Updated Jun. 5, 2023, at 11:44 PM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Dodgers have a 14% chance of winning the World Series.

NL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Dodgers Dodgers35-25	—	96%	76%
Dbacks Diamondbacks35-25	—	55%	10%
Padres Padres28-32	7.0	53%	9%
Giants Giants29-30	5.5	35%	5%
Rockies Rockies26-35	9.5	<1%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
6/6Tuesday, June 67:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1563	+22	–2	=1583	65%
6/6Tuesday, June 67:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Weaver	1457	–2	+24	=1479	35%
6/7Wednesday, June 77:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	61%
6/7Wednesday, June 77:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+24	=1483	39%
6/8Thursday, June 812:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	61%
6/8Thursday, June 812:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+24	=1483	39%
6/9Friday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–2	=1559	52%
6/9Friday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1516	+1	+26	=1543	48%
6/10Saturday, June 104:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	53%
6/10Saturday, June 104:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1516	+1	+24	=1541	47%
6/11Sunday, June 111:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	53%
6/11Sunday, June 111:35 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1516	+1	+24	=1541	47%
6/13Tuesday, June 1310:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–2	=1482	36%
6/13Tuesday, June 1310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+22	=1583	64%
6/14Wednesday, June 1410 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	36%
6/14Wednesday, June 1410 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	64%
6/15Thursday, June 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	36%
6/15Thursday, June 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	64%
6/16Friday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–2	=1506	39%
6/16Friday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	61%
6/17Saturday, June 179:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	39%
6/17Saturday, June 179:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	61%
6/18Sunday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	39%
6/18Sunday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	61%
6/20Tuesday, June 2010:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+1	=1562	54%
6/20Tuesday, June 2010:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+23	=1536	46%
6/21Wednesday, June 219:38 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	53%
6/21Wednesday, June 219:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	47%
6/23Friday, June 2310:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	–1	=1562	46%
6/23Friday, June 2310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+25	=1586	54%
6/24Saturday, June 247:15 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+0	=1563	47%
6/24Saturday, June 247:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	53%
6/25Sunday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+0	=1563	47%
6/25Sunday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	53%
6/27Tuesday, June 278:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–1	=1560	62%
6/27Tuesday, June 278:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+26	=1473	38%
6/28Wednesday, June 288:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	63%
6/28Wednesday, June 288:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	37%
6/29Thursday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	63%
6/29Thursday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	37%
6/30Friday, June 308:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–3	=1558	64%
6/30Friday, June 308:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	36%
7/1Saturday, July 17:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	65%
7/1Saturday, July 17:15 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	35%
7/2Sunday, July 22:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	65%
7/2Sunday, July 22:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1433	+0	+24	=1457	35%
7/3Monday, July 310:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1476	+1	–4	=1473	35%
7/3Monday, July 310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+21	=1582	65%
7/4Tuesday, July 49:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1476	+1	+0	=1477	35%
7/4Tuesday, July 49:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	65%
7/5Wednesday, July 510:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1476	+1	+0	=1477	35%
7/5Wednesday, July 510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	65%
7/6Thursday, July 610:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1476	+1	+0	=1477	35%
7/6Thursday, July 610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	65%
7/7Friday, July 710:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+1	=1514	40%
7/7Friday, July 710:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	60%
7/8Saturday, July 89:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	40%
7/8Saturday, July 89:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	60%
7/14Friday, July 147:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+3	=1564	51%
7/14Friday, July 147:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+27	=1559	49%
7/15Saturday, July 157:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	51%
7/15Saturday, July 157:15 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+24	=1556	49%
7/16Sunday, July 161:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	51%
7/16Sunday, July 161:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+24	=1556	49%
7/17Monday, July 177:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–2	=1559	54%
7/17Monday, July 177:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	+24	=1531	46%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	54%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	+24	=1531	46%
7/19Wednesday, July 191:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	54%
7/19Wednesday, July 191:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	+24	=1531	46%
7/21Friday, July 218:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–1	=1560	50%
7/21Friday, July 218:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+26	=1563	50%
7/22Saturday, July 224:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	50%
7/22Saturday, July 224:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	50%
7/23Sunday, July 232:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	50%
7/23Sunday, July 232:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	50%
7/24Monday, July 2410:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	–3	=1541	44%
7/24Monday, July 2410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+21	=1582	56%
7/25Tuesday, July 2510:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+0	=1544	44%
7/25Tuesday, July 2510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	56%
7/26Wednesday, July 264:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+0	=1544	44%
7/26Wednesday, July 264:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	56%
7/28Friday, July 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	–2	=1457	32%
7/28Friday, July 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+26	=1587	68%
