Updated Jun. 21, 2023, at 12:35 AM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Cardinals have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

NL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Brewers Brewers38-35	0.5	55%	49%
Cubs Cubs35-38	3.5	26%	21%
Reds Reds39-35	—	25%	20%
Cardinals Cardinals30-43	8.5	9%	7%
Pirates Pirates34-38	4.0	4%	3%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
5/14Sunday, May 147 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1501	+16	+0	=1517	48%
5/14Sunday, May 147 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Kluber	1524	–14	+24	=1534	52%
6/21Wednesday, June 214:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1501	+16	+0	=1517	58%
6/21Wednesday, June 214:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1433	+1	+24	=1458	42%
6/24Saturday, June 241:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+2	=1498	49%
6/24Saturday, June 241:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+2	=1505	51%
6/25Sunday, June 2510 a.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+0	=1496	49%
6/25Sunday, June 2510 a.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	51%
6/27Tuesday, June 277:45 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1548	+0	–2	=1546	52%
6/27Tuesday, June 277:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+26	=1529	48%
6/28Wednesday, June 287:45 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1548	+0	+0	=1548	53%
6/28Wednesday, June 287:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	47%
6/29Thursday, June 297:15 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1548	+0	+0	=1548	53%
6/29Thursday, June 297:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	47%
6/30Friday, June 308:15 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	–4	=1549	53%
6/30Friday, June 308:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	47%
7/1Saturday, July 12:15 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	54%
7/1Saturday, July 12:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	46%
7/2Sunday, July 22:15 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	54%
7/2Sunday, July 22:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	46%
7/3Monday, July 36:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	–3	=1500	47%
7/3Monday, July 36:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+21	=1524	53%
7/4Tuesday, July 41:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	47%
7/4Tuesday, July 41:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+24	=1527	53%
7/5Wednesday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	47%
7/5Wednesday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+24	=1527	53%
7/6Thursday, July 66:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	47%
7/6Thursday, July 66:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+24	=1527	53%
7/7Friday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	–3	=1500	49%
7/7Friday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	+24	=1508	51%
7/8Saturday, July 82:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	49%
7/8Saturday, July 82:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	+24	=1508	51%
7/9Sunday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	49%
7/9Sunday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	+24	=1508	51%
7/14Friday, July 148:15 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+4	=1438	37%
7/14Friday, July 148:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+29	=1532	63%
7/15Saturday, July 157:15 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	37%
7/15Saturday, July 157:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	63%
7/16Sunday, July 162:15 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	37%
7/16Sunday, July 162:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	63%
7/17Monday, July 177:45 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	–3	=1500	46%
7/17Monday, July 177:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	54%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:45 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+0	=1503	46%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	54%
7/19Wednesday, July 192:15 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+0	=1503	46%
7/19Wednesday, July 192:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	54%
7/20Thursday, July 208:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	–2	=1501	47%
7/20Thursday, July 208:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+24	=1520	53%
7/21Friday, July 212:20 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	48%
7/21Friday, July 212:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+24	=1520	52%
7/22Saturday, July 222:20 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	48%
7/22Saturday, July 222:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+24	=1520	52%
7/23Sunday, July 232:20 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	48%
7/23Sunday, July 232:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+24	=1520	52%
7/24Monday, July 249:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	–4	=1499	46%
7/24Monday, July 249:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1505	+2	+20	=1527	54%
7/25Tuesday, July 259:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	46%
7/25Tuesday, July 259:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1505	+2	+24	=1531	54%
7/26Wednesday, July 263:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	46%
7/26Wednesday, July 263:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1505	+2	+24	=1531	54%
7/27Thursday, July 277:45 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	–2	=1494	46%
7/27Thursday, July 277:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+21	=1524	54%
7/28Friday, July 288:15 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+0	=1496	45%
7/28Friday, July 288:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	55%
7/29Saturday, July 297:15 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+0	=1496	45%
7/29Saturday, July 297:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	55%
7/30Sunday, July 302:15 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+0	=1496	45%
