Updated Jun. 5, 2023, at 11:44 PM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rangers have a 6% chance of winning the World Series.

AL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Astros Astros36-24	3.0	86%	54%
Rangers Rangers38-20	—	78%	40%
Angels Angels31-30	8.5	19%	3%
Mariners Mariners29-30	9.5	13%	2%
Athletics Athletics12-49	27.5	<1%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
5/14Sunday, May 144:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1539	–22	+0	=1517	62%
5/14Sunday, May 144:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	38%
6/6Tuesday, June 68:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Liberatore	1506	–11	+0	=1495	43%
6/6Tuesday, June 68:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1539	–16	+24	=1547	57%
6/7Wednesday, June 78:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1506	+3	+0	=1509	43%
6/7Wednesday, June 78:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	57%
6/9Friday, June 96:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–1	=1536	43%
6/9Friday, June 96:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+24	=1586	57%
6/10Saturday, June 104:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	43%
6/10Saturday, June 104:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+24	=1586	57%
6/11Sunday, June 111:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	43%
6/11Sunday, June 111:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+24	=1586	57%
6/12Monday, June 128:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–3	=1510	43%
6/12Monday, June 128:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+21	=1558	57%
6/13Tuesday, June 138:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	43%
6/13Tuesday, June 138:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	57%
6/14Wednesday, June 148:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	43%
6/14Wednesday, June 148:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	57%
6/15Thursday, June 158:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	43%
6/15Thursday, June 158:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	57%
6/16Friday, June 168:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	–3	=1541	47%
6/16Friday, June 168:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	53%
6/17Saturday, June 174:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+0	=1544	48%
6/17Saturday, June 174:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	52%
6/18Sunday, June 182:35 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+0	=1544	48%
6/18Sunday, June 182:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	52%
6/19Monday, June 198:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–3	=1534	54%
6/19Monday, June 198:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+20	=1504	46%
6/20Tuesday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	54%
6/20Tuesday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	46%
6/21Wednesday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	54%
6/21Wednesday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	46%
6/23Friday, June 237:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–1	=1536	42%
6/23Friday, June 237:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+24	=1589	58%
6/24Saturday, June 244:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	42%
6/24Saturday, June 244:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+24	=1589	58%
6/25Sunday, June 251:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	42%
6/25Sunday, June 251:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+24	=1589	58%
6/26Monday, June 268:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	–3	=1446	35%
6/26Monday, June 268:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+21	=1558	65%
6/27Tuesday, June 278:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+0	=1449	35%
6/27Tuesday, June 278:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	65%
6/28Wednesday, June 288:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+0	=1449	35%
6/28Wednesday, June 288:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	65%
6/29Thursday, June 292:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+0	=1449	35%
6/29Thursday, June 292:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	65%
6/30Friday, June 308:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	–3	=1560	50%
6/30Friday, June 308:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	50%
7/1Saturday, July 14:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+0	=1563	50%
7/1Saturday, July 14:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	50%
7/2Sunday, July 22:35 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+0	=1563	50%
7/2Sunday, July 22:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	50%
7/3Monday, July 32:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+0	=1563	50%
7/3Monday, July 32:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	50%
7/4Tuesday, July 41:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–4	=1533	49%
7/4Tuesday, July 41:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+24	=1540	51%
7/5Wednesday, July 57:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	49%
7/5Wednesday, July 57:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+24	=1540	51%
7/6Thursday, July 67:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	49%
7/6Thursday, July 67:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+24	=1540	51%
7/7Friday, July 77:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–2	=1535	60%
7/7Friday, July 77:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+24	=1466	40%
7/8Saturday, July 84:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	60%
7/8Saturday, July 84:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+24	=1466	40%
7/9Sunday, July 912:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	60%
7/9Sunday, July 912:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+24	=1466	40%
7/14Friday, July 148:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+4	=1520	44%
7/14Friday, July 148:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+28	=1565	56%
7/15Saturday, July 154:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+0	=1516	44%
7/15Saturday, July 154:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	56%
7/16Sunday, July 162:35 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+0	=1516	44%
7/16Sunday, July 162:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	56%
7/17Monday, July 178:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	–2	=1560	50%
7/17Monday, July 178:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	50%
7/18Tuesday, July 188:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+0	=1562	50%
7/18Tuesday, July 188:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	50%
7/19Wednesday, July 192:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+0	=1562	50%
7/19Wednesday, July 192:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	50%
7/21Friday, July 218:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–1	=1560	50%
7/21Friday, July 218:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+26	=1563	50%
7/22Saturday, July 224:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	50%
7/22Saturday, July 224:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	50%
7/23Sunday, July 232:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	50%
7/23Sunday, July 232:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	50%
