2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Red Sox have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.
AL East standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | RaysRays43-19 | — | 96% | 63% | ||
![]() | YankeesYankees36-25 | 6.5 | 85% | 25% | ||
![]() | Blue JaysBlue Jays33-28 | 9.5 | 56% | 7% | ||
![]() | OriolesOrioles37-22 | 4.5 | 42% | 4% | ||
![]() | Red SoxRed Sox30-29 | 11.5 | 18% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/14Sunday, May 147 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +22 | +0 | =1528 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | –10 | +24 | =1528 | 50% | ||
6/6Tuesday, June 67:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +11 | –3 | =1522 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +18 | +23 | =1554 | 55% | ||
6/7Wednesday, June 77:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +3 | +24 | =1540 | 53% | ||
6/8Thursday, June 87:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +3 | +24 | =1540 | 53% | ||
6/9Friday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | –2 | =1514 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +24 | =1589 | 61% | ||
6/10Saturday, June 107:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +24 | =1589 | 60% | ||
6/11Sunday, June 117 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +24 | =1589 | 60% | ||
6/12Monday, June 127:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | –4 | =1443 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +22 | =1538 | 63% | ||
6/13Tuesday, June 137:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +0 | =1447 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 63% | ||
6/14Wednesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +0 | =1447 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 63% | ||
6/16Friday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +0 | =1565 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +26 | =1542 | 47% | ||
6/17Saturday, June 177:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +0 | =1565 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 46% | ||
6/18Sunday, June 187 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +0 | =1565 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 46% | ||
6/19Monday, June 197:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | –3 | =1513 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +1 | +24 | =1552 | 56% | ||
6/20Tuesday, June 207:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +1 | +24 | =1552 | 55% | ||
6/21Wednesday, June 217:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +1 | +24 | =1552 | 55% | ||
6/22Thursday, June 221:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +1 | +24 | =1552 | 55% | ||
6/23Friday, June 238:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | –2 | =1514 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +26 | =1510 | 50% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 244:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +24 | =1508 | 49% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 252:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +24 | =1508 | 49% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 277:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | –1 | =1492 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +23 | =1539 | 57% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 287:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +0 | =1493 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 57% | ||
6/29Thursday, June 296:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +0 | =1493 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 57% | ||
6/30Friday, June 307:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | –2 | =1514 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 58% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 13:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 57% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 21:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 57% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 41:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | –4 | =1533 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 51% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 57:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | +0 | =1537 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 51% | ||
7/6Thursday, July 67:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | +0 | =1537 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 51% | ||
7/7Friday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | –3 | =1395 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 70% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 84:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | +0 | =1398 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 69% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 91:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | +0 | =1398 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 69% | ||
7/14Friday, July 148:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +4 | =1520 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +28 | =1514 | 49% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 152:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 49% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 162:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 49% | ||
7/17Monday, July 179:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | –4 | =1512 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | +24 | =1422 | 37% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 189:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | +24 | =1422 | 37% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 193:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1393 | +5 | +24 | =1422 | 37% | ||
7/21Friday, July 217:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | –2 | =1530 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +22 | =1538 | 51% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 224:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +0 | =1532 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 51% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 23 | ![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +0 | =1532 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 51% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 257:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | –1 | =1559 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +29 | =1545 | 48% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 267:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +0 | =1560 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 47% | ||
7/28Friday, July 2810:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | –2 | =1514 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +26 | =1534 | 53% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 297:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +24 | =1532 | 52% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 304:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +24 | =1532 | 52% | ||
7/31Monday, July 319:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | –3 | =1513 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +1 | +21 | =1532 | 53% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 19:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +1 | +24 | =1535 | 53% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +1 | +24 | =1535 | 53% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | –2 | =1542 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +22 | =1538 | 49% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 49% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 49% | ||
8/7Monday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | –2 | =1431 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 65% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | +0 | =1433 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 65% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | +0 | =1433 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 65% | ||
