Updated Jun. 21, 2023, at 12:35 AM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Brewers have a 2% chance of winning the World Series.

NL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Brewers Brewers38-35	0.5	55%	49%
Cubs Cubs35-38	3.5	26%	21%
Reds Reds39-35	—	25%	20%
Cardinals Cardinals30-43	8.5	9%	7%
Pirates Pirates34-38	4.0	4%	3%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
6/21Wednesday, June 212:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1505	+42	+0	=1547	54%
6/21Wednesday, June 212:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Teheran	1515	–21	+24	=1518	46%
6/23Friday, June 237:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	46%
6/23Friday, June 237:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1516	+3	+24	=1543	54%
6/24Saturday, June 244:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	46%
6/24Saturday, June 244:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1516	+3	+24	=1543	54%
6/25Sunday, June 251:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	46%
6/25Sunday, June 251:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1516	+3	+24	=1543	54%
6/26Monday, June 267:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	–2	=1510	44%
6/26Monday, June 267:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+23	=1551	56%
6/27Tuesday, June 277:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	44%
6/27Tuesday, June 277:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	56%
6/28Wednesday, June 287:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	44%
6/28Wednesday, June 287:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	56%
6/29Thursday, June 297:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	44%
6/29Thursday, June 297:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	56%
6/30Friday, June 307:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	–2	=1510	54%
6/30Friday, June 307:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	46%
7/1Saturday, July 14:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	54%
7/1Saturday, July 14:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	46%
7/2Sunday, July 21:35 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	54%
7/2Sunday, July 21:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	46%
7/3Monday, July 32:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	–1	=1495	44%
7/3Monday, July 32:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+22	=1534	56%
7/4Tuesday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+0	=1496	44%
7/4Tuesday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	56%
7/5Wednesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+0	=1496	44%
7/5Wednesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	56%
7/6Thursday, July 62:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+0	=1496	44%
7/6Thursday, July 62:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	56%
7/7Friday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	–3	=1472	41%
7/7Friday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	59%
7/8Saturday, July 84:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+0	=1475	41%
7/8Saturday, July 84:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	59%
7/9Sunday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+0	=1475	41%
7/9Sunday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	59%
7/14Friday, July 147:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+5	=1517	52%
7/14Friday, July 147:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+29	=1504	48%
7/15Saturday, July 157:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	52%
7/15Saturday, July 157:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+24	=1499	48%
7/16Sunday, July 161:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	52%
7/16Sunday, July 161:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+24	=1499	48%
7/18Tuesday, July 186:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	44%
7/18Tuesday, July 186:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+26	=1551	56%
7/19Wednesday, July 196:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	45%
7/19Wednesday, July 196:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	55%
7/20Thursday, July 2012:35 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	45%
7/20Thursday, July 2012:35 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	55%
7/21Friday, July 218:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	–3	=1567	55%
7/21Friday, July 218:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+21	=1533	45%
7/22Saturday, July 227:15 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+0	=1570	55%
7/22Saturday, July 227:15 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	45%
7/23Sunday, July 232:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+0	=1570	55%
7/23Sunday, July 232:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	45%
7/24Monday, July 248:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	–2	=1473	41%
7/24Monday, July 248:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	59%
7/25Tuesday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+0	=1475	41%
7/25Tuesday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	59%
7/26Wednesday, July 262:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+0	=1475	41%
7/26Wednesday, July 262:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	59%
7/28Friday, July 287:20 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	–1	=1511	38%
7/28Friday, July 287:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+23	=1593	62%
7/29Saturday, July 297:20 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	38%
7/29Saturday, July 297:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+24	=1594	62%
7/30Sunday, July 301:30 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	38%
7/30Sunday, July 301:30 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+24	=1594	62%
7/31Monday, July 317:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	–3	=1509	58%
7/31Monday, July 317:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+22	=1456	42%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	58%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	42%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 21:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	58%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 21:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	42%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 37:15 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	–2	=1456	39%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 37:15 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+21	=1533	61%
8/4Friday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+0	=1458	39%
8/4Friday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	61%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+0	=1458	39%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	61%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 62:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+0	=1458	39%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 62:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	61%
8/7Monday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1436	+3	–2	=1437	36%
8/7Monday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	64%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1436	+3	+0	=1439	36%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	64%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 92:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1436	+3	+0	=1439	36%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 92:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	64%
