2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Cardinals have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.
NL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | BrewersBrewers32-28 | 0.5 | 70% | 59% | ||
![]() | PiratesPirates32-27 | — | 32% | 20% | ||
![]() | CardinalsCardinals24-36 | 8.5 | 18% | 9% | ||
![]() | CubsCubs26-33 | 6.0 | 16% | 9% | ||
![]() | RedsReds27-33 | 5.5 | 5% | 3% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/14Sunday, May 147 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +22 | +0 | =1528 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | –10 | +24 | =1528 | 50% | ||
6/6Tuesday, June 68:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | –11 | +0 | =1495 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –16 | +24 | =1547 | 57% | ||
6/7Wednesday, June 78:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | +24 | =1561 | 57% | ||
6/9Friday, June 98:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | –2 | =1457 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +23 | =1532 | 61% | ||
6/10Saturday, June 102:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 60% | ||
6/11Sunday, June 112:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 60% | ||
6/12Monday, June 127:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | –4 | =1504 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 54% | ||
6/13Tuesday, June 137:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +0 | =1508 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 54% | ||
6/14Wednesday, June 141:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +0 | =1508 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 54% | ||
6/16Friday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | –1 | =1508 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +26 | =1558 | 57% | ||
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +24 | =1556 | 57% | ||
6/18Sunday, June 181:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +24 | =1556 | 57% | ||
6/19Monday, June 194:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | –2 | =1507 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 44% | ||
6/20Tuesday, June 207:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 44% | ||
6/21Wednesday, June 214:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 44% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 241:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +2 | =1488 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +2 | =1511 | 53% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 2510 a.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 53% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 277:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | –2 | =1561 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +26 | =1535 | 46% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 287:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | +0 | =1563 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 46% | ||
6/29Thursday, June 297:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | +0 | =1563 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 46% | ||
6/30Friday, June 308:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | –4 | =1561 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 46% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 12:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +0 | =1565 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 45% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 22:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +0 | =1565 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 45% | ||
7/3Monday, July 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | –3 | =1506 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +21 | =1514 | 51% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 41:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +24 | =1517 | 51% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +24 | =1517 | 51% | ||
7/6Thursday, July 66:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +24 | =1517 | 51% | ||
7/7Friday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | –3 | =1506 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +24 | =1508 | 51% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 82:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +24 | =1508 | 50% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +24 | =1508 | 50% | ||
7/14Friday, July 148:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +4 | =1446 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +29 | =1538 | 63% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 157:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 63% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 162:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 63% | ||
7/17Monday, July 177:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | –3 | =1490 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 56% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 187:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +0 | =1493 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 56% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 192:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +0 | =1493 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 56% | ||
7/20Thursday, July 208:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | –2 | =1507 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 51% | ||
7/21Friday, July 212:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 50% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 222:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 50% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 232:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 50% | ||
7/24Monday, July 249:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | –4 | =1505 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +20 | =1521 | 52% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 259:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +24 | =1525 | 52% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 263:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +24 | =1525 | 52% | ||
7/27Thursday, July 277:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | –2 | =1484 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +21 | =1530 | 56% | ||
7/28Friday, July 288:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 57% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 297:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 57% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 302:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 57% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +1 | +0 | =1528 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +26 | =1535 | 51% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 27:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +1 | +0 | =1528 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 51% | ||
8/3Thursday, Aug. 37:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +1 | +0 | =1528 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 51% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 48:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | –1 | =1446 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 62% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +0 | =1447 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 62% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 62:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +0 | =1447 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 62% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 86:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | –1 | =1508 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –3 | +23 | =1585 | 61% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 96:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –3 | +24 | =1586 | 61% | ||
8/10Thursday, Aug. 106:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –3 | +24 | =1586 | 61% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 118:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | –3 | =1506 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | +21 | =1454 | 43% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | +24 | =1457 | 43% | ||