7/30Sunday, July 302:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	55%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:45 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1516	+1	+0	=1517	48%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+26	=1529	52%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 27:45 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1516	+1	+0	=1517	48%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 27:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	52%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 37:45 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1516	+1	+0	=1517	48%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 37:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	52%
8/4Friday, Aug. 48:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1436	+3	–1	=1438	37%
8/4Friday, Aug. 48:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	63%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1436	+3	+0	=1439	37%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	63%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 62:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1436	+3	+0	=1439	37%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 62:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	63%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 86:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	–1	=1502	38%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 86:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	+23	=1589	62%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 96:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	38%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 96:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	+24	=1590	62%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 106:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	38%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 106:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	+24	=1590	62%
8/11Friday, Aug. 118:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	–3	=1500	59%
8/11Friday, Aug. 118:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1421	–1	+21	=1441	41%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	59%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1421	–1	+24	=1444	41%
8/14Monday, Aug. 147:45 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1404	+6	–3	=1407	33%
8/14Monday, Aug. 147:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	67%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:45 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1404	+6	+0	=1410	34%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	66%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 166:45 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1404	+6	+0	=1410	34%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 166:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	66%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 177:15 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	–3	=1525	50%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 177:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	50%
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:15 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	50%
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	50%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:15 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	50%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	50%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 202:15 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	50%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 202:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	50%
8/21Monday, Aug. 217:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	–3	=1500	53%
8/21Monday, Aug. 217:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+21	=1479	47%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	53%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	47%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 2312:35 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	53%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 2312:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	47%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	43%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+26	=1551	57%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	44%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:15 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	56%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:35 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	44%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:35 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	56%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	–2	=1538	52%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+21	=1524	48%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	+0	=1540	52%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	48%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 302:15 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	+0	=1540	52%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 302:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	48%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:15 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+0	=1458	40%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+26	=1529	60%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:15 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+0	=1458	40%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	60%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:15 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+0	=1458	40%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	60%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:20 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	38%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+22	=1592	62%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:20 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	37%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+24	=1594	63%
9/7Thursday, Sept. 77:20 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	37%
9/7Thursday, Sept. 77:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+24	=1594	63%
9/8Friday, Sept. 86:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	–2	=1501	50%
