This page is frozen as of June 21, 2023, and will no longer be updated.

Updated Jun. 21, 2023, at 12:35 AM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rays have a 16% chance of winning the World Series.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
RaysRays51-2598%75%
YankeesYankees40-339.568%10%
OriolesOrioles45-274.058%8%
Blue JaysBlue Jays40-3510.550%5%
Red SoxRed Sox39-3410.535%2%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/21Wednesday, June 2112:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1510+19+0=152944%
TBTBRays
Bradley, Taj
Bradley
156621+24=156956%
6/22Thursday, June 226:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
142113=141727%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159073%
6/23Friday, June 236:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+0=142027%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159073%
6/24Saturday, June 244:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+0=142027%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159073%
6/25Sunday, June 251:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+0=142027%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159073%
6/27Tuesday, June 279:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+02=156455%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+23=153045%
6/28Wednesday, June 289:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156655%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+24=153145%
6/29Thursday, June 293:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156655%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+24=153145%
6/30Friday, June 3010:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+03=156353%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+26=153947%
7/1Saturday, July 17:15 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156654%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+24=153746%
7/2Sunday, July 24:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156654%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+24=153746%
7/4Tuesday, July 44:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+11=152441%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+22=158859%
7/5Wednesday, July 56:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+1+0=152541%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159059%
7/6Thursday, July 66:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+1+0=152541%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159059%
7/7Friday, July 76:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1569+11=156947%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159053%
7/8Saturday, July 87:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1569+1+0=157047%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159053%
7/9Sunday, July 91:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1569+1+0=157047%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159053%
7/14Friday, July 148:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+4=157067%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+28=144833%
7/15Saturday, July 157:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156667%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+24=144433%
7/16Sunday, July 162:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156667%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+24=144433%
7/17Monday, July 178:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+02=156451%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15363+24=155749%
7/18Tuesday, July 188:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156651%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15363+24=155749%
7/19Wednesday, July 192:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156651%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15363+24=155749%
7/20Thursday, July 206:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1510+23=150939%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+21=158761%
7/21Friday, July 216:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+0=151239%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159061%
7/22Saturday, July 224:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+0=151239%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159061%
7/23Sunday, July 231:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+0=151239%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159061%
7/25Tuesday, July 256:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1502+1+0=150338%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+26=159262%
7/26Wednesday, July 2612:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1502+1+0=150338%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159062%
7/28Friday, July 288:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+01=156549%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1548+0+26=157451%
7/29Saturday, July 297:15 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156649%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1548+0+24=157251%
7/30Sunday, July 302:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156649%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1548+0+24=157251%
7/31Monday, July 317:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+03=156348%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15552+22=157552%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156648%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15552+24=157752%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156648%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15552+24=157752%
8/4Friday, Aug. 46:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156663%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14504+24=147037%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 51:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156663%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14504+24=147037%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156663%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14504+24=147037%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 86:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+21=150238%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+23=158962%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 96:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+2+0=150338%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159062%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 106:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+2+0=150338%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159062%
8/11Friday, Aug. 116:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+33=151640%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159060%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151940%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159060%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151940%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159060%
8/14Monday, Aug. 149:45 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+04=156251%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1529+0+24=155349%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 159:45 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156652%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1529+0+24=155348%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 163:45 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156652%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1529+0+24=155348%
8/18Friday, Aug. 189:38 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156653%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+2+23=154447%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 199:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156653%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+2+24=154547%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 204:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156653%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+2+24=154547%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 226:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1436+32=143730%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+22=158870%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 236:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+0=143930%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159070%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+0=143930%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159070%
8/25Friday, Aug. 256:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
