Updated Jun. 5, 2023, at 11:44 PM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rockies have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

NL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Dodgers Dodgers35-25	—	96%	76%
Dbacks Diamondbacks35-25	—	55%	10%
Padres Padres28-32	7.0	53%	9%
Giants Giants29-30	5.5	35%	5%
Rockies Rockies26-35	9.5	<1%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
6/6Tuesday, June 68:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Brebbia (open)	1507	+1	–1	=1507	53%
6/6Tuesday, June 68:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Lamet	1446	+16	+23	=1485	47%
6/7Wednesday, June 78:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	55%
6/7Wednesday, June 78:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	45%
6/8Thursday, June 83:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	55%
6/8Thursday, June 83:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	45%
6/9Friday, June 98:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	–1	=1536	59%
6/9Friday, June 98:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	41%
6/10Saturday, June 103:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	59%
6/10Saturday, June 103:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	41%
6/11Sunday, June 113:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	59%
6/11Sunday, June 113:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	41%
6/12Monday, June 127:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–4	=1443	37%
6/12Monday, June 127:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+22	=1538	63%
6/13Tuesday, June 137:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	37%
6/13Tuesday, June 137:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+24	=1540	63%
6/14Wednesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	37%
6/14Wednesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+24	=1540	63%
6/15Thursday, June 157:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–3	=1444	31%
6/15Thursday, June 157:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+21	=1581	69%
6/16Friday, June 167:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	31%
6/16Friday, June 167:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+24	=1584	69%
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	31%
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+24	=1584	69%
6/18Sunday, June 181:30 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	31%
6/18Sunday, June 181:30 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+24	=1584	69%
6/19Monday, June 197:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–2	=1445	45%
6/19Monday, June 197:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+21	=1480	55%
6/20Tuesday, June 207:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	45%
6/20Tuesday, June 207:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+24	=1483	55%
6/21Wednesday, June 2112:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	45%
6/21Wednesday, June 2112:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+24	=1483	55%
6/23Friday, June 238:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–1	=1512	56%
6/23Friday, June 238:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+23	=1470	44%
6/24Saturday, June 249:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	56%
6/24Saturday, June 249:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	44%
6/25Sunday, June 253:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	56%
6/25Sunday, June 253:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	44%
6/27Tuesday, June 278:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–1	=1560	62%
6/27Tuesday, June 278:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+26	=1473	38%
6/28Wednesday, June 288:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	63%
6/28Wednesday, June 288:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	37%
6/29Thursday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	63%
6/29Thursday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	37%
6/30Friday, June 308:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	–3	=1446	46%
6/30Friday, June 308:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	54%
7/1Saturday, July 19:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+0	=1449	47%
7/1Saturday, July 19:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	53%
7/2Sunday, July 23:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+0	=1449	47%
7/2Sunday, July 23:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	53%
7/4Tuesday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–1	=1446	31%
7/4Tuesday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+22	=1585	69%
7/5Wednesday, July 52:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	31%
7/5Wednesday, July 52:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+24	=1587	69%
7/7Friday, July 710:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–2	=1445	38%
7/7Friday, July 710:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+26	=1534	62%
7/8Saturday, July 84:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	38%
7/8Saturday, July 84:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	62%
7/9Sunday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	38%
7/9Sunday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	62%
7/14Friday, July 148:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+3	=1568	63%
7/14Friday, July 148:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+28	=1475	37%
7/15Saturday, July 158:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+0	=1565	63%
7/15Saturday, July 158:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	37%
7/16Sunday, July 163:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+0	=1565	63%
7/16Sunday, July 163:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	37%
7/18Tuesday, July 188:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	–1	=1562	62%
7/18Tuesday, July 188:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+26	=1473	38%
7/19Wednesday, July 193:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+0	=1563	63%
7/19Wednesday, July 193:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	37%
7/21Friday, July 216:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–2	=1445	40%
7/21Friday, July 216:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	+23	=1516	60%
7/22Saturday, July 221:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	40%
7/22Saturday, July 221:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	+24	=1517	60%
7/23Sunday, July 231:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	40%
7/23Sunday, July 231:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	+24	=1517	60%
7/24Monday, July 247:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–3	=1444	47%
7/24Monday, July 247:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+24	=1466	53%
7/25Tuesday, July 257:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	47%
7/25Tuesday, July 257:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+24	=1466	53%
7/26Wednesday, July 2612:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	47%
7/26Wednesday, July 2612:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+24	=1466	53%
7/28Friday, July 288:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–1	=1397	40%
7/28Friday, July 288:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+22	=1469	60%
7/29Saturday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	40%
7/29Saturday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	60%
7/30Sunday, July 303:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	40%
