18Tuesday, April 184:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1522	+30	+0	=1552	54%	7
4/18Tuesday, April 184:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1492	+4	+26	=1522	46%	4
4/16Sunday, April 162:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Rodriguez	1486	–8	+0	=1478	39%	8
4/16Sunday, April 162:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1495	+36	+24	=1555	61%	4
4/15Saturday, April 152:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1487	–1	+0	=1486	47%	6
4/15Saturday, April 152:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1494	–10	+24	=1508	53%	7
4/14Friday, April 147:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1486	+11	–3	=1494	48%	6
4/14Friday, April 147:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Clevinger	1496	–12	+24	=1508	52%	3
4/12Wednesday, April 121:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1497	–11	+0	=1486	39%	1
4/12Wednesday, April 121:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Gray	1525	+12	+24	=1561	61%	3
4/11Tuesday, April 117:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1498	+4	+0	=1502	43%	3
4/11Tuesday, April 117:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Lopez	1524	+5	+24	=1553	57%	4
4/10Monday, April 102:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1496	+38	–3	=1531	47%	4
4/10Monday, April 102:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Maeda	1525	+2	+24	=1551	53%	3
4/9Sunday, April 91:35 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1498	–12	+0	=1486	51%	0
4/9Sunday, April 91:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Oviedo	1462	–7	+24	=1479	49%	1
4/8Saturday, April 86:35 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Clevinger	1495	–8	+0	=1487	52%	11
4/8Saturday, April 86:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Velasquez	1464	–15	+24	=1473	48%	5
4/7Friday, April 74:12 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1497	–3	–2	=1492	49%	9
4/7Friday, April 74:12 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Hill	1462	+12	+24	=1498	51%	13
4/6Thursday, April 62:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1506	–10	+0	=1496	44%	16
4/6Thursday, April 62:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1501	+10	+24	=1535	56%	6
4/5Wednesday, April 52:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1507	+19	+2	=1528	46%	3
4/5Wednesday, April 52:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1499	+34	+26	=1559	54%	7
4/3Monday, April 33:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1504	–10	–3	=1491	46%	12
4/3Monday, April 33:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1503	–8	+21	=1516	54%	3
4/2Sunday, April 22:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Clevinger	1500	–17	+0	=1483	36%	6
4/2Sunday, April 22:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1557	+0	+24	=1581	64%	3
4/1Saturday, April 12:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1501	–7	+0	=1494	39%	4
4/1Saturday, April 12:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1556	–5	+24	=1575	61%	6
3/31Friday, March 318:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1502	+9	+0	=1511	36%	3
3/31Friday, March 318:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1555	+34	+24	=1613	64%	6
3/30Thursday, March 307 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1501	+30	–3	=1528	39%	3
3/30Thursday, March 307 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1556	+25	+24	=1605	61%	2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.