155523=155044%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159056%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15552+0=155345%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159055%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
15552+0=155345%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159055%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156655%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1502+1+26=152945%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156656%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1502+1+24=152744%
9/1Friday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+01=156553%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+23=154247%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 26:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156653%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154347%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156653%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154347%
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1524+13=152241%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+21=158759%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1524+1+0=152541%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159059%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1524+1+0=152541%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159059%
9/7Thursday, Sept. 76:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1512+13=151039%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159061%
9/8Friday, Sept. 86:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+0=151339%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159061%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 94:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+0=151339%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159061%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+0=151339%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159061%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+03=156353%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154147%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156654%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154146%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 131:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156654%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154146%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 146:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+03=156354%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+24=153646%
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156654%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+24=153646%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156654%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+24=153646%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156654%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+24=153646%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+22=151940%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+23=158960%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+2+0=152140%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159060%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 211:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+2+0=152140%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159060%
9/22Friday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1538+03=153542%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159058%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153843%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159057%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153843%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159057%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+01=156552%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1524+1+26=155148%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156652%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1524+1+24=154948%
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156650%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156250%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 303:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156650%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156250%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156650%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156250%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/20Tuesday, June 206:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1508+101=151738%8
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1568+16+22=160662%6
6/18Sunday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
156911+0=155848%4
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1539+7+24=157052%5
6/17Saturday, June 177:15 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15704+0=156648%0
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1537+15+24=157652%2
6/16Friday, June 169:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1568+182=158450%6
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1539+19+24=158250%2
6/15Thursday, June 153:37 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Bradley, Taj
Bradley
156723+0=154464%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
1409+12+24=144536%3
6/14Wednesday, June 149:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1567+19+0=158672%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Medina, Luis
Medina
14098+24=142528%3
6/13Tuesday, June 139:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks
156849+0=151961%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Fujinami, Shintaro
Fujinami (open)
1408+7+24=143939%2
6/12Monday, June 129:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
157034=156367%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1406+16+20=144233%4
6/11Sunday, June 111:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
153916+0=152338%3
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1568+16+24=160862%7
6/10Saturday, June 104:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1537+17+0=155447%8
TBTBRays
Bradley, Taj
Bradley
157020+24=157453%4
6/9Friday, June 96:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1538231=151437%3
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1569+16+24=160963%8
6/8Thursday, June 81:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1524+9+0=153344%2
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
156814+24=157856%4
6/7Wednesday, June 76:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
15255+0=152045%1
TBTBRays
Armstrong, Shawn
Armstrong
156734+24=155755%2
6/6Tuesday, June 66:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
1527131=151341%0
TBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15658+21=157859%7
6/5Monday, June 54:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1563+16+0=157957%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
15156+24=153343%1
6/4Sunday, June 41:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Bradley, Taj
Bradley
156119+0=154248%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1517+13+24=155452%2
6/3Saturday, June 36:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1560+17+0=157758%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
151824+24=151842%2
6/3Saturday, June 31:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kelley, Trevor
Kelley (open)
15623+2=156154%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
15177+26=153646%8
5/31Wednesday, May 312:20 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15618+0=155355%4
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1485+10+24=151945%3
5/30Tuesday, May 308:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1562+19+0=158163%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
148417+24=149137%2
5/29Monday, May 292:20 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Bradley, Taj
Bradley
1564263=153551%0
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1482+20+24=152649%1
5/28Sunday, May 2811:35 a.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Stone, Gavin
Stone
156638+0=152850%10
TBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
156355+24=153250%11
5/27Saturday, May 274:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1565+22+0=158748%6
TBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1564+17+24=160552%5
5/26Friday, May 266:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
156816+0=155253%3
TBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks
156151+24=153447%9