9/8Friday, Sept. 86:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+26	=1501	50%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 96:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	51%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 96:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+24	=1499	49%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	51%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+24	=1499	49%
9/11Monday, Sept. 116:35 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	–2	=1501	45%
9/11Monday, Sept. 116:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+22	=1534	55%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 126:35 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	45%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 126:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	55%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 136:35 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	45%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 136:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	55%
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:15 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	–3	=1522	49%
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+23	=1526	51%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:15 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	50%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	50%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 172:15 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	50%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 172:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	50%
9/18Monday, Sept. 187:45 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	–2	=1510	47%
9/18Monday, Sept. 187:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	53%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:45 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	48%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	52%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 207:45 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	48%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 207:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	52%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 211:15 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	48%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 211:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	52%
9/22Friday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	–4	=1499	41%
9/22Friday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	+26	=1566	59%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 238:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	41%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 238:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	+24	=1564	59%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 244:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	41%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 244:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	+24	=1564	59%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	–2	=1501	45%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+23	=1535	55%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	45%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	55%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	45%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	55%
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:15 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+0	=1475	43%
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+22	=1525	57%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:15 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+0	=1475	42%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	58%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:15 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+0	=1475	42%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	58%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
6/20Tuesday, June 207:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1499	+17	+0	=1516	56%	9
6/20Tuesday, June 207:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1436	+18	+24	=1478	44%	3
6/19Monday, June 194:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1498	+9	–2	=1505	55%	8
6/19Monday, June 194:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1437	+12	+24	=1473	45%	6
6/18Sunday, June 181:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Liberatore	1497	–11	+0	=1486	43%	8
6/18Sunday, June 181:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1523	–13	+24	=1534	57%	7
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1495	+1	+0	=1496	42%	5
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1525	+4	+24	=1553	58%	3
6/16Friday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1497	+19	–1	=1515	49%	1
6/16Friday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1523	–23	+26	=1526	51%	6
6/14Wednesday, June 141:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1514	–6	+0	=1508	46%	8
6/14Wednesday, June 141:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1499	+15	+24	=1538	54%	5
6/13Tuesday, June 137:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1511	+12	+0	=1523	48%	11
6/13Tuesday, June 137:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1502	+13	+24	=1539	52%	3
6/12Monday, June 127:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1510	+28	–4	=1534	53%	4
6/12Monday, June 127:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Liberatore	1503	–16	+24	=1511	47%	3
6/11Sunday, June 112:15 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Greene	1460	+31	+0	=1491	44%	4
6/11Sunday, June 112:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1504	+2	+24	=1530	56%	3
6/10Saturday, June 102:15 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Abbott	1457	+5	+0	=1462	37%	8
6/10Saturday, June 102:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1507	+21	+24	=1552	63%	4
6/9Friday, June 98:15 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Lively	1458	+0	–2	=1456	38%	4
6/9Friday, June 98:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1506	+10	+23	=1539	62%	7