7/24Monday, July 248:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–2	=1535	43%
7/24Monday, July 248:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+20	=1583	57%
7/25Tuesday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	43%
7/25Tuesday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+24	=1587	57%
7/26Wednesday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	43%
7/26Wednesday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+24	=1587	57%
7/28Friday, July 289:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–1	=1536	46%
7/28Friday, July 289:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+26	=1563	54%
7/29Saturday, July 298:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	46%
7/29Saturday, July 298:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+24	=1561	54%
7/30Sunday, July 304:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	46%
7/30Sunday, July 304:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+24	=1561	54%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–1	=1483	39%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+23	=1560	61%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	39%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	61%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 32:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	39%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 32:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	61%
8/4Friday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	–3	=1490	40%
8/4Friday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	60%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 54:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	+0	=1493	40%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 54:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	60%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 62:35 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	+0	=1493	40%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 62:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	60%
8/7Monday, Aug. 79:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–4	=1533	65%
8/7Monday, Aug. 79:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	35%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	66%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	34%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 93:37 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	66%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 93:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	34%
8/11Friday, Aug. 1110:15 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+1	=1538	51%
8/11Friday, Aug. 1110:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	49%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 129:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	51%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 129:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	49%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	51%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	49%
8/14Monday, Aug. 148:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–2	=1511	44%
8/14Monday, Aug. 148:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+20	=1557	56%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	43%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	57%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	43%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	57%
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	–3	=1513	43%
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+26	=1563	57%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 194:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	+0	=1516	44%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 194:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	56%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 202:35 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	+0	=1516	44%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 202:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	56%
8/21Monday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–3	=1534	52%
8/21Monday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+22	=1523	48%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	52%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	48%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–1	=1536	48%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+22	=1550	52%
8/25Friday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	48%
8/25Friday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+24	=1552	52%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:15 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	48%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:15 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+24	=1552	52%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 272:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	48%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 272:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+24	=1552	52%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–3	=1534	47%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+24	=1556	53%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	47%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+24	=1556	53%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	47%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+24	=1556	53%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	–1	=1527	46%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+23	=1560	54%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:15 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+0	=1528	45%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:15 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	55%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:35 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+0	=1528	45%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	55%
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	–2	=1561	50%
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	50%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 58:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+0	=1563	50%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 58:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	50%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 68:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+0	=1563	50%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 68:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	50%
9/8Friday, Sept. 88:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–2	=1396	28%
9/8Friday, Sept. 88:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+26	=1563	72%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	28%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	72%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 102:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	28%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 102:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	72%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–3	=1534	45%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+24	=1568	55%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	45%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+24	=1568	55%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	45%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+24	=1568	55%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	45%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+24	=1568	55%