7/30Sunday, July 303:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	60%
7/31Monday, July 318:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	–3	=1534	59%
7/31Monday, July 318:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	41%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	59%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	41%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 23:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	59%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 23:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	41%
8/4Friday, Aug. 48:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–1	=1446	38%
8/4Friday, Aug. 48:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1506	+3	+24	=1533	62%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	38%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1506	+3	+24	=1533	62%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 62:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	38%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 62:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1506	+3	+24	=1533	62%
8/7Monday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–2	=1445	37%
8/7Monday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	+24	=1540	63%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	37%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	+24	=1540	63%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 92:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	37%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 92:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	+24	=1540	63%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–4	=1443	31%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+22	=1583	69%
8/11Friday, Aug. 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	31%
8/11Friday, Aug. 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	69%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 129:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	31%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 129:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	69%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	31%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	69%
8/14Monday, Aug. 148:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–3	=1498	54%
8/14Monday, Aug. 148:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+21	=1468	46%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 158:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	54%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 158:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	46%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 163:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	54%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 163:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	46%
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–1	=1483	51%
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+26	=1473	49%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	52%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	48%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 203:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	52%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 203:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	48%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 226:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–2	=1445	31%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 226:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+22	=1584	69%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 236:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	31%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 236:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+24	=1586	69%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	31%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+24	=1586	69%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–3	=1444	38%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	+24	=1531	62%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	38%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	+24	=1531	62%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	38%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	+24	=1531	62%
8/28Monday, Aug. 288:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	–3	=1557	63%
8/28Monday, Aug. 288:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+20	=1467	37%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 298:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+0	=1560	62%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 298:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	38%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 308:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+0	=1560	62%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 308:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	38%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:40 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	–1	=1543	60%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+26	=1473	40%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+0	=1544	60%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	40%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+0	=1544	60%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 33:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	40%
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–3	=1444	39%
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	61%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 59:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	39%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 59:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	61%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 63:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	39%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 63:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	61%
9/8Friday, Sept. 810:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–1	=1446	38%
9/8Friday, Sept. 810:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+22	=1530	62%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 99:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	38%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 99:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	62%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 104:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	38%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 104:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	62%
9/11Monday, Sept. 118:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	–3	=1483	52%
9/11Monday, Sept. 118:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+21	=1468	48%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 128:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+0	=1486	52%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 128:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	48%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 133:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+0	=1486	52%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 133:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	48%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 148:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–3	=1505	55%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 148:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	45%
