Updated Jun. 5, 2023, at 11:44 PM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Tigers have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
TwinsTwins31-2970%67%
GuardiansGuardians27-323.528%24%
White SoxWhite Sox26-355.57%6%
TigersTigers26-324.03%2%
RoyalsRoyals18-4213.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/6Tuesday, June 66:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
144917+0=143237%
PHIPHIPhillies
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
151616+24=152463%
6/7Wednesday, June 76:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144937%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154163%
6/9Friday, June 96:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+22=149954%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147346%
6/10Saturday, June 101:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+0=150154%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147346%
6/11Sunday, June 1111:35 a.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+0=150154%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147346%
6/12Monday, June 126:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+03=155762%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147338%
6/13Tuesday, June 137:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+0=156062%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147338%
6/14Wednesday, June 141:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+0=156062%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147338%
6/15Thursday, June 157:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+03=144635%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155265%
6/16Friday, June 168:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144936%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155264%
6/17Saturday, June 172:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144936%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155264%
6/18Sunday, June 182:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144936%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155264%
6/19Monday, June 196:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+03=143044%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+21=147056%
6/20Tuesday, June 206:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143344%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147356%
6/21Wednesday, June 211:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143344%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147356%
6/23Friday, June 236:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+13=152557%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+26=147543%
6/24Saturday, June 247:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152858%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147342%
6/25Sunday, June 251:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152858%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147342%
6/26Monday, June 268:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+03=144635%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+21=155865%
6/27Tuesday, June 278:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144935%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156165%
6/28Wednesday, June 288:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144935%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156165%
6/29Thursday, June 292:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144935%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156165%
6/30Friday, June 308:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+03=144646%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+24=147154%
7/1Saturday, July 19:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144947%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+24=147153%
7/2Sunday, July 23:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144947%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+24=147153%
7/4Tuesday, July 46:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+52=139639%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+23=147261%
7/5Wednesday, July 56:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+0=139839%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147361%
7/6Thursday, July 61:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+0=139839%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147361%
7/7Friday, July 76:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+02=154260%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147340%
7/8Saturday, July 81:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154460%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147340%
7/9Sunday, July 91:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154460%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147340%
7/14Friday, July 1410:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+3=145238%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+27=153862%
7/15Saturday, July 159:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144938%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+24=153562%
7/16Sunday, July 164:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144938%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+24=153562%
7/17Monday, July 178:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+04=144548%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145752%
7/18Tuesday, July 188:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144949%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145751%
7/19Wednesday, July 198:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144949%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145751%
7/20Thursday, July 202:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144949%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145751%
7/21Friday, July 216:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+02=153559%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+21=147041%
7/22Saturday, July 226:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153759%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147341%
7/23Sunday, July 2312:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153759%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147341%
7/24Monday, July 241:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+12=150655%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147345%
7/25Tuesday, July 256:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+22=151155%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147345%
7/26Wednesday, July 266:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+0=151356%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147344%
7/27Thursday, July 278:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+0=151356%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147344%
7/28Friday, July 286:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+03=144640%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151760%
7/29Saturday, July 294:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144940%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151760%
7/30Sunday, July 301:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144940%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151760%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+01=144842%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+26=150358%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 212:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144943%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150157%
8/4Friday, Aug. 46:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+0=156262%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147338%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 51:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+0=156262%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147338%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+0=156262%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147338%
8/7Monday, Aug. 76:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+13=152558%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147342%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 86:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152858%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147342%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152858%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147342%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 101:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152858%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147342%
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+03=144637%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154063%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144937%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154063%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 1312:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144937%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154063%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+01=144836%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+23=155164%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 161:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144936%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155264%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 177:15 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+03=144637%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+22=153863%
8/18Friday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144937%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+24=154063%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144937%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+24=154063%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144937%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+24=154063%
8/21Monday, Aug. 216:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+12=148452%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+23=147248%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+0=148652%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147348%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 231:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+0=148652%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147348%
8/25Friday, Aug. 256:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156413=156062%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+26=147538%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 266:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156363%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147337%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156363%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147337%
8/28Monday, Aug. 286:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+03=156263%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147337%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156563%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147337%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156563%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147337%
8/31Thursday, Aug. 311:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156563%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147337%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+02=144741%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+23=150759%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144942%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+24=150858%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144942%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+24=150858%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+01=144831%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+23=158869%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144931%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158969%
9/7Thursday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144931%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158969%
9/8Friday, Sept. 86:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+01=148352%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+22=147148%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 96:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+0=148452%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147348%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+0=148452%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147348%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 126:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145948%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+26=147552%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145948%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147352%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 141:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145948%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147352%
