2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Cubs have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.
NL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | BrewersBrewers32-28 | 0.5 | 70% | 59% | ||
![]() | PiratesPirates32-27 | — | 32% | 20% | ||
![]() | CardinalsCardinals24-36 | 8.5 | 18% | 9% | ||
![]() | CubsCubs26-33 | 6.0 | 16% | 9% | ||
![]() | RedsReds27-33 | 5.5 | 5% | 3% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/6Tuesday, June 69:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | –18 | –1 | =1466 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | –1 | +23 | =1533 | 60% | ||
6/7Wednesday, June 79:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +2 | +24 | =1537 | 57% | ||
6/8Thursday, June 89:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +2 | +24 | =1537 | 57% | ||
6/9Friday, June 910:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | –2 | =1484 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +21 | =1529 | 56% | ||
6/10Saturday, June 107:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +24 | =1532 | 57% | ||
6/11Sunday, June 114:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +24 | =1532 | 57% | ||
6/13Tuesday, June 138:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +0 | =1477 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +22 | =1508 | 54% | ||
6/14Wednesday, June 148:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +0 | =1477 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 55% | ||
6/15Thursday, June 158:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +0 | =1477 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 55% | ||
6/16Friday, June 162:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | –3 | =1504 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 51% | ||
6/17Saturday, June 172:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +0 | =1507 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 50% | ||
6/18Sunday, June 181:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +0 | =1507 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 50% | ||
6/19Monday, June 197:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | –2 | =1484 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +22 | =1499 | 52% | ||
6/20Tuesday, June 207:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +24 | =1501 | 52% | ||
6/21Wednesday, June 2112:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +24 | =1501 | 52% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 241:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +2 | =1488 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +2 | =1511 | 53% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 2510 a.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 53% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 278:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | –1 | =1516 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 49% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 288:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 49% | ||
6/29Thursday, June 298:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 49% | ||
6/30Friday, June 302:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +3 | –2 | =1514 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 49% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 17:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +3 | +0 | =1516 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 49% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 22:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +3 | +0 | =1516 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 49% | ||
7/3Monday, July 32:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | –1 | =1485 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +22 | =1538 | 58% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 58% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 58% | ||
7/6Thursday, July 62:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 58% | ||
7/7Friday, July 77:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | –3 | =1483 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +24 | =1589 | 65% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 81:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +24 | =1589 | 64% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 91:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +24 | =1589 | 64% | ||
7/14Friday, July 148:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +4 | =1520 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +28 | =1514 | 49% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 152:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 49% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 162:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 49% | ||
7/17Monday, July 178:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | –2 | =1440 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 60% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 188:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 60% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 198:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 60% | ||
7/20Thursday, July 208:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | –2 | =1507 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 51% | ||
7/21Friday, July 212:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 50% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 222:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 50% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 232:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 50% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +1 | =1487 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +24 | =1508 | 53% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +24 | =1508 | 53% | ||
7/27Thursday, July 277:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | –2 | =1484 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +21 | =1530 | 56% | ||
7/28Friday, July 288:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 57% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 297:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 57% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 302:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 57% | ||
7/31Monday, July 318:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | –4 | =1455 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +22 | =1508 | 58% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 57% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 57% | ||
8/3Thursday, Aug. 38:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 57% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 42:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | –1 | =1559 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 43% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 52:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +0 | =1560 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 43% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 62:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +0 | =1560 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 43% | ||
8/7Monday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | –3 | =1483 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +22 | =1554 | 60% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +24 | =1556 | 60% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +24 | =1556 | 60% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +22 | =1566 | 61% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 123:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 62% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 62% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +1 | =1485 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 53% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +0 | =1484 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 54% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 182:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | –2 | =1431 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +26 | =1512 | 62% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 192:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | +0 | =1433 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 61% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 202:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | +0 | =1433 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 61% | ||