8/11Friday, Aug. 118:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+1	=1513	50%
8/11Friday, Aug. 118:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	+26	=1510	50%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	51%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	+24	=1508	49%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 132:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	51%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 132:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	+24	=1508	49%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	–2	=1510	40%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1552	+0	+26	=1578	60%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	41%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1552	+0	+24	=1576	59%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	41%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1552	+0	+24	=1576	59%
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	–3	=1509	43%
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1536	–3	+26	=1559	57%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 194:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	43%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 194:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1536	–3	+24	=1557	57%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 202:35 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	43%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 202:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1536	–3	+24	=1557	57%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 228:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1516	+1	+0	=1517	47%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 228:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+23	=1535	53%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 232:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1516	+1	+0	=1517	47%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 232:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	53%
8/25Friday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	–2	=1538	50%
8/25Friday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+26	=1538	50%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	+0	=1540	51%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	49%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 272:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	+0	=1540	51%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 272:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	49%
8/28Monday, Aug. 288:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	–1	=1511	49%
8/28Monday, Aug. 288:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+22	=1518	51%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 298:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	49%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 298:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+24	=1520	51%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 302:20 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	49%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 302:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+24	=1520	51%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	–1	=1524	48%
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+25	=1537	52%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:15 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	48%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:15 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	52%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 31:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	48%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 31:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	52%
9/4Monday, Sept. 46:35 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	–2	=1510	54%
9/4Monday, Sept. 46:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+21	=1479	46%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 56:35 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	54%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 56:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	46%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 612:35 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	54%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 612:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	46%
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	41%
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	59%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 92:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	41%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 92:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	59%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:35 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	41%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	59%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	–3	=1500	45%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+21	=1533	55%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+0	=1503	45%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	55%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+0	=1503	45%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	55%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 142:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+0	=1503	45%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 142:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	55%
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	–2	=1432	35%
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	65%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	36%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	64%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	36%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	64%
9/18Monday, Sept. 187:45 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	–2	=1510	47%
9/18Monday, Sept. 187:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	53%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:45 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	48%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	52%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 207:45 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	48%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 207:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	52%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 211:15 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	48%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 211:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	52%
9/22Friday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	–3	=1509	47%
9/22Friday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+26	=1529	53%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	48%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+24	=1527	52%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	48%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+24	=1527	52%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	–2	=1501	45%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+23	=1535	55%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	45%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	55%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	45%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	55%