6/7Wednesday, June 78:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1505	+9	+0	=1514	43%	1
6/7Wednesday, June 78:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1540	+3	+24	=1567	57%	0
6/6Tuesday, June 68:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Liberatore	1506	–11	+0	=1495	43%	4
6/6Tuesday, June 68:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1539	–16	+24	=1547	57%	6
6/5Monday, June 58:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1507	+3	–3	=1507	45%	3
6/5Monday, June 58:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1538	–21	+24	=1541	55%	4
6/4Sunday, June 411:35 a.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1508	+24	+0	=1532	55%	1
6/4Sunday, June 411:35 a.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Hill	1474	+2	+24	=1500	45%	2
6/3Saturday, June 34:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1509	+10	+0	=1519	55%	3
6/3Saturday, June 34:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Ortiz	1473	–15	+24	=1482	45%	4
6/2Friday, June 27:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1511	+7	+2	=1520	53%	5
6/2Friday, June 27:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Contreras	1472	+3	+22	=1497	47%	7
5/30Tuesday, May 307:45 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1437	+12	+0	=1449	35%	1
5/30Tuesday, May 307:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1510	+20	+24	=1554	65%	2
5/29Monday, May 292:15 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Staumont	1433	–5	–2	=1426	34%	7
5/29Monday, May 292:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1514	+6	+22	=1542	66%	0
5/28Sunday, May 281:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1515	+12	+0	=1527	55%	3
5/28Sunday, May 281:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Gaddis	1508	–41	+24	=1491	45%	4
5/27Saturday, May 277:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1514	+6	+0	=1520	50%	2
5/27Saturday, May 277:15 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bibee	1509	–11	+24	=1522	50%	1
5/26Friday, May 267:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Liberatore	1515	–8	–2	=1505	42%	3
5/26Friday, May 267:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1508	+26	+26	=1560	58%	4
5/25Thursday, May 2512:35 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1514	+16	+0	=1530	59%	2
5/25Thursday, May 2512:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Weaver	1451	–6	+24	=1469	41%	1
5/24Wednesday, May 246:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Matz	1517	+0	+0	=1517	57%	3
5/24Wednesday, May 246:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Lively	1448	–4	+24	=1468	43%	10
5/23Tuesday, May 236:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1516	+9	+0	=1525	58%	8
5/23Tuesday, May 236:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Ashcraft	1449	–4	+24	=1469	42%	5
5/22Monday, May 226:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1517	+16	–2	=1531	58%	5
5/22Monday, May 226:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Williamson	1448	+4	+24	=1476	42%	6
5/21Sunday, May 212:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1566	+24	+0	=1590	57%	5
5/21Sunday, May 212:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1514	+4	+24	=1542	43%	10
5/20Saturday, May 207:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1567	–19	+0	=1548	50%	5
5/20Saturday, May 207:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1513	+12	+24	=1549	50%	6
5/19Friday, May 198:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1566	+18	+0	=1584	57%	5
5/19Friday, May 198:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Matz	1515	–3	+24	=1536	43%	0
5/18Thursday, May 187:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1569	+13	–4	=1578	55%	8
5/18Thursday, May 187:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1512	+10	+24	=1546	45%	16
5/17Wednesday, May 177:45 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1528	+25	+0	=1553	55%	0
5/17Wednesday, May 177:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Liberatore	1510	–15	+24	=1519	45%	3
5/16Tuesday, May 167:45 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Miley	1526	–16	+0	=1510	44%	3
5/16Tuesday, May 167:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1511	+20	+24	=1555	56%	2
5/15Monday, May 157:45 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1532	+17	–2	=1547	53%	1
5/15Monday, May 157:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1506	+0	+21	=1527	47%	18
5/13Saturday, May 134:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Matz	1505	–2	+0	=1503	42%	4
5/13Saturday, May 134:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1519	+14	+24	=1557	58%	3
5/12Friday, May 127:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1503	+15	–1	=1517	44%	8
5/12Friday, May 127:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Paxton	1521	+16	+23	=1560	56%	6
5/10Wednesday, May 107:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1506	+26	+0	=1532	50%	4
5/10Wednesday, May 107:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Steele	1494	+12	+24	=1530	50%	10
5/9Tuesday, May 97:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1504	+1	+0	=1505	48%	6
5/9Tuesday, May 97:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Taillon	1496	+2	+24	=1522	52%	4
5/8Monday, May 87:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1503	+11	–2	=1512	46%	3
5/8Monday, May 87:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Stroman	1497	+15	+24	=1536	54%	1
5/7Sunday, May 72:15 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Faedo	1455	–31	+0	=1424	37%	6
5/7Sunday, May 72:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Matz	1501	–5	+24	=1520	63%	12
5/6Saturday, May 62:15 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Turnbull	1454	+2	+0	=1456	38%	6
5/6Saturday, May 62:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1503	+16	+24	=1543	62%	5
5/5Friday, May 58:15 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Boyd	1452	–12	–2	=1438	34%	5
5/5Friday, May 58:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1504	+27	+24	=1555	66%	4
5/4Thursday, May 41:15 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1519	–19	+0	=1500	44%	11
5/4Thursday, May 41:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1506	+10	+24	=1540	56%	7
5/3Wednesday, May 37:45 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1518	+46	+0	=1564	53%	6