8/14Monday, Aug. 147:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | –3 | =1395 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 69% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | +0 | =1398 | 32% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 68% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 166:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | +0 | =1398 | 32% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 68% | ||
8/17Thursday, Aug. 177:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | –3 | =1529 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 51% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +0 | =1532 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 50% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +0 | =1532 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 50% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 202:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +0 | =1532 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 50% | ||
8/21Monday, Aug. 217:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | –3 | =1506 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +21 | =1498 | 49% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +24 | =1501 | 49% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 2312:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +24 | =1501 | 49% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +26 | =1543 | 55% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 55% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 55% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | –2 | =1535 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +21 | =1530 | 49% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | +0 | =1537 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 49% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 302:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | +0 | =1537 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 49% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +0 | =1477 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +26 | =1535 | 58% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +0 | =1477 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 58% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +0 | =1477 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 58% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +22 | =1582 | 61% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +24 | =1584 | 61% | ||
9/7Thursday, Sept. 77:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +24 | =1584 | 61% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 86:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | –2 | =1507 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +26 | =1485 | 47% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 96:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 46% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 46% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 116:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | –2 | =1507 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +22 | =1529 | 53% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 126:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +24 | =1531 | 53% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 136:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +24 | =1531 | 53% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | –3 | =1514 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +23 | =1532 | 53% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 52% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 172:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 52% | ||
9/18Monday, Sept. 187:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | –2 | =1514 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 53% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +0 | =1516 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 52% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 207:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +0 | =1516 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 52% | ||
9/21Thursday, Sept. 211:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +0 | =1516 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 52% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | –4 | =1505 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | +26 | =1563 | 58% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 238:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | +24 | =1561 | 57% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 244:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | +24 | =1561 | 57% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | –2 | =1507 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +23 | =1539 | 55% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 55% | ||
9/28Thursday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 55% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +22 | =1531 | 60% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 60% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 60% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/5Monday, June 58:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +3 | –3 | =1507 | 45% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –21 | +24 | =1541 | 55% | 4 | |
6/4Sunday, June 411:35 a.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +24 | +0 | =1532 | 55% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +2 | +24 | =1500 | 45% | 2 | |
6/3Saturday, June 34:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | +10 | +0 | =1519 | 55% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1473 | –15 | +24 | =1482 | 45% | 4 | |
6/2Friday, June 27:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +7 | +2 | =1520 | 53% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1472 | +3 | +22 | =1497 | 47% | 7 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 307:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1437 | +12 | +0 | =1449 | 35% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +20 | +24 | =1554 | 65% | 2 | |
5/29Monday, May 292:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –5 | –2 | =1426 | 34% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +6 | +22 | =1542 | 66% | 0 | |
5/28Sunday, May 281:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1515 | +12 | +0 | =1527 | 55% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | –41 | +24 | =1491 | 45% | 4 | |
5/27Saturday, May 277:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +6 | +0 | =1520 | 50% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –11 | +24 | =1522 | 50% | 1 | |
5/26Friday, May 267:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1515 | –8 | –2 | =1505 | 42% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +26 | +26 | =1560 | 58% | 4 | |
5/25Thursday, May 2512:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +16 | +0 | =1530 | 59% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1451 | –6 | +24 | =1469 | 41% | 1 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 246:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +0 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1448 | –4 | +24 | =1468 | 43% | 10 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 236:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +9 | +0 | =1525 | 58% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | –4 | +24 | =1469 | 42% | 5 | |
5/22Monday, May 226:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +16 | –2 | =1531 | 58% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1448 | +4 | +24 | =1476 | 42% | 6 | |
5/21Sunday, May 212:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1566 | +24 | +0 | =1590 | 57% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +4 | +24 | =1542 | 43% | 10 | |
5/20Saturday, May 207:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1567 | –19 | +0 | =1548 | 50% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +12 | +24 | =1549 | 50% | 6 | |
5/19Friday, May 198:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1566 | +18 | +0 | =1584 | 57% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1515 | –3 | +24 | =1536 | 43% | 0 | |
