Updated Jun. 5, 2023, at 11:44 PM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Red Sox have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
RaysRays43-1996%63%
YankeesYankees36-256.585%25%
Blue JaysBlue Jays33-289.556%7%
OriolesOrioles37-224.542%4%
Red SoxRed Sox30-2911.518%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/14Sunday, May 147 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1506+22+0=152850%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
151410+24=152850%
6/6Tuesday, June 67:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Paxton, James
Paxton
1514+113=152245%
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1513+18+23=155455%
6/7Wednesday, June 77:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151647%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+24=154053%
6/8Thursday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151647%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+24=154053%
6/9Friday, June 97:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+22=151439%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158961%
6/10Saturday, June 107:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151640%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158960%
6/11Sunday, June 117 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151640%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158960%
6/12Monday, June 127:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+14=144337%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+22=153863%
6/13Tuesday, June 137:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+0=144737%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154063%
6/14Wednesday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+0=144737%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154063%
6/16Friday, June 167:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156553%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+26=154247%
6/17Saturday, June 177:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156554%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154046%
6/18Sunday, June 187 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156554%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154046%
6/19Monday, June 197:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+23=151344%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155256%
6/20Tuesday, June 207:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151645%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155255%
6/21Wednesday, June 217:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151645%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155255%
6/22Thursday, June 221:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151645%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+24=155255%
6/23Friday, June 238:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+22=151450%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+26=151050%
6/24Saturday, June 244:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151651%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+24=150849%
6/25Sunday, June 252:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151651%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+24=150849%
6/27Tuesday, June 277:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+01=149243%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+23=153957%
6/28Wednesday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149343%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154057%
6/29Thursday, June 296:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149343%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154057%
6/30Friday, June 307:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+22=151442%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156858%
7/1Saturday, July 13:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151643%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156857%
7/2Sunday, July 21:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151643%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156857%
7/4Tuesday, July 41:35 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
153924=153349%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154051%
7/5Wednesday, July 57:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+0=153749%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154051%
7/6Thursday, July 67:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+0=153749%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154051%
7/7Friday, July 77:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+53=139530%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154070%
7/8Saturday, July 84:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+0=139831%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154069%
7/9Sunday, July 91:35 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+0=139831%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154069%
7/14Friday, July 148:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+4=152051%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+28=151449%
7/15Saturday, July 152:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151651%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+24=151049%
7/16Sunday, July 162:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151651%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+24=151049%
7/17Monday, July 179:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+24=151263%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142237%
7/18Tuesday, July 189:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151663%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142237%
7/19Wednesday, July 193:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151663%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1393+5+24=142237%
7/21Friday, July 217:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+32=153049%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+22=153851%
7/22Saturday, July 224:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+0=153249%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154051%
7/23Sunday, July 23NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+0=153249%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154051%
7/25Tuesday, July 257:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+01=155952%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+29=154548%
7/26Wednesday, July 267:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+0=156053%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154047%
7/28Friday, July 2810:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+22=151447%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+1+26=153453%
7/29Saturday, July 297:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151648%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+1+24=153252%
7/30Sunday, July 304:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151648%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+1+24=153252%
7/31Monday, July 319:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+23=151347%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+21=153253%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 19:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151647%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+24=153553%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151647%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+24=153553%
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+02=154251%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+22=153849%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 54:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154451%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154049%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154451%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154049%
8/7Monday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+02=143135%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154065%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143335%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154065%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143335%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154065%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+0=143335%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154065%
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+03=144637%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154063%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144937%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154063%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 1312:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+0=144937%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154063%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151657%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+26=146843%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151657%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146643%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 174:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151657%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146643%
8/18Friday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+22=151439%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+23=158861%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 191:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151640%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158960%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151640%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+24=158960%
8/21Monday, Aug. 218:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+23=151340%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158760%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 228:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151640%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158760%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151640%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158760%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 242:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151640%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158760%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
156323=155853%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+20=153647%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+0=156153%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154047%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 27LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+0=156153%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154047%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
156413=156052%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+26=154248%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156353%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154047%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 304:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+0=156353%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154047%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+21=151558%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+26=145942%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151659%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145741%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151659%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145741%
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+23=151340%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+21=158360%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151640%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+24=158660%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151640%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+24=158660%
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+12=150545%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+23=153955%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 94:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+0=150745%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154055%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+0=150745%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154055%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+02=156353%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154047%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156554%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154046%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156554%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154046%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 147:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1565+0+0=156554%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154046%