5/3Wednesday, May 37:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1508	+9	+24	=1541	47%	4
5/2Tuesday, May 27:45 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1516	+4	+0	=1520	49%	5
5/2Tuesday, May 27:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Matz	1510	–6	+22	=1526	51%	1
4/30Sunday, April 304:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Woodford	1511	–13	+0	=1498	41%	3
4/30Sunday, April 304:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1554	–18	+24	=1560	59%	6
4/29Saturday, April 299:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1512	+22	+0	=1534	40%	0
4/29Saturday, April 299:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1554	+27	+24	=1605	60%	1
4/28Friday, April 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1514	+13	–2	=1525	44%	3
4/28Friday, April 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1552	–5	+20	=1567	56%	7
4/27Thursday, April 273:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1511	+6	+0	=1517	46%	6
4/27Thursday, April 273:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1505	+15	+24	=1544	54%	0
4/26Wednesday, April 269:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Matz	1513	–3	+0	=1510	48%	3
4/26Wednesday, April 269:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1503	–3	+24	=1524	52%	7
4/25Tuesday, April 259:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Woodford	1514	–13	+0	=1501	46%	4
4/25Tuesday, April 259:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Brebbia (open)	1502	+1	+24	=1527	54%	5
4/24Monday, April 249:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1516	+20	–3	=1533	50%	0
4/24Monday, April 249:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1500	+7	+24	=1531	50%	4
4/23Sunday, April 234:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1514	+13	+0	=1527	52%	7
4/23Sunday, April 234:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Flexen	1514	–27	+24	=1511	48%	3
4/22Saturday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1515	+8	+0	=1523	43%	4
4/22Saturday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Castillo	1513	+37	+24	=1574	57%	5
4/21Friday, April 2110:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Matz	1516	–3	–2	=1511	46%	2
4/21Friday, April 2110:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kirby	1511	+1	+26	=1538	54%	5
4/19Wednesday, April 191:15 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1494	–35	+0	=1459	40%	5
4/19Wednesday, April 191:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Woodford	1514	–9	+24	=1529	60%	14
4/18Tuesday, April 187:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Jameson	1492	+1	+0	=1493	40%	8
4/18Tuesday, April 187:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1515	+26	+24	=1565	60%	7
4/17Monday, April 177:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1490	+14	–3	=1501	42%	6
4/17Monday, April 177:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1517	+12	+24	=1553	58%	3
4/16Sunday, April 162:15 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1465	+12	+0	=1477	40%	4
4/16Sunday, April 162:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1516	+6	+24	=1546	60%	5
4/15Saturday, April 152:15 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Contreras	1463	+4	+0	=1467	40%	6
4/15Saturday, April 152:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Matz	1518	–5	+24	=1537	60%	3
4/14Friday, April 148:15 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Oviedo	1464	–2	+0	=1462	41%	0
4/14Friday, April 148:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Woodford	1517	–13	+24	=1528	59%	3
4/13Thursday, April 137:45 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Velasquez	1461	–19	–3	=1439	32%	5
4/13Thursday, April 137:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1520	+26	+21	=1567	68%	0
4/12Wednesday, April 123:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1519	+11	+0	=1530	63%	7
4/12Wednesday, April 123:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1443	–27	+24	=1440	37%	4
4/11Tuesday, April 118:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1518	+13	+0	=1531	56%	9
4/11Tuesday, April 118:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1444	+24	+24	=1492	44%	6
4/10Monday, April 108:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Matz	1520	–4	–3	=1513	55%	4
4/10Monday, April 108:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1442	+15	+24	=1481	45%	7
4/9Sunday, April 92:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Woodford	1522	–14	+0	=1508	41%	1
4/9Sunday, April 92:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1535	+14	+24	=1573	59%	6
4/8Saturday, April 87:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1519	+20	+0	=1539	48%	6
4/8Saturday, April 87:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1538	–11	+24	=1551	52%	0
4/7Friday, April 78:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1521	+12	+0	=1533	42%	0
4/7Friday, April 78:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1536	+27	+26	=1589	58%	4
4/5Wednesday, April 51:15 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Elder	1560	–11	+0	=1549	48%	5
4/5Wednesday, April 51:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1522	+16	+24	=1562	52%	2
4/4Tuesday, April 47:45 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Dodd	1558	–33	+0	=1525	47%	4
4/4Tuesday, April 47:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Matz	1524	–1	+24	=1547	53%	1
4/3Monday, April 37:45 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1556	–5	–3	=1548	50%	8
4/3Monday, April 37:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Woodford	1526	–4	+24	=1546	50%	4
4/2Sunday, April 22:15 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Bassitt	1541	+8	+0	=1549	47%	4
4/2Sunday, April 22:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1524	+19	+24	=1567	53%	9
4/1Saturday, April 12:15 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1543	+17	+2	=1562	51%	1
4/1Saturday, April 12:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1522	+8	+26	=1556	49%	4
3/30Thursday, March 304:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Manoah	1542	+35	–3	=1574	51%	10
3/30Thursday, March 304:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1523	+18	+24	=1565	49%	9

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.