2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Rockies are done for the season.
NL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DodgersDodgers40-33 | 3.5 | 85% | 45% | |||
GiantsGiants41-32 | 2.5 | 71% | 26% | |||
DbacksDiamondbacks44-30 | — | 60% | 19% | |||
PadresPadres35-38 | 8.5 | 44% | 10% | |||
RockiesRockies29-47 | 16.0 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/21Wednesday, June 2112:35 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Bird | 1436 | –2 | +0 | =1434 | 39% | |
CINReds | Abbott | 1473 | +15 | +24 | =1512 | 61% | ||
6/23Friday, June 238:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | –1 | =1520 | 58% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +23 | =1462 | 42% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 249:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 58% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 42% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 253:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 58% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 42% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 278:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –1 | =1551 | 62% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +26 | =1465 | 38% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 288:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 63% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 37% | ||
6/29Thursday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 63% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 37% | ||
6/30Friday, June 308:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –3 | =1443 | 47% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 53% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 19:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 48% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 52% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 23:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 48% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 52% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –1 | =1438 | 32% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +22 | =1570 | 68% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 52:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 32% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 68% | ||
7/7Friday, July 710:15 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –2 | =1437 | 34% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +26 | =1555 | 66% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 84:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 34% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 66% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 34% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 66% | ||
7/14Friday, July 148:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +3 | =1556 | 63% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +28 | =1467 | 37% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 158:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +0 | =1553 | 63% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 37% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 163:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +0 | =1553 | 63% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 37% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 188:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –1 | =1547 | 62% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +26 | =1465 | 38% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 193:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 62% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 38% | ||
7/21Friday, July 216:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –2 | =1437 | 38% | |
MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +23 | =1526 | 62% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 221:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 38% | |
MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +24 | =1527 | 62% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 231:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 38% | |
MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +24 | =1527 | 62% | ||
7/24Monday, July 247:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –3 | =1436 | 47% | |
WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 53% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 257:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 47% | |
WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 53% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 2612:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 47% | |
WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 53% | ||
7/28Friday, July 288:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –1 | =1409 | 43% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +22 | =1461 | 57% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 42% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 58% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 303:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 42% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 58% | ||
7/31Monday, July 318:40 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | –3 | =1537 | 61% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 39% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:40 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 61% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 39% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 23:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 61% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 39% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 48:15 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –1 | =1438 | 37% | |
STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | +24 | =1527 | 63% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:15 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 37% | |
STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | +24 | =1527 | 63% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 62:15 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 37% | |
STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | +24 | =1527 | 63% | ||
8/7Monday, Aug. 78:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –2 | =1437 | 36% | |
MILBrewers | — | 1515 | –3 | +24 | =1536 | 64% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 36% | |
MILBrewers | — | 1515 | –3 | +24 | =1536 | 64% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 92:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 36% | |
MILBrewers | — | 1515 | –3 | +24 | =1536 | 64% | ||
8/10Thursday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –4 | =1435 | 31% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +22 | =1574 | 69% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 1110:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 31% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 69% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 129:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 31% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 69% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 31% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 69% | ||
8/14Monday, Aug. 148:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | –3 | =1504 | 56% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +21 | =1460 | 44% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 158:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +0 | =1507 | 56% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 44% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 163:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +0 | =1507 | 56% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 44% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | –1 | =1483 | 53% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +26 | =1465 | 47% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +0 | =1484 | 53% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 47% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 203:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +0 | =1484 | 53% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 47% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 226:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –2 | =1437 | 30% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +22 | =1588 | 70% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 236:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 30% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 70% | ||
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 30% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 70% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –3 | =1436 | 36% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 64% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 36% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 64% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:35 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 36% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 64% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 288:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | –3 | =1567 | 65% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +20 | =1459 | 35% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 298:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +0 | =1570 | 65% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 35% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 308:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +0 | =1570 | 65% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 35% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | –1 | =1537 | 60% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +26 | =1465 | 40% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 61% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 39% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 33:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 61% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 39% | ||
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –3 | =1436 | 37% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +24 | =1531 | 63% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 59:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 37% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +24 | =1531 | 63% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 63:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 37% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +24 | =1531 | 63% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 810:15 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –1 | =1438 | 34% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +22 | =1551 | 66% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 99:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 34% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 66% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 104:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 34% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 66% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 118:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | –3 | =1493 | 55% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +21 | =1460 | 45% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 128:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +0 | =1496 | 55% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 45% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 133:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +0 | =1496 | 55% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 45% | ||
