2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Guardians have a 2% chance of winning the World Series.
AL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TwinsTwins36-38 | — | 52% | 50% | |||
GuardiansGuardians34-38 | 1.0 | 42% | 41% | |||
White SoxWhite Sox32-43 | 4.5 | 8% | 8% | |||
TigersTigers31-41 | 4.0 | 2% | 2% | |||
RoyalsRoyals20-53 | 15.5 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/21Wednesday, June 217:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1404 | +11 | +0 | =1415 | 36% | |
CLEGuardians | Williams | 1516 | –24 | +24 | =1516 | 64% | ||
6/22Thursday, June 221:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 32% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 68% | ||
6/23Friday, June 237:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | — | 1515 | –3 | +0 | =1512 | 46% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 54% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 244:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | — | 1515 | –3 | +0 | =1512 | 46% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 54% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 251:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | — | 1515 | –3 | +0 | =1512 | 46% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 54% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 278:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –1 | =1518 | 61% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +23 | =1443 | 39% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 288:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 61% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 39% | ||
6/29Thursday, June 292:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 61% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 39% | ||
6/30Friday, June 302:20 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –2 | =1517 | 50% | |
CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +24 | =1520 | 50% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 17:15 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 50% | |
CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +24 | =1520 | 50% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 22:20 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 50% | |
CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +24 | =1520 | 50% | ||
7/3Monday, July 37:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | –3 | =1567 | 54% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +22 | =1541 | 46% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 47:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +0 | =1570 | 54% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 46% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 57:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +0 | =1570 | 54% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 46% | ||
7/6Thursday, July 67:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –3 | =1417 | 33% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 67% | ||
7/7Friday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 33% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 67% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 84:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 33% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 67% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 91:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 33% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 67% | ||
7/14Friday, July 148:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +4 | =1523 | 44% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +28 | =1561 | 56% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 154:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 44% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 56% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 162:35 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 44% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 56% | ||
7/17Monday, July 177:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –3 | =1516 | 55% | |
PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 45% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 187:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 55% | |
PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 45% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 1912:35 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 55% | |
PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 45% | ||
7/21Friday, July 217:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | –2 | =1523 | 47% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 53% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 227:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 47% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 53% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 231:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 47% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 53% | ||
7/24Monday, July 247:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –2 | =1418 | 33% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 67% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 257:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 33% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 67% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 261:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 33% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 67% | ||
7/27Thursday, July 271:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –2 | =1517 | 51% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 49% | ||
7/28Friday, July 287:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 52% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 48% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 52% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 48% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 302:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 52% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 48% | ||
7/31Monday, July 318:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –3 | =1516 | 42% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 42% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 22:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 42% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | –3 | =1481 | 41% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +23 | =1542 | 59% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +0 | =1484 | 42% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 58% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 612:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +0 | =1484 | 42% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 58% | ||
8/7Monday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | –3 | =1535 | 49% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 49% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 49% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | ||