9/15Friday, Sept. 159:38 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+04=144537%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+23=153663%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 169:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144938%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153762%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 174:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144938%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153762%
9/18Monday, Sept. 1810:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+01=144832%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+21=158268%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 1910:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144931%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+24=158569%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 2010:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144931%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+24=158569%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+02=144754%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142246%
9/22Friday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144954%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142246%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144954%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142246%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 244:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144954%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142246%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 266:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+01=143244%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+22=147156%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143344%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147356%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 281:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143344%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147356%
9/29Friday, Sept. 296:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+1=151756%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147344%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 301:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+0=151656%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147344%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+0=151656%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147344%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/5Monday, June 56:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
1450243=142332%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1515+17+22=155468%8
6/4Sunday, June 42:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
145214+0=143840%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1483+3+24=151060%6
6/3Saturday, June 32:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1453+9+0=146242%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1482+13+24=151958%2
6/2Friday, June 28:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Olson, Reese
Olson
145417+0=143741%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
14819+26=149859%3
5/31Wednesday, May 311:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
153313+0=152059%2
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
145323+24=145441%3
5/30Tuesday, May 306:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
153114+0=151758%10
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
145418+24=146042%6
5/29Monday, May 291:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1530+132=154160%5
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
145612+24=146840%0
5/28Sunday, May 281:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1484+15+0=149949%5
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1455+25+24=150451%6
5/27Saturday, May 271:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Scholtens, Jesse
Scholtens
148623+0=146347%3
DETDETTigers
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1453+6+24=148353%7
5/26Friday, May 266:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
14831+0=148253%12
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
145621+24=145947%3
5/25Thursday, May 256:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1485+71=149156%2
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
145323+21=145144%7
5/24Wednesday, May 247:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
145213+0=143945%6
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1436+11+24=147155%4
5/23Tuesday, May 237:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1454+29+0=148356%1
KCKCRoyals
Mayers, Mike
Mayers
143418+24=144044%4
5/22Monday, May 227:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1452+103=145948%8
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1436+12+22=147052%5
5/21Sunday, May 211:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
145312+0=144145%4
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1441+10+24=147555%6
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
145527+0=142847%2
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143911+24=145253%5
5/19Friday, May 197:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
145317+0=143645%8
WSHWSHNationals
Irvin, Jake
Irvin
1441+8+21=147055%6
5/17Wednesday, May 171:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Hill, Rich
Hill
1468+1+0=146944%8
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1457+30+24=151156%0
5/16Tuesday, May 166:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Ortiz, Luis
Ortiz
146914+0=145546%0
DETDETTigers
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1455+4+26=148554%4
5/14Sunday, May 141:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1520+8+0=152859%3
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
14539+24=146841%5
5/13Saturday, May 131:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Miller, Bryce
Miller
151810+0=150859%5
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
145531+24=144841%0
5/12Friday, May 126:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1516272=148752%9
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
145811+25=147248%2
5/10Wednesday, May 101:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1455+26+0=148144%5
CLECLEGuardians
Battenfield, Peyton
Battenfield
151818+24=152456%0
5/9Tuesday, May 96:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1456+1+0=145734%0
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1517+32+24=157366%2
5/8Monday, May 86:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
1453102=144138%6
CLECLEGuardians
Bibee, Tanner
Bibee
152020+24=152462%2
5/7Sunday, May 72:15 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
145531+0=142437%6
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15015+24=152063%12
5/6Saturday, May 62:15 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1454+2+0=145638%6
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1503+16+24=154362%5
5/5Friday, May 58:15 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1452122=143834%5
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1504+27+24=155566%4
5/4Thursday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1545+52+0=159764%0
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1450+20+24=149436%2
5/3Wednesday, May 36:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1548+35+0=158366%1
DETDETTigers
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
14472+24=146934%8
5/3Wednesday, May 31:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
15504+0=154661%5
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
14453+29=147139%6
4/30Sunday, April 301:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1497+5+0=150254%5
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1446+6+24=147646%3
4/29Saturday, April 295:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Rodriguez, Grayson
Rodriguez
14967+0=148954%6
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
14488+24=146446%4
4/29Saturday, April 2912:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1498+3+2=150352%4
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1446+18+26=149048%7
4/27Thursday, April 276:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
149612=149355%7
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
14479+22=146045%4
4/26Wednesday, April 261:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1448+0+0=144833%2
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1536+11+24=157167%6
4/25Tuesday, April 257:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1447+6+0=145336%4
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153711+24=155064%3
4/24Monday, April 247:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
144593=143337%4
MILMILBrewers
Rea, Colin
Rea
153940+24=152363%2
4/23Sunday, April 231:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1446+12+0=145843%1
BALBALOrioles
Rodriguez, Grayson
Rodriguez
149414+24=150457%2
4/22Saturday, April 227:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
14473+0=144441%1
BALBALOrioles
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
14926+24=151059%5
4/21Friday, April 217:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
14483+0=144539%1
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1492+9+25=152661%2
4/19Wednesday, April 191:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15285+0=152356%3
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1449+8+24=148144%2
4/18Tuesday, April 184:15 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Battenfield, Peyton
Battenfield
152925+0=150454%0
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1448+6+24=147846%1
4/18Tuesday, April 181:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Gaddis, Hunter
Gaddis
153055+0=147551%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
14475+29=147149%4
4/15Saturday, April 151:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15042+0=150254%6
DETDETTigers
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1446+4+24=147446%7
4/14Friday, April 146:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1505202=148353%5
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
14445+22=146147%7
4/13Thursday, April 137:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1442+7+0=144934%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
15431+24=156666%1
4/12Wednesday, April 127:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1443+4+0=144730%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1542+24+24=159070%4
4/11Tuesday, April 117:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14444+0=144029%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1541+34+22=159771%9
4/9Sunday, April 91:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
150928+0=148152%4
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
14465+24=146548%1
4/8Saturday, April 84:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1506+20+2=152857%14
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
1448+2+26=147643%5
4/6Thursday, April 61:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1505+113=151355%6
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1450+9+21=148045%3
4/5Wednesday, April 52:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1451+5+0=145630%2
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1550+33+24=160770%8
4/4Tuesday, April 48:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14486+0=144228%6
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1553+27+24=160472%3
4/3Monday, April 38:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
144793=143533%7
HOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
155518+24=156167%6
4/2Sunday, April 21:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
1448+2+0=145035%1
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1532+4+24=156065%5
4/1Saturday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1450+15+2=146740%2
TBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152918+26=153760%12
3/30Thursday, March 303:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1451+43=145234%0
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1528+13+24=156566%4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.