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–2	=1535	49%
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+22	=1538	51%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 166:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	49%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 166:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+24	=1540	51%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	49%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+24	=1540	51%
9/18Monday, Sept. 188:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	–3	=1513	44%
9/18Monday, Sept. 188:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+21	=1558	56%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 198:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+0	=1516	44%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 198:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	56%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 202:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+0	=1516	44%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 202:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	56%
9/22Friday, Sept. 228:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	–2	=1509	42%
9/22Friday, Sept. 228:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+26	=1563	58%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+0	=1511	43%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	57%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 242:35 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+0	=1511	43%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 242:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	57%
9/25Monday, Sept. 259:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–3	=1534	50%
9/25Monday, Sept. 259:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+20	=1533	50%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 269:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	50%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 269:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	50%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 279:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	50%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 279:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	50%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–3	=1534	50%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+24	=1535	50%
9/29Friday, Sept. 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	50%
9/29Friday, Sept. 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+24	=1535	50%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	50%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+24	=1535	50%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	50%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+24	=1535	50%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
6/5Monday, June 58:05 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1507	+3	–3	=1507	45%	3
6/5Monday, June 58:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1538	–21	+24	=1541	55%	4
6/4Sunday, June 42:35 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Miller	1512	–6	+0	=1506	40%	3
6/4Sunday, June 42:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Eovaldi	1535	+14	+24	=1573	60%	12
6/3Saturday, June 34:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Woo	1515	–29	+0	=1486	42%	6
6/3Saturday, June 34:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1533	–18	+24	=1539	58%	16
6/2Friday, June 28:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Castillo	1516	+26	–2	=1540	48%	0
6/2Friday, June 28:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1531	–1	+23	=1553	52%	2
5/31Wednesday, May 311:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1533	–13	+0	=1520	59%	2
5/31Wednesday, May 311:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Wentz	1453	–23	+24	=1454	41%	3
5/30Tuesday, May 306:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1531	–14	+0	=1517	58%	10
5/30Tuesday, May 306:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Faedo	1454	–18	+24	=1460	42%	6
5/29Monday, May 291:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Eovaldi	1530	+13	–2	=1541	60%	5
5/29Monday, May 291:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Boyd	1456	–12	+24	=1468	40%	0
5/28Sunday, May 281:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Bradford	1530	–46	+0	=1484	42%	2
5/28Sunday, May 281:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1506	+8	+24	=1538	58%	3
5/27Saturday, May 274:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1529	–21	+0	=1508	46%	5
5/27Saturday, May 274:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1507	+7	+24	=1538	54%	3
5/26Friday, May 267:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1526	–6	+0	=1520	51%	12
5/26Friday, May 267:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Rodriguez	1511	–22	+22	=1511	49%	2
5/24Wednesday, May 2412:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1525	–14	+0	=1511	54%	3
5/24Wednesday, May 2412:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Oviedo	1471	–10	+24	=1485	46%	2
5/23Tuesday, May 236:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Eovaldi	1523	+12	+0	=1535	55%	6
5/23Tuesday, May 236:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Hill	1473	+3	+24	=1500	45%	1
5/22Monday, May 226:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1524	–12	–3	=1509	55%	4
5/22Monday, May 226:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Ortiz	1472	–23	+24	=1473	45%	6
5/21Sunday, May 212:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Seabold	1448	–33	+0	=1415	35%	3
5/21Sunday, May 212:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1522	–22	+24	=1524	65%	13
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1450	+28	+0	=1478	41%	5
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1520	–6	+24	=1538	59%	11
5/19Friday, May 198:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kauffmann	1451	–12	–1	=1438	37%	2
5/19Friday, May 198:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1519	–16	+26	=1529	63%	7
5/17Wednesday, May 178:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Strider	1565	+31	+0	=1596	56%	6
5/17Wednesday, May 178:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Eovaldi	1520	+12	+24	=1556	44%	5
5/16Tuesday, May 168:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Shuster	1566	–42	+0	=1524	49%	4
5/16Tuesday, May 168:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1518	–15	+24	=1527	51%	7
5/15Monday, May 158:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1563	–5	–3	=1555	57%	12
5/15Monday, May 158:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Bradford	1521	–39	+20	=1502	43%	0
5/13Saturday, May 134:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1520	–10	+0	=1510	59%	5
5/13Saturday, May 134:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1406	+15	+24	=1445	41%	0
5/12Friday, May 129:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1521	–9	+0	=1512	62%	7
5/12Friday, May 129:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Waldichuk	1405	–3	+24	=1426	38%	9
5/11Thursday, May 119:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Eovaldi	1520	+6	–3	=1523	64%	4