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+22=151442%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156858%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 163:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151643%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156857%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151643%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156857%
9/18Monday, Sept. 188:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+23=151344%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+21=155856%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 198:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151644%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156156%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 202:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151644%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15392+24=156156%
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+0=148442%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+22=153858%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+0=148442%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154058%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:35 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1484+0+0=148442%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154058%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
156531=156153%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+26=154247%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
15653+0=156253%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+24=154047%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 286:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+22=151448%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153152%
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151648%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153152%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151648%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153152%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1514+2+0=151648%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153152%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/5Monday, June 54:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1563+16+0=157957%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
15156+24=153343%1
6/4Sunday, June 41:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Bradley, Taj
Bradley
156119+0=154248%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1517+13+24=155452%2
6/3Saturday, June 36:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1560+17+0=157758%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
151824+24=151842%2
6/3Saturday, June 31:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kelley, Trevor
Kelley (open)
15623+2=156154%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
15177+26=153646%8
6/1Thursday, June 17:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1461+25+0=148640%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1515+21+24=156060%8
5/31Wednesday, May 317:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14592+0=145737%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Paxton, James
Paxton
1516+10+24=155063%4
5/30Tuesday, May 307:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lively, Ben
Lively
145851=145238%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
15185+22=153562%8
5/28Sunday, May 284:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1519+17+0=153649%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1494+24+24=154251%4
5/27Saturday, May 277:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
151811+0=150750%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
149515+24=150450%1
5/26Friday, May 269:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1516+21+0=153757%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pfaadt, Brandon
Pfaadt
149731+22=148843%2
5/24Wednesday, May 249:38 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Paxton, James
Paxton
1518+15+0=153349%3
LAALAAAngels
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
15172+24=153951%7
5/23Tuesday, May 239:38 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
15208+0=151249%0
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
151523+24=151651%4
5/22Monday, May 229:38 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1521+151=153552%1
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
151316+24=152148%2
5/21Sunday, May 214:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15234+0=151944%0
SDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1530+7+24=156156%7
5/20Saturday, May 2010:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1522+19+0=154147%4
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1532+6+24=156253%2
5/19Friday, May 199:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Paxton, James
Paxton
1519+162=153345%6
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1534+6+26=156655%1
5/17Wednesday, May 177:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152026+0=149445%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
151710+24=153155%12
5/16Tuesday, May 167:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1522+24+0=154652%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15149+24=152948%9
5/15Monday, May 157:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1518+103=152545%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1518+16+24=155855%1
5/13Saturday, May 134:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15052+0=150342%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1519+14+24=155758%3
5/12Friday, May 127:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1503+151=151744%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Paxton, James
Paxton
1521+16+23=156056%6
5/10Wednesday, May 107:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
151911+0=150842%5
ATLATLBraves
Lee, Dylan
Lee
157034+24=156058%2
5/9Tuesday, May 97:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152011=151840%3
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
15685+26=158960%9
5/7Sunday, May 71:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1523+16+0=153953%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
151720+24=152147%6
5/6Saturday, May 67:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15211+0=152050%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
151922+24=152150%4
5/5Friday, May 57:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1519+122=152944%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1520+32+22=157456%3
5/4Thursday, May 46:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1543+25+0=156856%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
151712+24=152944%11
5/3Wednesday, May 37:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1545+19+0=156454%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15142+24=153646%8
5/2Tuesday, May 27:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154626+0=152045%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1513+19+24=155655%7
5/1Monday, May 17:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1547102=153550%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15121+24=153550%6
4/30Sunday, April 301:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Allen, Logan
Allen
152222+0=150044%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1510+8+24=154256%7
4/29Saturday, April 294:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
152227+0=149547%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
150914+24=151953%8
4/28Friday, April 287:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1521+321=155252%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1511+0+24=153548%2
4/26Wednesday, April 261:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1513+23+0=153650%2
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1494+14+24=153250%6
4/25Tuesday, April 256:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15112+0=150947%8
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1496+13+24=153353%6
4/24Monday, April 246:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1512+123=152150%4
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1495+3+24=152250%5
4/23Sunday, April 232:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
150914+0=149537%12
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1543+20+24=158763%5
4/22Saturday, April 227:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
15102+0=150845%4
MILMILBrewers
Miley, Wade
Miley
154220+24=154655%5
4/21Friday, April 218:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
150823=150340%5
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1544+10+22=157660%3
4/20Thursday, April 201:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
15292+0=152747%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1506+21+24=155153%11
4/19Wednesday, April 197:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1527+11+0=153851%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1508+0+24=153249%4
4/18Tuesday, April 187:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1528+14+0=154251%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1507+6+24=153749%5
4/17Monday, April 1711:10 a.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1515+45+0=156055%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
15088+24=152445%4
4/16Sunday, April 161:35 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
15167+0=150948%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
150711+24=152052%2
4/15Saturday, April 154:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1517+6+0=152349%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1506+2+24=153251%9
4/14Friday, April 147:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1518+32=151946%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1505+21+21=154754%5
4/13Thursday, April 131:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1506+1+0=150740%3
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1546+10+24=158060%9
4/12Wednesday, April 126:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1508+9+0=151748%7
TBTBRays
Bradley, Taj
Bradley
154539+24=153052%9
4/11Tuesday, April 116:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
15097+0=150239%2
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1543+11+24=157861%7
4/10Monday, April 106:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151033=150441%0
TBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks (open)
15431+24=156659%1
4/9Sunday, April 91:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
150928+0=148152%4
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
14465+24=146548%1
4/8Saturday, April 84:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1506+20+2=152857%14
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
1448+2+26=147643%5
4/6Thursday, April 61:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1505+113=151355%6
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1450+9+21=148045%3
4/5Wednesday, April 51:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1460+8+0=146841%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15071+24=153059%1
4/4Tuesday, April 47:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1458+10+0=146841%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15091+24=153259%1
4/3Monday, April 37:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
145743=145041%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
151020+24=151459%6
4/2Sunday, April 21:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1485+2+0=148741%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1508+20+24=155259%9
4/1Saturday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1486+9+2=149742%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1508+17+26=155158%9
3/30Thursday, March 302:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1485102=147341%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1509+1+24=153459%9

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.