7/29Saturday, July 299:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+0	=1459	33%
7/29Saturday, July 299:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	67%
7/30Sunday, July 304:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+0	=1459	33%
7/30Sunday, July 304:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	67%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 110:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–1	=1397	25%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+26	=1587	75%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	25%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	75%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 310:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	25%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	75%
8/4Friday, Aug. 49:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–1	=1560	50%
8/4Friday, Aug. 49:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+23	=1560	50%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 58:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	50%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 58:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+24	=1561	50%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 64:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	50%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 64:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+24	=1561	50%
8/7Monday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	50%
8/7Monday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+24	=1561	50%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–2	=1559	55%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+23	=1524	45%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	55%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	45%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–4	=1443	31%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+22	=1583	69%
8/11Friday, Aug. 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	31%
8/11Friday, Aug. 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	69%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 129:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	31%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 129:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	69%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	31%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	69%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	–2	=1514	40%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+26	=1587	60%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	+0	=1516	40%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	60%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	+0	=1516	40%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	60%
8/18Friday, Aug. 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	–2	=1491	37%
8/18Friday, Aug. 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	63%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 199:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	+0	=1493	37%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 199:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	63%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 204:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	+0	=1493	37%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 204:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	63%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–2	=1559	52%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+26	=1542	48%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	53%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+24	=1540	47%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	53%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+24	=1540	47%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–3	=1558	53%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+20	=1536	47%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	53%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+24	=1540	47%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 27	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	53%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 27	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+24	=1540	47%
8/28Monday, Aug. 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–2	=1499	38%
8/28Monday, Aug. 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+22	=1583	62%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	38%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	62%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	38%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	62%
8/31Thursday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	–3	=1557	46%
8/31Thursday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	54%
9/1Friday, Sept. 110:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+0	=1560	46%
9/1Friday, Sept. 110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	54%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 29:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+0	=1560	46%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 29:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	54%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+0	=1560	46%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	54%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–2	=1559	56%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	+23	=1516	44%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	56%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	+24	=1517	44%
9/7Thursday, Sept. 76:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	56%
9/7Thursday, Sept. 76:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	+24	=1517	44%
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–3	=1558	63%
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+26	=1468	37%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 94:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	63%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 94:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+24	=1466	37%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	63%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+24	=1466	37%
9/11Monday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	–3	=1534	43%
9/11Monday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+20	=1581	57%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 1210:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	43%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 1210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	57%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	43%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	57%
9/15Friday, Sept. 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–1	=1560	53%
9/15Friday, Sept. 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+26	=1537	47%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	54%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+24	=1535	46%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	54%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+24	=1535	46%
9/18Monday, Sept. 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	–1	=1448	32%