8/10Thursday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | +0 | =1433 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 65% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1449 | +0 | –3 | =1446 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 63% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1449 | +0 | +0 | =1449 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 63% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 1312:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1449 | +0 | +0 | =1449 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 63% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +26 | =1468 | 43% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 43% | ||
8/17Thursday, Aug. 174:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 43% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | –2 | =1514 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +23 | =1588 | 61% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 191:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +24 | =1589 | 60% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +24 | =1589 | 60% | ||
8/21Monday, Aug. 218:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | –3 | =1513 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | +24 | =1587 | 60% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 228:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | +24 | =1587 | 60% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | +24 | =1587 | 60% | ||
8/24Thursday, Aug. 242:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | +24 | =1587 | 60% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –2 | –3 | =1558 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +20 | =1536 | 47% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –2 | +0 | =1561 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 47% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 27 | ![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –2 | +0 | =1561 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 47% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | –3 | =1560 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +26 | =1542 | 48% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | +0 | =1563 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 47% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 304:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | +0 | =1563 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 47% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | –1 | =1515 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | +26 | =1459 | 42% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | +24 | =1457 | 41% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | +24 | =1457 | 41% | ||
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | –3 | =1513 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –3 | +21 | =1583 | 60% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –3 | +24 | =1586 | 60% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –3 | +24 | =1586 | 60% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | –2 | =1505 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +23 | =1539 | 55% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 94:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +0 | =1507 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 55% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +0 | =1507 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 55% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | –2 | =1563 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 47% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +0 | =1565 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 46% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +0 | =1565 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 46% | ||
9/14Thursday, Sept. 147:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | +0 | +0 | =1565 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 46% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | –2 | =1514 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 58% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 163:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 57% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 57% | ||
9/18Monday, Sept. 188:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | –3 | =1513 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | +21 | =1558 | 56% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 198:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | +24 | =1561 | 56% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 202:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –2 | +24 | =1561 | 56% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +0 | =1484 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +22 | =1538 | 58% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +0 | =1484 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 58% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +0 | +0 | =1484 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 58% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –3 | –1 | =1561 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +26 | =1542 | 47% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1565 | –3 | +0 | =1562 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 47% | ||
9/28Thursday, Sept. 286:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | –2 | =1514 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +24 | =1531 | 52% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +24 | =1531 | 52% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +24 | =1531 | 52% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +2 | +0 | =1516 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +24 | =1531 | 52% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/5Monday, June 54:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1563 | +16 | +0 | =1579 | 57% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1515 | –6 | +24 | =1533 | 43% | 1 | |
6/4Sunday, June 41:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1561 | –19 | +0 | =1542 | 48% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +13 | +24 | =1554 | 52% | 2 | |
6/3Saturday, June 36:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +17 | +0 | =1577 | 58% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | –24 | +24 | =1518 | 42% | 2 | |
6/3Saturday, June 31:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1562 | –3 | +2 | =1561 | 54% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –7 | +26 | =1536 | 46% | 8 | |
6/1Thursday, June 17:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +25 | +0 | =1486 | 40% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1515 | +21 | +24 | =1560 | 60% | 8 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 317:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1459 | –2 | +0 | =1457 | 37% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +10 | +24 | =1550 | 63% | 4 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 307:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –5 | –1 | =1452 | 38% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | –5 | +22 | =1535 | 62% | 8 | |
5/28Sunday, May 284:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +17 | +0 | =1536 | 49% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1494 | +24 | +24 | =1542 | 51% | 4 | |
5/27Saturday, May 277:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | –11 | +0 | =1507 | 50% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1495 | –15 | +24 | =1504 | 50% | 1 | |
5/26Friday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +21 | +0 | =1537 | 57% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1497 | –31 | +22 | =1488 | 43% | 2 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 249:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +15 | +0 | =1533 | 49% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –2 | +24 | =1539 | 51% | 7 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 239:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –8 | +0 | =1512 | 49% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1515 | –23 | +24 | =1516 | 51% | 4 | |
5/22Monday, May 229:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +15 | –1 | =1535 | 52% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1513 | –16 | +24 | =1521 | 48% | 2 | |
5/21Sunday, May 214:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | –4 | +0 | =1519 | 44% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +7 | +24 | =1561 | 56% | 7 | |
5/20Saturday, May 2010:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +19 | +0 | =1541 | 47% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +6 | +24 | =1562 | 53% | 2 | |