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	–3	=1493	44%
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	56%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+0	=1496	44%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	56%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+0	=1496	44%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+24	=1536	56%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
6/20Tuesday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1506	–15	+0	=1491	47%	5
6/20Tuesday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Rea	1514	–25	+24	=1513	53%	7
6/19Monday, June 198:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1502	+29	–4	=1527	45%	9
6/19Monday, June 198:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1517	+25	+24	=1566	55%	1
6/18Sunday, June 182:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Ortiz	1462	–16	+0	=1446	37%	2
6/18Sunday, June 182:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1516	–3	+24	=1537	63%	5
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1464	+22	+0	=1486	45%	0
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Miley	1514	–15	+24	=1523	55%	5
6/16Friday, June 168:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Hill	1465	+7	–1	=1471	44%	4
6/16Friday, June 168:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Teheran	1513	–26	+24	=1511	56%	5
6/14Wednesday, June 141:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Rea	1514	–25	+0	=1489	40%	2
6/14Wednesday, June 141:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ober	1527	+8	+24	=1559	60%	4
6/13Tuesday, June 137:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1515	+27	+0	=1542	49%	5
6/13Tuesday, June 137:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Lopez	1526	–2	+23	=1547	51%	7
6/11Sunday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1404	+21	+0	=1425	34%	8
6/11Sunday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1517	+0	+24	=1541	66%	6
6/10Saturday, June 104:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1403	+9	+0	=1412	36%	2
6/10Saturday, June 104:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Teheran	1519	–30	+24	=1513	64%	1
6/9Friday, June 98:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Moll	1401	+11	+0	=1412	34%	5
6/9Friday, June 98:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Houser	1521	–20	+24	=1525	66%	2
6/8Thursday, June 82:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1502	+9	+0	=1511	49%	6
6/8Thursday, June 82:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Rea	1523	–30	+24	=1517	51%	3
6/7Wednesday, June 77:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1505	+7	+0	=1512	42%	2
6/7Wednesday, June 77:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1521	+21	+24	=1566	58%	10
6/6Tuesday, June 67:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1506	+0	–2	=1504	45%	3
6/6Tuesday, June 67:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1520	+1	+22	=1543	55%	4
6/5Monday, June 57:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Teheran	1521	–30	+0	=1491	53%	0
6/5Monday, June 57:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Abbott	1455	–6	+24	=1473	47%	2
6/4Sunday, June 41:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Houser	1519	–20	+0	=1499	53%	5
6/4Sunday, June 41:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Lively	1457	+0	+24	=1481	47%	1
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Rea	1518	–27	+0	=1491	53%	10
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Ashcraft	1458	–13	+24	=1469	47%	8
6/2Friday, June 25:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1517	+22	–2	=1537	59%	5
6/2Friday, June 25:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Williamson	1459	–7	+21	=1473	41%	4
6/1Thursday, June 11:07 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1518	+3	+0	=1521	40%	1
6/1Thursday, June 11:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1542	+26	+24	=1592	60%	3
5/31Wednesday, May 317:07 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Teheran	1516	–34	+0	=1482	38%	4
5/31Wednesday, May 317:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Manoah	1544	+2	+24	=1570	62%	2
5/30Tuesday, May 307:07 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Houser	1518	–15	+0	=1503	46%	2
5/30Tuesday, May 307:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Kikuchi	1542	–31	+23	=1534	54%	7
5/28Sunday, May 282:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1512	+13	+0	=1525	52%	5
5/28Sunday, May 282:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Rea	1517	–30	+24	=1511	48%	7
5/27Saturday, May 274:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1510	+25	+0	=1535	46%	3
5/27Saturday, May 274:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1518	+18	+24	=1560	54%	1
5/26Friday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1505	–10	+0	=1495	41%	15
5/26Friday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1524	+12	+24	=1560	59%	1
5/25Thursday, May 257:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Alexander	1502	–17	–2	=1483	46%	5
5/25Thursday, May 257:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Teheran	1526	–41	+24	=1509	54%	0
5/24Wednesday, May 241:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Bielak	1559	–46	+0	=1513	48%	0
5/24Wednesday, May 241:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Houser	1524	–19	+24	=1529	52%	4
5/23Tuesday, May 237:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	France	1561	–40	+0	=1521	51%	0
5/23Tuesday, May 237:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Rea	1522	–33	+24	=1513	49%	6
5/22Monday, May 227:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1558	+29	–3	=1584	52%	12
5/22Monday, May 227:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1525	+24	+21	=1570	48%	2
5/21Sunday, May 211:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1523	+13	+0	=1536	50%	6
5/21Sunday, May 211:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Beeks	1564	–51	+24	=1537	50%	4
5/20Saturday, May 204:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1525	–16	+0	=1509	41%	4
5/20Saturday, May 204:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Eflin	1563	–14	+24	=1573	59%	8
5/19Friday, May 196:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Houser	1526	–26	–1	=1499	37%	0
5/19Friday, May 196:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McClanahan	1562	+10	+21	=1593	63%	1
5/17Wednesday, May 177:45 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1528	+25	+0	=1553	55%	0
5/17Wednesday, May 177:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Liberatore	1510	–15	+24	=1519	45%	3
5/16Tuesday, May 167:45 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Miley	1526	–16	+0	=1510	44%	3
5/16Tuesday, May 167:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1511	+20	+24	=1555	56%	2
5/15Monday, May 157:45 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1532	+17	–2	=1547	53%	1
5/15Monday, May 157:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1506	+0	+21	=1527	47%	18
5/14Sunday, May 142:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lyles	1439	–1	+0	=1438	38%	6
5/14Sunday, May 142:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Rea	1530	–35	+24	=1519	62%	9
5/13Saturday, May 137:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1439	+4	+0	=1443	38%	3
5/13Saturday, May 137:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Houser	1530	–27	+24	=1527	62%	4
5/12Friday, May 128:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Taylor	1440	–7	–2	=1431	31%	1
