Updated Jun. 5, 2023, at 11:44 PM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Astros have a 12% chance of winning the World Series.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros36-243.086%54%
RangersRangers38-2078%40%
AngelsAngels31-308.519%3%
MarinersMariners29-309.513%2%
AthleticsAthletics12-4927.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/6Tuesday, June 67:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
15647+0=155744%
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1544+29+24=159756%
6/7Wednesday, June 77:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156349%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156851%
6/8Thursday, June 87:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156349%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156851%
6/9Friday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156412=156153%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+24=154047%
6/10Saturday, June 106:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156353%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+24=154047%
6/11Sunday, June 111:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156353%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+24=154047%
6/13Tuesday, June 138:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+11=144130%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+23=158670%
6/14Wednesday, June 148:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144230%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158770%
6/15Thursday, June 158:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144230%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158770%
6/16Friday, June 168:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+21=145832%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158768%
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145932%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158768%
6/18Sunday, June 182:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145932%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158768%
6/19Monday, June 198:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+33=152942%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158758%
6/20Tuesday, June 208:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+0=153242%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158758%
6/21Wednesday, June 212:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+0=153242%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158758%
6/23Friday, June 2310:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156411=156246%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+25=158654%
6/24Saturday, June 247:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156347%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+24=158553%
6/25Sunday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156347%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+24=158553%
6/27Tuesday, June 277:45 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156412=156154%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+26=153546%
6/28Wednesday, June 287:45 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156354%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+24=153346%
6/29Thursday, June 297:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156354%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+24=153346%
6/30Friday, June 308:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156413=156050%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156150%
7/1Saturday, July 14:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156350%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156150%
7/2Sunday, July 22:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156350%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156150%
7/3Monday, July 32:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156350%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156150%
7/4Tuesday, July 44:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+11=144631%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+22=158569%
7/5Wednesday, July 52:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+0=144731%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158769%
7/6Thursday, July 68:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+14=150739%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158761%
7/7Friday, July 78:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+0=151139%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158761%
7/8Saturday, July 87:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+0=151139%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158761%
7/9Sunday, July 92:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+0=151139%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158761%
7/14Friday, July 149:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+4=156753%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+30=154347%
7/15Saturday, July 159:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156354%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153746%
7/16Sunday, July 164:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156354%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153746%
7/18Tuesday, July 188:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156411=156262%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+26=147338%
7/19Wednesday, July 193:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156363%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+24=147137%
7/20Thursday, July 209:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156413=156069%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142231%
7/21Friday, July 219:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156369%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142231%
7/22Saturday, July 229:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156369%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142231%
7/23Sunday, July 234:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156369%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142231%
7/24Monday, July 248:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
153922=153543%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+20=158357%
7/25Tuesday, July 258:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+0=153743%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158757%
7/26Wednesday, July 268:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+0=153743%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158757%
7/28Friday, July 288:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
156531=156146%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+26=158954%
7/29Saturday, July 297:15 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+0=156246%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158754%
7/30Sunday, July 302:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+0=156246%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158754%
7/31Monday, July 318:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+33=151340%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158760%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+0=151640%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158760%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 22:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+0=151640%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158760%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 37:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156413=156046%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158954%
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156346%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158954%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 51:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156346%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158954%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156346%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158954%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 87:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156354%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+26=153346%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156355%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153145%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 1012:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156355%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153145%
8/11Friday, Aug. 118:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+21=151240%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+21=158460%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+0=151340%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158760%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 132:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+0=151340%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158760%
8/14Monday, Aug. 146:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156413=156056%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151744%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156357%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151743%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156357%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+24=151743%
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+13=150839%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+23=158661%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+0=151139%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158761%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+0=151139%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158761%
8/21Monday, Aug. 218:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+23=151340%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158760%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 228:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151640%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158760%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151640%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158760%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 242:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151640%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158760%
8/25Friday, Aug. 256:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156413=156062%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+26=147538%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 266:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156363%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147337%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156363%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147337%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156413=156052%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+26=154248%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156353%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154047%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 304:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156353%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154047%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+03=156247%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+22=158553%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156547%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158753%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156547%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158753%
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156412=156150%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156150%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 58:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156350%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156150%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 68:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156350%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156150%
9/8Friday, Sept. 88:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+01=153643%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158757%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 97:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153743%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158757%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 102:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153743%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158757%
9/11Monday, Sept. 118:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+52=139625%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158775%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 128:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+0=139825%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158775%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+0=139825%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158775%
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156411=156265%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145735%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156365%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145735%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156365%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145735%
9/18Monday, Sept. 188:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+13=150439%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+21=158461%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 198:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+0=150739%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158761%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 202:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+0=150739%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158761%
9/22Friday, Sept. 228:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+01=143229%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+26=158971%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 237:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143329%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158771%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 242:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143329%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158771%
9/25Monday, Sept. 259:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156414=155954%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+20=153146%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 269:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156354%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+24=153546%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156354%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+24=153546%
9/29Friday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156411=156255%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+22=152345%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156355%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+24=152545%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156355%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+24=152545%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/5Monday, June 57:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Bielak, Brandon
Bielak
1560413=151643%11
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
15473+22=156657%4
6/4Sunday, June 42:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
151013+0=149743%2
HOUHOUAstros
France, J.P.
France
156236+24=155057%1
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1511+6+0=151737%6
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1560+26+24=161063%9
6/2Friday, June 28:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1513+43+0=155642%2
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1559+27+24=161058%6
6/1Thursday, June 18:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
151463=150544%2
HOUHOUAstros
Blanco, Ronel
Blanco
155732+24=154956%5
5/31Wednesday, May 318:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
152521+0=150439%8
HOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
15613+24=158261%2
5/30Tuesday, May 308:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1527+18+0=154551%1
HOUHOUAstros
Bielak, Brandon
Bielak
155946+24=153749%5
5/29Monday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1526+153=153849%7
HOUHOUAstros
France, J.P.