8/21Monday, Aug. 216:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | –2 | =1484 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | +0 | +23 | =1472 | 48% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | +0 | +24 | =1473 | 48% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 231:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | +0 | +24 | =1473 | 48% | ||
8/24Thursday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | –2 | =1484 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +24 | =1501 | 52% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +24 | =1501 | 52% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +24 | =1501 | 52% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +24 | =1501 | 52% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 288:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | –1 | =1515 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +22 | =1508 | 49% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 298:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +0 | =1516 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 49% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 302:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +0 | =1516 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 49% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 11:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +22 | =1481 | 49% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 16:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 50% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 26:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 50% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 312:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 50% | ||
9/4Monday, Sept. 42:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | –4 | =1504 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +22 | =1508 | 51% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +0 | =1508 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 50% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 62:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +0 | =1508 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 50% | ||
9/7Thursday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | –4 | =1497 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 52% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 82:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +0 | =1501 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 51% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 92:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +0 | =1501 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 51% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 102:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +0 | =1501 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 51% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 118:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | –3 | =1483 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +21 | =1468 | 48% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 128:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +24 | =1471 | 48% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 133:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +24 | =1471 | 48% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | –1 | =1485 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +20 | =1521 | 55% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +24 | =1525 | 56% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +24 | =1525 | 56% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +0 | =1477 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +22 | =1508 | 55% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 207:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +0 | =1477 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 55% | ||
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +0 | =1477 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 55% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 222:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | –2 | =1445 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 59% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 232:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +0 | =1447 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 59% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 242:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +0 | =1447 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 59% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | –1 | =1485 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +23 | =1583 | 64% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +24 | =1584 | 64% | ||
9/28Thursday, Sept. 287:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +24 | =1584 | 64% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | –3 | =1483 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 58% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 58% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 58% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/5Monday, June 59:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1486 | –17 | +0 | =1469 | 37% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | +6 | +24 | =1565 | 63% | 5 | |
6/4Sunday, June 45:30 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +26 | +0 | =1510 | 49% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –47 | +24 | =1515 | 51% | 1 | |
6/3Saturday, June 310:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1486 | +4 | +0 | =1490 | 38% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +16 | +24 | =1576 | 62% | 6 | |
6/2Friday, June 29:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1484 | –13 | –2 | =1469 | 36% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +12 | +20 | =1570 | 64% | 1 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 312:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1561 | –8 | +0 | =1553 | 55% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +10 | +24 | =1519 | 45% | 3 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 308:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1562 | +19 | +0 | =1581 | 63% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | –17 | +24 | =1491 | 37% | 2 | |
5/29Monday, May 292:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –26 | –3 | =1535 | 51% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1482 | +20 | +24 | =1526 | 49% | 1 | |
5/28Sunday, May 282:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1456 | –11 | +0 | =1445 | 39% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +11 | +24 | =1520 | 61% | 5 | |
5/27Saturday, May 277:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1454 | –1 | +0 | =1453 | 43% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1487 | –11 | +24 | =1500 | 57% | 5 | |
5/26Friday, May 262:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1450 | +21 | –2 | =1469 | 41% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1490 | +17 | +24 | =1531 | 59% | 0 | |
5/25Thursday, May 257:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1529 | –17 | +0 | =1512 | 52% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1494 | –16 | +24 | =1502 | 48% | 1 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 247:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | –7 | +0 | =1523 | 49% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +15 | +24 | =1531 | 51% | 4 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 237:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1532 | –11 | –1 | =1520 | 50% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1490 | +10 | +23 | =1523 | 50% | 7 | |
5/21Sunday, May 211:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1491 | +14 | +0 | =1505 | 48% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –20 | +24 | =1521 | 52% | 2 | |
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | –3 | +0 | =1490 | 40% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1515 | +18 | +24 | =1557 | 60% | 12 | |