9/18Monday, Sept. 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+21	=1582	68%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+0	=1449	31%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	69%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 2010:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+0	=1449	31%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 2010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	69%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–2	=1506	39%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	61%
9/22Friday, Sept. 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	39%
9/22Friday, Sept. 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	61%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 239:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	39%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 239:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	61%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 244:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	39%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 244:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	61%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 263:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–1	=1560	63%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 263:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+23	=1470	37%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 268:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	63%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 268:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	37%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 278:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	63%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 278:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	37%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 288:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	63%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 288:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	37%
9/29Friday, Sept. 2910:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–3	=1558	53%
9/29Friday, Sept. 2910:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+26	=1534	47%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 309:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	54%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 309:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	46%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	54%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	46%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
6/4Sunday, June 47 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1563	+0	+0	=1563	48%	4
6/4Sunday, June 47 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Miller	1565	–11	+24	=1578	52%	1
6/3Saturday, June 37:15 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1561	+20	+0	=1581	54%	6
6/3Saturday, June 37:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Grove	1566	–39	+24	=1551	46%	3
6/2Friday, June 210:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Severino	1563	+16	–1	=1578	45%	4
6/2Friday, June 210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1565	+22	+26	=1613	55%	8
5/31Wednesday, May 314:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1441	–11	+0	=1430	30%	10
5/31Wednesday, May 314:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1568	–17	+24	=1575	70%	6
5/30Tuesday, May 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Irvin	1442	–3	+0	=1439	27%	3
5/30Tuesday, May 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1567	+22	+24	=1613	73%	9
5/29Monday, May 299:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1443	+7	–3	=1447	33%	1
5/29Monday, May 299:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Miller	1565	–16	+20	=1569	67%	6
5/28Sunday, May 2811:35 a.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Stone	1566	–38	+0	=1528	50%	10
5/28Sunday, May 2811:35 a.m. Eastern	TBRays	Fleming	1563	–55	+24	=1532	50%	11
5/27Saturday, May 274:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1565	+22	+0	=1587	48%	6
5/27Saturday, May 274:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Glasnow	1564	+17	+24	=1605	52%	5
5/26Friday, May 266:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1568	–16	+0	=1552	53%	3
5/26Friday, May 266:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Beeks	1561	–51	+24	=1534	47%	9
5/24Wednesday, May 247:20 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1569	+21	+0	=1590	50%	3
5/24Wednesday, May 247:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Elder	1561	+2	+24	=1587	50%	4
5/23Tuesday, May 237:20 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Miller	1565	–25	+0	=1540	39%	8
5/23Tuesday, May 237:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Strider	1564	+27	+24	=1615	61%	1
5/22Monday, May 227:20 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Stone	1564	–33	–2	=1529	41%	8
5/22Monday, May 227:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1566	–1	+24	=1589	59%	6
5/21Sunday, May 212:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1566	+24	+0	=1590	57%	5
5/21Sunday, May 212:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1514	+4	+24	=1542	43%	10
5/20Saturday, May 207:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1567	–19	+0	=1548	50%	5
5/20Saturday, May 207:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1513	+12	+24	=1549	50%	6
5/19Friday, May 198:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1566	+18	+0	=1584	57%	5
5/19Friday, May 198:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Matz	1515	–3	+24	=1536	43%	0
5/18Thursday, May 187:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1569	+13	–4	=1578	55%	8
5/18Thursday, May 187:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1512	+10	+24	=1546	45%	16
5/17Wednesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Gray	1530	+17	+0	=1547	44%	3
5/17Wednesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1567	–1	+24	=1590	56%	7
5/16Tuesday, May 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ober	1528	+5	+0	=1533	38%	5
5/16Tuesday, May 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1570	+25	+24	=1619	62%	1
5/15Monday, May 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Lopez	1529	+1	–4	=1526	43%	8
5/15Monday, May 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1569	–21	+24	=1572	57%	9
5/14Sunday, May 144:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Weathers	1538	–47	+0	=1491	34%	0
5/14Sunday, May 144:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1568	+14	+24	=1606	66%	4
5/13Saturday, May 137:15 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1539	+7	+0	=1546	42%	2
5/13Saturday, May 137:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1567	+12	+24	=1603	58%	4
5/12Friday, May 1210:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1540	+3	–4	=1539	43%	2
5/12Friday, May 1210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1565	–2	+22	=1585	57%	4
5/10Wednesday, May 101:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1563	+25	+0	=1588	57%	8
5/10Wednesday, May 101:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Miley	1531	–14	+24	=1541	43%	1
5/9Tuesday, May 97:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1561	–18	+0	=1543	50%	6
