Updated Jun. 5, 2023, at 11:44 PM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Twins have a 4% chance of winning the World Series.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
TwinsTwins31-2970%67%
GuardiansGuardians27-323.528%24%
White SoxWhite Sox26-355.57%6%
TigersTigers26-324.03%2%
RoyalsRoyals18-4213.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/6Tuesday, June 66:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
1527131=151341%
TBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15658+21=157859%
6/7Wednesday, June 76:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152842%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+24=158658%
6/8Thursday, June 81:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152842%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+24=158658%
6/9Friday, June 97:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+13=152544%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156856%
6/10Saturday, June 103:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152844%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156856%
6/11Sunday, June 111:37 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152844%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156856%
6/13Tuesday, June 137:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+0=151645%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+23=155155%
6/14Wednesday, June 141:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+0=151645%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155255%
6/15Thursday, June 157:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+03=144635%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155265%
6/16Friday, June 168:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144936%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155264%
6/17Saturday, June 172:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144936%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155264%
6/18Sunday, June 182:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144936%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155264%
6/19Monday, June 197:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+23=151344%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155256%
6/20Tuesday, June 207:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151645%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155255%
6/21Wednesday, June 217:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151645%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155255%
6/22Thursday, June 221:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151645%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155255%
6/23Friday, June 236:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+13=152557%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+26=147543%
6/24Saturday, June 247:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152858%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147342%
6/25Sunday, June 251:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152858%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147342%
6/26Monday, June 267:20 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+13=152542%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+22=158258%
6/27Tuesday, June 277:20 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152842%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158458%
6/28Wednesday, June 2812:20 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152842%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+24=158458%
6/30Friday, June 307:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+11=152749%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+26=153351%
7/1Saturday, July 14:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152850%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153150%
7/2Sunday, July 212:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152850%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153150%
7/3Monday, July 37:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+02=143133%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+21=154967%
7/4Tuesday, July 42:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143333%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155267%
7/5Wednesday, July 57:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143333%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155267%
7/7Friday, July 78:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+13=150443%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+26=155457%
7/8Saturday, July 82:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+0=150743%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155257%
7/9Sunday, July 92:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+0=150743%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155257%
7/14Friday, July 149:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+3=153165%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+27=142535%
7/15Saturday, July 157:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152865%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142235%
7/16Sunday, July 164:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152865%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142235%
7/17Monday, July 179:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+13=152549%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+24=153551%
7/18Tuesday, July 189:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152849%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+24=153551%
7/19Wednesday, July 199:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152849%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+24=153551%
7/20Thursday, July 203:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152849%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+24=153551%
7/21Friday, July 218:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+03=148140%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+21=154960%
7/22Saturday, July 227:15 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+0=148440%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155260%
7/23Sunday, July 232:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+0=148440%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155260%
7/24Monday, July 247:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+13=150843%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155257%
7/25Tuesday, July 257:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+0=151144%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155256%
7/26Wednesday, July 261:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+0=151144%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155256%
7/28Friday, July 288:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152860%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+23=145640%
7/29Saturday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152860%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145740%
7/30Sunday, July 302:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152860%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145740%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:45 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152849%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+26=153551%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 27:45 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152849%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+24=153351%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 37:45 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152849%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+24=153351%
8/4Friday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+24=149742%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+22=155058%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+0=150143%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155257%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 62:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+0=150143%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155257%
8/7Monday, Aug. 76:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+13=152558%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147342%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 86:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152858%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147342%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152858%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147342%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 101:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152858%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147342%
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+12=152648%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154152%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 126:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152848%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154152%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152848%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154152%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+01=144836%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+23=155164%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 161:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144936%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155264%
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+11=147639%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+26=155461%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+0=147739%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155261%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 202:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+0=147739%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155261%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 228:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152849%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+23=153951%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 232:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152848%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+24=154052%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
153921=153648%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+22=155052%
8/25Friday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+0=153748%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155252%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:15 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+0=153748%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155252%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 272:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+0=153748%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155252%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+33=151344%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155256%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+0=151645%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155255%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 301:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+0=151645%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155255%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+11=152746%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+23=156054%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152845%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156155%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152845%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156155%
9/4Monday, Sept. 46:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+13=152548%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+24=154052%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 56:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152848%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+24=154052%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 61:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152848%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+24=154052%
9/8Friday, Sept. 88:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+31=153147%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+23=155153%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 92:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+0=153247%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155253%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 102:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+0=153247%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155253%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
156533=155951%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155249%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+0=156251%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155249%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 131:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+0=156251%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155249%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+12=152653%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+24=150847%
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152853%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+24=150847%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152853%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+24=150847%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152853%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+24=150847%
9/18Monday, Sept. 186:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+12=152657%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+21=148043%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152857%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148343%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 2012:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152857%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148343%
9/22Friday, Sept. 228:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+23=151044%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+23=155156%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 232:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+0=151344%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155256%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 242:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+0=151344%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155256%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+52=139629%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+26=155471%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+0=139829%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155271%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 281:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+0=139829%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155271%
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+13=152558%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+24=147142%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152858%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+24=147142%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152858%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+24=147142%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/4Sunday, June 42:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1512+33+0=154547%2
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1529+12+24=156553%1
6/3Saturday, June 37:15 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Allen, Logan
Allen
15104+0=150641%4
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1530+14+24=156859%2
6/2Friday, June 28:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
15112+0=150943%0
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1529+7+24=156057%1
6/1Thursday, June 17:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bibee, Tanner
Bibee
151213=150844%6
MINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
15283+21=154656%7
5/31Wednesday, May 318:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
152521+0=150439%8
HOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
15613+24=158261%2
5/30Tuesday, May 308:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1527+18+0=154551%1
HOUHOUAstros
Bielak, Brandon
Bielak
155946+24=153749%5
5/29Monday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1526+153=153849%7
HOUHOUAstros
France, J.P.