5/25Thursday, May 251:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1542+4+0=154646%3
TBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
155912+24=157154%6
5/24Wednesday, May 246:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154330+0=151338%3
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1558+13+24=159562%7
5/23Tuesday, May 236:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
153710+0=152745%20
TBTBRays
Bradley, Taj
Bradley
156424+24=156455%1
5/22Monday, May 226:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1538+173=155246%4
TBTBRays
Kelley, Trevor
Kelley (open)
15633+24=158454%6
5/21Sunday, May 211:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1523+13+0=153650%6
TBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks
156451+24=153750%4
5/20Saturday, May 204:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
152516+0=150941%4
TBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
156314+24=157359%8
5/19Friday, May 196:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1526261=149937%0
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1562+10+21=159363%1
5/18Thursday, May 181:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Bradley, Taj
Bradley
156325+0=153850%2
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
152912+24=154150%3
5/17Wednesday, May 177:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
156459+0=150545%7
NYMNYMMets
Senga, Kodai
Senga
152815+24=153755%8
5/16Tuesday, May 167:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks
156254+1=150936%8
NYMNYMMets
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1530+53+22=160564%5
5/14Sunday, May 141:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
156112+0=154951%8
NYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
155538+24=154149%7
5/13Saturday, May 131:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1562+15+0=157749%8
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1554+7+24=158551%9
5/12Friday, May 127:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kelley, Trevor
Kelley
156239+0=152339%5
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1553+27+24=160461%6
5/11Thursday, May 117:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1560+72=156549%8
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15554+24=157551%2
5/10Wednesday, May 106:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks
156159+0=150246%1
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1500+3+24=152754%2
5/9Tuesday, May 96:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
156211+0=155156%2
BALBALOrioles
Rodriguez, Grayson
Rodriguez
149911+24=151244%4
5/8Monday, May 86:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1561+153=157358%3
BALBALOrioles
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15005+21=151642%0
5/7Sunday, May 71:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1553+33+0=158651%7
TBTBRays
Guerra, Javy
Guerra (open)
15603+24=158149%8
5/6Saturday, May 64:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15527+0=154544%3
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1561+5+24=159056%2
5/5Friday, May 56:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Brito, Jhony
Brito
1552371=151442%4
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
156011+24=157358%5
5/4Thursday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
14816+0=147537%2
TBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
155916+24=156763%3
5/3Wednesday, May 36:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1483+12+0=149536%1
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1558+16+24=159864%8
5/2Tuesday, May 26:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1484+91=149243%1
TBTBRays
Guerra, Javy
Guerra
155636+23=154357%4
4/30Sunday, April 302:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1558+9+0=156761%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
147613+24=148739%12
4/29Saturday, April 297:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Faucher, Calvin
Faucher
155537+0=151852%12
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1479+2+24=150548%3
4/28Friday, April 287:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
155515+0=154055%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1480+3+24=150745%2
4/27Thursday, April 277:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1552+163=156554%14
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1483+32+22=153746%5
4/26Wednesday, April 266:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
155710+0=154751%1
TBTBRays
Faucher, Calvin
Faucher
155339+24=153849%0
4/25Tuesday, April 256:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15542+0=155245%5
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1555+11+24=159055%0
4/24Monday, April 246:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
155692=154549%3
TBTBRays
Bradley, Taj
Bradley
155326+24=155151%8
4/23Sunday, April 231:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1489+1+0=149041%1
TBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
155220+24=155659%4
4/22Saturday, April 224:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1490+34+0=152441%3
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1551+15+24=159059%4
4/21Friday, April 216:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1491121=147842%7
TBTBRays
Faucher, Calvin
Faucher
155036+23=153758%8
4/19Wednesday, April 1912:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1548+10+0=155863%8
CINCINReds
Stoudt, Levi
Stoudt
145510+24=146937%0
4/18Tuesday, April 186:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Bradley, Taj
Bradley
154534+0=151150%10
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1458+29+24=151150%0
4/17Monday, April 176:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks (open)
1548+02=154657%1
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1455+20+24=149943%8
4/16Sunday, April 161:37 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1545+13+0=155845%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1544+27+24=159555%1
4/15Saturday, April 153:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Faucher, Calvin
Faucher
154638+0=150847%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154335+24=153253%5
4/14Friday, April 147:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1548+173=156252%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154118+24=154748%6
4/13Thursday, April 131:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1506+1+0=150740%3
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1546+10+24=158060%9
4/12Wednesday, April 126:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1508+9+0=151748%7
TBTBRays
Bradley, Taj
Bradley
154539+24=153052%9
4/11Tuesday, April 116:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
15097+0=150239%2
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1543+11+24=157861%7
4/10Monday, April 106:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151033=150441%0
TBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks (open)
15431+24=156659%1
4/9Sunday, April 91:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1431+20+0=145133%0
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1540+13+24=157767%11
4/8Saturday, April 84:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Fujinami, Shintaro
Fujinami
14339+0=142430%0
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1539+9+24=157270%11
4/7Friday, April 76:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Waldichuk, Ken
Waldichuk
1434+32=143535%5
TBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
153717+23=154365%9
4/5Wednesday, April 51:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1536+13+0=154965%7
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143015+24=143935%2
4/4Tuesday, April 47:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
153455+0=147953%10
WSHWSHNationals
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1432+2+24=145847%6
4/3Monday, April 37:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1533+83=153860%6
WSHWSHNationals
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1433+10+24=146740%2
4/2Sunday, April 21:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
1448+2+0=145035%1
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1532+4+24=156065%5
4/1Saturday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1450+15+2=146740%2
TBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152918+26=153760%12
3/30Thursday, March 303:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1451+43=145234%0
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1528+13+24=156566%4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.