5/9Tuesday, May 97:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1533	–17	+24	=1540	50%	2
5/8Monday, May 87:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1564	+14	–4	=1574	52%	3
5/8Monday, May 87:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1530	+11	+20	=1561	48%	9
5/7Sunday, May 77 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1562	+14	+0	=1576	50%	5
5/7Sunday, May 77 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1542	+7	+24	=1573	50%	2
5/6Saturday, May 68:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1561	–5	+0	=1556	48%	2
5/6Saturday, May 68:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1543	+3	+24	=1570	52%	1
5/5Friday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1563	+32	+1	=1596	50%	2
5/5Friday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1542	+28	+26	=1596	50%	5
5/3Wednesday, May 34:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1522	+18	+0	=1540	48%	6
5/3Wednesday, May 34:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Stone	1561	–28	+24	=1557	52%	10
5/2Tuesday, May 210:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Strahm	1525	–16	+0	=1509	38%	1
5/2Tuesday, May 210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1558	+9	+24	=1591	62%	13
5/1Monday, May 110:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Walker	1527	–14	–3	=1510	38%	4
5/1Monday, May 110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1556	+16	+24	=1596	62%	13
4/30Sunday, April 304:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Woodford	1511	–13	+0	=1498	41%	3
4/30Sunday, April 304:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1554	–18	+24	=1560	59%	6
4/29Saturday, April 299:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1512	+22	+0	=1534	40%	0
4/29Saturday, April 299:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1554	+27	+24	=1605	60%	1
4/28Friday, April 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1514	+13	–2	=1525	44%	3
4/28Friday, April 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1552	–5	+20	=1567	56%	7
4/27Thursday, April 2712:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1554	+14	+0	=1568	58%	2
4/27Thursday, April 2712:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1479	+7	+24	=1510	42%	6
4/26Wednesday, April 266:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1558	+17	+0	=1575	60%	1
4/26Wednesday, April 266:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Contreras	1476	+5	+24	=1505	40%	8
4/25Tuesday, April 256:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1557	–13	+0	=1544	56%	8
4/25Tuesday, April 256:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Oviedo	1476	+2	+26	=1504	44%	7
4/23Sunday, April 232:20 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1555	+24	+0	=1579	55%	7
4/23Sunday, April 232:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Stroman	1500	+20	+24	=1544	45%	3
4/22Saturday, April 222:20 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1553	–10	+0	=1543	55%	9
4/22Saturday, April 222:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Wesneski	1502	–21	+24	=1505	45%	4
4/21Friday, April 212:20 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1558	+19	+0	=1577	59%	0
4/21Friday, April 212:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Smyly	1497	–7	+24	=1514	41%	13
4/20Thursday, April 207:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Grove	1556	–44	–4	=1508	51%	6
4/20Thursday, April 207:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Assad	1499	–18	+20	=1501	49%	2
4/19Wednesday, April 193:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1553	+30	+0	=1583	52%	5
4/19Wednesday, April 193:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1557	–15	+24	=1566	48%	3
4/18Tuesday, April 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1555	–16	+0	=1539	42%	0
4/18Tuesday, April 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1556	+18	+24	=1598	58%	5
4/17Monday, April 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1553	–18	–2	=1533	44%	8
4/17Monday, April 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1557	–8	+24	=1573	56%	6
4/16Sunday, April 164:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Smyly	1490	–7	+0	=1483	33%	3
4/16Sunday, April 164:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1559	+23	+24	=1606	67%	2
4/15Saturday, April 159:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Taillon	1491	+5	+0	=1496	45%	1
4/15Saturday, April 159:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Grove	1558	–50	+24	=1532	55%	2
4/14Friday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Steele	1488	+8	–2	=1494	39%	8
4/14Friday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1561	–15	+24	=1570	61%	2
4/12Wednesday, April 129:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1559	+18	+0	=1577	56%	10
4/12Wednesday, April 129:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1507	+7	+24	=1538	44%	5
4/11Tuesday, April 119:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1562	–9	+0	=1553	55%	0
4/11Tuesday, April 119:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1505	–13	+24	=1516	45%	5
4/10Monday, April 109:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1559	+23	–3	=1579	55%	9
4/10Monday, April 109:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1507	+16	+24	=1547	45%	1
4/9Sunday, April 94:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Grove	1562	–39	+0	=1523	52%	6
4/9Sunday, April 94:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1488	–6	+24	=1506	48%	11
4/8Saturday, April 88:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1564	–11	+0	=1553	58%	8
4/8Saturday, April 88:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1485	–14	+24	=1495	42%	12
4/7Friday, April 79:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1566	+19	+0	=1585	65%	3
4/7Friday, April 79:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1483	–28	+24	=1479	35%	6
4/6Thursday, April 610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1565	–16	+0	=1549	53%	5
4/6Thursday, April 610:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1484	+16	+24	=1524	47%	2
4/4Tuesday, April 410:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1445	+17	+0	=1462	30%	2
4/4Tuesday, April 410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1564	+18	+24	=1606	70%	5
4/3Monday, April 310:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1447	–8	–1	=1438	35%	4
4/3Monday, April 310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Grove	1562	–41	+24	=1545	65%	13
4/2Sunday, April 24:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1482	–17	+0	=1465	35%	2
4/2Sunday, April 24:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1563	–14	+24	=1573	65%	1
4/1Saturday, April 19:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1484	–27	+0	=1457	30%	1
4/1Saturday, April 19:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1562	+19	+24	=1605	70%	10
3/31Friday, March 3110:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1482	+14	+0	=1496	40%	2
3/31Friday, March 3110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1563	–19	+24	=1568	60%	1
3/30Thursday, March 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1484	+46	–2	=1528	39%	2
3/30Thursday, March 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1561	+19	+24	=1604	61%	8

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.