France
156035+20=154551%5
5/28Sunday, May 282:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15404+0=153647%3
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1528+5+24=155753%0
5/27Saturday, May 272:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1541+14+0=155551%7
MINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
15261+24=154949%9
5/26Friday, May 268:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1540+253=156254%3
MINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
152721+26=153246%1
5/24Wednesday, May 241:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1504+2+0=150641%1
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1526+17+24=156759%7
5/23Tuesday, May 237:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1503+13+0=151643%4
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1527+15+24=156657%3
5/22Monday, May 227:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Brebbia, John
Brebbia (open)
1501+24=149942%4
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1529+6+20=155558%1
5/21Sunday, May 214:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
15303+0=152742%2
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1512+43+24=157958%4
5/20Saturday, May 2010:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
152721+0=150644%6
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1515+11+24=155056%2
5/19Friday, May 199:38 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1529+17+1=154752%4
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
15143+20=153148%5
5/17Wednesday, May 173:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1530+17+0=154744%3
LADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
15671+24=159056%7
5/16Tuesday, May 1610:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1528+5+0=153338%5
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1570+25+24=161962%1
5/15Monday, May 1510:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1529+14=152643%8
LADLADDodgers
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
156921+24=157257%9
5/14Sunday, May 142:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1496+19+0=151549%3
MINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
152525+24=152451%16
5/13Saturday, May 132:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Wesneski, Hayden
Wesneski
14999+0=149040%1
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1522+13+24=155960%11
5/12Friday, May 128:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1497+2+0=149941%6
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1525+16+24=156559%2
5/11Thursday, May 111:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1542+28+0=157052%3
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1523+6+24=155348%5
5/10Wednesday, May 107:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
154319+0=152447%3
MINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1522+0+24=154653%4
5/9Tuesday, May 97:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
154142=153552%6
MINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
152429+23=151848%1
5/7Sunday, May 71:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1526+16+0=154251%0
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15197+24=153649%2
5/6Saturday, May 66:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1527+19+0=154653%3
CLECLEGuardians
Allen, Logan
Allen
151719+24=152247%4
5/5Friday, May 57:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1525+32=152651%2
CLECLEGuardians
Battenfield, Peyton
Battenfield
151926+24=151749%0
5/4Thursday, May 42:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1524+0+0=152452%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1480+5+24=150948%3
5/3Wednesday, May 37:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
152525+0=150046%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1479+24+24=152754%6
5/2Tuesday, May 27:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1526+13+0=153957%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
147812+26=149243%3
4/30Sunday, April 302:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1437+20+0=145734%4
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1525+19+24=156866%8
4/29Saturday, April 292:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14369+0=142733%3
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1526+3+24=155367%2
4/28Friday, April 284:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1437+5+0=144234%6
MINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1526+4+24=155466%8
4/27Thursday, April 277:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1438+33=143835%1
MINMINTwins
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
15243+24=154565%7
4/26Wednesday, April 261:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
155513+0=154250%12
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
15275+24=154650%6
4/25Tuesday, April 257:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1557+14+0=157152%2
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1525+10+24=155948%6
4/24Monday, April 247:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Brito, Jhony
Brito
1559413=151543%1
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1523+14+24=156157%6
4/23Sunday, April 232:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143318+0=141532%1
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1522+0+24=154668%3
4/22Saturday, April 222:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14297+0=142231%10
MINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1526+8+24=155869%4
4/21Friday, April 218:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1428+111=143836%3
MINMINTwins
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
15277+21=154164%2
4/20Thursday, April 201:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
15292+0=152747%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1506+21+24=155153%11
4/19Wednesday, April 197:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1527+11+0=153851%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1508+0+24=153249%4
4/18Tuesday, April 187:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1528+14+0=154251%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1507+6+24=153749%5
4/16Sunday, April 161:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1529+9+0=153840%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1561+22+24=160760%2
4/15Saturday, April 151:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
15314+0=152744%1
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
155916+24=156756%6
4/14Friday, April 147:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
153025+0=150537%4
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1560+15+24=159963%3
4/13Thursday, April 137:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1526+73=153046%11
NYYNYYYankees
Brito, Jhony
Brito
156429+22=155754%2
4/12Wednesday, April 121:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
149711+0=148639%1
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1525+12+24=156161%3
4/11Tuesday, April 117:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1498+4+0=150243%3
MINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1524+5+24=155357%4
4/10Monday, April 102:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1496+383=153147%4
MINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1525+2+24=155153%3
4/9Sunday, April 92:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
154922+0=152747%5
MINMINTwins
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
15271+24=155053%1
4/8Saturday, April 82:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15513+0=154849%6
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1526+6+24=155651%9
4/7Friday, April 74:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
155271=154448%2
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1525+9+22=155652%3
4/5Wednesday, April 51:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1527+3+0=153052%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
1486+5+24=151548%5
4/4Tuesday, April 46:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
1528+3+0=153147%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1485+40+24=154953%1
4/3Monday, April 36:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1525+13=152352%11
MIAMIAMarlins
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
14885+24=150748%1
4/2Sunday, April 22:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1523+8+0=153161%7
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
144817+24=145539%4
4/1Saturday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1522+10+2=153458%2
KCKCRoyals
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1449+5+26=148042%0
3/30Thursday, March 304:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1521+22=152156%2
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1450+4+24=147844%0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.