5/11Thursday, May 119:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Medina	1406	+0	+20	=1426	36%	0
5/10Wednesday, May 103:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1519	–16	+0	=1503	41%	4
5/10Wednesday, May 103:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Castillo	1517	+28	+24	=1569	59%	3
5/9Tuesday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1521	–21	+0	=1500	43%	0
5/9Tuesday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kirby	1515	+7	+24	=1546	57%	5
5/8Monday, May 89:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1519	–13	–3	=1503	44%	2
5/8Monday, May 89:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1516	+7	+24	=1547	56%	1
5/7Sunday, May 74:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1516	+0	+0	=1516	50%	16
5/7Sunday, May 74:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1519	–25	+24	=1518	50%	8
5/6Saturday, May 69:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Eovaldi	1513	+1	+0	=1514	46%	10
5/6Saturday, May 69:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1522	–6	+24	=1540	54%	1
5/5Friday, May 59:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1514	–19	–1	=1494	43%	4
5/5Friday, May 59:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Anderson	1521	+1	+20	=1542	57%	5
5/3Wednesday, May 32:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Pfaadt	1491	–21	+0	=1470	42%	12
5/3Wednesday, May 32:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1516	–17	+24	=1523	58%	7
5/2Tuesday, May 28:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1493	+57	–1	=1549	53%	4
5/2Tuesday, May 28:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1515	–12	+26	=1529	47%	6
4/30Sunday, April 302:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1556	+13	+0	=1569	55%	2
4/30Sunday, April 302:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1511	–2	+24	=1533	45%	15
4/29Saturday, April 297:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Brito	1557	–42	+0	=1515	49%	0
4/29Saturday, April 297:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Eovaldi	1509	–7	+24	=1526	51%	2
4/28Friday, April 288:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1559	–46	+0	=1513	41%	2
4/28Friday, April 288:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	deGrom	1508	+45	+24	=1577	59%	5
4/27Thursday, April 278:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1558	+31	–3	=1586	60%	4
4/27Thursday, April 278:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1509	–16	+21	=1514	40%	2
4/26Wednesday, April 2612:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1511	–9	+0	=1502	53%	3
4/26Wednesday, April 2612:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Ashcraft	1451	+3	+24	=1478	47%	5
4/25Tuesday, April 256:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1512	–1	+0	=1511	56%	6
4/25Tuesday, April 256:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Weaver	1450	–3	+24	=1471	44%	7
4/24Monday, April 246:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Eovaldi	1513	–7	–3	=1503	52%	6
4/24Monday, April 246:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Lodolo	1448	+21	+22	=1491	48%	7
4/23Sunday, April 232:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Muller	1415	–3	+0	=1412	27%	2
4/23Sunday, April 232:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	deGrom	1512	+45	+24	=1581	73%	5
4/22Saturday, April 227:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fujinami	1418	–5	+0	=1413	36%	3
4/22Saturday, April 227:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1509	–17	+24	=1516	64%	18
4/21Friday, April 218:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1417	+5	–2	=1420	35%	5
4/21Friday, April 218:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1511	–5	+24	=1530	65%	4
4/19Wednesday, April 192:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1508	+1	+0	=1509	54%	12
4/19Wednesday, April 192:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1440	+16	+24	=1480	46%	3
4/18Tuesday, April 187:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Eovaldi	1505	–7	+0	=1498	56%	12
4/18Tuesday, April 187:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Keller	1443	–8	+24	=1459	44%	2
4/17Monday, April 177:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	deGrom	1504	+44	–3	=1545	60%	4
4/17Monday, April 177:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lyles	1445	+3	+24	=1472	40%	0
4/16Sunday, April 167 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1500	–20	+0	=1480	33%	9
4/16Sunday, April 167 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1552	+25	+24	=1601	67%	1
4/15Saturday, April 157:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1501	–4	+0	=1497	41%	2
4/15Saturday, April 157:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Brown	1551	–12	+24	=1563	59%	8
4/14Friday, April 148:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1499	+4	+0	=1503	41%	6
4/14Friday, April 148:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1553	–7	+23	=1569	59%	2
4/12Wednesday, April 128:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Keller	1445	–15	+0	=1430	37%	10
4/12Wednesday, April 128:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Eovaldi	1503	–4	+24	=1523	63%	1
4/11Tuesday, April 118:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lyles	1445	–8	+0	=1437	33%	5
4/11Tuesday, April 118:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	deGrom	1503	+39	+24	=1566	67%	8
4/10Monday, April 108:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1447	+5	–4	=1448	43%	2
4/10Monday, April 108:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1501	–26	+21	=1496	57%	11
4/9Sunday, April 92:20 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1498	–4	+0	=1494	46%	8
4/9Sunday, April 92:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Taillon	1489	+6	+24	=1519	54%	2
4/8Saturday, April 84:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1500	+5	+0	=1505	48%	3
4/8Saturday, April 84:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Steele	1486	+6	+24	=1516	52%	10
4/7Friday, April 72:20 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Eovaldi	1502	–5	–1	=1496	45%	0
4/7Friday, April 72:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Stroman	1485	+18	+27	=1530	55%	2
4/5Wednesday, April 52:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Rodriguez	1487	–11	+0	=1476	37%	2
4/5Wednesday, April 52:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	deGrom	1501	+42	+24	=1567	63%	5
4/4Tuesday, April 48:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1485	–8	+0	=1477	46%	7
4/4Tuesday, April 48:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1503	–19	+24	=1508	54%	2
4/3Monday, April 38:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1484	+11	–4	=1491	45%	2
4/3Monday, April 38:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1504	–6	+24	=1522	55%	0
4/2Sunday, April 27 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Falter	1526	–23	+0	=1503	46%	1
4/2Sunday, April 27 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1503	+4	+24	=1531	54%	2
4/1Saturday, April 14:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1530	+34	+2	=1566	57%	3
4/1Saturday, April 14:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Eovaldi	1499	–5	+26	=1520	43%	16
3/30Thursday, March 304:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1532	+20	–3	=1549	48%	7
3/30Thursday, March 304:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	deGrom	1497	+44	+24	=1565	52%	11

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.