9/14Thursday, Sept. 148:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –3 | =1526 | 59% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 41% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 59% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 41% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 59% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 41% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 173:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 59% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 41% | ||
9/18Monday, Sept. 189:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –3 | =1436 | 33% | |
SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +22 | =1562 | 67% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 199:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 33% | |
SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +24 | =1564 | 67% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 204:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 33% | |
SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +24 | =1564 | 67% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 222:20 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –2 | =1437 | 38% | |
CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +24 | =1520 | 62% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 232:20 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 39% | |
CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +24 | =1520 | 61% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 242:20 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 39% | |
CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +24 | =1520 | 61% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 263:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –1 | =1551 | 63% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +23 | =1462 | 37% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 268:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 63% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 37% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 278:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 63% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 37% | ||
9/28Thursday, Sept. 288:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 63% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 37% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –3 | =1514 | 57% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 43% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 58% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 42% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 58% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 42% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/20Tuesday, June 207:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Davis | 1437 | –4 | +0 | =1433 | 42% | 6 |
CINReds | Lively | 1471 | –3 | +24 | =1492 | 58% | 8 | |
6/19Monday, June 197:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gomber | 1438 | –6 | –2 | =1430 | 42% | 4 |
CINReds | Williamson | 1471 | –9 | +21 | =1483 | 58% | 5 | |
6/18Sunday, June 181:35 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Anderson | 1439 | +9 | +0 | =1448 | 30% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1567 | +3 | +24 | =1594 | 70% | 14 | |
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Seabold | 1440 | –3 | +0 | =1437 | 29% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Elder | 1565 | +7 | +24 | =1596 | 71% | 10 | |
6/16Friday, June 167:20 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Lamet | 1442 | +14 | +0 | =1456 | 35% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Shuster | 1564 | –21 | +24 | =1567 | 65% | 8 | |
6/15Thursday, June 157:20 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1444 | +21 | –3 | =1462 | 36% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Smith-Shawver | 1562 | –22 | +21 | =1561 | 64% | 8 | |
6/14Wednesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gomber | 1445 | –15 | +0 | =1430 | 36% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Whitlock | 1510 | –7 | +24 | =1527 | 64% | 6 | |
6/13Tuesday, June 137:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Anderson | 1443 | +4 | +0 | =1447 | 41% | 7 |
BOSRed Sox | Crawford | 1512 | –24 | +24 | =1512 | 59% | 6 | |
6/12Monday, June 127:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Seabold | 1442 | –11 | –4 | =1427 | 33% | 4 |
BOSRed Sox | Paxton | 1513 | +13 | +22 | =1548 | 67% | 3 | |
6/11Sunday, June 113:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Snell | 1539 | +7 | +0 | =1546 | 60% | 4 |
COLRockies | Lamet | 1441 | +15 | +24 | =1480 | 40% | 5 | |
6/10Saturday, June 103:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Weathers | 1538 | –54 | +0 | =1484 | 50% | 3 |
COLRockies | Freeland | 1442 | +20 | +24 | =1486 | 50% | 2 | |
6/9Friday, June 98:40 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1537 | +20 | –1 | =1556 | 64% | 9 |
COLRockies | Gomber | 1443 | –8 | +24 | =1459 | 36% | 6 | |
6/8Thursday, June 83:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cobb | 1510 | +13 | +0 | =1523 | 57% | 6 |
COLRockies | Anderson | 1444 | +4 | +24 | =1472 | 43% | 4 | |
6/7Wednesday, June 78:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1509 | +31 | +0 | =1540 | 63% | 5 |
COLRockies | Seabold | 1444 | –20 | +24 | =1448 | 37% | 4 | |
6/6Tuesday, June 68:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Brebbia (open) | 1507 | +1 | –1 | =1507 | 53% | 10 |
COLRockies | Lamet | 1446 | +16 | +23 | =1485 | 47% | 4 | |
6/4Sunday, June 42:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1448 | +18 | +0 | =1466 | 50% | 0 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1433 | +6 | +24 | =1463 | 50% | 2 | |