8/10Thursday, Aug. 101:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 49% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 116:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –3 | =1516 | 40% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 60% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 40% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 60% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 40% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 60% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –1 | =1518 | 53% | |
CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +24 | =1499 | 47% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 53% | |
CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +24 | =1499 | 47% | ||
8/17Thursday, Aug. 177:15 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –3 | =1443 | 36% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +22 | =1541 | 64% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 36% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 64% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 36% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 64% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 36% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 64% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –2 | =1550 | 51% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +26 | =1545 | 49% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 51% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 49% | ||
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 51% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 49% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:07 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –2 | =1517 | 44% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +22 | =1560 | 56% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 263:07 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 44% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 56% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:37 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 44% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 56% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –3 | =1516 | 47% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 53% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 47% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 53% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 301:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 47% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 53% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | –1 | =1565 | 53% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +23 | =1542 | 47% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 26:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 53% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 47% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 53% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 47% | ||
9/4Monday, Sept. 46:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –3 | =1514 | 46% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 54% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 56:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 46% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 54% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 61:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 46% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 54% | ||
9/7Thursday, Sept. 79:38 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –4 | =1515 | 46% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 54% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 89:38 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 46% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 54% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 99:07 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 46% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 54% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 104:07 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 46% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 54% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 119:45 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –2 | =1517 | 45% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 55% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 129:45 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 45% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 55% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 133:45 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 45% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 55% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –2 | =1531 | 49% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +22 | =1541 | 51% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 166:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 49% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 49% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | ||
9/18Monday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –3 | =1516 | 60% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 40% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 61% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 39% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 202:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 61% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 39% | ||
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | –3 | =1509 | 46% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +21 | =1540 | 54% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 46% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 54% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 236:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 46% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 54% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 46% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 54% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 266:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +0 | =1475 | 40% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +26 | =1545 | 60% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +0 | =1475 | 40% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 60% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 296:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +1 | =1520 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 301:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/20Tuesday, June 207:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1405 | –10 | –2 | =1393 | 30% | 2 |
CLEGuardians | Civale | 1516 | +0 | +22 | =1538 | 70% | 3 | |
6/18Sunday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bibee | 1512 | –12 | +0 | =1500 | 48% | 12 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Davies | 1506 | –14 | +24 | =1516 | 52% | 3 | |
6/17Saturday, June 1710:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1514 | +28 | +0 | =1542 | 55% | 3 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Henry | 1504 | –20 | +24 | =1508 | 45% | 6 | |