France
156035+20=154551%5
5/28Sunday, May 284:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1559+29+0=158873%10
OAKOAKAthletics
Waldichuk, Ken
Waldichuk
13966+24=141427%1
5/27Saturday, May 274:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1558+26+0=158469%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Pruitt, Austin
Pruitt
1397+24+24=144531%3
5/26Friday, May 269:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
155772=154865%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1398+20+21=143935%2
5/24Wednesday, May 241:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Bielak, Brandon
Bielak
155946+0=151348%0
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152419+24=152952%4
5/23Tuesday, May 237:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
France, J.P.
France
156140+0=152151%0
MILMILBrewers
Rea, Colin
Rea
152233+24=151349%6
5/22Monday, May 227:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1558+293=158452%12
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1525+24+21=157048%2
5/21Sunday, May 212:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1402+18+0=142026%0
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1557+22+24=160374%2
5/20Saturday, May 204:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Sears, JP
Sears
1403+13+0=141629%2
HOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
155710+24=157171%3
5/19Friday, May 198:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Waldichuk, Ken
Waldichuk
140442=139832%1
HOUHOUAstros
Bielak, Brandon
Bielak
155649+26=153368%5
5/17Wednesday, May 178:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1491+7+0=149842%6
HOUHOUAstros
France, J.P.
France
155525+24=155458%7
5/16Tuesday, May 168:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1492+13+0=150536%3
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1554+29+24=160764%7
5/15Monday, May 158:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1493+13=149135%4
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1553+26+21=160065%6
5/14Sunday, May 142:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
155211+0=154154%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1476+11+24=151146%3
5/13Saturday, May 137:15 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Bielak, Brandon
Bielak
155355+0=149848%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1475+17+24=151652%3
5/12Friday, May 128:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
France, J.P.
France
1552332=151754%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
147711+22=148846%1
5/10Wednesday, May 104:07 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1551+27+0=157858%5
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
151618+24=152242%4
5/9Tuesday, May 99:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1549+22+0=157148%3
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1517+47+24=158852%1
5/8Monday, May 89:38 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
155123=154650%4
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1516+9+24=154950%6
5/7Sunday, May 74:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Bielak, Brandon
Bielak
155249+0=150347%1
SEASEAMariners
Miller, Bryce
Miller
151516+24=152353%3
5/6Saturday, May 69:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
France, J.P.
France
155332+0=152151%5
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151425+24=151349%7
5/5Friday, May 510:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1552+262=157651%6
SEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1515+32+21=156849%4
5/3Wednesday, May 32:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1500+16+0=151638%4
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1554+21+24=159962%2
5/2Tuesday, May 28:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
14982+0=149638%2
HOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
1556+0+24=158062%0
5/1Monday, May 18:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1500+93=150640%3
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1554+1+24=157960%7
4/30Sunday, April 307 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
152822+0=150642%3
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
155315+24=156258%4
4/29Saturday, April 295:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1526+26+0=155242%6
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1556+28+24=160858%1
4/28Friday, April 288:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1524+123=153340%3
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1558+21+23=160260%1
4/26Wednesday, April 266:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
155710+0=154751%1
TBTBRays
Faucher, Calvin
Faucher
155339+24=153849%0
4/25Tuesday, April 256:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15542+0=155245%5
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1555+11+24=159055%0
4/24Monday, April 246:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
155692=154549%3
TBTBRays
Bradley, Taj
Bradley
155326+24=155151%8
4/23Sunday, April 231:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1555+28+0=158346%5
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1561+23+24=160854%2
4/22Saturday, April 227:20 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1553+23+0=157649%6
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
15635+24=158251%3
4/21Friday, April 217:20 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
155181=154244%6
ATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
15641+22=158556%4
4/19Wednesday, April 198:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154014+0=152645%1
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15499+24=156455%8
4/18Tuesday, April 188:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1539+1+0=154046%4
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15513+24=157254%2
4/17Monday, April 178:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1541+253=156345%2
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1548+28+24=160055%9
4/16Sunday, April 167 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
150020+0=148033%9
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1552+25+24=160167%1
4/15Saturday, April 157:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
15014+0=149741%2
HOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
155112+24=156359%8
4/14Friday, April 148:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1499+4+0=150341%6
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15537+23=156959%2
4/12Wednesday, April 1212:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15516+0=154557%7
PITPITPirates
Hill, Rich
Hill
1463+7+24=149443%0
4/11Tuesday, April 116:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1553+32+0=158562%4
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1461+15+24=150038%7
4/10Monday, April 106:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1551+253=157361%8
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1463+13+24=150039%2
4/9Sunday, April 92:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
154922+0=152747%5
MINMINTwins
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
15271+24=155053%1
4/8Saturday, April 82:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15513+0=154849%6
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1526+6+24=155651%9
4/7Friday, April 74:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
155271=154448%2
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1525+9+22=155652%3
4/5Wednesday, April 52:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1451+5+0=145630%2
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1550+33+24=160770%8
4/4Tuesday, April 48:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14486+0=144228%6
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1553+27+24=160472%3
4/3Monday, April 38:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
144793=143533%7
HOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
155518+24=156167%6
4/2Sunday, April 22:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
150017+0=148336%6
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1557+0+24=158164%3
4/1Saturday, April 12:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
15017+0=149439%4
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15565+24=157561%6
3/31Friday, March 318:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1502+9+0=151136%3
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1555+34+24=161364%6
3/30Thursday, March 307 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1501+303=152839%3
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1556+25+24=160561%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.