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gomber | 1446 | –3 | +0 | =1443 | 49% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1434 | –11 | +24 | =1447 | 51% | 4 | |
6/2Friday, June 28:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Anderson | 1444 | +4 | –3 | =1445 | 49% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Lyles | 1436 | –11 | +27 | =1452 | 51% | 2 | |
6/1Thursday, June 13:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Seabold | 1445 | –28 | +0 | =1417 | 37% | 4 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Davies | 1500 | –17 | +24 | =1507 | 63% | 5 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Lamet | 1447 | +20 | +0 | =1467 | 45% | 0 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Henry | 1498 | –22 | +24 | =1500 | 55% | 6 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 309:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1448 | +23 | +0 | =1471 | 37% | 1 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1497 | +47 | +24 | =1568 | 63% | 5 | |
5/29Monday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Kauffmann | 1449 | –16 | –3 | =1430 | 38% | 5 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Nelson | 1496 | –7 | +24 | =1513 | 62% | 7 | |
5/28Sunday, May 283:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1531 | –16 | +0 | =1515 | 56% | 10 |
COLRockies | Gomber | 1448 | –2 | +24 | =1470 | 44% | 11 | |
5/27Saturday, May 279:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Verlander | 1533 | +46 | +0 | =1579 | 65% | 7 |
COLRockies | Anderson | 1446 | –2 | +24 | =1468 | 35% | 10 | |
5/26Friday, May 268:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1532 | +32 | –3 | =1561 | 67% | 5 |
COLRockies | Seabold | 1447 | –35 | +24 | =1436 | 33% | 2 | |
5/25Thursday, May 253:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1486 | –7 | +0 | =1479 | 48% | 6 |
COLRockies | Freeland | 1446 | +21 | +24 | =1491 | 52% | 7 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 248:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1484 | +27 | +0 | =1511 | 57% | 10 |
COLRockies | Kauffmann | 1448 | –14 | +24 | =1458 | 43% | 2 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 238:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Perez | 1485 | –21 | +0 | =1464 | 49% | 4 |
COLRockies | Gomber | 1447 | –2 | +24 | =1469 | 51% | 5 | |
5/22Monday, May 228:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1486 | –6 | –3 | =1477 | 52% | 3 |
COLRockies | Anderson | 1446 | –3 | +21 | =1464 | 48% | 5 | |
5/21Sunday, May 212:35 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Seabold | 1448 | –33 | +0 | =1415 | 35% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Heaney | 1522 | –22 | +24 | =1524 | 65% | 13 | |
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1450 | +28 | +0 | =1478 | 41% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1520 | –6 | +24 | =1538 | 59% | 11 | |
5/19Friday, May 198:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Kauffmann | 1451 | –12 | –1 | =1438 | 37% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1519 | –16 | +26 | =1529 | 63% | 7 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Ashcraft | 1454 | –1 | +0 | =1453 | 47% | 6 |
COLRockies | Gomber | 1449 | –2 | +24 | =1471 | 53% | 11 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 168:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Williamson | 1453 | –3 | +0 | =1450 | 48% | 3 |
COLRockies | Anderson | 1451 | –11 | +24 | =1464 | 52% | 1 | |
5/15Monday, May 158:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1454 | +26 | –4 | =1476 | 55% | 8 |
COLRockies | Seabold | 1449 | –32 | +24 | =1441 | 45% | 9 | |
5/14Sunday, May 143:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1525 | +16 | +0 | =1541 | 57% | 0 |
COLRockies | Freeland | 1447 | +22 | +24 | =1493 | 43% | 4 | |
5/13Saturday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1524 | –1 | +0 | =1523 | 58% | 7 |
COLRockies | Feltner | 1448 | –2 | +24 | =1470 | 42% | 4 | |
5/12Friday, May 128:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Walker | 1523 | –18 | –2 | =1503 | 55% | 6 |
COLRockies | Gomber | 1450 | –4 | +23 | =1469 | 45% | 3 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 1012:35 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Senzatela | 1449 | +6 | +0 | =1455 | 44% | 4 |
PITPirates | Hill | 1471 | +3 | +24 | =1498 | 56% | 3 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 96:35 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Seabold | 1444 | –36 | +0 | =1408 | 38% | 10 |
PITPirates | Ortiz | 1475 | –6 | +24 | =1493 | 62% | 1 | |
5/8Monday, May 86:35 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1446 | +23 | –2 | =1467 | 44% | 0 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1474 | +14 | +24 | =1512 | 56% | 2 | |
5/7Sunday, May 71:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Feltner | 1442 | +1 | +0 | =1443 | 34% | 13 |
NYMMets | Lucchesi | 1541 | –6 | +24 | =1559 | 66% | 6 | |
5/6Saturday, May 64:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gomber | 1439 | –7 | +0 | =1432 | 33% | 5 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1544 | –14 | +24 | =1554 | 67% | 2 | |
5/5Friday, May 57:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Senzatela | 1440 | +4 | –4 | =1440 | 36% | 0 |
NYMMets | Senga | 1543 | –21 | +22 | =1544 | 64% | 1 | |
5/4Thursday, May 43:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Miley | 1533 | –15 | +0 | =1518 | 63% | 6 |
COLRockies | Seabold | 1438 | –37 | +24 | =1425 | 37% | 9 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 38:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1536 | –17 | +0 | =1519 | 56% | 1 |
COLRockies | Freeland | 1435 | +18 | +24 | =1477 | 44% | 7 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 28:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1537 | +11 | –1 | =1547 | 62% | 2 |