6/16Friday, June 169:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Toussaint | 1515 | –29 | –2 | =1484 | 38% | 1 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1503 | +40 | +24 | =1567 | 62% | 5 | |
6/15Thursday, June 158:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Allen | 1514 | –9 | +0 | =1505 | 49% | 8 |
SDPadres | Weathers | 1541 | –53 | +24 | =1512 | 51% | 6 | |
6/14Wednesday, June 149:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Civale | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 42% | 0 |
SDPadres | Wacha | 1539 | +12 | +24 | =1575 | 58% | 5 | |
6/13Tuesday, June 139:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bibee | 1517 | –3 | –2 | =1512 | 42% | 3 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1538 | +8 | +23 | =1569 | 58% | 6 | |
6/11Sunday, June 1112:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Bielak | 1560 | –39 | +0 | =1521 | 45% | 0 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1515 | +20 | +24 | =1559 | 55% | 5 | |
6/10Saturday, June 106:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | France | 1559 | –27 | +0 | =1532 | 44% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1517 | +36 | +24 | =1577 | 56% | 4 | |
6/9Friday, June 97:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1560 | +27 | –2 | =1585 | 57% | 9 |
CLEGuardians | Allen | 1516 | –6 | +24 | =1534 | 43% | 10 | |
6/8Thursday, June 87:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Dermody | 1514 | –18 | +0 | =1496 | 44% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Civale | 1513 | –1 | +24 | =1536 | 56% | 10 | |
6/7Wednesday, June 77:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Crawford | 1515 | –21 | +0 | =1494 | 45% | 2 |
CLEGuardians | Bibee | 1512 | –4 | +24 | =1532 | 55% | 5 | |
6/6Tuesday, June 67:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Paxton | 1514 | +11 | –3 | =1522 | 45% | 5 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1513 | +18 | +23 | =1554 | 55% | 4 | |
6/4Sunday, June 42:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1512 | +33 | +0 | =1545 | 47% | 2 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1529 | +12 | +24 | =1565 | 53% | 1 | |
6/3Saturday, June 37:15 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Allen | 1510 | –4 | +0 | =1506 | 41% | 4 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1530 | +14 | +24 | =1568 | 59% | 2 | |
6/2Friday, June 28:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Civale | 1511 | –2 | +0 | =1509 | 43% | 0 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1529 | +7 | +24 | =1560 | 57% | 1 | |
6/1Thursday, June 17:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bibee | 1512 | –1 | –3 | =1508 | 44% | 6 |
MINTwins | Lopez | 1528 | –3 | +21 | =1546 | 56% | 7 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 313:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1510 | +26 | +0 | =1536 | 54% | 12 |
BALOrioles | Akin | 1506 | –22 | +24 | =1508 | 46% | 8 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 307:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1512 | –7 | +0 | =1505 | 46% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Gibson | 1504 | +1 | +24 | =1529 | 54% | 8 | |
5/29Monday, May 291:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Allen | 1509 | –16 | –2 | =1491 | 42% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1507 | +15 | +24 | =1546 | 58% | 0 | |
5/28Sunday, May 281:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1515 | +12 | +0 | =1527 | 55% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Gaddis | 1508 | –41 | +24 | =1491 | 45% | 4 | |
5/27Saturday, May 277:15 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1514 | +6 | +0 | =1520 | 50% | 2 |
CLEGuardians | Bibee | 1509 | –11 | +24 | =1522 | 50% | 1 | |
5/26Friday, May 267:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Liberatore | 1515 | –8 | –2 | =1505 | 42% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1508 | +26 | +26 | =1560 | 58% | 4 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 241:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1482 | –4 | +0 | =1478 | 42% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1511 | –2 | +24 | =1533 | 58% | 0 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 236:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1481 | +15 | +0 | =1496 | 46% | 4 |
CLEGuardians | Allen | 1513 | –16 | +24 | =1521 | 54% | 2 | |
5/22Monday, May 226:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lambert | 1482 | –21 | –2 | =1459 | 47% | 0 |
CLEGuardians | Gaddis | 1511 | –53 | +22 | =1480 | 53% | 3 | |
5/21Sunday, May 217 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1512 | +26 | +0 | =1538 | 41% | 1 |
NYMMets | Verlander | 1532 | +45 | +24 | =1601 | 59% | 2 | |
5/21Sunday, May 211:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bibee | 1513 | –10 | +2 | =1505 | 38% | 4 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1531 | +30 | +26 | =1587 | 62% | 5 | |
5/19Friday, May 197:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1514 | –1 | –3 | =1510 | 46% | 9 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1530 | –14 | +24 | =1540 | 54% | 10 | |
5/18Thursday, May 182:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Allen | 1512 | –19 | +0 | =1493 | 46% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1480 | +19 | +24 | =1523 | 54% | 1 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 178:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Battenfield | 1514 | –18 | +0 | =1496 | 51% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Clevinger | 1478 | –10 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | 7 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 168:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1517 | +32 | +0 | =1549 | 57% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1475 | –2 | +26 | =1499 | 43% | 8 | |
5/14Sunday, May 1411:35 a.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1515 | +8 | +0 | =1523 | 51% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Bibee | 1516 | –26 | +24 | =1514 | 49% | 4 | |
5/13Saturday, May 136:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Detmers | 1516 | –4 | +0 | =1512 | 46% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1515 | –1 | +24 | =1538 | 54% | 8 | |
5/12Friday, May 127:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Anderson | 1515 | +3 | –2 | =1516 | 49% | 5 |
CLEGuardians | Allen | 1516 | –19 | +26 | =1523 | 51% | 4 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 101:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1455 | +26 | +0 | =1481 | 44% | 5 |
CLEGuardians | Battenfield | 1518 | –18 | +24 | =1524 | 56% | 0 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 96:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Lorenzen | 1456 | +1 | +0 | =1457 | 34% | 0 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1517 | +32 | +24 | =1573 | 66% | 2 | |