5/19Friday, May 197:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1490 | +12 | –1 | =1501 | 44% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +0 | +22 | =1541 | 56% | 1 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 178:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1491 | +7 | +0 | =1498 | 42% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1555 | –25 | +24 | =1554 | 58% | 7 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 168:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +13 | +0 | =1505 | 36% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +29 | +24 | =1607 | 64% | 7 | |
5/15Monday, May 158:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +1 | –3 | =1491 | 35% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +26 | +21 | =1600 | 65% | 6 | |
5/14Sunday, May 142:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1496 | +19 | +0 | =1515 | 49% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1525 | –25 | +24 | =1524 | 51% | 16 | |
5/13Saturday, May 132:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –9 | +0 | =1490 | 40% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +13 | +24 | =1559 | 60% | 11 | |
5/12Friday, May 128:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1497 | +2 | +0 | =1499 | 41% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1525 | +16 | +24 | =1565 | 59% | 2 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 107:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +26 | +0 | =1532 | 50% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1494 | +12 | +24 | =1530 | 50% | 10 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 97:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1504 | +1 | +0 | =1505 | 48% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1496 | +2 | +24 | =1522 | 52% | 4 | |
5/8Monday, May 87:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1503 | +11 | –2 | =1512 | 46% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1497 | +15 | +24 | =1536 | 54% | 1 | |
5/7Sunday, May 72:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1483 | +31 | +0 | =1514 | 51% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | –12 | +24 | =1510 | 49% | 4 | |
5/6Saturday, May 62:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1484 | –23 | +0 | =1461 | 41% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1497 | +4 | +24 | =1525 | 59% | 4 | |
5/5Friday, May 52:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | –4 | –3 | =1478 | 43% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1496 | +9 | +21 | =1526 | 57% | 4 | |
5/4Thursday, May 41:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1497 | +5 | +0 | =1502 | 59% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1435 | –19 | +24 | =1440 | 41% | 4 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 37:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +15 | +0 | =1513 | 58% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1434 | +2 | +24 | =1460 | 42% | 2 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 27:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1500 | –17 | +0 | =1483 | 53% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +9 | +24 | =1465 | 47% | 4 | |
5/1Monday, May 17:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +4 | –3 | =1499 | 54% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1434 | +16 | +24 | =1474 | 46% | 1 | |
4/30Sunday, April 3012:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1500 | +11 | +0 | =1511 | 55% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1491 | –41 | +24 | =1474 | 45% | 4 | |
4/29Saturday, April 294:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1500 | –41 | +0 | =1459 | 43% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1490 | –8 | +24 | =1506 | 57% | 7 | |
4/28Friday, April 286:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +15 | –3 | =1513 | 50% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1489 | +4 | +21 | =1514 | 50% | 3 | |
4/27Thursday, April 272:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –17 | +0 | =1522 | 53% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1500 | –22 | +24 | =1502 | 47% | 5 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 267:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –9 | +0 | =1529 | 50% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +1 | +24 | =1526 | 50% | 3 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 257:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +4 | –2 | =1543 | 52% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +8 | +26 | =1532 | 48% | 6 | |
4/23Sunday, April 232:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1555 | +24 | +0 | =1579 | 55% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1500 | +20 | +24 | =1544 | 45% | 3 | |
4/22Saturday, April 222:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –10 | +0 | =1543 | 55% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1502 | –21 | +24 | =1505 | 45% | 4 | |
4/21Friday, April 212:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1558 | +19 | +0 | =1577 | 59% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1497 | –7 | +24 | =1514 | 41% | 13 | |
4/20Thursday, April 207:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1556 | –44 | –4 | =1508 | 51% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | –18 | +20 | =1501 | 49% | 2 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 193:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1496 | +7 | +0 | =1503 | 58% | 12 |
![]() | ![]() | 1419 | +6 | +24 | =1449 | 42% | 2 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1495 | +20 | +0 | =1515 | 60% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1421 | –4 | +24 | =1441 | 40% | 0 | |
4/17Monday, April 179:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –26 | –2 | =1464 | 51% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1424 | +6 | +24 | =1454 | 49% | 1 | |
4/16Sunday, April 164:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1490 | –7 | +0 | =1483 | 33% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1559 | +23 | +24 | =1606 | 67% | 2 | |
4/15Saturday, April 159:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1491 | +5 | +0 | =1496 | 45% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1558 | –50 | +24 | =1532 | 55% | 2 | |
4/14Friday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1488 | +8 | –2 | =1494 | 39% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1561 | –15 | +24 | =1570 | 61% | 2 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 122:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +8 | +0 | =1518 | 48% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1490 | +21 | +24 | =1535 | 52% | 2 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 117:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | –16 | +0 | =1497 | 49% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1488 | –11 | +24 | =1501 | 51% | 14 | |
4/10Monday, April 107:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +34 | –2 | =1546 | 57% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1486 | –11 | +24 | =1499 | 43% | 3 | |
4/9Sunday, April 92:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | –4 | +0 | =1494 | 46% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1489 | +6 | +24 | =1519 | 54% | 2 | |
4/8Saturday, April 84:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1500 | +5 | +0 | =1505 | 48% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1486 | +6 | +24 | =1516 | 52% | 10 | |
4/7Friday, April 72:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1502 | –5 | –1 | =1496 | 45% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +18 | +27 | =1530 | 55% | 2 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 46:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1483 | –5 | +0 | =1478 | 51% | 12 |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –9 | +24 | =1473 | 49% | 5 | |
4/3Monday, April 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1484 | –6 | –2 | =1476 | 49% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +4 | +24 | =1485 | 51% | 7 | |
4/2Sunday, April 22:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –10 | +0 | =1516 | 50% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1486 | +8 | +24 | =1518 | 50% | 5 | |
4/1Saturday, April 12:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1525 | +26 | +2 | =1553 | 56% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1487 | +1 | +26 | =1514 | 44% | 1 | |
3/30Thursday, March 302:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +26 | –1 | =1552 | 54% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +14 | +24 | =1523 | 46% | 4 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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