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	55%
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	45%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	55%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	45%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 173:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	55%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 173:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	45%
9/18Monday, Sept. 189:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–3	=1444	34%
9/18Monday, Sept. 189:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+22	=1559	66%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	34%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+24	=1561	66%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 204:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	34%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 204:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+24	=1561	66%
9/22Friday, Sept. 222:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–2	=1445	41%
9/22Friday, Sept. 222:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+24	=1510	59%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 232:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	41%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 232:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+24	=1510	59%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 242:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	41%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 242:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+24	=1510	59%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 263:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–1	=1560	63%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 263:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+23	=1470	37%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 268:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	63%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 268:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	37%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 278:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	63%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 278:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	37%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 288:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	63%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 288:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	37%
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	–3	=1525	58%
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	42%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+0	=1528	58%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	42%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+0	=1528	58%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	42%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
6/4Sunday, June 42:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1448	+18	+0	=1466	50%	0
6/4Sunday, June 42:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1433	+6	+24	=1463	50%	2
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1446	–3	+0	=1443	49%	6
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lynch	1434	–11	+24	=1447	51%	4
6/2Friday, June 28:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Anderson	1444	+4	–3	=1445	49%	7
6/2Friday, June 28:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lyles	1436	–11	+27	=1452	51%	2
6/1Thursday, June 13:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Seabold	1445	–28	+0	=1417	37%	4
6/1Thursday, June 13:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1500	–17	+24	=1507	63%	5
5/31Wednesday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Lamet	1447	+20	+0	=1467	45%	0
5/31Wednesday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1498	–22	+24	=1500	55%	6
5/30Tuesday, May 309:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1448	+23	+0	=1471	37%	1
5/30Tuesday, May 309:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1497	+47	+24	=1568	63%	5
5/29Monday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kauffmann	1449	–16	–3	=1430	38%	5
5/29Monday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1496	–7	+24	=1513	62%	7
5/28Sunday, May 283:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1531	–16	+0	=1515	56%	10
5/28Sunday, May 283:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1448	–2	+24	=1470	44%	11
5/27Saturday, May 279:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Verlander	1533	+46	+0	=1579	65%	7
5/27Saturday, May 279:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Anderson	1446	–2	+24	=1468	35%	10
5/26Friday, May 268:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1532	+32	–3	=1561	67%	5
5/26Friday, May 268:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Seabold	1447	–35	+24	=1436	33%	2
5/25Thursday, May 253:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Garrett	1486	–7	+0	=1479	48%	6
5/25Thursday, May 253:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1446	+21	+24	=1491	52%	7
5/24Wednesday, May 248:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1484	+27	+0	=1511	57%	10
5/24Wednesday, May 248:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kauffmann	1448	–14	+24	=1458	43%	2
5/23Tuesday, May 238:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Perez	1485	–21	+0	=1464	49%	4
5/23Tuesday, May 238:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1447	–2	+24	=1469	51%	5
5/22Monday, May 228:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Cabrera	1486	–6	–3	=1477	52%	3
5/22Monday, May 228:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Anderson	1446	–3	+21	=1464	48%	5
5/21Sunday, May 212:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Seabold	1448	–33	+0	=1415	35%	3
5/21Sunday, May 212:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1522	–22	+24	=1524	65%	13
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1450	+28	+0	=1478	41%	5
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1520	–6	+24	=1538	59%	11
5/19Friday, May 198:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kauffmann	1451	–12	–1	=1438	37%	2
5/19Friday, May 198:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1519	–16	+26	=1529	63%	7
5/17Wednesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Ashcraft	1454	–1	+0	=1453	47%	6
5/17Wednesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1449	–2	+24	=1471	53%	11
5/16Tuesday, May 168:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Williamson	1453	–3	+0	=1450	48%	3
5/16Tuesday, May 168:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Anderson	1451	–11	+24	=1464	52%	1
5/15Monday, May 158:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Greene	1454	+26	–4	=1476	55%	8
5/15Monday, May 158:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Seabold	1449	–32	+24	=1441	45%	9
5/14Sunday, May 143:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1525	+16	+0	=1541	57%	0
5/14Sunday, May 143:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1447	+22	+24	=1493	43%	4
5/13Saturday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1524	–1	+0	=1523	58%	7
5/13Saturday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1448	–2	+24	=1470	42%	4
5/12Friday, May 128:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Walker	1523	–18	–2	=1503	55%	6
5/12Friday, May 128:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1450	–4	+23	=1469	45%	3
5/10Wednesday, May 1012:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1449	+6	+0	=1455	44%	4