5/12Friday, May 128:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1529	+19	+26	=1574	69%	5
5/10Wednesday, May 101:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1563	+25	+0	=1588	57%	8
5/10Wednesday, May 101:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Miley	1531	–14	+24	=1541	43%	1
5/9Tuesday, May 97:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1561	–18	+0	=1543	50%	6
5/9Tuesday, May 97:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1533	–17	+24	=1540	50%	2
5/8Monday, May 87:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1564	+14	–4	=1574	52%	3
5/8Monday, May 87:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1530	+11	+20	=1561	48%	9
5/7Sunday, May 74:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Houser	1528	–28	+0	=1500	45%	7
5/7Sunday, May 74:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Stripling	1505	+8	+24	=1537	55%	3
5/6Saturday, May 67:15 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Rea	1529	–39	+0	=1490	43%	1
5/6Saturday, May 67:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1503	+9	+24	=1536	57%	4
5/5Friday, May 510:15 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1531	+21	–3	=1549	58%	4
5/5Friday, May 510:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Manaea	1502	–31	+22	=1493	42%	6
5/4Thursday, May 43:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Miley	1533	–15	+0	=1518	63%	6
5/4Thursday, May 43:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Seabold	1438	–37	+24	=1425	37%	9
5/3Wednesday, May 38:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1536	–17	+0	=1519	56%	1
5/3Wednesday, May 38:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1435	+18	+24	=1477	44%	7
5/2Tuesday, May 28:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1537	+11	–1	=1547	62%	2
5/2Tuesday, May 28:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1434	+1	+26	=1461	38%	3
4/30Sunday, April 302:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1514	–30	+0	=1484	45%	3
4/30Sunday, April 302:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Rea	1539	–42	+24	=1521	55%	0
4/29Saturday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1515	–4	+0	=1511	40%	5
4/29Saturday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1538	+20	+24	=1582	60%	7
4/28Friday, April 288:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Anderson	1516	–1	–4	=1511	45%	1
4/28Friday, April 288:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Miley	1537	–17	+26	=1546	55%	2
4/26Wednesday, April 261:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Lorenzen	1448	+0	+0	=1448	33%	2
4/26Wednesday, April 261:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1536	+11	+24	=1571	67%	6
4/25Tuesday, April 257:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Turnbull	1447	+6	+0	=1453	36%	4
4/25Tuesday, April 257:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1537	–11	+24	=1550	64%	3
4/24Monday, April 247:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Boyd	1445	–9	–3	=1433	37%	4
4/24Monday, April 247:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Rea	1539	–40	+24	=1523	63%	2
4/23Sunday, April 232:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1509	–14	+0	=1495	37%	12
4/23Sunday, April 232:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1543	+20	+24	=1587	63%	5
4/22Saturday, April 227:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1510	–2	+0	=1508	45%	4
4/22Saturday, April 227:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Miley	1542	–20	+24	=1546	55%	5
4/21Friday, April 218:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1508	–2	–3	=1503	40%	5
4/21Friday, April 218:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1544	+10	+22	=1576	60%	3
4/19Wednesday, April 194:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1542	–15	+0	=1527	52%	5
4/19Wednesday, April 194:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1513	–23	+24	=1514	48%	3
4/18Tuesday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Rea	1541	–41	+0	=1500	43%	6
4/18Tuesday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1514	+10	+24	=1548	57%	5
4/17Monday, April 179:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1540	+21	–3	=1558	56%	7
4/17Monday, April 179:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Flexen	1515	–27	+24	=1512	44%	3
4/16Sunday, April 164:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Miley	1538	–25	+0	=1513	38%	1
4/16Sunday, April 164:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1544	+28	+24	=1596	62%	0
4/15Saturday, April 154:05 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1541	+15	+0	=1556	51%	3
4/15Saturday, April 154:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Lugo	1541	–17	+24	=1548	49%	10
4/14Friday, April 149:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1537	–17	+0	=1520	42%	11
4/14Friday, April 149:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Wacha	1545	+4	+24	=1573	58%	2
4/13Thursday, April 139:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Rea	1536	–44	–2	=1490	45%	4
4/13Thursday, April 139:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Martinez	1546	–40	+20	=1526	55%	3
4/12Wednesday, April 123:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Junk	1538	–45	+0	=1493	47%	3
4/12Wednesday, April 123:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Jameson	1489	–1	+24	=1512	53%	7
4/11Tuesday, April 119:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1535	+16	+0	=1551	53%	7
4/11Tuesday, April 119:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1491	+14	+24	=1529	47%	1
4/10Monday, April 109:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Miley	1537	–25	–4	=1508	44%	0
4/10Monday, April 109:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1490	+39	+24	=1553	56%	3
4/9Sunday, April 92:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Woodford	1522	–14	+0	=1508	41%	1
4/9Sunday, April 92:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1535	+14	+24	=1573	59%	6
4/8Saturday, April 87:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1519	+20	+0	=1539	48%	6
4/8Saturday, April 87:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1538	–11	+24	=1551	52%	0
4/7Friday, April 78:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1521	+12	+0	=1533	42%	0
4/7Friday, April 78:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1536	+27	+26	=1589	58%	4
4/5Wednesday, April 51:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1547	–18	+0	=1529	43%	6
4/5Wednesday, April 51:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1535	+21	+24	=1580	57%	7
4/4Tuesday, April 47:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1551	+31	+0	=1582	58%	0
4/4Tuesday, April 47:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Miley	1531	–31	+24	=1524	42%	9
4/3Monday, April 32:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1554	–21	–3	=1530	46%	0
4/3Monday, April 32:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1528	+10	+23	=1561	54%	10
4/2Sunday, April 22:20 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1526	–10	+0	=1516	50%	9
4/2Sunday, April 22:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Taillon	1486	+8	+24	=1518	50%	5
4/1Saturday, April 12:20 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1525	+26	+2	=1553	56%	3
4/1Saturday, April 12:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Steele	1487	+1	+26	=1514	44%	1
3/30Thursday, March 302:20 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1527	+26	–1	=1552	54%	0
3/30Thursday, March 302:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Stroman	1485	+14	+24	=1523	46%	4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.