COLRockies | Feltner | 1434 | +1 | +26 | =1461 | 38% | 3 | |
4/30Sunday, April 303:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Nelson | 1496 | –11 | +0 | =1485 | 56% | 4 |
COLRockies | Gomber | 1431 | –9 | +24 | =1446 | 44% | 12 | |
4/29Saturday, April 298:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Henry | 1493 | –29 | +0 | =1464 | 51% | 11 |
COLRockies | Davis | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 49% | 4 | |
4/28Friday, April 288:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1491 | +15 | –1 | =1505 | 54% | 9 |
COLRockies | Freeland | 1436 | +18 | +23 | =1477 | 46% | 1 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 261:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Marquez | 1437 | +21 | +0 | =1458 | 42% | 1 |
CLEGuardians | Bibee | 1520 | –28 | +24 | =1516 | 58% | 4 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 256:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Feltner | 1434 | –3 | +0 | =1431 | 37% | 5 |
CLEGuardians | Battenfield | 1522 | –20 | +24 | =1526 | 63% | 1 | |
4/24Monday, April 246:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gomber | 1431 | –12 | –2 | =1417 | 32% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1526 | –2 | +24 | =1548 | 68% | 0 | |
4/23Sunday, April 2312:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Urena | 1432 | –22 | +0 | =1410 | 28% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1522 | +27 | +24 | =1573 | 72% | 9 | |
4/22Saturday, April 223:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1433 | +19 | +0 | =1452 | 41% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Sanchez | 1521 | –29 | +24 | =1516 | 59% | 4 | |
4/21Friday, April 217:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Davis | 1433 | –4 | +0 | =1429 | 32% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1521 | +12 | +24 | =1557 | 68% | 4 | |
4/20Thursday, April 206:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Feltner | 1430 | –7 | –4 | =1419 | 36% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Strahm | 1524 | –25 | +21 | =1520 | 64% | 0 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 193:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Oviedo | 1469 | +1 | +0 | =1470 | 52% | 14 |
COLRockies | Gomber | 1433 | –5 | +24 | =1452 | 48% | 3 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 188:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Velasquez | 1468 | –16 | +0 | =1452 | 52% | 5 |
COLRockies | Urena | 1435 | –21 | +24 | =1438 | 48% | 3 | |
4/17Monday, April 178:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Hill | 1464 | +5 | –3 | =1466 | 47% | 14 |
COLRockies | Freeland | 1438 | +26 | +21 | =1485 | 53% | 3 | |
4/16Sunday, April 164:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Davis | 1439 | –12 | +0 | =1427 | 30% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1515 | +35 | +24 | =1574 | 70% | 1 | |
4/15Saturday, April 159:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Feltner | 1441 | –8 | +0 | =1433 | 35% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1513 | +2 | +24 | =1539 | 65% | 9 | |
4/14Friday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gomber | 1442 | –3 | –1 | =1438 | 42% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Milone | 1512 | –40 | +22 | =1494 | 58% | 5 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 123:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1519 | +11 | +0 | =1530 | 63% | 7 |
COLRockies | Urena | 1443 | –27 | +24 | =1440 | 37% | 4 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 118:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1518 | +13 | +0 | =1531 | 56% | 9 |
COLRockies | Freeland | 1444 | +24 | +24 | =1492 | 44% | 6 | |
4/10Monday, April 108:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Matz | 1520 | –4 | –3 | =1513 | 55% | 4 |
COLRockies | Marquez | 1442 | +15 | +24 | =1481 | 45% | 7 | |
4/9Sunday, April 93:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Kuhl | 1431 | +0 | +0 | =1431 | 46% | 6 |
COLRockies | Feltner | 1441 | –8 | +24 | =1457 | 54% | 7 | |
4/8Saturday, April 88:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Williams | 1430 | +7 | +0 | =1437 | 46% | 7 |
COLRockies | Gomber | 1443 | +0 | +24 | =1467 | 54% | 6 | |
4/7Friday, April 78:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gore | 1428 | +10 | +0 | =1438 | 49% | 10 |
COLRockies | Urena | 1445 | –21 | +24 | =1448 | 51% | 5 | |
4/6Thursday, April 64:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1428 | –3 | –4 | =1421 | 41% | 0 |
COLRockies | Freeland | 1444 | +20 | +23 | =1487 | 59% | 1 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 410:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Marquez | 1445 | +17 | +0 | =1462 | 30% | 2 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1564 | +18 | +24 | =1606 | 70% | 5 | |
4/3Monday, April 310:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Feltner | 1447 | –8 | –1 | =1438 | 35% | 4 |
LADDodgers | Grove | 1562 | –41 | +24 | =1545 | 65% | 13 | |
4/2Sunday, April 24:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gomber | 1448 | –1 | +0 | =1447 | 37% | 1 |
SDPadres | Lugo | 1542 | –27 | +24 | =1539 | 63% | 3 | |
4/1Saturday, April 18:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Urena | 1449 | –16 | +0 | =1433 | 32% | 4 |
SDPadres | Wacha | 1541 | +0 | +24 | =1565 | 68% | 8 | |
3/31Friday, March 319:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1447 | +15 | +0 | =1462 | 41% | 4 |
SDPadres | Martinez | 1543 | –40 | +24 | =1527 | 59% | 1 | |
3/30Thursday, March 309:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Marquez | 1443 | +15 | –3 | =1455 | 32% | 7 |
SDPadres | Snell | 1547 | +14 | +24 | =1585 | 68% | 2 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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