5/10Wednesday, May 1012:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Hill	1471	+3	+24	=1498	56%	3
5/9Tuesday, May 96:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Seabold	1444	–36	+0	=1408	38%	10
5/9Tuesday, May 96:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Ortiz	1475	–6	+24	=1493	62%	1
5/8Monday, May 86:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1446	+23	–2	=1467	44%	0
5/8Monday, May 86:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1474	+14	+24	=1512	56%	2
5/7Sunday, May 71:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1442	+1	+0	=1443	34%	13
5/7Sunday, May 71:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Lucchesi	1541	–6	+24	=1559	66%	6
5/6Saturday, May 64:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1439	–7	+0	=1432	33%	5
5/6Saturday, May 64:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1544	–14	+24	=1554	67%	2
5/5Friday, May 57:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1440	+4	–4	=1440	36%	0
5/5Friday, May 57:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1543	–21	+22	=1544	64%	1
5/4Thursday, May 43:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Miley	1533	–15	+0	=1518	63%	6
5/4Thursday, May 43:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Seabold	1438	–37	+24	=1425	37%	9
5/3Wednesday, May 38:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1536	–17	+0	=1519	56%	1
5/3Wednesday, May 38:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1435	+18	+24	=1477	44%	7
5/2Tuesday, May 28:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1537	+11	–1	=1547	62%	2
5/2Tuesday, May 28:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1434	+1	+26	=1461	38%	3
4/30Sunday, April 303:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1496	–11	+0	=1485	56%	4
4/30Sunday, April 303:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1431	–9	+24	=1446	44%	12
4/29Saturday, April 298:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1493	–29	+0	=1464	51%	11
4/29Saturday, April 298:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Davis	1433	–1	+24	=1456	49%	4
4/28Friday, April 288:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1491	+15	–1	=1505	54%	9
4/28Friday, April 288:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1436	+18	+23	=1477	46%	1
4/26Wednesday, April 261:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1437	+21	+0	=1458	42%	1
4/26Wednesday, April 261:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bibee	1520	–28	+24	=1516	58%	4
4/25Tuesday, April 256:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1434	–3	+0	=1431	37%	5
4/25Tuesday, April 256:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Battenfield	1522	–20	+24	=1526	63%	1
4/24Monday, April 246:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1431	–12	–2	=1417	32%	6
4/24Monday, April 246:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1526	–2	+24	=1548	68%	0
4/23Sunday, April 2312:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1432	–22	+0	=1410	28%	3
4/23Sunday, April 2312:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1522	+27	+24	=1573	72%	9
4/22Saturday, April 223:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1433	+19	+0	=1452	41%	3
4/22Saturday, April 223:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Sanchez	1521	–29	+24	=1516	59%	4
4/21Friday, April 217:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Davis	1433	–4	+0	=1429	32%	3
4/21Friday, April 217:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1521	+12	+24	=1557	68%	4
4/20Thursday, April 206:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1430	–7	–4	=1419	36%	5
4/20Thursday, April 206:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Strahm	1524	–25	+21	=1520	64%	0
4/19Wednesday, April 193:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Oviedo	1469	+1	+0	=1470	52%	14
4/19Wednesday, April 193:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1433	–5	+24	=1452	48%	3
4/18Tuesday, April 188:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Velasquez	1468	–16	+0	=1452	52%	5
4/18Tuesday, April 188:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1435	–21	+24	=1438	48%	3
4/17Monday, April 178:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Hill	1464	+5	–3	=1466	47%	14
4/17Monday, April 178:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1438	+26	+21	=1485	53%	3
4/16Sunday, April 164:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Davis	1439	–12	+0	=1427	30%	0
4/16Sunday, April 164:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Castillo	1515	+35	+24	=1574	70%	1
4/15Saturday, April 159:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1441	–8	+0	=1433	35%	2
4/15Saturday, April 159:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kirby	1513	+2	+24	=1539	65%	9
4/14Friday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1442	–3	–1	=1438	42%	3
4/14Friday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Milone	1512	–40	+22	=1494	58%	5
4/12Wednesday, April 123:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1519	+11	+0	=1530	63%	7
4/12Wednesday, April 123:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1443	–27	+24	=1440	37%	4
4/11Tuesday, April 118:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1518	+13	+0	=1531	56%	9
4/11Tuesday, April 118:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1444	+24	+24	=1492	44%	6
4/10Monday, April 108:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Matz	1520	–4	–3	=1513	55%	4
4/10Monday, April 108:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1442	+15	+24	=1481	45%	7
4/9Sunday, April 93:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Kuhl	1431	+0	+0	=1431	46%	6
4/9Sunday, April 93:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1441	–8	+24	=1457	54%	7
4/8Saturday, April 88:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1430	+7	+0	=1437	46%	7
4/8Saturday, April 88:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1443	+0	+24	=1467	54%	6
4/7Friday, April 78:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1428	+10	+0	=1438	49%	10
4/7Friday, April 78:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1445	–21	+24	=1448	51%	5
4/6Thursday, April 64:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1428	–3	–4	=1421	41%	0
4/6Thursday, April 64:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1444	+20	+23	=1487	59%	1
4/4Tuesday, April 410:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1445	+17	+0	=1462	30%	2
4/4Tuesday, April 410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1564	+18	+24	=1606	70%	5
4/3Monday, April 310:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1447	–8	–1	=1438	35%	4
4/3Monday, April 310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Grove	1562	–41	+24	=1545	65%	13
4/2Sunday, April 24:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1448	–1	+0	=1447	37%	1
4/2Sunday, April 24:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Lugo	1542	–27	+24	=1539	63%	3
4/1Saturday, April 18:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1449	–16	+0	=1433	32%	4
4/1Saturday, April 18:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Wacha	1541	+0	+24	=1565	68%	8
3/31Friday, March 319:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1447	+15	+0	=1462	41%	4
3/31Friday, March 319:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Martinez	1543	–40	+24	=1527	59%	1
3/30Thursday, March 309:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1443	+15	–3	=1455	32%	7
3/30Thursday, March 309:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1547	+14	+24	=1585	68%	2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.