5/8Monday, May 86:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Wentz | 1453 | –10 | –2 | =1441 | 38% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | Bibee | 1520 | –20 | +24 | =1524 | 62% | 2 | |
5/7Sunday, May 71:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1526 | +16 | +0 | =1542 | 51% | 0 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1519 | –7 | +24 | =1536 | 49% | 2 | |
5/6Saturday, May 66:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1527 | +19 | +0 | =1546 | 53% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Allen | 1517 | –19 | +24 | =1522 | 47% | 4 | |
5/5Friday, May 57:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1525 | +3 | –2 | =1526 | 51% | 2 |
CLEGuardians | Battenfield | 1519 | –26 | +24 | =1517 | 49% | 0 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 37:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1520 | +33 | +0 | =1553 | 54% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Schmidt | 1551 | –48 | +24 | =1527 | 46% | 4 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 27:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bibee | 1521 | –22 | +0 | =1499 | 35% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1551 | +32 | +24 | =1607 | 65% | 4 | |
5/1Monday, May 17:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1519 | –7 | –2 | =1510 | 43% | 3 |
NYYYankees | German | 1552 | –14 | +21 | =1559 | 57% | 2 | |
4/30Sunday, April 301:35 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Allen | 1522 | –22 | +0 | =1500 | 44% | 1 |
BOSRed Sox | Sale | 1510 | +8 | +24 | =1542 | 56% | 7 | |
4/29Saturday, April 294:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1522 | –27 | +0 | =1495 | 47% | 7 |
BOSRed Sox | Bello | 1509 | –14 | +24 | =1519 | 53% | 8 | |
4/28Friday, April 287:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1521 | +32 | –1 | =1552 | 52% | 5 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1511 | +0 | +24 | =1535 | 48% | 2 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 261:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Marquez | 1437 | +21 | +0 | =1458 | 42% | 1 |
CLEGuardians | Bibee | 1520 | –28 | +24 | =1516 | 58% | 4 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 256:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Feltner | 1434 | –3 | +0 | =1431 | 37% | 5 |
CLEGuardians | Battenfield | 1522 | –20 | +24 | =1526 | 63% | 1 | |
4/24Monday, April 246:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gomber | 1431 | –12 | –2 | =1417 | 32% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1526 | –2 | +24 | =1548 | 68% | 0 | |
4/23Sunday, April 231:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1493 | +7 | +0 | =1500 | 47% | 4 |
CLEGuardians | Allen | 1524 | –30 | +24 | =1518 | 53% | 7 | |
4/22Saturday, April 228:15 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1492 | –10 | +0 | =1482 | 44% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1526 | –27 | +24 | =1523 | 56% | 2 | |
4/22Saturday, April 223:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Smeltzer | 1489 | –19 | +2 | =1472 | 34% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1529 | +33 | +28 | =1590 | 66% | 1 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 191:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1528 | –5 | +0 | =1523 | 56% | 3 |
DETTigers | Turnbull | 1449 | +8 | +24 | =1481 | 44% | 2 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 184:15 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Battenfield | 1529 | –25 | +0 | =1504 | 54% | 0 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1448 | +6 | +24 | =1478 | 46% | 1 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 181:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Gaddis | 1530 | –55 | +0 | =1475 | 51% | 3 |
DETTigers | Boyd | 1447 | –5 | +29 | =1471 | 49% | 4 | |
4/16Sunday, April 161:35 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1532 | +37 | +0 | =1569 | 69% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1429 | –20 | +24 | =1433 | 31% | 7 | |
4/15Saturday, April 154:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1530 | –27 | +0 | =1503 | 58% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Kuhl | 1430 | –2 | +24 | =1452 | 42% | 4 | |
4/14Friday, April 147:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1530 | –5 | +0 | =1525 | 59% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Williams | 1431 | +10 | +22 | =1463 | 41% | 3 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 121:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Schmidt | 1563 | –50 | +0 | =1513 | 49% | 4 |
CLEGuardians | Battenfield | 1531 | –31 | +24 | =1524 | 51% | 3 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 116:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1560 | +20 | +0 | =1580 | 60% | 11 |
CLEGuardians | Gaddis | 1533 | –47 | +24 | =1510 | 40% | 2 | |
4/10Monday, April 106:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1561 | –16 | –2 | =1543 | 43% | 2 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1532 | +35 | +24 | =1591 | 57% | 3 | |
4/9Sunday, April 91:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1515 | –2 | +0 | =1513 | 48% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1531 | –32 | +24 | =1523 | 52% | 7 | |
4/8Saturday, April 86:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1514 | –25 | +0 | =1489 | 41% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1532 | –5 | +24 | =1551 | 59% | 2 | |
4/7Friday, April 74:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1512 | +9 | –2 | =1519 | 46% | 5 |
CLEGuardians | Civale | 1534 | –7 | +22 | =1549 | 54% | 3 | |
4/5Wednesday, April 53:37 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Gaddis | 1533 | –56 | +0 | =1477 | 52% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Muller | 1436 | +5 | +24 | =1465 | 48% | 4 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 49:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1534 | +36 | +0 | =1570 | 66% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1434 | –3 | +24 | =1455 | 34% | 4 | |
4/3Monday, April 39:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1533 | –24 | –3 | =1506 | 54% | 12 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1435 | +21 | +24 | =1480 | 46% | 11 | |
4/2Sunday, April 24:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1532 | –2 | +0 | =1530 | 52% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1514 | –23 | +24 | =1515 | 48% | 5 | |
4/1Saturday, April 19:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Civale | 1531 | –13 | +0 | =1518 | 46% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1515 | +6 | +24 | =1545 | 54% | 0 | |
3/31Friday, March 3110:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Gaddis | 1528 | –59 | +0 | =1469 | 40% | 9 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1518 | –1 | +24 | =1541 | 60% | 4 | |
3/30Thursday, March 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1529 | +33 | –4 | =1558 | 48% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1516 | +28 | +24 | =1568 | 52% | 3 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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