5/18Thursday, May 187:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1569 | +13 | –4 | =1578 | 55% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1512 | +10 | +24 | =1546 | 45% | 16 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 177:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | +25 | +0 | =1553 | 55% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | –15 | +24 | =1519 | 45% | 3 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 167:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –16 | +0 | =1510 | 44% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +20 | +24 | =1555 | 56% | 2 | |
5/15Monday, May 157:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +17 | –2 | =1547 | 53% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +0 | +21 | =1527 | 47% | 18 | |
5/13Saturday, May 134:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1505 | –2 | +0 | =1503 | 42% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +14 | +24 | =1557 | 58% | 3 | |
5/12Friday, May 127:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1503 | +15 | –1 | =1517 | 44% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +16 | +23 | =1560 | 56% | 6 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 107:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +26 | +0 | =1532 | 50% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1494 | +12 | +24 | =1530 | 50% | 10 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 97:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1504 | +1 | +0 | =1505 | 48% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1496 | +2 | +24 | =1522 | 52% | 4 | |
5/8Monday, May 87:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1503 | +11 | –2 | =1512 | 46% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1497 | +15 | +24 | =1536 | 54% | 1 | |
5/7Sunday, May 72:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1455 | –31 | +0 | =1424 | 37% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1501 | –5 | +24 | =1520 | 63% | 12 | |
5/6Saturday, May 62:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1454 | +2 | +0 | =1456 | 38% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1503 | +16 | +24 | =1543 | 62% | 5 | |
5/5Friday, May 58:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –12 | –2 | =1438 | 34% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1504 | +27 | +24 | =1555 | 66% | 4 | |
5/4Thursday, May 41:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1519 | –19 | +0 | =1500 | 44% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +10 | +24 | =1540 | 56% | 7 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 37:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +46 | +0 | =1564 | 53% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +9 | +24 | =1541 | 47% | 4 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 27:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +4 | +0 | =1520 | 49% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | –6 | +22 | =1526 | 51% | 1 | |
4/30Sunday, April 304:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | –13 | +0 | =1498 | 41% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | –18 | +24 | =1560 | 59% | 6 | |
4/29Saturday, April 299:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1512 | +22 | +0 | =1534 | 40% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +27 | +24 | =1605 | 60% | 1 | |
4/28Friday, April 2810:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +13 | –2 | =1525 | 44% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1552 | –5 | +20 | =1567 | 56% | 7 | |
4/27Thursday, April 273:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +6 | +0 | =1517 | 46% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1505 | +15 | +24 | =1544 | 54% | 0 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 269:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | –3 | +0 | =1510 | 48% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1503 | –3 | +24 | =1524 | 52% | 7 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 259:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | –13 | +0 | =1501 | 46% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1502 | +1 | +24 | =1527 | 54% | 5 | |
4/24Monday, April 249:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +20 | –3 | =1533 | 50% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1500 | +7 | +24 | =1531 | 50% | 4 | |
4/23Sunday, April 234:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +13 | +0 | =1527 | 52% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | –27 | +24 | =1511 | 48% | 3 | |
4/22Saturday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1515 | +8 | +0 | =1523 | 43% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +37 | +24 | =1574 | 57% | 5 | |
4/21Friday, April 2110:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | –3 | –2 | =1511 | 46% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +26 | =1538 | 54% | 5 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 191:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1494 | –35 | +0 | =1459 | 40% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | –9 | +24 | =1529 | 60% | 14 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 187:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +1 | +0 | =1493 | 40% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1515 | +26 | +24 | =1565 | 60% | 7 | |
4/17Monday, April 177:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1490 | +14 | –3 | =1501 | 42% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +12 | +24 | =1553 | 58% | 3 | |
4/16Sunday, April 162:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1465 | +12 | +0 | =1477 | 40% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +6 | +24 | =1546 | 60% | 5 | |
4/15Saturday, April 152:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +4 | +0 | =1467 | 40% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | –5 | +24 | =1537 | 60% | 3 | |
4/14Friday, April 148:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | –2 | +0 | =1462 | 41% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –13 | +24 | =1528 | 59% | 3 | |
4/13Thursday, April 137:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –19 | –3 | =1439 | 32% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +26 | +21 | =1567 | 68% | 0 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 123:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +11 | +0 | =1530 | 63% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1443 | –27 | +24 | =1440 | 37% | 4 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 118:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +13 | +0 | =1531 | 56% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1444 | +24 | +24 | =1492 | 44% | 6 | |
4/10Monday, April 108:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | –3 | =1513 | 55% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +15 | +24 | =1481 | 45% | 7 | |
4/9Sunday, April 92:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | –14 | +0 | =1508 | 41% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | +14 | +24 | =1573 | 59% | 6 | |
4/8Saturday, April 87:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +20 | +0 | =1539 | 48% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –11 | +24 | =1551 | 52% | 0 | |
4/7Friday, April 78:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +12 | +0 | =1533 | 42% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +27 | +26 | =1589 | 58% | 4 | |
4/5Wednesday, April 51:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1560 | –11 | +0 | =1549 | 48% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +16 | +24 | =1562 | 52% | 2 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 47:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1558 | –33 | +0 | =1525 | 47% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –1 | +24 | =1547 | 53% | 1 | |
4/3Monday, April 37:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1556 | –5 | –3 | =1548 | 50% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –4 | +24 | =1546 | 50% | 4 | |
4/2Sunday, April 22:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +8 | +0 | =1549 | 47% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +19 | +24 | =1567 | 53% | 9 | |
4/1Saturday, April 12:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +17 | +2 | =1562 | 51% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +8 | +26 | =1556 | 49% | 4 | |
3/30Thursday, March 304:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +35 | –3 | =1574 | 51% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +18 | +24 | =1565 | 49% | 9 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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