5/19Friday, May 199:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +16 | –2 | =1533 | 45% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | +6 | +26 | =1566 | 55% | 1 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –26 | +0 | =1494 | 45% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –10 | +24 | =1531 | 55% | 12 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 167:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +24 | +0 | =1546 | 52% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | –9 | +24 | =1529 | 48% | 9 | |
5/15Monday, May 157:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +10 | –3 | =1525 | 45% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +16 | +24 | =1558 | 55% | 1 | |
5/13Saturday, May 134:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1505 | –2 | +0 | =1503 | 42% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +14 | +24 | =1557 | 58% | 3 | |
5/12Friday, May 127:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1503 | +15 | –1 | =1517 | 44% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +16 | +23 | =1560 | 56% | 6 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 107:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1519 | –11 | +0 | =1508 | 42% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1570 | –34 | +24 | =1560 | 58% | 2 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 97:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –1 | –1 | =1518 | 40% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1568 | –5 | +26 | =1589 | 60% | 9 | |
5/7Sunday, May 71:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +16 | +0 | =1539 | 53% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –20 | +24 | =1521 | 47% | 6 | |
5/6Saturday, May 67:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | –1 | +0 | =1520 | 50% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | –22 | +24 | =1521 | 50% | 4 | |
5/5Friday, May 57:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +12 | –2 | =1529 | 44% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +32 | +22 | =1574 | 56% | 3 | |
5/4Thursday, May 46:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +25 | +0 | =1568 | 56% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –12 | +24 | =1529 | 44% | 11 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 37:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | +19 | +0 | =1564 | 54% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | –2 | +24 | =1536 | 46% | 8 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 27:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –26 | +0 | =1520 | 45% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +19 | +24 | =1556 | 55% | 7 | |
5/1Monday, May 17:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –10 | –2 | =1535 | 50% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1512 | –1 | +24 | =1535 | 50% | 6 | |
4/30Sunday, April 301:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | –22 | +0 | =1500 | 44% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +8 | +24 | =1542 | 56% | 7 | |
4/29Saturday, April 294:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | –27 | +0 | =1495 | 47% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –14 | +24 | =1519 | 53% | 8 | |
4/28Friday, April 287:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +32 | –1 | =1552 | 52% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +0 | +24 | =1535 | 48% | 2 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 261:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +23 | +0 | =1536 | 50% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1494 | +14 | +24 | =1532 | 50% | 6 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 256:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | –2 | +0 | =1509 | 47% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1496 | +13 | +24 | =1533 | 53% | 6 | |
4/24Monday, April 246:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1512 | +12 | –3 | =1521 | 50% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1495 | +3 | +24 | =1522 | 50% | 5 | |
4/23Sunday, April 232:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –14 | +0 | =1495 | 37% | 12 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +20 | +24 | =1587 | 63% | 5 | |
4/22Saturday, April 227:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1510 | –2 | +0 | =1508 | 45% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –20 | +24 | =1546 | 55% | 5 | |
4/21Friday, April 218:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | –2 | –3 | =1503 | 40% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +10 | +22 | =1576 | 60% | 3 | |
4/20Thursday, April 201:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1529 | –2 | +0 | =1527 | 47% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +21 | +24 | =1551 | 53% | 11 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 197:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +11 | +0 | =1538 | 51% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +0 | +24 | =1532 | 49% | 4 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 187:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | +14 | +0 | =1542 | 51% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +6 | +24 | =1537 | 49% | 5 | |
4/17Monday, April 1711:10 a.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1515 | +45 | +0 | =1560 | 55% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | –8 | +24 | =1524 | 45% | 4 | |
4/16Sunday, April 161:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | –7 | +0 | =1509 | 48% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | –11 | +24 | =1520 | 52% | 2 | |
4/15Saturday, April 154:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +6 | +0 | =1523 | 49% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +2 | +24 | =1532 | 51% | 9 | |
4/14Friday, April 147:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +3 | –2 | =1519 | 46% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1505 | +21 | +21 | =1547 | 54% | 5 | |
4/13Thursday, April 131:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +0 | =1507 | 40% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +10 | +24 | =1580 | 60% | 9 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 126:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +9 | +0 | =1517 | 48% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –39 | +24 | =1530 | 52% | 9 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 116:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –7 | +0 | =1502 | 39% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | +11 | +24 | =1578 | 61% | 7 | |
4/10Monday, April 106:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1510 | –3 | –3 | =1504 | 41% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | –1 | +24 | =1566 | 59% | 1 | |
4/9Sunday, April 91:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –28 | +0 | =1481 | 52% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1446 | –5 | +24 | =1465 | 48% | 1 | |
4/8Saturday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +20 | +2 | =1528 | 57% | 14 |
![]() | ![]() | 1448 | +2 | +26 | =1476 | 43% | 5 | |
4/6Thursday, April 61:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1505 | +11 | –3 | =1513 | 55% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1450 | +9 | +21 | =1480 | 45% | 3 | |
4/5Wednesday, April 51:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +8 | +0 | =1468 | 41% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | –1 | +24 | =1530 | 59% | 1 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 47:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | +10 | +0 | =1468 | 41% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –1 | +24 | =1532 | 59% | 1 | |
4/3Monday, April 37:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | –4 | –3 | =1450 | 41% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1510 | –20 | +24 | =1514 | 59% | 6 | |
4/2Sunday, April 21:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +2 | +0 | =1487 | 41% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +20 | +24 | =1552 | 59% | 9 | |
4/1Saturday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1486 | +9 | +2 | =1497 | 42% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +17 | +26 | =1551 | 58% | 9 | |
3/30Thursday, March 302:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | –10 | –2 | =1473 | 41% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1509 | +1 | +24 | =1534 | 59% | 9 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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